ELLAHLAKES: What Next After Capital Raise SetbackELLAHLAKES: Analyzing the Retest After Capital Raise Setback.
The recent price action for ELLAHLAKES has encountered significant resistance following the rally that began in November 2025.
During that bullish phase, the asset reached a peak near N18.5, coming close to its all-time high of N19.5.
However, recent fundamental developments suggest a shift in momentum that traders should monitor closely.
Fundamental Context: The Failed Public Offering
The company’s outlook has faced a notable setback following the news that its attempt to raise N235 billion via a public offering was unsuccessful.
The offer, which was priced at N12.50 per share, failed to meet the minimum subscription threshold required by the SEC.
This capital setback is a critical fundamental factor. It suggests a "valuation friction" between the company's expectations and current investor appetite, likely leading to a period of reduced liquidity and cautious sentiment.
Technical Outlook and Key Zones.
From a technical perspective, the inability to break the all-time high, combined with this fundamental "bad news," increases the probability of a deeper retracement.
Primary Targets: We are looking for a potential retest of the N10 and N8 support zones.
Momentum: These levels represent historical areas of interest where the stock may need to consolidate and find new buying pressure before attempting another move higher.
The highlighted entries on the chart remain the primary areas where support is expected to hold. Traders should watch for stabilising price action at these lower levels rather than chasing the previous rally.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute an investment.
ELLAHLAKES
$ellahlakes Ellahlakes over-39% Retracement from 19.4naira/shareELLAH LAKES – Weekly Technical Outlook
NSENG:ELLAHLAKES Ellahlakes over-39% Retracement from 19.4naira/share All time High
Current price: 11.75naira per share
Ellah Lakes has retraced from its all-time high of ₦19.4 to a current low around ₦11.74 — a healthy 39% correction from the peak. This type of retracement is typical of a market cooling off after a strong impulsive move, not a structural breakdown.
Price is now retesting previous supports and a possible accumulation zones where fresh demand could emerge.
Rebuy Zone btw ₦10.95– ₦12.70:
This zone sits near the last major breakout level — a classic area for price to retest and confirm as support. If bulls defend this area, it could trigger the next impulsive leg higher.
Rebuy Zone btw ₦8.90 – ₦10.95:
A deeper liquidity level and structural base. Only comes into play if the retracement extends further, but it offers an excellent accumulation opportunity in a longer-term bullish context.
**Targets:**
TP1 remains ₦17.50, which coincides with previous resistance just below the all-time high.
TP2 sits at ₦23.05 — a Fibonacci extension move if momentum resumes and buyers reclaim control.
As long as price holds above ₦8.90 on the weekly timeframe, the broader bullish structure remains valid. Invalidation of this idea is Under 8.90naira per share. This is not financial Advice!!
**Summary:**
Ellah Lakes is undergoing a standard 35–40% retracement within a larger uptrend. The defined rebuy zones (₦12.70, ₦10.95, ₦8.90) represent sound areas to monitor for signs of reversal and accumulation before the next rally leg develops. Else further decline! NFA
#Livestock Livestock Feeds PLC price (Weekly) at 40% discount #Livestock Livestock Feeds PLC (W1) at 40% discount — Buy Zone or Breakdown?
Livestock Feeds is currently trading at a critical decision level after a prolonged pullback from its recent all time highs of 10.85naira per share. Price action is now interacting with a well-defined demand zone, making this an important area for both swing traders and position investors.
Current price: 6.70naira/share
Technical Outlook
After peaking around the ₦10.85 region, price entered a corrective phase, not an impulsive sell-off. The decline has now brought price back into a level that may begin act as consolidation support.The latest weekly candle shows a bullish reaction from demand, suggesting selling pressure is weakening and buyers are beginning to step back in.
Key Technical Levels
**My preferred Buy Zones**
₦5.45 – ₦6.65 → Primary buy zone
₦4.21 - ₦5.45 → Secondary Buy zones
Resistances / Targets
₦10.20 → Previous swing high (TP1)
₦13.90 → Expansion target (TP2)
As long as price **holds above ₦4.2 on a weekly close, the broader structure remains bullish, Invalidation lives under 4.2naira per share
Fundamental Context
Livestock Feeds operates within Nigeria’s agro-industrial value chain, benefiting from long-term growth in protein consumption and food security initiatives. This makes LIVESTOCK better suited for medium-term positioning rather than passive long-term holding.
Trade Thesis
Price is in demand zone
Clear upside levels already defined
Risk can be tightly managed below ₦5.45
Weekly close below ₦4.2 invalidates the bullish setup
***This is not financial Advice*** **Always manage your risk**. This is a level-based setup, not a blind buy.**
Summary:
LIVESTOCK is at a make-or-break level. Holding support opens the door for a medium-term recovery toward ₦10+, while a breakdown below ₦4.2 flips my bias bearish.
Technically managing Risk as a Nigeria Stock Market InvestorHow Low Can It Fall Before an Investment Decision?
Before entering a position, it's important to determine how much risk you're willing to accept. As an investor, ensure you are on the weekly timeframe
This approach helps to avoid significant losses while waiting for the right entry points based on technical and price action analysis.
Final Update on My Third Quarter Nigeria Stocks.. percentage up!Here's a summary and update on my third quarter 2025 Nigeria stock picks based on the price comparison from July to September 2025:
Q3 2025 Trading View: Nigerian Stock Picks Update
Strong Performers with Significant Gains:
- BUACEMENT: Up approximately 52%, maintaining strong momentum as a leader in the cement sector.
- ETRANZACT: Surged over 130%, showing explosive growth in the tech/payment sector partnership with FIRS.
- ELLAHLAKES: Rose by 73%, indicating a promising position in its market.
- MULTIVERSE: Grew nearly 59%, reflecting healthy gains in diversified technology.
- DANGSUGAR: Increased by about 28%, notable growth in the sugar segment.
- NB: Up nearly 19%, solid growth.
- DANGCEM: Cement sector share climbed by over 17%.
Moderate or Slight Decline:
- ARADEL: Grew by about 8.8%, steady but less pronounced growth.
- HMCALL: Slight decline of about 2.4%, stable but marginally down.
- TRANSPOWER: Minor decrease near 1.9%, holding relatively steady.
Overall Market Sentiment:
- Average gain across my nigerian stocks was 37.27% from July to September 2025, reflecting strong positive momentum through the third quarter.
- This aligns with the broader Nigerian stock market trends, where the NGX All-Share Index gained over 16% in July and sustained overall bullishness into Q3 2025 supported by growth in industrial goods, cement, and tech sectors.
- Investors continue to show confidence especially in infrastructure materials and tech/payment companies, sectors driving market capitalization growth.
Investor Takeaway:
- My Q3 2025 stock picks exhibit robust growth potential, particularly in cement, technology, and payment solutions sectors.
- Conservative performers like ARADEL provide portfolio stability, while high-growth stocks such as ETRANZACT and ELLAHLAKES offer significant upside..
See you in My Final Quarter Q4 Picks for the year 2025
Cheers!
$ellahlakes Ellahlakes over 45% Retracement from 5.4naira/shareEllah Lakes Plc, established in 1980 and headquartered in Benin City, Nigeria, is an agribusiness company engaged in cultivating oil palm, cassava, soybean, maize, and rice. The company manages plantations across Edo, Ondo, and Enugu States.
NSENG:ELLAHLAKES all time high is 5.4naira/share in September 2024
Current price: 2.99naira/Share
#Ellahlakes is currently a low risk investment with possible heights of 3.9 and 4.7 per share.
Preferred buy zone is between: 2.7-3.1
Please Note: Idea Invalidation is Under 2.7
Indicator in use is the SuperAI: Check my Profile for more Information.
Nigerian Share Picks for Second Quarter 2025 (APRIL - JUNE 2025)My share choice for Second Quarter 2025
ELLAHLAKE 2.90 (low risk) Active trading, small-cap stock with growing momentum.
INTBREW 5.05 (low risk) High volume, possible interest buildup despite recent dips.
NASCON 43.95(medium risk)Strong performance; good short- to mid-term growth potential.
NB 32.00(low risk) Stable, consumer-facing; may need a catalyst for price movement.
MTNN 245.00(medium risk)Defensive blue-chip; solid for long-term holding and dividends.
GUINNESS 80.00(medium risk) Resilient FMCG stock; consistent but currently flat.
NESTLE 1,020.00 (low risk) Premium stock, strong fundamentals; long-term value hold.
DANGCEM 480.00 (medium risk)Cement giant, good for infrastructure-focused portfolios.
MULTIVERSI 8.65 (low risk)Low activity; speculative with limited liquidity.
ALEX 7.15 (low risk) Very low volume; watchlist-only unless volume improves.
Real time monitoring: www.tradingview.com






