EWY has gone on a huge run but pulled back lately due to concerns regarding the Syria missile strikes. It has lost about 5.5% from the highs but we are starting to see volume coming in here.
The combination of a geopolitical event that is indirectly related and volume increase makes me a buyer at these levels.
In higher inflation environments, money flows typically begin to head into emerging markets. This is primarily due to the fact that many of them are commodity producers. When looking at capital flows into EM-nations and real treasury term premia, it is this capital flow which is partly responsible for driving up interest rates.
When taking this into account, it ...
looks like a classical head and shoulders breakout. 40 weeks MA is pointing up. RSI and MACD all look good. In the past it had several breakouts that gained anywhere from 10 to 40 percent.
Correlation Analysis showing Positive ( green boxes) negative (red Boxes) and Mixed ( yellow and orange Boxes) prediction for 2017. Expecting to See some sharp fall in prices in July, Based on Gann Cycles.
Too many levels aligning to not take notice of this low risk short opportunity. FXI approaching marked resistance at the $37-37.14 range. Converging trendline resistance, round number $37 and 0.618 Fib retracement. Waiting to initiate short at $37 even.
China had a monstrous collapse in 2015, after that rally it is now showing some short term weakness. The problems they face are currency, slowing growth, and house prices.
I believe that house price may effect stock prices but it shouldn't be something that effects the whole market because the problem is evident, when we know about the problem we protect against ...
Out of a Brazil play and into a China play ... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: $153/contract
Max Loss: $147/contract
Break Evens: 33.97/37.03
Notes: Will look to manage this at 25% max.
There is no doubt copper's move is substantial as chart chasers crowd on a few group think narratives:
Inflation is around the corner. Is it? Headline inflation in the United States in 1.47 percent. To put that in perspective, it's down four percent from July 2008 highs of 5.4 percent. To add further perspective to that, inflation is cyclical. It has risen, from ...
USDJPY has hit the previous monthly uptrend mode, and is currently stuck inside this zone. It would be a colossal feat, for Yen bulls to drive the pair under this key level, so I will watch it with keen eyes during this week. I'll update the post with intraday and daily/weekly charts as needed. It would give us clues about the future of the S&P500 and Nikkei, if ...
This ratio gives very timely signals as to when to more optimally switch between risk on or risk off biases.
It's clear that we can long gold, bonds and yen now, I'd be careful with equities, at least not going long indexes, or looking for shorts in weaker securities would be my favored approach.
I have booked profits on a few profitable long trades, and ...
