Gold H4 Bullish Continuation from H4 FVG Support📝 Description
TVC:GOLD is maintaining a bullish structure after a strong impulsive rally and is now consolidating above a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap support. The current price action shows a healthy retracement into the H4/H1 imbalance zone, suggesting potential continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 4755
• Stop Loss: Below 4724
• TP1: 4801
• TP2: 4828
• TP3: 4857
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse confirming higher timeframe structure shift
• Price retracing into H4/H1 Fair Value Gap support
• Holding above previous resistance which acts as support
• Upside liquidity resting above recent highs and external range
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📌 Summary
As long as price remains above the 4724 support zone, the retracement into the FVG area provides a continuation setup targeting 4801–4857.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Despite the US–Iran ceasefire, lingering uncertainty and focus on upcoming negotiations keep demand for gold intact. As markets remain cautious, gold stays supported, with upside potential favored while geopolitical clarity is still developing.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Innercircletrader
Trump, the JokeHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
One day the US is leaving Iran, the next day Donald Trump promises the biggest attack in history. Easy to follow, right?
This is daylight robbery.
The structures are completely misaligned:
W: SHORT
DAILY: LONG
H4: SHORT
H1: SHORT
Should we even take Trump seriously?
Today we have jobless claims, tomorrow NFP, then the Easter weekend.
Given the news and the H4 reversal going against my bias, I’ll look for short positions, targeting 4500 first and then 4250.
Let’s see what happens.
Always stick to solid money management.
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
US30 H1 Bullish Continuation from Fair Value Gap Support📝 Description
The Dow Jones (US30) has shown strong bullish momentum after reversing from the previous correction. Price is currently consolidating above a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap, suggesting that the imbalance may act as support before continuation toward the buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 46,647
• Stop Loss: Below 46,410
• TP1: 46,903
• TP2: 47,093
• TP3: 47,264
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish displacement breaking previous structure
• Price holding above H1 Fair Value Gap support
• Market moving toward buy-side liquidity (BSL) above
• Upside inefficiencies acting as magnet for price
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📌 Summary
As long as US30 holds above the 46,355 support area, the bullish structure remains intact and the market may continue moving higher toward the liquidity targets around 46,900 to 47,265.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With military tensions easing, markets are shifting back toward risk-on sentiment. The resulting USD weakness and improving investor confidence support equity inflows, keeping US30 biased to the upside as risk appetite gradually returns.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GOLD VS POWELL TODAYHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
End of month, everyone,
the weekly/daily structure on gold is still bearish, and the monthly is about to close as well.
So stay careful.
The daily is still below the main dominance. I’m not trading today, I’m waiting. Monday’s candle is very important for my intraday swing approach.
Today Jerome Powell speaks, and NFP is on Friday.
Make sure your risk management is on point.
W and D bearish alignment,
H4 long.
Waiting for Powell’s speech and today’s daily candle.
Macro news update:
Gold is trying to stabilize after a violent headline-driven selloff, but the market is still reacting to Middle East developments through the inflation and yields channel, not as a clean safe-haven play.
A stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields are keeping pressure on gold.
Reuters reports Brent is up around 58–59% in March, the biggest monthly increase on record, while the dollar is heading for its strongest month since July as traders brace for a prolonged conflict.
Key points
• The market is still headline-driven. Donald Trump said the US could “take the oil in Iran” and even seize Kharg Island, while also saying negotiations are progressing. This keeps markets swinging between escalation and diplomacy.
• Oil is the main transmission mechanism. Brent traded above $116 after Trump’s comments and the broader escalation, reinforcing inflation fears and keeping upward pressure on yields.
• This week’s macro calendar matters.
The market has to get through Powell today, then JOLTS and confidence on Tuesday, ADP / retail sales / ISM on Wednesday, jobless claims on Thursday, and NFP on Friday.
📌 Bias: bearish, but highly headline-sensitive
Why:
The market is still pricing:
• higher oil
• higher inflation fears
• elevated yields
• stronger USD
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
GOLD M15 Bearish Rejection from Supply and Imbalance📝 Description
TVC:GOLD is currently retracing into a short-term Fair Value Gap that aligns with a nearby supply zone. After the corrective bounce, price is entering a premium area where sellers may step in, increasing the probability of a bearish continuation toward lower liquidity levels.
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📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below 4450
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 4435
• Stop Loss: Above 4450
• TP1: 4412
• TP2: 4398
• TP3: 4376
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price retracing into 15M Fair Value Gap supply zone
• Confluence with intraday supply area above
• Market structure forming lower highs after the pullback
• Potential continuation after imbalance mitigation
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📌 Summary
If gold fails to break above the 4450 resistance zone, the retracement into the FVG may provide a selling opportunity with downside targets around 4412–4376.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Gold often reacts to shifts in risk sentiment, bond yields, and dollar strength. Short-term pullbacks frequently occur after corrective rallies when liquidity is drawn back toward lower support levels.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Today Is Friday Hi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
Today is Friday, typically seen as a bullish day, right?
However, Gold closed yesterday’s session still negative, breaking the previous low. I remain in a bearish bias for now.
I will wait for the monthly close and next Friday’s NFP before considering any shift in positioning.
MACRO NEWS UPDATE:
Gold remains in a clear bearish structure, but the key driver is no longer purely macro—it is Middle East uncertainty directly impacting inflation expectations and yields.
The market is pricing a dangerous mix: war-driven inflation combined with delayed Fed easing, which is structurally negative for gold despite intermittent safe-haven demand.
Key Points:
Gold is in a bearish trend (lower highs and lower lows).
The yield curve remains elevated and slightly steeper → rates are still restrictive.
The Middle East conflict continues to generate inflation through oil, not just risk-off flows.
Market reaction: equities are volatile, yields remain sticky, and the USD stays supported.
Diplomatic headlines are slowing escalation, but not resolving uncertainty.
Latest developments:
Oil remains elevated (recently above $107 intraday)
Markets are reacting to fuel-driven inflation risk
OECD warning: US inflation could rise toward ~4.2% due to the conflict
Donald Trump has extended the Iran negotiation deadline again, while simultaneously deploying troops—clearly signaling potential escalation over the weekend.
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
XAU month-endHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
GOLD is still leaving the extremes of this consolidation range open.
At the moment, I’m still waiting.
Don’t forget it’s the end of the month and we have Easter.
From next week, we’ll also go back to normal time here.
The idea is still the same: looking for shorts, but my levels are far and Gold is too slow.
Yesterday was basically a dead session.
Today at 6 it dropped sharply out of nowhere. When it moves like this, I prefer to trade something else.
Let’s see how it develops.
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
XAU CRAZYHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.
I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.
Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.
🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞
Gold is starting to show signs of weakness on H4, but is it enough?
This could easily just be a retracement.
For now, the idea remains based on the daily timeframe.
So I’ll be looking for shorts, but only with proper confirmation and after 13:00.
Tomorrow we have jobless claims.
If price drops first and then pushes up into my target zone, I might also consider an intraday long to ride the move into my short area.
Keep in mind:
monthly close is coming up
Easter period → possible unusual volatility
NEWS UPDATE:
Donald Trump said that Iran is “thinking in a sensible way” in ongoing negotiations, ahead of the Friday deadline set to reach a deal and end the conflict.
At the same time, the United States is planning to send thousands of additional troops to the Middle East. The Pentagon is expected to deploy units from the 82nd Airborne Division, according to sources close to the matter.
So overall, the situation remains unclear.
On one side, peace talks seem to be progressing. On the other, military activity continues at full pace.
It’s like when a woman says “everything is fine”… that’s usually when it’s not. 😄
🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.
🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.
📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.
In the meantime, have a good day.
-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT
ETHUSDT H4 – Bullish Continuation Toward Upper Liquidity📝 Description
BINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently retracing into a key support zone after a strong bullish impulse. Price is holding above the H4 structural support and reacting from an internal imbalance area, suggesting a potential bullish continuation toward higher liquidity and resistance zones.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish above 1,990
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 2,012
• Stop Loss: Below 1,990
• TP1: 2,050
• TP2: 2,088
• TP3: 2,178
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price reacting from internal imbalance and support zone
• Market maintaining higher-low structure on H4
• Liquidity resting above recent swing highs
• Potential continuation toward higher-timeframe FVG
• Market moving from discount toward premium of the current range
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📌 Summary
As long as Ethereum holds above the 1,990 support level, the bullish structure remains valid. The market is likely targeting buy-side liquidity above recent highs and the upper H4 imbalance zone.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With oil prices declining, risk appetite is cautiously returning to the market. This shift in sentiment may support short-term upside in Ethereum, as improving macro conditions encourage selective inflows into crypto assets.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
ETHUSDT H4 BPR Decision Zone, Breakdown or Breakout📝 Description
BINANCE:ETHUSDT on H4 is currently trading inside a key BPR (Balanced Price Range) formed after the previous displacement. Price has rebounded from recent lows and is now testing this equilibrium zone, making it a critical decision point for the next directional move.
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📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based)
Primary Context:
Price is reacting to the H4 BPR zone, which often acts as a decision area between continuation and rejection.
🔴 Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection
• If the latest H4 candle rejects the BPR
• And closes back below 1980 USD
A bearish setup becomes active and this confirms rejection from equilibrium. Downside draw targets the H4 FVG around 1900 USD.
🔵 Scenario 2 – Bullish Breakout
• If the latest H4 candle breaks and closes strongly above the BPR
This signals bullish acceptance above equilibrium and momentum shifts in favor of buyers. Upside targets expand toward 2100 USD liquidity.
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• BPR zone acting as decision point
• Acceptance above BPR shifts draw to external liquidity above
• Structure currently neutral until confirmation
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🧩 Summary
ETH is sitting at a critical equilibrium level. A rejection and close below 1980 activates a bearish rotation toward 1900, while a strong breakout above the BPR shifts the bias bullish with a potential move toward 2100.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Following the G7 decision to release 400 million barrels of crude oil, oil prices dropped sharply from around $115 to $105. This development may influence broader macro sentiment, and the crypto market is now watching how liquidity and risk appetite react. As a result, Ethereum could see volatility while markets assess the impact of this news.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
BTCUSDT H1 Liquidity Sweep Setup and Bullish Continuation📝 Description
BINANCE:BTCUSDT on H1 is currently trading above a key intraday support cluster while approaching nearby liquidity pools. Despite expectations of risk-off pressure after the start of the conflict, Bitcoin has remained resilient and is moving within a bullish structure, suggesting strong underlying demand.
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📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based)
Primary Bias: Bullish after liquidity sweep
• Significant liquidity pools sit around 69,525 and 68,800
• Price may dip into these levels to collect sell-side liquidity (SSL)
• These zones align with H1 FVG support, making them strong reaction areas
• After liquidity collection, the higher-probability path favors upside expansion
Upside Path:
• Potential reversal from 69.5k–68.8k liquidity cluster
• First target sits near 71,000 (previous high)
• Further continuation could aim for the H4/H1 FVG around 71,800–72,000
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Liquidity pools at 69,525 & 68,800 acting as draw-on-price
• Possible SSL sweep before expansion
• H1 FVG below acting as support
• Upper H4/H1 FVG remains the main upside magnet
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🧩 Summary
Bitcoin appears to be forming a bullish liquidity sweep setup. A short-term dip toward 69.5k–68.8k may occur to collect liquidity, but the broader expectation favors continuation higher toward the 71.8k–72k FVG zone, especially given the unexpected bullish reaction following the start of the conflict.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Interestingly, Bitcoin has moved higher despite the start of the war, signaling strong demand and risk-hedging behavior. If this sentiment persists, dips into liquidity zones are likely to be bought aggressively, reinforcing the bullish scenario.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
SOLUSDT H1 – Bearish Rejection from H1 Imbalance📝 Description
BINANCE:SOLUSDT has delivered a strong impulsive bullish retracement from the recent lows, tapping into multiple H1 Fair Value Gaps. Price is currently trading inside a higher-timeframe premium zone, approaching prior supply and imbalance areas, suggesting a potential bearish reaction.
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📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below 84.6 H1 supply
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 83.68
• Stop Loss: Above 84.46
• TP1: 82.90
• TP2: 82.30
• TP3: 81.30
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong displacement up likely corrective within broader bearish leg
• Price trading in premium of current dealing range
• Multiple stacked H1 FVGs acting as supply
• Liquidity resting below recent higher lows
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📌 Summary
Unless SOL reclaims and sustains above 84.50 with strong continuation, the current rally is likely a retracement before bearish continuation. Downside targets remain active toward internal liquidity and prior imbalance zones.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Short-term altcoin recoveries remain vulnerable amid broader crypto volatility. Without sustained market-wide bullish confirmation, upside moves into premium zones are prone to rejection, favoring a bearish continuation scenario.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
EURUSD H1 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Scenario📝 Description
FX:EURUSD has reacted bearish after tapping into a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap (H1 FVG) and failing to sustain bullish momentum. The recent impulsive downside move suggests distribution from a premium zone, with price now consolidating below key resistance.
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📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below the H1 FVG
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.1923
• Stop Loss: Above 1.1948
• TP1: 1.1895
• TP2: 1.1867
• TP3: 1.1850
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Rejection from H1 Fair Value Gap (premium area)
• Sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows
• Targets aligned with H1 Order Block and imbalance zones
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📌 Summary
As long as price remains below the 1.1950 resistance and fails to reclaim the H1 FVG, bearish continuation is favored. Current structure supports a downside rotation toward lower liquidity pools and HTF demand levels.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Ongoing USD resilience and the absence of strong bullish catalysts for the euro continue to weigh on EURUSD. Macro sentiment supports downside moves rather than sustained upside recovery in the short term.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
XRPUSDT M30 HTF Discount Reaction and Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description
BINANCE:XRPUSDT has completed a sharp corrective sell-off and is now stabilizing above a higher-timeframe discount zone. Price is currently reacting from a 30-minute Fair Value Gap after defending the BPR area, indicating potential accumulation and readiness for a bullish continuation toward higher liquidity pools.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the 30m FVG and recent swing low
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.8819
• Stop Loss: Below 1.872
• TP1: 1.8947
• TP2: 1.9099
• TP3: 1.9325
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Sell-side liquidity sweep followed by strong bullish displacement
• Price reacting from a validated 30m FVG
• BPR acting as support, no bearish BOS after the rebound
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🧩 Summary
CRYPTOCAP:XRP shows clear signs of demand stepping in after a liquidity-driven sell-off. As long as price holds above the 30-minute FVG and maintains higher lows, the bullish continuation scenario remains favored with targets aligned toward prior intraday highs and premium liquidity.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With USD weakness, market conditions shift toward risk-on. In this environment, crypto assets benefit from improved risk appetite, placing XRP in a favorable risk-on context, where upside potential increases as long as dollar pressure persists.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPUSD M15 HTF FVG Support and Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description
GBPUSD on the 15-minute timeframe has delivered an impulsive bullish expansion and is now consolidating above a fresh M15 Fair Value Gap. Price is holding above the pullback low, indicating acceptance above value and continuation potential toward higher liquidity.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 pullback low and FVG base
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.3527
• Stop Loss: Below 1.3515
• TP1: 1.3537
• TP2: 1.3544
• TP3: 1.3554
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🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish displacement confirming short-term order flow shift
• Price respecting M15 FVG as a support PD array
• No bearish CHOCH observed on lower timeframes
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📌 Summary
As long as price remains above the M15 FVG and the pullback low holds, bullish continuation remains favored with expectations of a draw toward higher buy-side liquidity.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With relative GBP strength and stable risk sentiment, short-term bullish continuation remains supported unless macro risk-off conditions emerge.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
DJI H4 HTF Pullback and Bearish Continuation Setup📝 Description
CAPITALCOM:US30 on the H4 timeframe is reacting after a strong impulsive bullish leg into premium pricing. Recent price action shows loss of upside momentum and a corrective distribution phase near HTF resistance, suggesting a potential bearish continuation toward lower PD arrays.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price remains below the recent H4 lower high and supply reaction zone
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 48,514
• Stop Loss: Above 48,640
• TP1: 48,422
• TP2: 48,304
• TP3: 48,062 (HTF draw / deeper liquidity)
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Rejection from HTF premium and structural resistance
• Current move classified as a corrective pullback within a bearish leg
• H4 FVG and OB below act as natural draw targets
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🧩 Summary
As long as price fails to reclaim the recent H4 supply zone, the expectation remains a continuation to the downside toward stacked HTF liquidity levels and unmitigated PD arrays.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Ongoing global policy uncertainty, resurfacing trade-tariff risks, and rising bond yields are tightening financial conditions and weighing on equities. With risk appetite fragile and macro headlines driving volatility, Dow Jones faces downside pressure, and rallies are likely corrective rather than trend-changing.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
BTCUSDT M30 FVG Hold and Short-Term Bullish Reaction Setup📝 Description
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading above a key H1 FVG after a sharp sell-side sweep, showing stabilization and early signs of short-term accumulation. The recent pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, with price holding above local demand.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M30 / H1 FVG base
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 95,215
• Stop Loss: Below 94,970
• TP1: 95,600
• TP2: 95,980
• TP3: 96,410 (H1 FVG / higher liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept before stabilization
• Price reacting from H1 FVG support
• Current structure suggests a relief bounce within range conditions
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🧩 Summary
As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds above the H1 FVG and recent sell-side low, a short-term bullish continuation toward higher liquidity pools remains the preferred scenario.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Market sentiment remains neutral-to-constructive, with no immediate macro pressure forcing risk-off behavior, allowing technical support reactions to play out.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
USDJPY M15 FVG Pullback and Intraday Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description
FX:USDJPY has completed a sharp corrective selloff into a well-defined M15–H1 FVG zone. Price is now stabilizing after a liquidity sweep, suggesting the move is corrective rather than the start of a broader bearish reversal.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 pullback low and FVG base
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 158.6
• Stop Loss: Below 158.47
• TP1: 158.85
• TP2: 159.06
• TP3: 159.22 (H1 FVG / liquidity draw)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Clean reaction from H1–M15 FVG support
• Selloff classified as liquidity grab, not structural BOS
• Bullish continuation favored while higher lows hold
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🧩 Summary
As long as price remains above the current FVG support, USDJPY is positioned for an intraday bullish continuation toward nearby liquidity and H1 imbalance targets.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Ongoing USD resilience and a persistent policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ continue to support upside in USDJPY. As long as US yields remain firm, bullish continuation is favored, with pullbacks likely offering continuation opportunities rather than signaling reversal.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Bitcoin – ATH Sweep or Breakout?Bitcoin is pushing into a critical decision point as it challenges the previous all-time high near 110k. After a strong push out of a rounded bottom formation with clean higher lows, price has now broken above the last visible resistance area and is hovering just under the ATH liquidity. This rally has been aggressive, but the reaction here will determine whether this move becomes an extended breakout or a classic trap.
Liquidity and Key Resistance
The ATH zone around 110k carries a large pool of liquidity, and price is now testing it for the first time since the breakout. We’ve already had a clean break above the prior resistance zone, but we haven’t yet seen a confirmed close above ATH with convincing volume. If price manages to close strongly above this level on the 4H or daily chart, that would be a sign that bulls are in full control. Until then, the possibility of a sweep and rejection remains firmly on the table.
Sweep Scenario and Downside Levels
If we fail to close convincingly above the ATH and instead see a wick through followed by a strong reversal, that would confirm the sweep. In that case, I’d expect short setups to activate quickly, with downside targets sitting around 105k. This level marks the structure support below the most recent breakout, and would be a logical point for price to rebalance before continuing any broader uptrend. A rejection from current levels would also trap late longs and provide fuel for a quick retracement.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If we do get that proper breakout above 110k, backed by strong volume and continuation candles, the upside opens fast. There’s very little structure above the ATH, so price could move cleanly up into the next round psychological target around 115k. This move would confirm continuation of the higher timeframe trend and offer short-term breakout retests for potential long re-entries.
Volume and Candle Confirmation Are Crucial
At this stage, the setup is binary and all about confirmation. A clean 4H or daily close above ATH with follow-through volume will flip the bias fully bullish. But if we get signs of exhaustion and a failed breakout attempt, the sweep setup becomes highly probable. Waiting for confirmation here is key, rather than trying to front-run the move.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is sitting right at a high-stakes level. We either continue into price discovery toward 115k if momentum follows through, or we see a classic liquidity sweep and rejection back into 105k. The clean structure and recent higher lows support both sides of the argument, but execution will depend on how price reacts around the ATH. Either way, this zone is the key pivot for the next major swing.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Weekly PerspectiveOn ICT Cycles, Maybe EUR Can Go Higher To Buyside Equals..
But it needs confirmation from the shorter-term views and confirmation from the dollar index.
Over time, this idea will be updated according to the coming days.
CPI profile was able to make a good climb and probably provides a fairly good confirmation for the continuation of the upward trend.
Have a good week and trades.
USDCHF Next Week Possible TrendBased on this week's cycles in Swiss Franc/Dollar, we can expect to move towards a sellside liquidity from next week.
Of course, everything is possible and again, more patience than the previous analysis will show the result.
According to the divergence data with the dollar index and the reaction to the 4H Fair value gap
We can consider liquidity pulling downward
But trades should be time-sensitive and according to a trading plan and complete risk management.
As a rule, this analysis will be updated over time.
Be successful and rich.






















