Coffee price continues to maintain a bearish biasSince the beginning of the month, coffee has maintained a consistent short-term bearish bias, accumulating a decline of more than 4.00% in its price.
The selling pressure, which has already extended over several weeks of trading, remains mainly driven by expectations of a larger coffee harvest in Brazil for the 2026–2027 period, with the season officially beginning in July. This production is estimated to grow by around 11.5% compared to the previous season, supported by favorable weather conditions, according to data from the Coffee Trading Academy.
This event is relevant considering that Brazil remains the world’s largest coffee producer, accounting for approximately 35% of global production. In this context, an improvement in harvests could generate a significant increase in global supply over the coming months.
This has started to raise concerns about a potential imbalance between supply and demand, as production growth may not be matched by demand at the same pace. As a result, expectations of higher production have become the main fundamental catalyst behind the bearish pressure seen in coffee prices, and as long as this outlook remains in place, the selling bias is likely to remain relevant in the short term.
The bearish trend remains the relevant pattern: Since October 2025, coffee has developed a structure of lower highs, which has led to the formation of a long-term bearish trendline in the price.
So far, no significant bullish correction has emerged to threaten this structure, meaning this pattern remains the main technical reference that could continue to influence price movements over the coming weeks.
RSI: The RSI currently remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that the average short-term momentum continues to reflect a selling bias.
As long as this behavior remains in place, bearish pressure may continue to dominate coffee price action in the coming sessions.
MACD: The MACD shows a similar dynamic, with the histogram holding below the 0 level, indicating that short-term moving average strength also reflects a relevant bearish bias.
If this behavior persists, it could continue to support the continuation of selling pressure in coffee prices in the short term.
Key levels to watch:
31,685 – Relevant resistance: A recent high level located above the long-term bearish trendline. Price movements that manage to break above this area could confirm the emergence of a more relevant bullish bias and even open the door to the formation of a short-term uptrend.
30,273 – Near-term barrier: A reference level located around the bearish trendline and close to the 50-period moving average. Moves above this level could start to put the dominant bearish structure at risk and give way to a more consistent bullish bias in the coming sessions.
27,024 – Key support: A 2026 low that acts as the main downside barrier. Price movements below this area would reaffirm the dominance of the selling bias and could lead to an extension of the bearish trend in the coming weeks.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst Bitcoin Weekly Update: Bear Market Rally or Real Reversal?#Bitcoin weekly update:
On the weekly timeframe, BTC is trading just below the 50 EMA resistance, a level that has acted as strong resistance during previous bear market phases.
Right now, many traders and your favourite influencer believe the bottom is already in and that BTC is ready for a straight move toward new all-time highs.
But looking at historical cycles, the structure still doesn’t fully support that idea yet.
In past bear markets, BTC has usually spent around a year in the correction phase before a real trend reversal happened. We still haven’t completed that full cycle duration, which suggests there could still be one more major move lower before the market fully resets.
Another important thing is that during previous bear markets, BTC eventually touched the 350 EMA before starting a true bull market recovery. So far, we haven’t seen that happen in this cycle. The 350 EMA is currently sitting around the 53K–54K region, making it a major area to watch if the market weakens again.
Until BTC reclaims key higher timeframe resistance with strong momentum, this still looks more like a bear market rally than the start of a full bull run.
#Bearmarket 
Short
Copper Hit $6.71: Is This the Final Push or a New Beginning?Copper Hit $6.71: Is This the Final Push or a New Beginning?
AI electricity infrastructure, Grasberg supply risk, and a sulfuric acid crisis on top... All pricing in simultaneously.
So what's Copper's story on the long-term chart?
Copper is currently trading at $6.64 and above its 52-week moving average (5.33). While AlphaTrend continues to generate buy signals, momentum (SQZMOM) just turned positive (0.09) but acceleration remains weak. A weekly close above $6.71 or SQZMOM above 0.20 could strengthen the bulls in Copper, with new targets at $7.62 and $8.61. Right now, all these fundamental and technical data point to a long-term uptrend in Copper.
What could this mean for equities?
If Copper's strength continues, which US stocks could benefit from this situation?
Five US companies directly feeding on the copper theme:
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan)
The purest publicly traded copper play. Grasberg production uncertainty is a double-edged sword — supply tightness supports prices short-term, production recovery brings volume long-term. Highest sensitivity to copper prices here.
SCCO (Southern Copper)
Low cost profile + strong production. Margin expansion reflects here fastest in rallies.
BHP & RIO
Despite diversified portfolios, copper investments are growing. Not pure plays but defensive choices.
TECK (Teck Resources)
Post-coal sale, shifted to copper-focused structure, freshest thematic momentum story here.
Thanks for reading! CLARITY Act: Everything you need to know Lately, the media has been pushing the same narrative over and over again: “Once CLARITY Act passes — crypto will explode higher”
But let’s break down what this bill actually is and why the market cares so much about it.
Right now, the biggest problem for crypto in the US is the lack of clear regulation. For years, even regulators themselves haven’t fully agreed on how crypto should be classified and regulated.
This is why there’s been constant conflict between two major regulators:
1️⃣ SEC — Securities and Exchange Commission
The agency that regulates stocks, public companies and traditional financial markets.
2️⃣ CFTC — Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The regulator overseeing commodities like gold, oil and futures markets.
The problem is simple: Some regulators view crypto as a security, while others see it as a commodity.
That’s exactly why the SEC has spent years suing exchanges and crypto projects nonstop.
The goal of the CLARITY Act is to finally define:
→ which crypto assets fall under the SEC
→ and which belong under the CFTC
In simple terms the market just wants clear rules.
✏️ Why does this matter?
Because big money hates uncertainty.
When there are no clear rules, institutions, banks and large funds are afraid to fully enter the crypto market.
If this bill passes, it would be a major positive for the industry:
• exchanges would operate more freely
• regulatory pressure could decrease
• institutional confidence would improve
• more liquidity could enter the market
That’s why crypto investors are watching this so closely 👀
❗️But there’s an important nuance...
A lot of people now treat the CLARITY Act like some magical “start button” for a new bull market.
And this is where I’d be careful.
Even if the bill passes soon, much of this optimism is likely already priced in.
As always: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.”
And once again — liquidity and monetary policy remain the main drivers of all financial markets.
📌 CLARITY Act is definitely a long-term positive for crypto.
But expecting one single bill to instantly reverse the entire market into a full bull cycle is extremely naive.
Globally, the market is still in a bearish macro environment. Right now we’re simply seeing strong upside moves fueled by short liquidations — and fighting that momentum makes no sense 📈
While some people keep arguing with the market, others are using the opportunities it currently provides 🤑
🤷♂️ Don’t try to prove something to the market.
Use these moves not only to make money, but also to rebalance your portfolio while conditions allow it.
As long as BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin hasn’t formed a fake breakout above the MA200d and pushed into the $85k–$90k region, this market is still tradable.
But if BTC reaches those levels, it could become one of the strongest signals for a full market exit before the next major leg down in the broader bearish cycle 📉
Of course, everything can change quickly. The key is being able to adapt fast instead of emotionally fighting the market.
That’s what separates professionals from beginners.
Good luck 🚀 Education 
Sony’s new PlayStation strategy could print BillionsSony just posted the most profitable year in its history, but investors were more focused on where the business is heading next
For FY25, which ended in March 2026, revenue grew 4% year over year to ¥12.48 trillion, or roughly $80 billion. Operating income climbed 13% to ¥1.45 trillion. Still, the March quarter disappointed. Net profit dropped 63% to ¥83 billion, missing expectations by a wide margin due to write-downs tied to Bungie and Pixomondo, along with losses from the now-abandoned Honda EV partnership
The quarter looked rough on the surface, but the bigger picture matters more
Sony is slowly reshaping itself into a leaner, more profitable company. It is relying less on hardware sales and putting more focus on intellectual property, recurring services, image sensors, and businesses that require less manufacturing intensity.
Gaming is the clearest example
PS5 sales continue to slow as the console cycle matures. Sony sold 1.5 million units in Q4 compared to 2.8 million a year earlier, marking the weakest quarter yet for the PS5. Lifetime sales now stand at 93.7 million units.
Even so, the PlayStation business is holding up better than the console numbers imply
Revenue in the Game & Network Services segment was basically flat year over year, while operating income fell 42% to ¥54 billion.. Most of that decline came from an ¥88.6 billion impairment tied to Bungie. The acquisition has not played out the way Sony hoped, with weaker Destiny 2 engagement and delays around Marathon hurting future expectations. Considering Sony paid $3.6 billion for Bungie back in 2022, it is an expensive lesson in how difficult live service gaming can be
Without those one-time charges, full-year gaming operating income would have increased 45% instead of the reported 12%
The broader shift inside PlayStation is becoming obvious
Hardware growth is fading, but users are still highly engaged. PSN monthly active users reached 125 million, close to record highs, while overall playtime also increased.
That matters because, at this stage of the console cycle, the real money comes from software, subscriptions, and digital spending. The console itself becomes more of a gateway into the ecosystem than the main source of profits
Sony’s FY26 outlook supports that view. The company expects gaming revenue to decline 6%, but operating income is projected to rise 30% as the Bungie-related charges disappear. Hardware margins are expected to stay mostly flat, while future growth is expected to come from software, services, and tighter cost control
I always invest in things I truly understand or personally use a lot.. If you’ve noticed, many of the stocks, tokens, and companies I trade are tied to gaming... Fun fact, a lot of top traders are also hardcore gamers. 2026 is one of the biggest years ever for the gaming industry, with so many insane titles dropping. Anyway, today’s game recommendation is Mixtape
have fun ;) 
Long
Gold May See a Short-Term Pullback Before Continuing Higher📊 Market Overview:
Global gold prices (XAU/USD) are currently fluctuating around the 4,700 USD/oz area after facing short-term profit-taking pressure. The main reason comes from the recovery of the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields following higher-than-expected US inflation data. However, safe-haven demand remains strong as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have not eased, helping gold stay above key support levels.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance levels:
o 4,725 – 4,730 USD
o 4,748 – 4,755 USD
• Nearest support levels:
o 4,685 – 4,680 USD
o 4,655 – 4,650 USD
• EMA: Price is still trading above the EMA 09 on the H1 timeframe, indicating that the short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum patterns:
o Small-bodied candles with long wicks are appearing around the 4,725 USD zone, showing selling pressure reacting at resistance.
o Trading volume has declined slightly during the pullback, suggesting that selling pressure is not yet too strong.
o H1 RSI has dropped from overbought territory to around 55–60, creating room for another upward move if support remains intact.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a short-term pullback toward the 4,685 – 4,680 USD zone before continuing its upward trend if this support area holds. However, if the price breaks below 4,650 USD, bearish pressure could extend toward lower levels.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,725 – 4,730
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,733
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,685 – 4,680
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,677 
Long
Silver (XAG/USD) Breakout or Fakeout? Low Volume RaisesSilver price action has broken out of a pennant formation, signaling a potential continuation move. However, the breakout so far has occurred on relatively low volume, raising concerns about the strength and sustainability of this move.
Pennant Breakout 🔺 — Structure suggests expansion phase
Low Volume Warning ⚠️ — Lack of conviction behind breakout
False Break Risk 🚫 — Potential rejection scenario
From a technical perspective, breakouts without strong volume often fail to follow through. This increases the probability of a false breakout, where price briefly moves higher before reversing back into the previous range.
If rejection occurs at current levels, it would confirm weakness and open the door for a move lower. In that scenario, price could cascade toward lower support zones, potentially forming a deeper wick as liquidity below is targeted.
On the other hand, if Silver can reclaim and hold above the breakout level with increasing volume, it would validate the move and shift momentum back to the upside. This would increase the probability that a higher timeframe bottom is forming.
Overall, Silver is at a critical inflection point. The next move depends heavily on volume confirmation, making this a key area to watch closely. ETH/BTC: Expecting Another -17% Hey everyone.
While info-channels keep churning out the same "alt season is coming" narrative — I'm looking at ETH/BTC and seeing the opposite picture. The pair trades at 0.02887, and my target is the 0.023 zone. That's 17–20% below current levels.
ETH/BTC is always cyclical
Everything that trades against Bitcoin moves in cycles. ETH is no exception. And every time the crowd calls "reversal" a couple of corrections too early. It worked in 2018, in 2022, and it's working now.
What the indicator shows
On the daily, my Liquidity Sweep currently shows:
— Trend: DOWNTREND
— Naked Levels: 9
— Active zones: 5 of 5
When you have 9 untested levels below — the market will go collect them. That's mechanics, not opinion.
Where the real liquidity sits
The 0.0230–0.0250 zone — that's where the stops and limit orders are stacked. Look at the volume profile on the right side of the chart: after 0.029, there's a liquidity vacuum almost down to 0.023. Price moves through vacuums like that impulsively, without pullbacks.
Key levels on the way down:
— 0.02886 — nearest support, already under pressure
— 0.02780–0.02820 — intermediate HTF zone
— 0.02300–0.02500 — primary target
Why the BTC rally was fake
BTC's move over the past weeks was a short squeeze, not organic buying. Open interest rose on shorts, funding was negative, and liquidations came in waves at every local high. When a rally is driven by shorts closing through liquidations — that's a release of pressure, not a trend.
You could observe the exact same setup on BTC itself: accumulation of short positions, and the rally happening precisely on their liquidation. After squeezes like this, the market almost always returns below the starting point.
ETH/BTC reflects this perfectly — while BTC was "rallying," ETH kept weakening against it. Rotation into alts is not starting.
ETH/USD: my limits are much lower
If we switch to ETH/USD — my accumulation limits sit below the April 2025 lows and below the February 2026 lows. Not at those levels — meaningfully below them.
Current dollar levels on ETH don't interest me. The revival of the past month is not bottom formation. Bottoms don't look like this.
What I need to see to flip my view
I'm not a stubborn bear, I'm ready to reverse my view — but on signals, not emotions. I'm waiting for a test of the 0.023–0.025 zone with a reversal candle on the weekly, funding back in positive territory for 2+ weeks, and confirmation from the alt index. None of these conditions are in place yet.
My position
I am not long ETH/BTC and won't open longs until the target zone is tested. On ETH/USD, my limits sit significantly lower. If the market doesn't reach them — then this opportunity isn't for me.
I'm not expecting a global reversal in the crypto market right now. The "reversal any moment now" narrative will keep ringing from every corner — until the real reversal actually happens. And it will happen when everyone gets tired of waiting for it.
Best regards, EXCAVO 
Short
Bitcoin Runs Into 200-Day Moving Average. What Happens Next?Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is once again standing in front of one of the market’s favorite technical speed bumps: the 200-day moving average.
You all love this indicator because it acts like a long-term mood ring for markets. Above it, optimism tends to grow. Below it, caution usually sneaks in, carrying a clipboard and asking uncomfortable questions.
Right now, that line sits near $82,000, and Bitcoin has spent the last few sessions trying to gauge its mood and whether hopping over it would be easy. Twice the OG coin pushed toward the level. Twice it pulled away and slid back near $80,000 .
📈 Why So Much Attention?
The 200-day moving average sounds technical, but the idea is simple. It tracks the average closing price over the last 200 trading days, smoothing out short-term chaos to reveal the broader trend.
When prices trade above it, many investors view the market as being in bullish territory. Below it, sentiment tends to lean bearish. It becomes a psychological marker as much as a technical one.
Traders want to see Bitcoin get through the door and stay there before declaring the party is back on.
💸 ETF Money Keeps Flowing In
Underneath the short-term volatility, demand has remained surprisingly strong. Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted another $620 million in weekly inflows last week, extending a six-week up-only streak that has now brought in more than $3.4 billion.
That steady institutional demand has helped stabilize prices even as headlines remain chaotic. Large investors continue buying Bitcoin through regulated exchange-traded funds, which tightens available supply and supports prices over time.
It’s harder for Bitcoin to collapse when fresh capital keeps arriving every week with the enthusiasm of someone discovering espresso for the first time.
🌍 Macro Drama Returns
Of course, crypto never trades in a vacuum. Geopolitical tensions returned to center stage after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal , while Tehran responded with equally fiery rhetoric, sending gold prices lower .
Markets generally dislike uncertainty, especially when oil prices and military headlines enter the conversation together. Risk assets, including crypto, often wobble when traders suddenly shift from “growth mode” to “what did Trump just say now?” mode.
That backdrop partly explains why Bitcoin struggled to maintain momentum above $82,000.
🐂 The Battle Lines
The forecasts remain wildly split, which feels very on-brand for crypto. Bullish analysts see improving macro conditions, persistent ETF demand, and tightening supply eventually pushing Bitcoin back toward $100,000 and beyond.
The bearish crowd, meanwhile, points to global uncertainty and technical weakness (think unsustainable froth), with some calling for a deep retracement toward $50,000 or even $40,000.
That leaves the 200-day moving average sitting right in the middle like a referee trying to control a heavyweight title fight.
👀 What to Watch Next
The key question now is whether Bitcoin can reclaim and hold levels above the 200-day average. A convincing breakout could improve sentiment quickly and pull momentum traders back into the market.
On the downside, repeated failures near resistance may encourage sellers to press harder, especially if geopolitical tensions and inflation worries escalate further.
For the technicians among us this level is a beauty because markets often reveal their true intentions around major technical levels.
Off to you : Where do you think this tug-of-war between demand and macro fear is going? Up only or sharply lower if the immediate resistance does its thing? Comment below!
USNAS100 | IS A 5% CORRECTION COMING AFTER THE +27% RALLY? NASDAQ: The 27% Parabolic Run & The "Rubber Band" Risk
Since March 31st, the NAS100 has surged roughly 27% in about 40 days. We are currently witnessing a rare "vertical" market. In this entire move, we haven't seen a correction exceeding 1.45%. This has created a massive Liquidity Gap—an "air pocket" beneath the current price that offers very little structural support if a sell-off begins.
1. The "Rubber Band" Effect & RSI
Technically, the Nasdaq is extremely overextended from its 20-day and 50-day moving averages.
Think of the price like a rubber band being pulled away from its average; the further it stretches without a pause, the more violent the snapback usually is.
RSI Alert: With the RSI hovering near 80, we are deep in overbought territory. Historically, staying this high for this long leads to a swift "mean reversion."
2. Potential Retest Levels: How Deep?
If the price fails to break and hold above the 29,480 resistance, we look for three tiers of correction:
Level Expected Drop,
Tier 1: Minor Pullback. -3% to -5%,
Tier 2: Standard Retest. -7% to -10%,
Tier 3: The "Flush". -12% to -15%
3. Why Hasn’t It Corrected Yet?
- AI & Semiconductors: A 30% jump in the semi-sector has acted as a shield against broader weakness.
- The Short Squeeze: Many traders shorted early (at the 10-15% mark) and were forced to buy back, fueled by "Short Covering" which pumped the index higher.
- Dovish Sentiment: Optimism regarding Fed leadership and cooling inflation has kept the "bid" strong.
4. The Danger: The "Blow-off Top"
The biggest risk of a 27% rally without a 2% correction is a V-Top. If the final 5% of this move becomes vertical, expect a sharp, V-shaped reversal. Any Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East could be the catalyst that triggers this move toward 28,490 and eventually the 27,000 Institutional Demand Zone.
Key Takeaway
- A move of this scale requires a retest of at least 5-8% to be sustainable. Without a healthy reset, the risk of a "flash crash" style correction increases daily.
- Watch the 29,480 level closely. If we lose momentum here, the "Rubber Band" is ready to snap.
Technically:
Overview
Since the March 31st lows, the NAS100 has staged a massive +27% rally in just under 40 days. What makes this move extraordinary—and dangerous—is the lack of a meaningful correction. To date, the largest "pullback" has been a mere 1.45%. Historically, moves of this magnitude without at least a 2% breather create a "liquidity gap" that often gets filled by a sharp, sudden retest.
1. The Technical Setup
We are currently trading just below the 29,480 resistance. As long as the price remains below this level, the probability of a "mean reversion" increases significantly.
a. The Correction Target : A standard 5% correction from current levels would pull the index toward the 28,490 support, with a deeper structural retest likely at the 27,000 zone (Institutional Demand Zone).
b. Bullish Shield: Strong U.S. Jobs data and relentless AI-driven momentum continue to provide a floor, but the "rubber band" is stretched to its limit.
2. Catalysts for the Move
The market is now hyper-sensitive. The transition from "Extreme Greed" to a "Correction Phase" likely hinges on:
a. Geopolitical Pressure: Any escalation in the Middle East could act as the pin that pops the bubble, driving a quick flush toward 28,490.
b. Profit Taking: After a 27% gain, institutional "smart money" often begins rotation, leaving late-retail buyers holding the bag at the top.
c. Momentum Divergence: If we see lower highs on the lower timeframes while under 29,480, the 5% correction becomes the base-case scenario.
Key Scenarios
Bearish/Correction: A break of local momentum leads to a swift -5% move to 28,490, potentially extending to 27,000 if risk-off sentiment takes over.
Bullish Extension: Total geopolitical de-escalation could postpone this correction, pushing the index toward the 30,100 / 31,350 reaction zones before the eventual "big" retest.
Conclusion: Enjoy the trend, but protect your capital. A market that goes up like a rocket usually falls like a stone when the fuel (liquidity) runs out. Keep a close eye on the 29,480 ceiling.
Sincerely, Srosh Mayi 
Short
NNE: A billion dollar fortress prepares a nuclear trigger for AINano Nuclear Energy is building the KRONOS microreactor with 15 megawatts of capacity, not to compete with giants, but to power data centers where the grid is already stretched thin. The company trades on Nasdaq, and everyone who understands that the Supermicro deal is an attempt to tie a nuclear startup to the hottest growth sector of the economy is watching.
Fundamentals
The previous report for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended December 31 2025, was released on February 17. Earnings per share came in at minus 0.13 dollars, and cash on hand reached 577.5 million dollars. Quarterly operating cash burn is about 4 million dollars, enough to last for years even as R&D expenses gradually rise.
The next earnings report is due on May 14 2026 after market close. The conference call and business update will be held on May 18.
Key projects: the University of Illinois has filed a construction permit application for KRONOS with the NRC. The company received a new GAIN voucher from the US Department of Energy through Oak Ridge National Laboratory to accelerate licensing.
On May 6 a memorandum of understanding was signed with Supermicro. This is a non binding agreement, but the market reacted with a 12 to 15 percent jump. The parties are studying the integration of microreactors directly into Supermicros AI server racks.
Main risks: insiders, including the founder and CEO, sold shares worth tens of millions of dollars in 2025 and 2026. A registration statement includes a block of 8.5 million shares held for resale, creating psychological overhang. Revenue is still zero, with first commercial revenues not expected before the prototype launch, targeted for 2030.
Technicals
On the three day chart, price has broken above the descending trendline. A retest of the 24.30 to 25 dollar zone is possible, which is a classic OTE area. Current price, Friday May 8 close, is 27.45 dollars. ADX is below 25, meaning no trend. DI+ is slightly below DI-. MACD is starting to turn up. Volume on the breakout was above average, indicating the presence of large players.
Targets from the chart: first 37 dollars, second 51 dollars.
The market values NNE on its ability to convert cash and partnerships into real licenses. The technical breakout is the first signal. If the May 14 report and May 18 webcast do not bring new concrete timelines for contracts, the price could return to the 24 to 25 accumulation zone. But the breakout is there, and the targets are above. 
Long
Oil Is Pressing a Major Resistance — Breakout Next?Before we start the technical analysis of oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ), we should mention that the main moves in oil over the past two to three months have been driven by developments in the Middle East—especially tensions between Iran, the U.S., and Israel. Right now, the key issue remains the Strait of Hormuz, which is a point of contention between Iran, the U.S., and other Middle Eastern countries. A major portion of oil and its products passes through this strait, which is subject to military tensions. Thus, any news about agreements or heightened conflict can quickly affect oil prices—so managing risk ahead of time is crucial.
Currently, oil is moving near a resistance zone($106-$102).
From a classical technical analysis view, it seems oil has been moving in a symmetrical triangle over the past two months. Since a symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern—and the prior move was bullish—we could expect a continuation of the bullish trend for oil.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, it seems oil has completed its main wave 4, and this wave four structure was a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5).
I expect that oil can break the resistance zone($106-$102) and rise at least up to $107. If the breakout has strong momentum, we could see a move toward the upper line of the symmetrical triangle in the coming weeks.
First Target: $107.00
Second Target: Upper line of symmetrical triangle
Stop Loss(SL): $94.70
Points may shift as the market evolves
What’s your view on oil? Can it hit new all-time highs, or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌U.S. Dollar/Brent Crude OIL Analysis (USDBRO), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends. 
Long
BIG MOVE AHEAD: NON-FARM COULD PUSH GOLD INTO THE 48XX ZONE?Tonight’s market focus is fully centered on the Non-Farm Payrolls report — one of the most important macroeconomic events of the week. In the current environment, weaker labor data could increase pressure on the USD and provide additional short-term support for gold. Defensive flows are slowly returning to precious metals as the market continues struggling with uncertainty, slowing momentum, and growing recession concerns.
After a strong two-session rally supported by economic slowdown expectations, temporary geopolitical easing, and weaker oil prices, gold has started reacting at the first key liquidity zone around 476x. This area has been highlighted repeatedly in previous weekly plans as an important demand and supply transition zone. Sellers are still actively defending upper liquidity areas, although the short-term recovery structure has not been invalidated yet.
From the broader perspective, the current upside move still looks more like a technical recovery rather than the beginning of a new long-term bullish cycle. Larger institutional flows remain cautious, while the macro backdrop surrounding recession fears, interest rate policy, and global economic pressure remains largely unchanged.
The main expectation remains that gold could continue its short-term recovery toward the upper 48xx demand zones if Non-Farm data weakens the USD further. However, the 476x zone remains the first key resistance that must be cleared before price can extend higher into the 48xx liquidity area. Even if gold reaches those upper zones, the broader macro structure still favors a longer-term bearish outlook.
MAIN SCENARIO
If Non-Farm Payrolls weakens the USD, gold may continue extending its recovery higher. However, the 476x zone remains the key resistance that must be broken before price can push toward the upper 48xx demand zones. If momentum and liquidity continue supporting the move, gold could complete its technical recovery before broader sell pressure returns in line with the larger bearish trend.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO
If labor data comes in stronger than expected, the USD could recover sharply, causing gold to reject from current demand zones and rotate back toward lower support + fibo areas.
Short-term bias: bullish recovery
Long-term bias: still SELL according to the broader macro structure.
LucasGrayTrading Short 
Short 
Change This And Your Profits Will Start GrowingThere was a period in my trading career where I genuinely thought I had a strategy problem.
I thought I needed better entries.
Better confirmations.
Better concepts.
Better market understanding.
So I kept searching.
I went from strategy to strategy, trying to find the missing piece. I thought there had to be some magical setup that would finally stop me from messing up trades.
But after some time of doing this, I realized something uncomfortable.
The problem was never really the strategy.
The real problem was what was happening inside my own mind every time I sat down at the charts.
Because I would come to the charts already emotionally charged. Already looking for movement. Already wanting something to happen.
And this is where FOMO slowly started rewiring me without me even realizing it.
I remember there were days where I knew very clearly that the setup was not there. My CLS confirmation wasn’t there. The manipulation was weak. The order flow was messy. Everything inside my actual trading plan was telling me to stay out.
But I still wanted to click.
Here is how it looks like (when you clicking just for the action) That’s the scary thing about FOMO.
You can literally know the trade is bad and still feel emotionally pulled into it.
And when I started looking deeper into it, I realized my brain had become addicted to the emotional stimulation of taking trades.
Not profits.
Action.
There’s a huge difference.
The moment you enter a trade, your brain gets a hit of excitement. Your heart rate changes. Your focus sharpens. You feel involved. You feel like something important is happening.
And after repeating this behavior for years, your brain starts craving that feeling.
So then sitting patiently feels uncomfortable.
Doing nothing feels uncomfortable.
Waiting for your A+ setup almost feels painful because there’s no stimulation in waiting.
That’s why so many traders force trades during slow markets.
The brain wants movement.
It wants emotional activity.
It wants dopamine.
And I went through this cycle for years without fully understanding what was happening.
I would tell myself:
“This one looks okay.”
“Maybe price runs without me.”
“I’ll just take smaller risk.”
“I’ll manage it actively.”
Meanwhile I was slowly destroying my edge one emotional trade at a time.
That’s how discipline disappears in trading.
You slowly start negotiating with your own rules until eventually your standards become blurry.
And then one day you sit there wondering why trading suddenly feels stressful, chaotic, emotional, and exhausting all the time.
I genuinely think this is why many traders never become profitable long term.
They think they are fighting the market while in reality they are fighting their own nervous system every single day.
Because if your brain is trained to chase emotional stimulation, the market becomes dangerous.
You stop trading your edge and start trading your feelings.
And the craziest part is that your brain rewards you for it even when the trade loses.
That’s why traders repeat the same mistakes over and over again.
The emotional hit already happened the moment they entered.
What started changing things for me was journaling and then becoming aware of these patterns in real time.
I started noticing that before every bad trade there was always this small internal voice telling me:
“Leave this alone.”
“This isn’t clean.”
“Wait.”
And every time I ignored that voice, I usually regretted it afterward.
That little voice is usually your experience speaking.
Your discipline speaking.
Your pattern recognition speaking.
But emotional urgency is loud.
Patience is quiet.
That’s why most traders lose the battle internally before the trade even starts.
One thing that helped me massively was backtesting.
Backtesting started rebuilding trust in my actual edge again. It reminded me what clean execution looked like. It trained my eyes to wait for precision instead of excitement.
And over time I noticed something strange.
Patience started feeling good.
Executing correctly started feeling rewarding.
Here is how it looks like the you execute only A+ Setups The emotional addiction to random entries slowly became weaker because I was reinforcing better habits repeatedly.
That’s when trading became calmer for me.
Cleaner.
More mechanical.
More controlled.
I stopped feeling the need to constantly be in trades.
And honestly, that’s one of the biggest mindset shifts a trader can experience.
When you become okay doing nothing.
Because cash is also a position.
Stillness is also a decision.
And sometimes the most profitable thing you can do as a trader is absolutely nothing at all.
Hope this boring text help you understand that in the trading less trading, but high quality setups beats trading every day.
David Perk 
Education
New TV Tool Highlights Gaps Between Analyst Valuations and PriceNew TradingView Analyst Target vs Current Price
Thought this was worth a share.
TradingView has added a new analyst price target news flow. It highlights recent changes in broker consensus and compares those targets with where the stock is actually trading.
That gap is the interesting bit.
If the consensus target has moved higher, but the share price is still well below it, that might be a stock worth a closer look. Not a buy signal on its own, obviously, but a useful way to find stocks where analyst expectations and market price are not lining up.
What you can see
The news item shows:
• The average analyst consensus target
• How that target has changed
• The forecast range across analysts
• The implied upside or downside versus the latest close
• The Buy, Hold and Sell split across covering analysts
Why I like this
Price target changes can matter, but they are usually scattered across individual news items. You might see one broker lift or cut a target, but it can be hard to tell how meaningful that is without checking the wider analyst view.
This puts the broader context directly in the news feed.
For example, an analyst cutting a target from 172 to 166 sounds negative at first glance. But if the wider consensus is around 163, that tells a more balanced story.
You can now follow these updates in News Flow, track changes over time, and set alerts when new analyst consensus updates appear.
Nice addition for anyone who likes using analyst data as part of their broader stock research.
Long 
Long 
