Take profit level: $80 HYG tracks a market-weighted index of US high-yield corporate debt. In general terms, HYG is a perfectly adequate high-yield corporate bond index ETF, with a reasonably good yield. Adequate does not mean good, as the fund compares unfavorably to most of its peers in three key metrics: expense ratio, dividend yield, and total shareholder returns.
Hi Everyone, I'm waiting for Short if the break break the trend-line. Signals: - Price in Resistance. - Main Trend, Bearish. - Close to The top of the Bearish-Channel. Good Bye & Good Trading!!!
If you’re chasing portfolio income, you may be eyeing high-yield bonds, also known as junk bonds, which typically pay more interest but carry greater risk. Since interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions, U.S. junk bond values have dipped to the lowest levels since May 2020. But yields are at 7.5% as of May 17, up from 4.42% since the beginning...
They almost always trade exactly the same. And HYG has NEVER gone down without oil going down. Until right now. Wonder how long it will take to correct.
The Corporate bond market got extremely oversold and it bounced without the Fed having to pivot. Essentially the market got to 2013-2018 levels, and bounced nicely at the old support. But we still don't know whether the bottom is in or now, as there are more questions that need to be answered, like: Does the market expect the Fed to reverse course soon? Does the...
As you can see on the main chart, 10y bond yields have broken above their downwards channel and are now back at their 2013-2018 highs. Based on technical analysis we don't have a confirmation that the trend has fully reversed until we get a close above 3.2%, but we are pretty close to breaking above that level too. Now we aren't only seeing the 10y yields rise, as...
I have Swing short signals all over the place. SMH, IYT, and XLI leading markets lower to start the Quarter here. The Russel had a real bad day today as the credit markets (junk bonds) are tanking once again. Even Energy looks to be resetting lower.
HYG is now in the last wave within this decline or correction . this is the last neg for the markets. for this down leg . and we are now ready to see the mark go from BEAR PHASE target date jan 27 plus or minus 1 day . We now rally I will post . DO NOT BE SHORT
HYG put in a Death Cross last week and this week, on November 22nd, HYG lost the October 11th low with SPY selling off heavy into the close. We may backtest the October 11th low but this is a potential negative indicator for equity risk on. Equities tend follow lockstep with high yield, or so they have with every major selloff since 2007-2008. This is something to...
Idea for Credit: - Stocks had a bit of a reprieve as China's collapsing property firms were halted for 2 weeks, and China's markets had gone on holiday for Golden week. - Stock market had an unwinding of hedges last week, but are things really 'Back to Normal'? - The bond market does not think so, and seems to be presaging more drawdown to come. - EM High Yield...
with higher inflation and possible shrinking forward guidance, are corporate junk grade bonds less desirable now? maybe the market doesnt top out or pull back, but cpi over 5% while junk bonds yield mid 4% starts to sound less attractive for the risk, doesnt it?
Going down down down. $HYG just has to perform bad now.
Here in this position, it is clear that intensive work has gone into supporting the entire global recovery. Moreover, we could already count the resilience in credit as ideal results from the covid siege. But now I want to focus on the US and small caps in particular are getting to work and the advance is leading to a more palpable exhaustion leg and opening...
Today we are witnessing a sharp turn around in Emerging Markets $EEM after the Jackson Hole meeting. $IWM a strong indicator of risk tolerance has seen a sharp move back up into it's middle pivot. Could the continued low rate environment and strong economy be enough to continue the rush into risk-on assets? Keep a close eye on $EWZ though (Brazil ETF in which PAGS...
Some with high range of days before a pullback/correction !!! Dips & Small Pullbacks are kind of close in range after crossing the Zero line !!! Data: After Covid: Now ???? 8.27 % ----------------- Before Covid : 6.80 % 11.77 % 1.18% 2.21% 3.28% 1.3% 13% 5% 10% 4% 4.37 % 2.51% 7% 3% 10%
Bonds all across the world, across all different spectrums (from gov bonds to junk bonds) have been rising (their yields falling). This is a signal that there are deflationary pressures and that people are searching for yield in an environment with few opportunities. There are other reasons too, but overall this isn't the best signal. Clearly big corporations and...
Idea for Macro: - Free money is cut off at the source. China Credit Impulse turned negative > Evergrande is first to fall > Overseas investments downsized > widespread effects. - China was the only productive economy in 2020 > driver of global economy (60% importer of oil). - CN30Y is closely correlated to CCI > leads US30Y > leads US risk assets. - Chinese...
The markets are at a crucial spot and Powell is due for a decision soon... The chance of negative rates is low but definitely not out of the picture and if that happens, TLT will pump and HYG/IWM will dump (yes SPY too). Timing will be hard but the pressure is certainly building and is confirmed on the technical side of things. $TLT tested a crucial level at...