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The strongest bearish wave in the history of US 100! Moustafa M.This chance ((alone)) could cover a lot of your trading goals!! The move started yesterday if you did not notice! 07.05.2026 is a day to remember! what you see here is the weekly chart and align with the monthly! Every boarder from every channel or rising wedge was tested and the last bullish move move completed the puzzle! we are inside a massive rising wedge and the lower edge of is where my TP1 and TP2 are on the chart!! The bullish move which continued from 26800 to above is meant to create the biggest liquidity in the history of US 100! That wave will be the strongest ever in the history of US 100 and I am not exaggerating now but losing around 10,000 points I think will be something major to consider! not a crash as people claim, but a huge correction to unhealthy market! Technically we are at extreme exhaustion area and the history will remember that idea same all of you will remember always my idea which I predicted correctly the down move of 35% which started in February 2025 Note: Please do not share or copy my own work! It reflects my own vision and view to that index and it is advertised to not be taken as a legal advice for traders to follow, however, it is not more than an own opinion and analysis to be shared with you! Good luck ;)
IG:NASDAQShort
by moustafa_marei
33
Change This And Your Profits Will Start GrowingThere was a period in my trading career where I genuinely thought I had a strategy problem. I thought I needed better entries. Better confirmations. Better concepts. Better market understanding. So I kept searching. I went from strategy to strategy, trying to find the missing piece. I thought there had to be some magical setup that would finally stop me from messing up trades. But after some time of doing this, I realized something uncomfortable. The problem was never really the strategy. The real problem was what was happening inside my own mind every time I sat down at the charts. Because I would come to the charts already emotionally charged. Already looking for movement. Already wanting something to happen. And this is where FOMO slowly started rewiring me without me even realizing it. I remember there were days where I knew very clearly that the setup was not there. My CLS confirmation wasn’t there. The manipulation was weak. The order flow was messy. Everything inside my actual trading plan was telling me to stay out. But I still wanted to click. Here is how it looks like (when you clicking just for the action) That’s the scary thing about FOMO. You can literally know the trade is bad and still feel emotionally pulled into it. And when I started looking deeper into it, I realized my brain had become addicted to the emotional stimulation of taking trades. Not profits. Action. There’s a huge difference. The moment you enter a trade, your brain gets a hit of excitement. Your heart rate changes. Your focus sharpens. You feel involved. You feel like something important is happening. And after repeating this behavior for years, your brain starts craving that feeling. So then sitting patiently feels uncomfortable. Doing nothing feels uncomfortable. Waiting for your A+ setup almost feels painful because there’s no stimulation in waiting. That’s why so many traders force trades during slow markets. The brain wants movement. It wants emotional activity. It wants dopamine. And I went through this cycle for years without fully understanding what was happening. I would tell myself: “This one looks okay.” “Maybe price runs without me.” “I’ll just take smaller risk.” “I’ll manage it actively.” Meanwhile I was slowly destroying my edge one emotional trade at a time. That’s how discipline disappears in trading. You slowly start negotiating with your own rules until eventually your standards become blurry. And then one day you sit there wondering why trading suddenly feels stressful, chaotic, emotional, and exhausting all the time. I genuinely think this is why many traders never become profitable long term. They think they are fighting the market while in reality they are fighting their own nervous system every single day. Because if your brain is trained to chase emotional stimulation, the market becomes dangerous. You stop trading your edge and start trading your feelings. And the craziest part is that your brain rewards you for it even when the trade loses. That’s why traders repeat the same mistakes over and over again. The emotional hit already happened the moment they entered. What started changing things for me was journaling and then becoming aware of these patterns in real time. I started noticing that before every bad trade there was always this small internal voice telling me: “Leave this alone.” “This isn’t clean.” “Wait.” And every time I ignored that voice, I usually regretted it afterward. That little voice is usually your experience speaking. Your discipline speaking. Your pattern recognition speaking. But emotional urgency is loud. Patience is quiet. That’s why most traders lose the battle internally before the trade even starts. One thing that helped me massively was backtesting. Backtesting started rebuilding trust in my actual edge again. It reminded me what clean execution looked like. It trained my eyes to wait for precision instead of excitement. And over time I noticed something strange. Patience started feeling good. Executing correctly started feeling rewarding. Here is how it looks like the you execute only A+ Setups The emotional addiction to random entries slowly became weaker because I was reinforcing better habits repeatedly. That’s when trading became calmer for me. Cleaner. More mechanical. More controlled. I stopped feeling the need to constantly be in trades. And honestly, that’s one of the biggest mindset shifts a trader can experience. When you become okay doing nothing. Because cash is also a position. Stillness is also a decision. And sometimes the most profitable thing you can do as a trader is absolutely nothing at all. Hope this boring text help you understand that in the trading less trading, but high quality setups beats trading every day. David Perk
TICKMILL:DXYEducation
by David_Perk
51
New TV Tool Highlights Gaps Between Analyst Valuations and PriceNew TradingView Analyst Target vs Current Price Thought this was worth a share. TradingView has added a new analyst price target news flow. It highlights recent changes in broker consensus and compares those targets with where the stock is actually trading. That gap is the interesting bit. If the consensus target has moved higher, but the share price is still well below it, that might be a stock worth a closer look. Not a buy signal on its own, obviously, but a useful way to find stocks where analyst expectations and market price are not lining up. What you can see The news item shows: • The average analyst consensus target • How that target has changed • The forecast range across analysts • The implied upside or downside versus the latest close • The Buy, Hold and Sell split across covering analysts Why I like this Price target changes can matter, but they are usually scattered across individual news items. You might see one broker lift or cut a target, but it can be hard to tell how meaningful that is without checking the wider analyst view. This puts the broader context directly in the news feed. For example, an analyst cutting a target from 172 to 166 sounds negative at first glance. But if the wider consensus is around 163, that tells a more balanced story. You can now follow these updates in News Flow, track changes over time, and set alerts when new analyst consensus updates appear. Nice addition for anyone who likes using analyst data as part of their broader stock research.
NYSE:PLNT
by zAngus
10
BTC Breakout Confirmed: Is $95K the Next Stop?Bitcoin has finally broken out from both the descending broadening wedge and ascending triangle structures, confirming a strong bullish shift in momentum. The immediate focus is now on the triangle breakout target around the $95K+ region, where major price reaction will be monitored for the next directional move. As long as BTC holds above the breakout zones, the bullish structure remains intact. What do you all think about this setup?
BINANCE:BTCUSDTLong
by weslad
47
Gold Strategy: Escaping the Gravity of the Wedge.Just when the market was ready to price in a "Perma-Hawkish" Warsh Fed, Gold has thrown a curveball. Despite the headwind of high real yields, the "safe-haven" vacuum has been filled by a sudden spike in central bank accumulation from the Global South. While the May 15th Fed Transition remains the primary event on the horizon, the technicals suggest that the "priced-in" bearishness was overextended. We are currently witnessing a classic "reversion to mean" as the US Dollar takes a breather from its recent parabolic run. Technical Breakdown: Breaking the Shackle 🧩 The Macro Broadening: Gold continues to operate within a massive broadening structure defined by the Strong resistance and the macro Support line. The Triangle Failure: The earlier breakdown from the Triangle pattern in March led to the aggressive distribution phase we’ve seen over the last few weeks. The Local Breakout: This is the key "Alpha" today. Price has decisively sliced through the upper boundary of the local descending channel/wedge. The 10H candle close above 4,700 confirms that the "supply" at the ceiling has been exhausted. The "Trap" Confirmation: The move below 4,500 earlier this month was a textbook "liquidity hunt." By cleaning out the stop-losses of early bulls, the market created the "fuel" needed for this impulsive move higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
22
Tesla: Bullish Structure Still Intact After 30% PullbackTesla (TSLA) has experienced a sharp pullback of nearly 30% from recent highs, yet the internal structure of the decline does not currently appear impulsive. Instead, price action continues to resemble a corrective phase rather than the start of a sustained bearish trend. The updated wave analysis points toward a potential seven-swing corrective structure, which is typical of complex consolidations within larger uptrends. This retracement is approaching the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone measured from the April 2025 lows, an area that often acts as a high-probability support region in ongoing bullish cycles. Price behavior around this zone is becoming increasingly important. Tesla has already shown signs of recovery, attempting to move out of a corrective channel, which suggests early confirmation that buyers are re-entering the market. This aligns with the idea that the “yellow box” support area is currently being respected. From a broader perspective, there remains a possibility of another upward leg forming, potentially developing into wave C of wave five within an ending diagonal pattern visible on the weekly timeframe. This would still be consistent with a broader bullish structure, but would require confirmation through continued upside momentum. However, risk remains on the downside. A decisive break below 260, especially if accompanied by accelerating selling pressure, would significantly weaken the bullish interpretation. In that scenario, it would suggest that the ending diagonal structure may already be complete, opening the door for a deeper correction toward 200, and in an extended bearish case, even toward 150. Key Points: -Current decline appears corrective rather than impulsive (likely a seven-swing structure) -Price is reacting around the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone -Recovery from support suggests early bullish response within the correction -Break above 390 would confirm continuation of the bullish rebound scenario -Drop below 260 would shift bias bearish, targeting 200–150 range Overall, Tesla is sitting in a critical decision zone where the next directional move could define whether this is a continuation of the broader uptrend or the beginning of a deeper corrective phase.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ew-forecast
11
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Nearing Wave 5 Completion from March 2026The Elliott Wave outlook for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) suggests that the cycle from the March 31, 2026 low is close to completion as a five-wave impulse. From that low, wave 1 ended at 658.52, followed by a corrective decline in wave 2 that reached 644.16. The ETF then advanced in wave 3, topping at 712.39, before retracing in wave 4, which concluded at 702.28. This sequence is clearly shown in the one-hour chart. At present, the ETF is extending higher in wave 5, the final leg of the cycle. The internal subdivision of wave 5 is unfolding as another impulse of lesser degree. From the end of wave 4, wave ((i)) finished at 716.48, while the pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 707.84. The ETF then advanced into wave ((iii)), which remains in progress. A few more highs are expected before waves ((iii)), ((iv)), and ((v)) conclude. This will complete wave 5 and finalize the broader cycle from the March 2026 low. After this impulse ends, the ETF should enter a larger degree correction against the cycle before resuming its upward trend. In the near term, as long as price action stays above 673.98, the ETF retains scope to extend modestly higher to complete the cycle.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
7
GBPCHF bearish trend continuation below 1.0650 resistanceThe GBPCHF continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a sideways consolidation, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 1.0650 This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level. A failed test and rejection at 1.0650 would likely resume the bearish momentum. Downside targets include: 1.0535 – Initial support 1.0510 – Intermediate support 1.0480 – Longer-term support level Bullish Scenario (breakout above 1.0650): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 1.0650 would invalidate the bearish setup. In that case, potential upside resistance levels are: 1.0685 – First resistance 1.0715 – Further upside target Conclusion GBPCHF remains under bearish pressure, with the 1.0650 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
7
USD/CAD tests key resistance levels!Since the beginning of April, the USDCAD pair has been moving within a descending channel on the 4-hour chart, recording a series of lower highs and lower lows between two parallel trendlines. This timeframe reflects a clearly bearish trend, with the pair declining from the 1.3850 level to its current levels. Bollinger Bands: The middle Bollinger Band, represented by the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), continues to slope downward in line with the price channel, with both pointing toward the same direction. The alignment between the moving average slope and the structural path of the channel strengthens the resistance zone. Although the price attempted to regain trading above this line on May 5 and 6, it was rejected on both occasions and closed once again below the 1.3650 level. Trading volume: Trading volumes remained moderate during the recent upward moves, without any significant expansion. The absence of strong bullish momentum suggests that the current upward movement may merely be a temporary correction rather than a strong impulsive rally, especially given the lack of any clear accumulation signals within the volume data.
by CFI
2
LLY: Reclaiming Structure or Just a Temporary Bounce?LLY is approaching a key decision area after rebounding from long-term support near the MA200. Price has started reacting back toward the downtrend resistance line, while attempting to stabilize above a major support zone. Current focus: – Whether buyers can sustain momentum above MA200 support – How price reacts near the downtrend resistance – Whether this becomes a structure reclaim or simply a relief bounce within a broader downtrend The chart is entering a higher-stakes area where reaction matters more than prediction. Holding above support keeps recovery potential alive. Failure near resistance would likely return the stock back into consolidation.
NYSE:LLY
by QuietTraderFlow
4
Identifying the trend is a trader’s best friendMany of you have probably heard the statement that you need to trade with the trend. In almost every trading book, this idea is mentioned on the very first pages. This is indeed true, which is why in our recent posts we have been placing a strong emphasis on trendlines. A breakout and consolidation below these trendlines will finally break the bullish trend. Similarly, the opposite is true: a breakout and consolidation above these trend lines will finally break the bearish trend. 🔍 How to identify a trend? Everything is quite simple. An uptrend line is drawn through two or more local lows. A downtrend line is built through two or more local highs. First, you need to determine at least the mid-term trend on the weekly timeframe. After that, you can move to a lower timeframe, such as the daily. There you can build a local trend channel to understand the short-term trend. But the lower the timeframe, the lower the effectiveness of trendlines. That’s why, on the daily timeframe, trend channels almost always include channel medians, which are built using abnormal candle wicks. ❗️ As for hourly timeframes, we generally do not recommend using them for trading. There is too much unnecessary noise on lower timeframes, which will negatively affect your trading results. For example, the picture above shows a chart BINANCE:SOLUSDT with a breakdown of an upward trend downward. As you can see, after the breakout the price fell by -61% 📉 The next picture BINANCE:SUIUSDT shows a similar situation, only in this case the price fell by -76% . But in picture 3 BINANCE:BNBUSDT the opposite situation is a breakdown of the downward trend, which led to an increase in the asset by +200% 📈 Yes, there are quite a few coins on the market right now that have broken their downtrend lines. But the number of coins has grown so much that liquidity simply can’t be distributed across all of them. Especially considering that in the current environment, the main capital inflow comes from institutional investors, not retail. So don’t fall into euphoria and don’t buy everything. Right now is a time when growth is concentrated in a small number of coins. Good luck! 👉 If you want to trade like a professional and not like a gambler — follow for real insights and strategies 🚀
BYBIT:SOLUSDTEducation
by RomanCassiusTrade
6
A Technical Look at NVIDIA’s Ongoing StrengthTaking a closer look at NVIDIA, which posted a strong move yesterday, I revisited the charts to see whether the broader structure still supports a bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, the picture remains constructive: • Price has pushed above the 55 day and 200 day moving averages, breaking to new highs and retracing only 38.2% before accelerating again — classic behaviour within a bull trend. • The ADX/DMI signal continues to show the blue DI+ above the orange DI–, maintaining a bullish bias. • On the weekly chart, the correction held firmly above both the Ichimoku cloud and the 55 week moving average, reinforcing medium term strength. • The monthly structure shows price breaking higher from a bull flag, suggesting the longer term trend remains intact. Where would this view be challenged? Only if price were to fall back below the key moving averages around 188–184, which currently underpin the structure. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by The_STA
8
One Great Trade Beats Ten Mid Ones. How to Do the Math.There is a version of trading that looks very busy. Lots of positions, lots of activity, lots of small wins to screenshot and feel successful. There is another version that looks almost boring. A few carefully selected trades, sized with conviction, held with patience. One of these versions builds accounts. The other builds a highlight reel with an embarrassing P&L. The math behind concentration is not complicated. It is just uncomfortable, because it asks you to do less, and doing less feels like falling behind in a market that’s always moving. 📊 The Numbers That Make the Case Take two traders, both starting with $10,000. Trader A takes ten positions, risking 1% of capital on each. A hundred bucks. A few work, a few fail, and after commissions and the general friction of being in too many trades at once, the net result is a 4% gain. Respectable. Unremarkable. $10,400. Trader B waits. Watches. Passes on eight of those same setups because they are fine but not high reward. Then two trades arrive that meet every criterion: the technical setup is clean, the fundamentals point the same direction, and market sentiment is aligned . Trader B sizes each at 5% risk. Five hundred bucks each. Both trades work, delivering a 3-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio, meaning for every dollar risked, three come back. The result is a 30% gain. $13,000. Or $1,500 gains 2x. Same market. Same time period. But a different outcome. The difference was not skill at picking trades. It was discipline about which trades deserved real size . 🔍 What Makes a Trade Worth Concentrating On Not every setup earns a larger position. The ones that do share a few characteristics arriving simultaneously. These are technicals, fundamentals, and market sentiment. The technical picture is unambiguous. A clean break of a key level , a pattern that has set up clearly with obvious invalidation, meaning a specific price at which the trade is clearly wrong, and the kind of chart structure that does not require creative interpretation to see. The fundamental backdrop supports the direction. Earnings momentum ( big earnings season , btw, with AMD NASDAQ:AMD rocketing higher ), sector rotation, macro tailwinds, something in the underlying story that gives the price movement a reason to continue rather than reverse. Market sentiment is moving the same way. Volume is confirming the move. The broader market is not fighting the trade. The tape, meaning the overall flow of price action across the market, is cooperative. When all three align, the probability of the trade working shifts meaningfully higher. Higher probability warrants higher size. That is the entire logic. ⚖️ The Risk of Getting This Wrong Concentration without discipline is just masked gambling. The framework only works if the criteria are genuinely strict. If every trade starts looking like it meets all three conditions, the filter has broken down and what remains is confirmation bias, the very human tendency to find evidence supporting whatever you already want to do. The practical safeguard is a written checklist, completed before sizing up, with specific and objective criteria for each of the three conditions. Specific, observable evidence for each box before it gets checked. Even then, larger positions can mean larger losses when the trade fails. A 5% risk position that hits a tight stop loss hurts more than a 1% one with a wide stop. The math works in your favor over a series of high-conviction trades. It requires the emotional bandwidth to absorb the inevitable losses (say it again, inevitable) along the way without abandoning the approach. 🎯 The Practical Takeaway Most traders would improve their results by trading less and thinking more. The ten mediocre setups that fill a trading week are not opportunities. They are noise that obscures the two genuinely good ones. Build the filter. Define what a high-conviction trade looks like in writing, before the market opens and before the excitement of a flickering chart clouds the judgement. When the setup meets every criterion, size accordingly. When it meets most of them, use standard size. When it meets some of them, consider whether it belongs in the portfolio at all. One great trade, properly sized and patiently held, does more work than ten average ones ever will. The math is straightforward. The discipline to act on it is the hard part. Off to you : How do you size your trades and what criteria you look for before pulling the trigger?
NASDAQ:AMDEducation
by TradingView
26
2026 FIFA WORLD CUP: OPPORTUNITIES FROM THE TOURNAMENTHello, The FIFA World cup is one of the largest sporting events every four years. This year from June 11th to July 19th 2026, the World cup will be held in the Americas with United States of America, Canada and Mexico acting as hosts. In the US alone, the matches are expected to take place in eleven cities with Mexico and Canada hosting the matches in three and two cities respectively. Large sporting events like the FIFA World Cup often generate a wave of consumer spending across sectors, as millions of fans attend matches or watch the tournament worldwide. Additionally, they act as excellent marketing events for most companies. The 2026 tournament will be the largest in World Cup history, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches played across 16 cities in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The scale of the event is expected to generate a surge in travel, consumer spending and sports-related merchandise demand throughout the tournament period. Given the above backdrop, there is general expectation of high demand in hotel, travel, sportswear, beverages, restaurants and entertainment sectors. We expect Marriot International & Hyatt Hotels Corp to be the two largest hotels that are largely expected to benefit from the football event. Marriott in particular has a large presence in host cities and near stadiums. However, while the event is likely to drive a temporary uplift in occupancy rates, room pricing and ancillary spending, we do not believe this automatically translates into compelling investment opportunities in their equities. In our view while both companies are well positioned to capture higher occupancy rates and pricing during the tournament period, current valuations appear elevated, suggesting that a meaningful portion of this upside may already be reflected in market expectations. In contrast we see an investment opportunity in the same industry, Airbnb presents a more differentiated opportunity. As hotel capacity tightens during peak demand, Airbnb is likely to benefit from spillover demand, particularly from cost-sensitive travelers seeking more flexible or affordable accommodation options. Unlike traditional hotels, Airbnb’s asset-light and elastic supply model allows it to scale inventory dynamically, positioning it to capture incremental demand in a way that is less constrained and potentially more non-linear. In the Sportswear sector, we see Nike & adidas as the most likely biggest winners since the two brands together account for roughly 80% of the global football category and sponsor many of the most popular teams and players participating in the tournament. Their extensive sponsorship portfolios—spanning top national teams and high-profile athletes—place them at the center of tournament-driven merchandise demand. However, we believe that global dominance is already reflected in multiples and we do not see this event as long-term earnings inflection point for the two companies. For companies where we believe that the market valuations have already priced in the event, we do not recommend allocating money into these companies. This is because, broad-based exposure to obvious beneficiaries may offer limited incremental upside, particularly for companies that already trade on established global dominance, such as Marriot International, Hyatt Hotels Corp, Nike and Adidas, where the tournament represents a one off rather than transformational driver of earnings. We believe the most obvious beneficiaries (Marriot International, Hyatt Hotels Corp, Nike and Adidas) are unlikely to generate excess returns due to pre-positioning by markets. Accordingly, our focus shifts away from generic beneficiaries toward identifying fundamentally strong companies that will be linked to the tournament and the market may be underestimating the magnitude or distribution of World Cup–related demand. This approach emphasizes businesses with the potential for pricing power, long term market share gains, or non-linear revenue upside during periods of peak demand, rather than those simply exposed to the event. We believe that the market is overpricing capacity-constrained beneficiaries and underpricing demand overflow platforms. We believe that in periods of extreme demand, constrained models face natural ceilings on volume growth, whereas more flexible platforms can scale supply dynamically and capture incremental demand more efficiently. Below are the companies where we see investment potential at their current prices. 1: Airbnb Incorporated 2: Visa Incorporated 3: Meta Platforms 4: Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA and Heineken NV 5: Verizon Communications Inc 6: Hyundai Motor Company & Lenovo group limited below we have given the rationale for the first two
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by thesharkke
20
NBIS: 5-Month Base Breakout & Gap Up BuyThe Setup: NASDAQ:NBIS is flashing a massive green candle breakout backed by strong volume (a 50% increase). The daily chart shows a beautiful Inverted Cup and Handle alongside a Triple Bottom that featured aggressive shakeouts. On the higher timeframe, we have a very strong monthly signal as the stock actively tests its composite and RSI crossovers. While the broader primary market is over-extended, this stock just successfully tested the breakout line from a massive 5-6 month base and gave us a clean Gap Up Buy opportunity. Tip: Use CBOE:NEBX for leveraged entry. Reasoning: Massive Volume Breakout (50% increase on a big green candle) Inverted Cup and Handle / Triple Bottom Aggressive Shakeouts (Trapped bears and flushed weak longs) Monthly Signal (Testing composite and RSI crossovers) Successful Breakout Retest (Tested the 5-6 month base line) Gap Up Buy Trigger Leverage Option: $NBEX
NASDAQ:NBISLong
by vssebuyungo
23
“Hormuz reopening trade”, FX & commodities strategiesWhat is the “reopening trade”? It is a strategy that consists of thinking, at an early stage, about the event of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the progressive normalization of maritime traffic. This progressive normalization of maritime traffic will have a global macroeconomic impact and therefore an impact on all asset classes in the financial markets. In this new analysis on TradingView, I will share my analytical reasoning and my forward-looking strategies to implement on commodities and currency pairs in the foreign exchange market, in connection with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the resumption of maritime traffic toward Asia. This situation will still take a long time to materialize, but the day will come when the supply of oil, gas and urea will be normalized; therefore, it is necessary to think ahead about the best FX and commodities strategies to implement. Some strategies may seem very logical, and you are right to think so. Others are less so, and some are even counterintuitive. I have therefore prepared a table that synthesizes all my strategies, which will only become active from the moment the normalization of maritime traffic via the Strait of Hormuz has genuinely begun. The table below organizes my strategies according to the different asset classes; here are the dominant fundamental factors to keep in mind: • Logically, short strategies on oil, natural gas and urea fertilizer can be implemented with the resumption of production and exports via the Strait • The US Dollar, which has been the leading major currency since the military operations of February 28, resumes its underlying downward trend, with the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh remaining accommodative • The strategy of selling the US Dollar must be implemented against currencies that will strongly rebound, particularly those of Asian economic powers that are under energy pressure due to the closure of the Strait: India, South Korea, Vietnam, Thailand, etc.—all currencies that will strongly rebound against the US Dollar • Gold and silver will benefit from the reopening of the Strait, with the decline of the US Dollar and interest rates through an inverse correlation mechanism • It is also likely that the Iranian rial will recover • Caution, however, with currencies that are highly linked to the price of oil, such as the Russian ruble and the Brazilian real, which may suffer from the decline in energy prices DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:USOIL
by Swissquote
7
Gold – Rate Hike Risks Test Resolve of Dip BuyersGold has been a difficult market to trade in recent weeks, and yesterday’s violent swing which saw a 2.5% drop from opening levels around 4620 to a low of 4501 was perhaps another reminder of why identifying key support and resistance levels can be invaluable to traders. These zones can act as potential directional pivot points and mapping them out in advance could be an essential step before committing to any new position. Gold volatility, like all the major markets, is being driven by geopolitical events in the Middle East, and yesterday’s drop was in response to the US-Iran exchanging fire after US President Donald Trump promised over the weekend to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping from neutral countries, while also urging China and US allies to provide assistance in making this commitment a reality. Any escalation in the Iran conflict, keeps energy prices elevated. This fuels inflation concerns, which then increases market expectations for interest rate rises from the world’s major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve who are the most dominant. This negative spiral helps to weighs on Gold which pays no dividend or interest. One positive for Gold bulls has been that recent falls have been met with safe haven demand and dip buying, perhaps in the hope that global central banks, led by the PBOC in China, may be happy to increase their holdings of Gold after reports last week confirmed that Q1 2026 was a record for central bank purchases. Traders may be watching price action closely to see if this continues in Q2. Technical Update: Are Risks Developing for Further Declines? A recent focus for Gold has been its inability to break and close above what was perceived as a potential resistance at 4848, a level equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the January 29th to March 23rd sell-off. As the chart below shows, the failure to break above 4848, has resulted in price weakness and closing breaks below both the Bollinger mid-average (currently 4701) and now the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level that stood at 4571. While closing breaks of these types of support levels are not a guarantee of continued price weakness, traders may now be focused on identifying potential support and resistance levels to help judge where the next directional themes may lay. Potential Resistance Focus: Gold prices recently broken below support provided by the Bollinger mid-average. This average then turned lower to potentially skew risks towards a downtrend, meaning this may now be the first resistance level to focus on if attempts at a recovery materialise over the course of the week. The Bollinger mid-average currently stands at 4701, and successful upside closing breaks above this level may be required to open a further phase of price strength. If closing breaks above 4701 are seen, it could open scope for further price gains towards the 50% retracement level which stands at 4848. Closing breaks above 4848 may lead to tests of the higher 61.8% retracement at 5024. Potential Support Focus: The latest close below support marked by 4571, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest recovery, could lead to further price declines and shift the focus for traders toward deeper support levels. As the chart above shows, this could see risks shift towards support marked by lower retracement levels. The 50% mid-point stands at 4481, which may be the next key support to monitor, although if this in turn was broken on a closing basis, it might suggest further weakness toward 4391, which is the lower 61.8% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
10
AMD Hit an All-Time High Ahead of Earnings. What Its Chart SaysAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD is set to release earnings this week at a time when the chip giant recently hit an all-time high -- up more than 60% year to date and better than 260% over 12 months. Let's see what its fundamental and technical analysis say. AMD's Fundamental Analysis The chip firm plans to report fiscal Q1 results after the bell on Tuesday, May 5. (That's Cinco de Mayo for those who celebrate.) Fun fact -- CEO Lisa Su and your author both grew up in the same area of the Queens in New York City at the same time. I didn't know her (she was a few years younger than I am), but we must have walked the same sidewalks and rode the same subways and buses. The pride of Queens, Lisa Su is. As for AMD, the Street is looking for the company to report $1.29 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $9.9 billion of revenue. That would represent a 34.4% increase from the $0.96 that AMD posted in the year-ago period, while also reflecting roughly 33% in year-over-year revenue gains. It would also serve as a fifth consecutive quarter of 30%+ year-on-year sales growth for the firm. Meanwhile, 27 of the 36 sell-side analysts that I know of who follow AMD have raised their earnings estimates since the quarter began, while only six have cut their numbers. (Three have made no changes.) AMD's Technical Analysis Now let's check out AMD's technicals going back to October and running through Wednesday afternoon (April 29): Readers will first see that AMD ran sideways from October to April, creating a six-month "basing period" or "flat base" of consolidation. Sometimes called a "rectangle pattern," this technical set-up points to a consolidation. A breakout from there could go in either direction. That said, AMD began to rise again in early April, using its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a red line) as consistent support going back to early March. The stock next took back its 50-day SMA (the blue line) and 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by a green line), then moved sharply higher as April wore on. Shares ultimately hit an all-time high on April 24, but have run into some profit-taking since then as AMD's earnings date approaches. Looking at the above chart's other technical indicators, AMD's Relative Strength Index (or "RSI," denoted by a gray line at the chart's top) has been technically overbought territory for more than two weeks now. Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with blue bars, a black line and a gold one at the chart's bottom) has gone almost parabolic. For openers, the histogram of the 9-day EMA (denoted by blue bars) is running well above the zero-bound. Similarly, the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day one (the gold line) are also running well into positive territory -- with the black line above the gold line. All of those things are short- to medium-term bullish signals. As long the MACD remains so positive, the RSI reading might not too significant. Let me know what you think in the comments section. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long AMD at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. All content such as comments or links posted and shared by users are the opinion of the respective authors only and do not reflect the opinions, views, or positions of moomoo or any of its affiliates. Please consult with a qualified financial professional for your personal financial planning and tax situations. 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NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
10
EURUSD 1H — The Story Behind the Bearish ContinuationEURUSD 1H — The Story Behind the Move The higher timeframe is already leaning bearish, and the story continues the same way here. Price pushed into a bearish order block and faced a clean rejection. That reaction wasn’t random — it came with displacement, followed by a clear CISD, showing that sellers are stepping in with strength. Now the market is in a transition phase. I’m watching for price to retrace into a fresh bearish order block — a potential zone where sellers may re-enter. What makes this area interesting is the confluence: the rejection with displacement, and the liquidity resting above the Asian high, sitting just below the order block. If price trades back into this zone, I’ll be waiting for lower timeframe confirmation to participate in short positions. The targets are already defined on the chart, aligned with the liquidity below. If price fails to respect this zone and breaks higher, then the story changes. For now, sellers remain in control.
Short
by TradesWithVahid
26
Nvidia: Triple Confluence?Nvidia rallied to new highs early last week, and now it’s pulled back. The first pattern on today’s chart is the advance between April 8 (ceasefire with Iran) and April 27. The semiconductor giant held a 50 percent retracement of that move and stabilized, which may confirm its upward direction. Second is the price zone along the peaks of November and February ($196-197.63). NVDA is also holding that, which could mean that old resistance has become new support. Third, prices bounced at the rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). So, you have NVDA stabilizing at three points (retracement, old high, EMA). Is that triple confluence heading into earnings on May 20? Next, the 8-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may reflect bullish short-term momentum. Finally, NVDA is a highly active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 3.9 million contracts ranks first in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year! Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradeStation
4
GameStop Targets eBay in $56 Billion Bid. What's That About?Guess who’s looking to rodeo into the e-commerce arena ? In a move that feels like a side quest turning into the main storyline, ya boi, GameStop NYSE:GME , the beloved retail play, has set its sights on eBay NASDAQ:EBAY with a takeover bid worth about $56 billion. We’re talking the same company that once rode a meme-stock rollercoaster. It’s now trying to buy a platform nearly four times its size and reshape it into something like a rival to Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN . 💰 Offer’s on the Table GameStop NYSE:GME is offering $125 per eBay share in a mix of stock and cash. That represents a 46% premium, which in plain English means a generous markup over where the stock has been trading. Premiums like that are designed to grab attention and, ideally, convince shareholders to say yes before thinking too hard. The company has already built a 5% stake in eBay, signaling this idea did not come out of nowhere. CEO Ryan Cohen has been quietly positioning for this moment, and now the plan is out in the open. 🏦 Funding the Ambition Ambition is one thing. Funding it is another. GameStop says it has around $9.4 billion in cash and a commitment from TD Bank for roughly $20 billion in financing through debt issuance. That still leaves a sizable gap, which suggests more borrowing or stock issuance could be on the table. In trading terms, this is a highly leveraged bet, meaning borrowed money plays a big role. Leverage can amplify gains (as you know), though it also raises the stakes if things go sideways (you know that, too). GameStop isn’t new to these pro-risk moves. Right about a year ago, the video game retailer scooped up 4,710 Bitcoins worth $512 million, each at $109,000 a pop. Someone bought near the top and is now staring at a paper loss of 27%. 🧠 The Vision Cohen’s pitch is simple and bold. He believes eBay is undervalued and could become a “hundreds of billions” business. The idea involves transforming the marketplace into a stronger competitor to Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN by modernizing the platform, improving logistics, and tapping into new categories. Think of it as taking a well-known brand with loyal users and giving it a fresh engine. The logic has appeal. eBay already has global reach and a recognizable name. What it lacks is the growth narrative that investors love. ⚔️ Deal or Duel? Here’s where things get interesting. If eBay’s management resists, GameStop has hinted it may go directly to shareholders. That approach is called a hostile takeover, which sounds dramatic because it usually is. There is also a timing wrinkle. The deadline to submit proposals for eBay’s upcoming annual meeting has already passed, which complicates the path forward. In short, this could turn into a drawn-out negotiation rather than a quick handshake. 📊 Market Reaction Investors responded with cautious enthusiasm. eBay shares jumped nearly 12%, reflecting the attractive offer. GameStop stock edged higher as well, though with a more measured reaction. If we read a bit into it, eBay holders see an immediate upside. GameStop investors are weighing the risks of such a large and complex deal. 👀 What Should Traders Watch? So what’s there to watch? Some key factors include whether financing comes together smoothly, how eBay’s board responds, and whether other bidders emerge (we saw how the Warner Bros drama unfurled ). There is also the broader question of execution. Turning around a legacy platform (who bought worn out sneakers off eBay in the early 2000s?) while competing with Amazon requires flawless delivery. GameStop’s bid for eBay is bold, for real, and very much in line with a market that rewards big ideas. It also raises real questions about scale, risk, and timing. Off to you : is this a masterstroke in the making, or a high-stakes gamble dressed up as a comeback story?
NYSE:GME
by TradingView
10