On initial screen for high rank/high implied, here are next week's potential winners for earnings-related volatility contraction plays: AAPL (31/27) (Tuesday after market close), X (52/54) (Thursday after market close), GILD (30/27) (Tuesday after market close), and BIDU (50/41) (Tuesday, but unspecified as to before or after market close). Because...
Gilead Sciences, Inc. is testing the resistance to begin completion of this longer-term bottoming formation. The W bottom formation has tiers of resistance to overcome. Hybrid Leading Indicators show strengthening pattern.
Pattern: $84-$90 support has proven itself a multiple times. Stock is in a medium term consolidation pattern between $85 to $130 range.
Edge: Buying so close to or right at support gives us a great reward to risk ratio. If the stock breaks below support, we are stopped out for a small loss, but if support is protected again, we have more higher upside.
Pictured here is an INDA (66/29) short strangle in the June cycle set up around the 25 delta strikes. Paying 1.00 at the mid, it has break evens of 32.00/39.00, a buying power effect of 5.65, and delta/theta metrics of .68/1.98. Unfortunately, it doesn't have the tightest markets, so expect a little price discovery should you want to get a fill.
Here we can see the beginning of a large sequence to the downside in many cannabis stocks. I am going short across the board here as the sector looks very soft and recommending all to write upside volatility or simply short the common stock for infinity.
From a technical perspective we are struggling at heavy resistance and beginning a new sequence to the...
The global slowdown is coming and it is time to get defensive. Here we are reaching the end of the road to the downside in Gilead and a perfect instrument to work the flows with.
We are tracking a break of the channel to unlock the +11% move. Let's see how it plays out over the coming days.
Best of luck
It was noted that GILD could be dropping to 73.878
Our setup is complemented by the following:
1. Multiple timeframe analysis
Our trade strategy is as follow: We will open two consecutive trades, they will both have the same stop loss but different take profits.
$78 Feb 9th Puts executed at $2.10
L.T. bullish bias. GILD at support level. Time premium very high especially considering only 4 days till expiration. If price is ITM and shares are exercised, my buy price is $75.90. I can sell calls at that time &/or do a swing trade.
IV%: 65% (versus 37.8%)