As September began last week, the markets are nervous. Stocks have seen some pretty awful seasonal price action in September and October. Crashes occurred in 1929, 1987, and 2008 in October. Commodities are highly seasonal markets. Some commodities typically reach seasonal highs and lows during various months of the year. Futures prices ordinarily reflect...
The inflation trade is not over. People's lives, in particular in the US, are about to deteriorate significantly. Or rather improve, with food getting more expensive and people forced to live more simple lives, more in touch with nature. The official measures and consensus will say deteriorate. Traders positions have bottomed in the strict sense, with the price...
A bullish Arc on the Wheat futures contract suggests a move of at least 100% by 2026.
With all the drama of last year and many areas locked down, one of the big sufferers was agriculture. Much of last years yields went to waste and panic buying occured. Which I'd guess also went to waste for the most part. As you can see on my chart I'm expecting a sizeable pullback in price before the event, which is completely normal. let it collect the orders...
Commodity prices are still going, several commodities have gone past all time highs, such as Palladium, Lumber, Steel... And grains are also going up very strongly, Corn hit an 8 year high after 6 years of price stability, and they're all not far from ATH. Corn imports have fallen as buyers are put off by the high prices (they are going against the trend, what if...
Bulls exhausted the bears finally. I got kicked out of soybeans and missed buying corn at the bottom of the triangle by little, I was too slow to decide and to look into it I think. Commodities are going up. Gold not so much, investors are not interested. But metals used in the real world, prices are all going up. Today Palladium marked a new all time...
Corn probes above $6 for the first time since 2013 Farmers will favor beans Keep an eye on gasoline and ethanol prices Corn continues to pop going into the planting and growing seasons- It’s all about the weather Backwardation as the market has high hopes for 2021 output In late April 2020, the corn price fell to its lowest level since 2008 when the...
This is the type of inflation that the masses ignore, that happens while they cheer at Chavez stimulus checks. Look at images of Venezuela 15 years ago, so many smiles, so happy crowds. While Germans were carrying buckets of cash and starving actually farmers were doing pretty well, they profited greatly. Probably for similar reasons the clueless revolutionaries...
Check my related idea. Daily cycles that fuelled the recent move top somewhere around the 22nd of January and the longer term cycle is down till late February. All upside price targets have been reached and it's time to take profit and consider short. To see real weakness wheat has to close below 650.
Simple soybeans vs US. Presidents chart to see if there are any trends worthy of paying attention to.
Read the previous idea on copper, same style but with wheat. By Jan 22nd expecting a cycle top and a price target of 660, cycle low on Feb 16th with a target of 575. *Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Today we discuss how the grain markets weekly opening day closed and risk levels where our trades get invalidated
ZC1! Commercial accounts are currently net short on corn futures contracts (-355k contracts), while as noncommercial accounts aka, Retail traders, are net long (+411k contracts). These two positions are at extreme polarized ends of the play. Usually commercials tend to be net short on any asset but its the extremes one should keep an eye on. Corn is currently...
$WEAT breaking out of long term downtrend, formed big base-double bottoms, now price finding support at $6.
The price is dropping very rapidly, as I want it too. So I better make this quick. Demand is up because of humans but also animals, production not great. "A wet winter and dry spring in the UK is set to yield its smallest crop since 1981, Carr’s Flour said in its monthly market report." I watch some agricultors on youtube, west europeans barely make...
Those that have been following me for a while know that I've had my eye on commodities and as we keep printing currencies, inflation shall follow. I expect some good moves from grains and sugar in months to come and I keep building my positions. We have a descending triangle mixed with a reversed head and shoulder pattern. This combination could lead to explosive...