In light of the precarious global economy and numerous contributing factors, such as deglobalization, the inflationary impact of the war in Ukraine, an aging population, and an overwhelming amount of debt, the Federal Reserve's role and efficacy in the current economic climate have come into question. Drawing on Jeff Snider's work, it is increasingly evident that...
This week the UK economy posted its highest inflation reading in 41 years rising 11.1% year on year (yoy) in October. The recent jump is largely the result of the uprating of the household energy price cap in October. Core inflation moved sideways at 6.5% yoy. We expect this to represent the peak for UK inflation. As the base effects of high energy prices begin to...
Goblin Capital presents you -- The most risky contrarian trade you can currently take -- Am I all in? Yes Do I have children? No Am I still young and not much to lose? Yes Do I have a lot of bad debt? No Will I financially recover if this trade goes South? Yes Therefore, my dear Goblins: I urge you to only play with money that you are willing to lose. Please...
Nancy and the Gang anxiously await the Senates Taxpayer handout to the Industry. Po Nancy, $107 Million simply is not enough for her and Pablo the Shark Tank Drunk. Nancy had to gobble $341K in losses on NVDA after exiting her 25K Shares in a loss due to slime lights a shinning. Bravo, add 3 zeros and it's all good. Everyone should lose a hand. Preferably, a...
Good morning everyone, Below is a list of some of the events that have most influenced the movements of the American stock index from the beginning of the Pandemic to today. The same events can also be used to accompany the movements of other indices to study their effects. Apart from some unforeseen events, everything revolves around and is supported by what...
Following the 2008 Financial Crisis, the Federal Reserve had to apply loose monetary policy measures in order to stabilize and stimulate the economy. The Fed started lowering the Federal Funds Rate back in late 2007, as a response to the rising unemployment at the time. This is the most traditional monetary policy measure, which aims to stimulate both businesses...
Fiscal policy is being discussed, and the tech industry are falling victim to it.
The Dow Jones saw another massive decline today, down -13% and nearly $3,000 in a single session making this the new record one-day point decline in history for the Dow and smashing the previous record of -$2,000 which was made last week. High volatility has been expected over the past two weeks and we are getting it in extraordinary fashion as traders appear to...
In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #GBPUSD and #EURUSD #FXMajors! GBPUSD Dragged down by: - BoJo push for an early election on December 12 - Increasing likelihood of October exit failure EURUSD Under Pressure as: - ECB reiterates downside risk, stubbornly low inflation - Draghi hints to fiscal policy measures Stavros Tousios Head of...
BOJ Miss - Sell GBPJPY @Market price; 129tp1 - up to 800pips. 1. A BOJ miss can be considered as delivering the median expectations e.g. 10bps cut to the depo (-0.2%), 10bps cut to the LSP (-0.1%), Yen10trn increase in monthly JGB purchases & 50% Increase in Annual ETF purchases e.g. 3.3trn-5trn. Fiscal Stimulus Yen10-15trn. - The package above or less...
Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We Need it During Next Recession". Nonetheless he...