Fib
BTC Elliot Count Last Large ABC correction down, and 5500 region has very a good reason for a tap of the major trend line and the .786 fib.
This chart I made purely on geometrical symmetry where the Elliot and fib seem to align in harmony. This is my more bearish count. Possible we could still bottom out at 6200-6500 as i stated before. But having more options on the table and letting the charts show the way. I think we are about 85% done with correction, halving will not be silent.
Not a financial advice, just my analysis.
UsdCadexpecting a short
as you can see its just bounced of a rejection zone, exepcting a breakout of the trendline and entry
is just under the trendline for safer entry, to me I can see it squeezing for a sell is on the cards for this pair.
it might go long to the zone and will short after that, which ever one it touches I will enter on.
USDJPY - 5/1 Risk Reward setup - 240PIPSWe all love a pending order where we can set, forget and collect.
Set the order
- Pending buy @ 107.700
- Stop Loss @ 107.200
- Take Profit @ 110.00
Forget
- We can leave and forget our pending buy with some confidence due to the quality of the setup. This is a straight forward Fibonacci setup on a high timeframe, using a high timeframe adds weight to the price action described below.
- We can safely assume that the two significant levels required to draw a Fibonacci line have been printed... the low of 106.500 and the high of 109.500. I have the confidence to call the top because of a significant pullback.
- The 38.20% Fibonacci retracement leg has already been fulfilled on the 14th @ 1400hrs. Following this, we haven't seen any bullish momentum build to take price to new highs. So its likely that there is still significant selling taking place or there is not sufficient bullish mood to drive the dollar higher just yet.
- This all means that the next calling point is likely to be the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement. (This will be our entry point.) with stops places below 71.00% Fibonacci Retracement.
Collect
- With patience we will look to collect our profits on the first Fibonacci extension.
- With good risk management trading a small lot size you can risk less than 2% of your account (1.8% in my case), and look to collect over 8%! Remember that profitable forex traders on average only collect 20%-30% profit per year and this setup offers more than 25% of that in one trade.
For more setups like this one. Follow my new telegram channel t.me/smartmoneytrades. I have 11/14 trades profitable in the past two weeks, and over 16% account profit in that time.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments, even if you disagree.
BTC (Y19.P6.Video.C) Cont.Is the bottom in?Hi,
Welcome to my 3rd video which will be part of the series of the Bitcoin Macro trend.
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Note: I posted a Macro Level chart back in July this year that is doing a good job for the current price formation.
The logic of this chart is also used as a reference but I did not have time to explain it in this video but it supports my thesis with the bottom being in.
I will include that post in the next video as well, to explain why I think the price will move a certain way.
The logic for this chart below, posted back in July is that after parabolic run, we will naturally see a sell off at the top.
and then the price will drop back to the support zone where it all started from, the parabolic run. Here there is an already established channel.
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In this video I will be talking about the current trend and its structure and what my take is from a number of sources.
Hence this presentation is a compilation of ideas that I have taken from others and incorporated them with my ideas as well.
Unfortunately I ran out of time so I will need to continue this video to finish of with Moving Averages and the 3rd part, which is fib. channels.
This video quickly recaps the previous videos and covers the x2 Btc cycles that occurred with each cycle having 4 phases or stages.
Each stage identified with its parabolic advance which is supported by the RSI
phase 1 and phase 2 have a common support level, base trend line
so we are going to try to use this historical reference for today's chart
This video covers chart structure using fibonannci as a means to make sense of the chart, I will highlight key milestones and pivot points
with the help of pitchfork, fib fan, fib circle, fib extension levels
The last part of this video covers the MA method.
Using Ma, we get the bottom support line using the 50,100,200 weekly ma.
cross over represents a bullish momentum.
Previous Video Post
July 22 post, that is somewhat accurate for today's price structure and this post demonstrates why it works based on a no. of assumptions.
USDCHFVemos un nuevo swing bajista de USDCHF. Los pares estables como este suelen dejarnos grandes movimientos y gran seguimiento de los analisis técnicos.
En este caso encontramos grandes confluencias:
- Por un lado ruptura de una tendencia alcista donde vemos la formación clara de un HL.
- Por otro lado vemos un rechazo claro en una zona de reaccion del precio
- LLegada a los posibles niveles de entrada de Fib
- 2 Engulfing bar en H4 lo cual nos muestra la entrada de vendedores en el mercado
- Rechazo de linea de tendencia bajista.
Entrada con un gran R.R
Veremos como se comporta esta semana!















