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Silver Strong Bullish Expansion - Towards Major Reversal ZoneSilver Strong Bullish Expansion - Towards Major Reversal Zone This chart highlights an important market structure development on the 2-hour timeframe, where price has recently broken out from a descending corrective structure and is now approaching a major resistance and potential reversal zone. The current price action suggests strong bullish momentum in the short term, but the market is now entering an area where sellers may begin to regain control. Market Context At the beginning of the chart, silver experienced a sharp bearish impulsive move, which pushed the market down aggressively from the highs near the 92–93 region. This strong decline indicates heavy selling pressure and a shift toward bearish sentiment during that phase of the market. After the drop, price entered a corrective consolidation phase, where the market began forming smaller swings and gradually stabilized. These types of consolidations are common after large impulsive moves because the market needs time to absorb liquidity and rebalance before the next directional move. Descending Structure Formation During the consolidation period, price developed a descending trendline structure, where multiple lower highs were formed. This pattern reflects the presence of consistent selling pressure, as each bullish attempt was rejected at progressively lower levels. At the same time, price action compressed within a falling wedge / descending channel formation. This type of structure often signals weakening bearish momentum, as sellers begin losing strength while buyers gradually step back into the market. Market compression inside such structures usually leads to strong breakout movements once the structure is violated. Bullish Breakout and Momentum Expansion Recently, XAGUSD produced a strong bullish breakout, pushing above the descending trendline resistance and triggering a rapid impulsive move toward the upside. The breakout candle shows significant bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers stepped into the market aggressively. This move may have been fueled by: • Short liquidations above the trendline • Breakout traders entering long positions • Liquidity resting above the previous minor highs Once the structure was broken, the market quickly expanded upward toward the 88.50 – 89.00 resistance area. Reversal Zone / Supply Area Currently, price is approaching a key resistance zone marked as the Reversal Zone around the 89.00 – 90.00 region. This area is technically important because it likely represents a higher-timeframe supply zone, where selling pressure previously entered the market. Several factors make this zone significant: • Previous structure resistance level • Potential institutional supply area • A region where profit-taking from buyers may occur • A possible liquidity pool for sell orders Because of these factors, this zone may act as a decision point for the market. Potential Bearish Scenario If price reaches deeper into the reversal zone and begins showing clear bearish confirmation, sellers may attempt to push the market lower again. Confirmation signals could include: • Bearish engulfing candles • Strong rejection wicks from the resistance zone • Lower timeframe market structure breaks If these signals appear, the market could produce a corrective bearish retracement toward the following levels: • 87.50 previous support • 86.50 mid-range structure • 85.00 key support level Such a reaction would represent a typical impulse → resistance reaction → retracement cycle. Alternative Bullish Continuation However, if buyers maintain strong momentum and price breaks and holds above the reversal zone, the market could extend the bullish move toward higher resistance levels. In that case, potential upside targets could include: • 90.50 resistance level • 91.00 – 91.50 major supply zone A sustained breakout above this zone would confirm continued bullish strength in the short term. Key Trading Insight This setup highlights a classic breakout-to-resistance scenario, where the market has already completed the impulsive phase and is now approaching a high-probability reaction zone. Rather than entering prematurely, traders should focus on waiting for confirmation inside the reversal zone. Monitoring price action closely at these levels can provide higher probability trade setups with better risk-to-reward opportunities.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Oracle - Starting the all time high bullrun!💰Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) is creating a major bottom: 🔎Analysis summary: Oracle just retested a significant higher timeframe horizontal support area. Therefore the recent bullish price action was also not a surprise at all. If Oracle now creates bullish confirmation on the smaller timeframe, we could soon see new all time highs. 📝Levels to watch: $140 and $100 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NYSE:ORCLLong
by SwingTraderPhil
1
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis: Gold Holds Bullish StructureXAUUSD Intraday Analysis: Gold Holds Bullish Structure, Eyes 5310 and 5435 Resistance Gold remains constructive on the 1H chart as price continues to build a higher-low structure above the 5190 area. The recent consolidation under short-term resistance suggests buyers are still defending dips, and the market may be preparing for another push higher if momentum stays above near-term support. At the moment, the key intraday resistance sits around 5310. This level is important because it marks the first major breakout zone. If bulls can reclaim and hold above 5310, the next upside target comes in near 5435, which is the higher resistance area shown on the chart. On the downside, 5190 to 5175 is the first support zone to watch. As long as gold stays above this area, the bullish intraday bias remains valid. A deeper pullback below 5175 could open the door for a retest of 5140, where buyers may need to step back in to protect the current recovery structure. Trading strategy for today: Bullish scenario: look for dip-buying opportunities while price holds above 5175, with upside targets at 5310 and 5435. Breakout scenario: if price closes strongly above 5310 on the 1H chart, continuation toward 5435 becomes more likely. Bearish invalidation: if gold loses 5175 with strong selling pressure, short-term upside momentum weakens and the market may rotate lower before the next directional move. Key levels: Resistance: 5310, 5435 Support: 5190, 5175, 5140 Overall, gold is still trading with a bullish intraday tone, but confirmation will come only if price can clear the 5310 resistance zone. Until then, this remains a buy-the-dip structure rather than a full breakout. Remember to save this analysis if you find it useful and follow for more gold trading strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
The market is focusing on tonight’s CPI news1. Main Resistance (Resistance Zone): 5288 – 5290 This is a strong confluence zone between the descending trendline from the previous high and a supply zone. If price approaches this area without a strong breakout, there is a high probability that selling pressure will appear and push the price downward. 2. Nearby Support (Support Zone): 5185 – 5187 Price is currently consolidating around this support zone after a short-term structure breakout. If this level holds firmly, the market may form a pullback and then continue moving upward. 5138 – 5140 This is a Dow theory breakout area that aligns with the ascending trendline. It is also a strong support zone at the beginning of the week. If major news causes volatility, price may sweep this area. However, if the zone holds, the bullish trend could continue. Tonight, when the CPI news is released, if the US dollar reacts as expected, the market may target the 5045 area after breaking below 5138. 3. Short-term Ascending Trendline The trendline connecting the most recent lows is currently acting as dynamic support. If price breaks below this trendline, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated. BUY GOLD : 5138 - 5140 Stoploss : 5130 Take Profit : 100-300-700pips SELL GOLD : 5288-5290 Stoploss : 5300 Take Profit : 100-300-700pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
EURUSD Daily CHOCH And Liquidity SetupQuick Summary A change of character has appeared on the daily timeframe, This signal may pull price lower toward the bullish trendline liquidity and The bearish structure formed in recent days supports this scenario. Before the decline price may rise to fill a liquidity void and The expected reaction zone is the orderblock near 1.17898 Full Analysis EURUSD has formed a clear change of character on the daily timeframe which may signal a shift in momentum. This development suggests that the market could be preparing for a deeper move to the downside, especially considering the bearish structure that has been forming over the past few sessions. This structure aligns with the possibility of a move designed to target liquidity resting around the ascending trendline. Such liquidity often becomes a magnet for price once the market begins to transition from bullish momentum into a corrective or bearish phase. However before this downside move develops the market may first push slightly higher. This move would likely aim to fill the liquidity void left during the previous decline and complete the imbalance in price delivery. The key level for this potential move sits around 1.17898 where an orderblock is located. If price reaches this zone and shows a clear reaction it may provide the starting point for the next bearish leg toward the liquidity resting below.
Long
by Mr_Liquidity1
10
EURUSD Intraday Analysis Weak High Signals Potential Bearish EURUSD Intraday Analysis: Weak High Signals Potential Bearish Continuation EURUSD on the 1H timeframe is showing signs of distribution after failing to establish a strong bullish continuation above the recent structure. The market previously broke the descending channel and created a temporary bullish shift, but the current price action suggests that buyers are losing momentum near the resistance zone. The most important observation is the formation of a weak high around 1.1680–1.1690, where price struggled to create a decisive breakout. This area aligns with previous structure resistance and acts as a supply zone where sellers may regain control. From a structure perspective, the chart shows several Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) signals. After the bullish reaction from the strong low near 1.1500–1.1520, price moved higher but failed to maintain strong momentum. The current consolidation below resistance increases the probability of a downside move toward liquidity resting below recent lows. Key resistance levels: 1.1680 – 1.1690 1.1730 – 1.1760 Key support levels: 1.1600 – 1.1580 1.1520 – 1.1500 Trading strategy for today focuses on the bearish scenario. As long as price remains below the 1.1680 resistance zone, the probability favors a continuation move lower. A breakdown below 1.1600 could accelerate the decline toward the major liquidity zone near 1.1500. If buyers manage to reclaim and hold above 1.1690, the bearish setup becomes invalid and the market may attempt a deeper recovery toward the 1.1730–1.1760 supply zone. Overall, EURUSD currently shows a short-term bearish bias, with the market potentially targeting the strong liquidity pool near 1.1500 before the next major directional move. Save this analysis if you find it useful and follow for more intraday trading strategies.
by Henrybillion
2
AAPL at $260.83: Pullback Mode or Buying Opportunity?NASDAQ:AAPL is trading at ~$260.83 (1H chart, +0.27% intraday). The stock peaked at $288.61 late last year but has pulled back sharply since December/January highs. Recent action shows consolidation in the $255–$265 zone after dipping toward $253–$255 lows earlier in March. Key levels: - Support: ~$260.53 (recent post low) → holding so far - Resistance: $270–$280 (prior consolidation area) - Broader context: Down from $288 high, but well above the yearly low of $199. Verdict: Neutral to mildly bullish short-term. Price is stabilizing near support with low-volume bounce. Watch for breakout above $265–$270 for bullish resumption toward $280+. If it breaks below $255–$258, more downside to $240–$250 possible. Momentum favors buyers if it holds $260. Solid dip-buy zone for long-term holders; cautious for traders until clearer direction.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by DEXWireNews
USNAS100 | Technical Outlook – CPI FocusUSNAS100 | Markets Brace for CPI as Geopolitical Tensions Keep Volatility High The market is expected to remain sensitive and volatile today as investors focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI inflation data, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to influence global risk sentiment. The inflation report is likely to play a key role in shaping expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and could determine the next directional move in equity markets. Technical Outlook Technically, the market maintains a bearish bias while trading below 25,140. As long as the price remains below this level, the downside scenario toward 24,700 and 24,415 remains valid. However, stability above 25,140 could trigger a recovery move toward 25,410, and a break above this level may extend the bullish trend toward 25,920. From a macro perspective: • CPI above 2.4% could strengthen the dollar and increase bearish pressure on equities. • CPI below 2.4% may revive rate-cut expectations and support a bullish move in the market. Key Levels Pivot: 24,940 Resistance: 25,140 · 25,410 · 25,920 Support: 24,700 · 24,415 · 24,170
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
EURCHF Tested the Lower LineEURCHF fell sharply to the lower line of its weekly trend channel with the start of the Iran war. The decline was driven by pressure from both the euro and the Swiss franc. The eurozone is vulnerable to disruptions in fossil fuel supply, and this has already weighed on the euro. At the same time, the Swiss franc has appreciated due to safe-haven demand and very low inflation. This combination pushed EURCHF to the lower line of the trend channel, but the same dynamic could also shift momentum in the opposite direction later on. If the conflict in the Middle East continues for an extended period, the global economy could face stagflation pressure, meaning rising inflation and weaker GDP growth. The eurozone is one of the regions most sensitive to energy price shocks, and the ECB may have to raise rates to keep inflation under control. That decision will depend on whether inflation or growth becomes the bigger concern. But unlike the Fed, the ECB has a mandate more focused on inflation. On the other hand, Switzerland is still facing very low inflation, and before the Iran war, the possibility of negative rates was already being discussed by analysts. A highly appreciated franc is one of the reasons for such low inflation, and the SNB is not comfortable with that. Both negative rates and franc intervention could be on the table in 2026. At the moment, fundamentals still support downward momentum in the pair, but future moves by the SNB and ECB could change that dynamic in the coming months. EURCHF has tested both the lower line of the trend channel from 2022 and the minus two standard deviation level of the regression channel from the same period. This can be seen as a slightly extreme low level, and from a technical perspective, the upside potential now appears stronger. However, if the Iran war turns into a broader and prolonged regional conflict, franc appreciation could continue. The scale of the risks, along with the response of the ECB and SNB, will determine the trend going forward. For now, however, the upside potential toward 0.92 or even 0.96 looks stronger.
Long
by ftdsystem
Bitcoin Is Not Done! A $59K Retest Could Be Next!After the price target was perfectly reached: After an impressive run, Bitcoin may not be out of the woods just yet. Here are the key arguments for why a retest of the $59K region remains a realistic scenario. Macro & Liquidity: With crude oil surging aggressively toward $90–100+, inflation is making a comeback — and that forces the Fed to delay rate cuts, or worse, reopen the conversation about hikes. That's a toxic environment for speculative assets like Bitcoin. On top of that, geopolitical conflict historically strengthens the dollar as a safe haven. BTC and DXY tend to move inversely — a stronger dollar is a headwind Bitcoin doesn't need right now. Miners Are Leaving — And That's a Warning Sign One overlooked bearish signal: a growing number of Bitcoin miners have been pivoting away from BTC mining toward data centers and AI infrastructure, which offer more predictable and profitable revenue streams. When the people most incentivized to believe in Bitcoin's price start reallocating their hardware and capital elsewhere, it's worth paying attention. Less mining activity means reduced network-level conviction — and historically, miner behavior has been a leading indicator worth watching closely. Technicals & Sentiment: $59K was a major support level tested not long ago — a zone with significant liquidity accumulated beneath it. Markets have a habit of hunting obvious liquidity pools, and this one is hard to ignore. After a strong run, distribution happens gradually. Smart money sells into retail euphoria. If Bitcoin loses $80K convincingly, $70K and $59K become natural targets on the chart. Correlation With Nasdaq & Risk Assets: Bitcoin remains highly correlated with the Nasdaq during stress periods. If equity markets correct on the back of an oil shock and renewed inflation fears, BTC won't be immune — it will likely fall alongside them. Overextension: Any asset that rallies hard and fast without a healthy correction builds pressure. A pullback toward $59K would actually be technically healthy — a retest of a key support zone that would reset sentiment and provide a stronger base for the next leg up. None of this means Bitcoin will drop — but the arguments are there and the risk is real. $59K is not a catastrophic scenario. It's a logical, clean retest that the market may need before any sustainable continuation higher. Stay sharp. Manage your risk.
Short
by TopgOptions
Strait of Hormuz, a systemic maritime “chokepoint”?Is the global economy facing a systemic risk linked to the conflict in the Middle East, the oil and gas supply constraint resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and more broadly the disruption of maritime traffic? Following this line of questioning, is the stock market threatened by a major crash or at least by a bear market similar to that of 2022? In reality, the key question concerns whether the economic threat linked to the geopolitical conflict, which entered a military phase on Saturday, February 28, 2026, is systemic in nature or not. This conflict is now added to the war in Ukraine that has been ongoing since February 24, 2022. What is “systemic” risk? Systemic risk is the possibility that a negative event affecting an institution, a market, or a major player triggers a chain reaction that destabilizes the entire economic or financial system. Systemic risk is therefore the risk that an isolated shock creates a domino effect threatening the stability of an entire system. Characteristics of systemic risk : 1. Interconnection: actors are linked to each other. 2. Domino effect: the failure of one actor spreads. 3. Generalized loss of confidence: markets or institutions stop functioning normally. 4. Macroeconomic impact: the entire economy may be affected. In the current situation, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz constitutes the negative event, the “patient zero” of the macroeconomic contagion risk. Does this strait truly have a systemic dimension? Here are the key figures you should keep in mind regarding what this strait actually represents: • 15% of global oil supply • 20% of global LNG supply • 30% of global methanol supply • 15% of global petrochemical supply • 10% of global aluminum supply • 25% of global nitrogen fertilizer supply • The Strait of Hormuz is one of the 10 decisive passages for global trade. It is therefore not the only one, but it is the most important. Do the figures above have a systemic dimension? At first glance, these proportions may appear relatively limited for certain sectors. Fifteen percent of global oil supply does not constitute the majority of total supply. However, the systemic dimension is not measured solely by absolute volume but above all by the capacity for short-term substitution. In the case of the Strait of Hormuz, adjustment margins are particularly limited. Alternative infrastructures—land pipelines or alternative maritime routes—can only absorb a limited fraction of current flows. Furthermore, these energy flows directly supply major Asian economies, notably China, India, Japan and South Korea. A prolonged disruption of traffic would therefore immediately trigger tensions in energy prices, followed by rising industrial and logistics production costs on a global scale. The table below shows the commodities that transit through the Strait of Hormuz and whose disruption could trigger a rebound in inflation if the conflict persists over time. The contagion mechanism would then be classic: a sharp rise in oil and gas prices, acceleration of inflation, tightening of financial conditions and a slowdown in economic activity. Financial markets, highly sensitive to these macroeconomic variables, could react with a strong correction, particularly in cyclical and industrial sectors. However, automatically qualifying this risk as systemic would be excessive. The global energy system currently has several buffers: excess production capacity among certain producers, strategic reserves held by major economies, and greater diversification of supply sources since the recent energy shocks. In other words, the Strait of Hormuz undeniably represents a major chokepoint in global trade, but its closure would become truly systemic only if the disruption were prolonged over time and accompanied by other simultaneous shocks. The table below presents the ten decisive passages for global trade flows. Hormuz is the most important, but nine others also exist and remain fully open. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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SP:SPXEducation
by Swissquote
coinbase 2026 buycreated 3/10/26 Longterm charts 1W/1D indicate market is at a historical low where breakouts are significant, even though bears still hold the majority of market on MACD for longterm charts bulls are gaining momentum, 1w macd seems to be turning a tied and want to incline from its bearish position and 1d macd hovering below the 50/50 wishes to cross the border 9 may see rejection just because macd notes this situation but, that does not change the underlying situation). note the bulls candle situation seem to get more positive and are looking sustainable after a series of rejection to decline anymore. short timeframes 4h/1h/15M, macd suggests market is deciding what to do while hovering just above the 50/50 median, while the bulls have often breakouts the bears momentum seem slow and varies. may see stagflation
NASDAQ:COINLong
by Sylynt056
USDJPY at a Critical Level: Pullback Before the Break Above 160?USDJPY is currently approaching a key resistance zone between 158.50 and 159.50 after a strong bullish move that started around 152. The overall market structure remains bullish, with price continuing to respect a rising channel and maintaining higher highs and higher lows. However, the pair is now testing a higher-timeframe supply area, which could trigger a temporary pullback before any continuation. From a structural perspective, a retracement toward 156.50–155.80 would be a healthy correction and could provide the market with liquidity before another bullish expansion. Retail sentiment currently shows around 59% of traders short USDJPY, which often acts as a contrarian signal and can support further upside if the trend continues. As long as price holds above 155.50, the broader bullish structure remains intact. A pullback into the mid-range could set the stage for a new attempt toward 159.50 and potentially the 160.00 psychological level. For now, USDJPY remains in a bullish trend but is sitting at a critical decision area where either a short-term correction or a breakout could define the next move.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
SOLUSDT. The decline continues. Heading towards 77.7.b]Fundamentals: 1️⃣ Macro and Geopolitics. The Fear Index is at 25 - still scary, but not too bad. Trump's tariffs (15% global + 35% China + 25% Iran's partners) are putting pressure on all risky assets. SOL correlates with BTC and is declining in tandem. Negative. 2️⃣ Fed Rate. I've discussed the rate many times in other reviews. The FOMC meeting is on March 17-18. Currently, it remains at 3.50-3.75% - the market estimates a 96% probability. Neutral for now. 3️⃣ SOL ETF flows. Despite a 57% price drop, approximately $1.45 billion has flowed into the SOL ETF (through early March). 30 institutions hold ~$540 million in the SOL ETF (Goldman Sachs, Electric Capital). The Bitwise BSOL ETF absorbed 78% of all inflows. However, outflows from the ETF began on March 6th and continue. Positive in the medium term, neutral in the short term. 4️⃣ On-chain and network activity. Cons: Daily network revenue has fallen 79% from the January peak. DEX volume has fallen from $35.9 billion per day (January 21st) to ~$1 billion (a 96% decline!). Active addresses are at 2.8 million. Returning users are down to -15.3% (March 4th number). Pros: TVL (Total Volume Locked) has recovered to $9 billion after the Q4 decline. TVL in Defi is at all-time highs - 80.27 million. Stablecoins on Solana are absorb $15.65 billion, indicating capital confidence. This could be seen as a short-term negative, but structurally, everything is fine. 5️⃣ The decline of interest in memecoins is the main blow to SOL. Pump.fun (a memecoin launchpad) lost 75% of its trading volume. In 2025, almost half of Solana's fees came from memecoin trading. Token creation fell to 20-30K/day. However, trading is shifting from memecoins to stablecoin pairs on SOL. The negative is momentary, but neutral in the long term. 6️⃣ Whale accumulation. Large wallets regularly buy SOL in batches of 10+ transactions. Overall, whale interest in buying remains. During price declines, this can historically be an accumulation pattern. Neutral at the moment, positive in the medium term. 7️⃣ Tokenomics and inflation. SOL inflation is ~4%, declining by 15% annually (target: 1.5%). Early investor and team unlocks by 2026 are mostly complete, reducing selling pressure. ~50% of SOL is staked, reducing supply. Positive, but more likely in the medium term. 8️⃣ RWA and institutional investors. Solana's RWA TVL exceeded $1.3 billion. WisdomTree launched tokenized funds. Solana Company and Anchorage Digital launched institutional borrowing secured by staked SOL. Ripple Prime opened institutional access to SOL futures through Coinbase Derivatives (March 5). Positive, but also in medium-term. 👉🏻 Conclusion 👈🏻: SOLUSDT is under significant pressure in the short term – fear (25/100), Trump with tariffs, pressure on risky assets due to the Iran war, the collapse of the memcoin economy, the number of active addresses has fallen, and ETF outflows are rife. But the medium-term picture looks good: whales are accumulating, TVL is strong, there are a decent number of stablecoins, unlocks are ending, and inflation is declining. Important near-term points of interest: FOMC on March 18 and the possible launch of Alpenglow (no date yet, network update). So, the average forecast is neutral. For now, geopolitics is the main pressure; if there is a resolution of any kind, SOL could skyrocket very quickly. Technical Analysis: 1️⃣СCI – heading towards -100. With the current price configuration, a sharp move below 0 is likely – confirmation of entry. 2️⃣RSI - in the middle of the neutral zone. Often, as a wave develops, a crossover through the middle and a further move to the extreme levels confirms the direction. I expect a move towards 30. 3️⃣VPVR zones - increased volume at 90.2, 85.19, 79.04 4️⃣Fib - The 61.8% Fib level is mainly important as a potential stop and key level for executing the trade 5️⃣Moving Average Crossovers/Breakthroughs - a downward breakout of the 200 EMA confirms the trade 6️⃣Larger TF (h4) - Approximately the middle of the flat (often a reversal zone in a flat) + a breakout of the 50 and 20 EMAs confirms the trade. Entry, Stop, Take Profit: 🔸Entry: Sell. Breakout of 85.37 from top to bottom. 🔸Stop: 88.67 = 61.8% Fibonacci 🔸Take: TP = 77.75 = first extension for the previous h1 wave 🔸Risk/Reward: 2.28 for TP. However, if there's a significant decline, you can safely move the trade to 87.02 or to the entry level. Due to the chart situation, the risk is well-managed. 🔸Execution: By the end of the week. Cancellation 🔸Upward breakout of 61.8% Fibonacci. The trade will need to be reconsidered.
Short
by CoinRanger
If bulls accept price above 69k, momentum traders will jump in.Right now, Bitcoin is doing something classic: Accumulation / Re-accumulation range. Roughly:Support: 64k–66k Mid area: 69k, Resistance: 74k, Price is basically ping-ponging inside this box. This means: Market participants are deciding the next big move. If bulls accept a price above 69k, momentum traders will jump in. If on my 4H chart I see a Daily close above 70k–72k That would show real demand. And let me tell you something about Bitcoin… It LOVES filling liquidity gaps, so the 84k zone is my next liquidity zone. If BTC breaks: 74k → target 84k Then potentially:90k 96k retest will be my next level Macro Drivers to Watch Bitcoin right now is not trading alone. Key drivers: 1️⃣ US liquidity conditions 2️⃣ US 2-year yield 3️⃣ NASDAQ risk appetite 4️⃣ Dollar strength If Treasury yields fall and liquidity improves, Bitcoin usually rallies hard.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by que
GOLD CPI TODAYHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader. I study Gold since 2019. I need your support. Leave a like and follow me. It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work. Please read the description to understand the trading plan. Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks. 🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞 Gold pushed strongly long yesterday, reaching the H1 top. Price tapped a 50% Daily FVG and also the previous left shoulder. The Daily and H4 structures remain bullish after yesterday’s close. So my bias stays to the upside, but only from discount levels and liquidity zones. However, today we have US Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key release for the Federal Reserve. For this reason, I will not trade before the news release. After the data, I will evaluate the H4 structure formed during the volatility and position accordingly. 🔑 MACRO NEWS UPDATE 🔑 Markets are still influenced by the US–Iran conflict and the shock in oil prices. However, crude has pulled back after briefly approaching $120, easing some of the initial panic. Donald Trump commented that the situation has been handled well. Asian equities stabilized after the cooling in oil prices, but investors remain cautious ahead of today’s US CPI, which could shift expectations about the Federal Reserve’s policy path. Gold is currently consolidating within an H1 range, with: $5,230 acting as resistance $5,020 acting as support The macro narrative remains: Oil → inflation expectations → uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy → pressure from USD and real yields on gold. Markets are transitioning from a pure geopolitical shock toward an inflation-driven narrative. The US–Iran conflict initially triggered a surge in oil prices and volatility across global markets. But the recent pullback in crude temporarily stabilized sentiment in Asian markets and global equity futures. Despite this stabilization, today’s main catalyst remains the US CPI. The data will help determine whether the rise in oil prices is starting to translate into broader inflation pressures. If inflation comes in higher, markets will likely price higher interest rates for longer, strengthening the USD and pushing real yields higher, which could weigh on gold. If inflation surprises to the downside, markets may rotate back into risk assets and gold. From a technical perspective, gold appears to have created inducement both below and above the range, and is now moving back inside it — essentially clearing liquidity on both sides before the next move. 🔍 Reminder 🔍 I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions. I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30. 🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything. 📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply. In the meantime, have a good day. -GOOD TRADING -MANAGE RISK -BE PATIENT
OANDA:XAUUSD
by X_GoldenBoy_X
2
Natural Gas Technical Outlook – Bullish Reversal in ProgressNatural Gas is forming a strong higher-low structure after bouncing from the 3.01 demand zone. The price has reclaimed key moving averages and momentum is turning bullish on the 1H timeframe. Natural Gas preparing for a strong breakout move. If resistance breaks, a fast rally toward 3.6+ could happen.” 1️⃣ Fundamental Target Around $4+ The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects Natural Gas prices to average around $4.30 in 2026, which means current prices near $3.1–$3.2 are still below the yearly expectation. 2️⃣ Electricity Demand in the USA Is Increasing Power demand in the U.S. is expected to hit record highs due to AI data centers, businesses, and electrification. Reuters Since Natural Gas produces about 40% of U.S. electricity, higher power demand directly increases gas consumption. 📈 More demand = bullish pressure on price 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tension (War Risk) Energy markets are reacting to Middle East tensions and supply concerns. � Reuters If LNG supply routes get disrupted, global gas prices can spike quickly, which often pushes U.S. futures higher. 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) If buying momentum continues: Opening range: ➡️ 3.22 – 3.28 Then breakout levels: • 3.30 – breakout trigger • 3.42 – next resistance • 3.60 – strong target If 3.30 breaks, price can move very fast to 3.50–3.60. 🔴 Short Pullback Scenario Because weather forecasts show warmer temperatures across much of the U.S., heating demand may temporarily drop. � American Gas Association Possible pullback zone: • 3.12 – 3.15 support • 3.05 strong demand zone If price touches 3.10–3.12, buyers may enter again.
FX:NGASLong
by jeevamano55
Yen Caught Between Oil Shock and BOJ CautionUSD/JPY held a firm tone on Wednesday as markets continued to digest the economic fallout from the Iran conflict and the resulting surge in global energy prices. Disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have rattled energy markets and lifted crude prices, an especially sensitive development for Japan given its heavy reliance on imported fuel. The shock has raised concerns about rising import costs and renewed inflation pressure in Japan while simultaneously weighing on the country’s growth outlook. For the BOJ, the oil crisis is complicating an already delicate normalization process. Governor Kazuo Ueda has acknowledged that higher crude prices could weaken Japan’s terms of trade and undermine underlying economic momentum even as they push inflation higher, forcing policymakers to tread carefully on further rate increases. Markets are increasingly leaning toward a cautious BOJ stance in the near term, with the central bank weighing whether oil-driven inflation represents a temporary supply shock rather than the sustained demand-driven price pressures needed to justify faster tightening. The result is a policy balancing act: rising energy costs pushing inflation higher, but the risk that those same costs ultimately slow Japan’s economy. In the above chart, USD/JPY rates are once again pressing important resistance carved out below 160.00, defined by the swing highs at the start of 2025 and early-2026. Price action over the past year-plus appears to have created an ascending triangle, suggesting a topside move may be around the corner. Momentum is accelerating again, with Slow Stochastics holding near overbought territory and MACD continuing to run higher above its signal line. A breach of 159.45 would signal the next leg up; traders would be well-reminded that intervention efforts have been previously discussed when USD/JPY has encroached 160.00.
by tastyfx
Break the situation. Buy at the low.Tuesday's trading strategy was to sell on rallies. On Wednesday, gold's pullback to the 5180-5130 range would present a good short-term buying opportunity, with a target of 5220-5280. This should be the short-term direction. If the price breaks through 5250, the short-term move will likely extend to around 5280. On the fundamental side, the US dollar index is correcting, ETFs are seeing recent buying activity, and crude oil has fallen sharply from a high of 120 to around 76, a correction of over 40%. This suggests that the risk of conflict between the US and Iran is gradually easing, and the weakening dollar provides good short-term support for gold. If the market reaches a low point in the range, buy at that level. Since March 2nd, gold has been in a state of constant struggle between bulls and bears, and this pattern is expected to break in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Wealth
1