ARM: A Critical Level for the Next Bullish MoveARM Holdings (NASDAQ)
ARM shares are currently undergoing a healthy correction after a strong rally and are testing the major support zone around $300–301. This area aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and sits close to the 200-day EMA, making it a key level for maintaining the long-term bullish trend. As long as price remains above this support, the primary outlook stays constructive.
If buyers successfully defend this area, the stock could attempt another breakout above the major resistance at $356. A confirmed breakout would strengthen bullish momentum and may lead to the next upside targets around $437, followed by the longer-term objective near $529.
If selling pressure increases and the $300 support fails, the next downside target is located near $266. Under a broader market correction, a deeper retracement toward the long-term support around $210 cannot be ruled out.
From a fundamental perspective, ARM remains one of the most important companies in the global semiconductor ecosystem. The business continues to benefit from expanding demand for AI infrastructure, mobile computing, data centers, and energy-efficient processors. Growing adoption of ARM's architecture by leading chip manufacturers and increasing licensing revenue support the company's long-term growth outlook. However, due to its premium valuation, the stock may continue to experience elevated volatility during broader technology sector corrections.
This analysis reflects the author's personal opinion and is not financial or investment advice.
Insider-buying
IBP: Exec Insider Buy Cluster Near Dip, Now In SupplyWe are at a crucial spot in NYSE:IBP after a big dip in early May and a CFO BUY/REBUY and COO BUY. These purchases amounted to a total of $847,118. Price is inside of a supply zone that has formed during consolidation since the dip.
If you are swing trading this could be a good setup depending on your entry criteria. I'm planning on seeing what happens on the next couple of 4hr candlesticks:
If price pushes up I'm going to see if I can enter while not being so late that it hurts my risk/reward with my TP being around the weekly trend resistance line.
If price pushes down I will be looking for an entry at the bottom of the supply zone (with order flow confirmation).
Hopefully this analysis was interesting to you. GLHF 🫶
Why Big Money Is Returning to GoldGold remains one of the most closely watched assets in global financial markets. As investors navigate inflation concerns, monetary policy uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions, institutional capital appears to be paying increasing attention to the precious metal once again. Historically, periods of uncertainty have often driven large investors toward defensive assets, and current market conditions may be setting the stage for a similar trend.
From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to receive support from central bank purchases, concerns surrounding sovereign debt levels, and persistent demand for safe-haven assets. Market participants are also closely monitoring interest rate expectations and the strength of the U.S. dollar, both of which have a direct impact on gold prices. Despite recent volatility, the long-term macroeconomic backdrop remains favorable for precious metals.
From a technical standpoint, this analysis is based on the daily timeframe. Following a powerful rally to new all-time highs, gold entered a corrective phase and formed a descending structure. However, recent price action suggests that selling pressure may be weakening as the market approaches a major support area.
The key support zone is located near 4,000, where buyers have previously demonstrated strong interest. The current reaction from this area indicates that market participants may once again be accumulating positions. As long as price remains above this support, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
If buyers continue to regain control, the first upside target is located near 4,636. A breakout above that level could open the path toward 4,867 and 5,021. Should bullish momentum strengthen further, the longer-term objective near 5,337 becomes increasingly realistic.
The alternative scenario becomes relevant if gold loses the 4,000 support zone and establishes acceptance below it. Such a move would increase the probability of a deeper correction and postpone the bullish continuation scenario. Until that occurs, the current decline appears to be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than the beginning of a major reversal.
In my opinion, gold is approaching a critical inflection point. Much of the speculative excess has already been removed through the recent correction, while long-term support continues to hold. The reaction around current levels may determine whether the next major move is a recovery toward new highs.
This publication reflects my personal opinion and should not be considered investment advice.
Broadcom: Correction or the start of a new opportunity?Broadcom remains one of the most important semiconductor companies in the market, supplying critical infrastructure for artificial intelligence, cloud computing, networking, and enterprise software. Despite recent volatility, investor interest in the company remains elevated due to its strategic position within the AI ecosystem and its ability to generate strong cash flows across multiple business segments.
From a fundamental perspective, investors continue to monitor demand for AI-related infrastructure, growth in data center spending, and the integration of Broadcom's software assets. The company remains a key beneficiary of the ongoing expansion in artificial intelligence and cloud technologies. At the same time, risks include slower enterprise spending, increased competition within the semiconductor sector, and the possibility of valuation compression following strong gains over the past years.
From a technical standpoint, this analysis is based on the daily timeframe. After reaching a major high near the 490–500 area, the stock entered a corrective phase and returned toward an important support cluster between 340 and 360. This region coincides with previous breakout levels, Fibonacci retracement zones, and long-term moving averages, making it a critical area for trend continuation.
The first support zone is located around 352, while a deeper support area can be found near 335. As long as buyers continue defending these levels, the broader bullish structure remains intact. The current pullback appears to be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a complete trend reversal.
If demand returns to the market, the first upside target is located near 443, where previous resistance and Fibonacci levels converge. A breakout above this region could open the path toward the 491–496 area. Should bullish momentum strengthen further, the long-term objective near 555 becomes increasingly realistic.
The alternative scenario becomes relevant if the stock loses the 335 support zone and establishes acceptance below it. Such a move would increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward lower support levels and delay the bullish continuation scenario. Until that happens, buyers continue to maintain the strategic advantage.
In my opinion, Broadcom remains one of the strongest long-term stories within the semiconductor sector. The current correction is forcing the market to determine whether this is merely a pause before the next advance or the beginning of a larger consolidation phase. The reaction around the highlighted support levels should provide the answer.
This publication reflects my personal opinion and should not be considered investment advice.
MU maintains a strong uptrend amid the AI boomMicron Technology
The stock continues trading within a powerful bullish structure after a strong impulsive rally and remains above a key support zone. Price is consolidating within the 700-660 area, signaling sustained demand and preparation for another upside move.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 706-664 zone with a possible pullback toward 565. The scenario becomes invalid below 500. Upside targets are located around 975 and 1167.
From a technical perspective, the stock remains one of the strongest performers in the semiconductor sector. Price continues to hold well above major moving averages while the structure forms higher highs and higher lows. The current pullback appears to be a healthy consolidation after a strong impulse move.
Fundamentally, the company continues to benefit from rising demand for memory and AI infrastructure. Expanding investments in artificial intelligence, data centers and high performance computing are increasing demand for DRAM and HBM memory solutions, where Micron holds a leading position. The sector is also supported by the continued expansion of the global AI market and growing capital expenditures from major technology companies.
As long as the current structure holds, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
SOXL: Correction Within the Long-Term AI SupercycleAfter a powerful rally, the ETF faced profit-taking near the major resistance around 272. However, the overall structure remains strongly bullish. The current pullback appears to be a normal correction within a broader uptrend and may create a new opportunity for accumulation.
The trading plan focuses on potential buying opportunities around 204-181 if demand returns. Key support is located in the 167-154 area, where previous accumulation and major moving averages converge. Upside targets remain at 235, 277 and 345.
From a technical perspective, price continues to trade well above long-term moving averages while the broader rising channel remains intact. Following the sharp advance, the market is entering a cooling phase, which is often a necessary step before the next bullish leg. As long as support levels hold, buyers maintain control of the trend.
Fundamentally, the investment thesis remains tied to the continued expansion of artificial intelligence, data-center construction and high-performance computing demand. Major technology companies continue increasing AI-related capital expenditures, supporting the entire semiconductor ecosystem. With its leveraged exposure, SOXL remains one of the most aggressive vehicles for participating in the semiconductor and AI growth story.
As long as the key support zone holds, the long-term bullish targets at 277 and 345 remain in focus.
MIAX is building a new base for trend continuationAfter a strong impulsive rally, the stock entered a correction phase while continuing to hold above the key 46-44 support zone. The current structure appears to be an accumulation phase before another bullish move.
The trading plan is to consider long positions while price remains above 46-44 with potential upside toward 60 and later 73. The bullish scenario becomes invalid below 41.
From a technical perspective, price continues to trade above medium-term moving averages while the correction remains inside a broader bullish structure. The chart continues to form higher lows, signaling that buyers remain in control. Holding support together with recovering volume could become a trigger for the next upside impulse.
Fundamentally, the company remains an interesting growth story within the financial technology sector. Expansion of trading platforms, rising activity in capital markets and increasing demand for digital infrastructure continue to support long-term business prospects. Additional momentum comes from the overall growth in fintech and electronic exchange services.
As long as price holds above key support, the bullish trend remains the primary scenario.
SOXL continues to reflect strength in the AI sectorThe ETF maintains a strong bullish structure after a powerful rally and continues to hold above a key support zone. The current consolidation within the 167-134 range appears to be a healthy correction inside a strong uptrend.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 167-134 zone with potential continuation toward new highs. The scenario becomes invalid below 120. Upside targets are located around 218 and 270.
From a technical perspective, price remains well above major moving averages while the structure continues forming higher highs and higher lows. The current pullback appears to be an accumulation phase before another bullish impulse. Holding support levels together with recovering volume confirms ongoing buyer strength.
Fundamentally, the sector continues to receive strong support from the global AI boom. Rising investments in data centers, AI chips, server infrastructure and high performance computing continue to drive demand for semiconductor companies. SOXL remains one of the key instruments for an aggressive bullish exposure to the semiconductor sector.
As long as the current structure holds, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
MPLT is forming accumulation after a strong impulse moveMapLight Therapeutics
The stock maintains a bullish structure after a sharp rally and is now entering a correction and accumulation phase above key support levels. Price is stabilizing above the 26-24 zone, indicating continued buyer interest and preparation for another move higher.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 27-26 zone with a possible pullback toward 24. The scenario becomes invalid below 21. Upside targets are located around 36 and 41.
From a technical perspective, the asset remains bullish after an impulsive breakout from a long consolidation range. The current correction appears to be a healthy profit taking phase before the next upside leg. Price continues to hold above major moving averages while the structure forms a potential base for a new impulse.
Fundamentally, investor interest is supported by expectations for further growth in the biotechnology sector and strong attention toward innovative medical developments. Following its IPO, the stock remains highly volatile, but continued market interest could support further upside in valuation.
As long as current levels hold, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
TSM bullish structure and prepares for further upsideThe stock continues to hold an uptrend after a correction and is stabilizing above a key resistance zone that now acts as support. The current structure suggests accumulation and preparation for another upward impulse.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 395-385 zone with a possible pullback toward 365. Upside targets are located around 436 and 504.
From a technical perspective, price is forming a higher low and remains above the ascending trendline and moving averages. The consolidation below the recent high appears to be a continuation pattern with potential for a breakout higher.
Fundamentally, the company remains a key player in the semiconductor industry and a major beneficiary of growing demand for AI and high performance computing chips. Strong order flow from major tech companies supports revenue growth and long term outlook.
As long as the current structure holds, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
Microsoft is forming a reversal and preparing for further upsideThe stock is exiting a bearish structure after a deep correction and is building a base for further growth. Price is holding above key levels and reclaiming moving averages, indicating a shift in control toward buyers.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 420-410 zone with a possible pullback toward 400. The scenario becomes invalid below 380. Upside targets are located around 478 and 537.
From a technical perspective, the asset is forming a higher low after a strong recovery impulse. Price remains above short and medium term moving averages, while the current consolidation appears to be accumulation before the next move higher.
Fundamentally, the company remains one of the key beneficiaries of growth in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. Strong demand for cloud services and continued AI integration support revenue growth expectations. Solid financial performance and a dominant market position provide a foundation for a long term bullish trend.
As long as the current structure holds, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
It's always safe to buy after capitulationBear markets usually end with capitulation and now we can observe signs of that for Nike. I usually combine the RSI and volume to identify capitulation bottoms. When price is aggressively oversold COMBINED with extremely elevated volume, it's quite clear that investors have thrown in the towel for that stock.
This is also supported by insider buying so clearly they believe things aren't THAT BAD for the company.
Gold (XAUUSD) corrective upside before further downsideOn XAU/USD the structure remains bearish, with lower highs and continued pressure below the trendline. The current upward move is viewed as a correction after a strong bearish impulse.
The main scenario is to expect a corrective move toward the 4450-4730 zone (0.705-0.5 Fibonacci area and supply zone), where selling pressure is likely to appear. From this area, short positions can be considered targeting a continuation lower toward 4100 and below.
Technically, price remains below key moving averages and the descending trendline, confirming bearish pressure. Any upside move at this stage is a pullback rather than a reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, XAU/USD remains pressured by a strong US dollar and the policy stance of the Federal Reserve. Hawkish expectations and higher interest rates continue to weigh on gold.
The alternative scenario would be a breakout and consolidation above 4730, opening the way for a deeper correction toward 4900-5050.
AGCO reversal after correction with upside potential toward 200On AGCO Corporation price is forming a reversal structure after an extended correction. A breakout above the descending trendline and consolidation above the 105-110 zone suggest a shift from accumulation to an uptrend.
The main scenario is to look for buying opportunities in the 108-100 zone (0.5-0.382 Fibonacci area), which acts as key support. If this zone holds, price is likely to continue higher toward 136, then 163, and potentially 200+ in the mid-term, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and prior supply zones.
Technically, the structure is improving: higher lows are forming, and price is moving back above key moving averages, supporting bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, AGCO Corporation is a major player in the agricultural equipment sector. Demand is closely tied to global agriculture conditions. Rising crop prices, government subsidies, and investment in farm modernization support long-term demand. Additionally, the trend toward automation and efficiency in farming strengthens the company’s outlook.
The alternative scenario would be a breakdown below 100, which could push price back toward 90-75 and delay the bullish move.
USDJPY Pullback into Demand Before Upside ContinuationUSDJPY is correcting after failing to sustain gains near the 158-159 resistance zone. The rejection from highs suggests temporary distribution, and price is now testing the 152 area. While this zone may provide short-term support, a deeper corrective move toward 149.0-150.0 remains possible, especially if bearish momentum accelerates. This area represents a stronger higher-timeframe support and liquidity zone.
From a structural perspective, the broader trend remains bullish, but the market may require a deeper retracement to rebalance before continuation. A move into the 149 region could form a higher-low structure on the daily timeframe and provide a more attractive risk-to-reward long opportunity. Upside targets after a confirmed reversal would be 155.0, 156.0 and potentially a renewed attempt toward 158.0–159.0.
Until a clear bullish reaction is confirmed, short-term volatility is expected to remain elevated. The key level to monitor is the 152 demand zone - holding above it favors stabilization, while a breakdown increases the probability of a deeper pullback.
USDCHF: Long-term Bearish Trend Persists Since 2022, the pair has been in a steady downtrend: consistent lower highs and lower lows within a multi-year descending channel from highs near 0.9200-0.9400.
Current price around 0.7753, following a bounce from the multi-year low at 0.76357 (green support zone marked on the chart).
Support:
0.76357 (critical multi-year zone, green line), below - potential extension to 0.7600-0.7550 (channel projection).
Resistance:
0.80833 (intermediate level, 2025 low), higher - 0.83797 and 0.84847 (next Seller Zones).
Long-term downside target: 0.7635-0.7600 (primary buyer zone on weekly), break below opens path toward 0.7400+.
Current structure remains bearish:
after a false upside breakout in 2025, price returned to the channel and is forming lower lows. Volume profile and oscillators indicate fading bullish momentum, with CHF staying strong amid risks and SNB policy.
Primary scenario - continued downside: holding below 0.7850-0.7900 leads to test of
0.7635-0.7600 in the coming months.
Bullish alternative (low probability): strong bounce from 0.7635 with break above 0.80833 targeting 0.83797 - would require sharp CHF weakness or aggressive Fed easing.
Fundamentally, the franc benefits as a safe-haven amid global uncertainty, while the dollar loses ground. Looking for weekly candle close below 0.7700 to confirm stronger bearish conviction.
Your view?
Short from current levels or waiting for a bounce off 0.7635? Share your thoughts in the comments.
XAUUSD Trading Idea: Corrective Buy Gold is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp decline, with price consolidating above the 4880-4900 demand zone. The current price action suggests that the recent pullback is corrective rather than impulsive. A break above the local descending structure supports the bullish correction scenario, while moving averages continue to provide dynamic support. Momentum is improving, indicating that buyers are attempting to push price higher toward key resistance levels.
In the main scenario, long positions are considered from the 4880-4900 range,
targeting 5000-5090 as intermediate resistance levels.
The final bullish target is the 5370-5400 zone. This area is considered a strong resistance, where a potential trend reversal or deeper correction may occur, opening opportunities for short positions if confirmed by price action.
In the larger context, gold remains sensitive to macroeconomic expectations and risk sentiment. Despite the lack of a clear long-term bullish fundamental driver, the technical structure allows for continued upside movement before the market makes its next major directional decision.
Oil Target 62$: Sentiment Shifts Amid Geopolitical TensionsWe’re in a non-standard situation for oil markets — with the White House now openly threatening military action against Venezuela.
This dramatically increases the value of oil options sentiment.
You don’t need to be a PhD in geopolitics to understand:
A military operation = major supply disruption risk = price volatility on steroids.
And the market is already pricing it in.
Over the last two days, key levels like 58–60–72 have started appearing more and more in CME options flow — clear signs of positioning for extreme moves.
But here’s what matters most:
The trades that were placed before the Venezuela news broke.
That’s where we focus.
And if I had to summarize:
Two days ago, some guys were actively building spreads targeting 60–62 — betting on a pullback.
📌 Why?
These spreads are aggressive — they can generate 2x–3x returns from just a $2–$3 move, even if price doesn’t fully reach the target.
In short:
They’re not waiting for perfection.
They’re ready for explosion.
🔥 Final Take:
Yes, the option market has been extremely active over the past 48 hours — one of the busiest periods lately.
But beyond the noise, there’s a growing signal:
Oil is primed to explode.
And this "Venezuela narrative"?
It’s looking less like talk — and more like a setup for real movement. Big money is involved
The main question: will it explode before or after the New Year?
SPT will hit 25 USD (+80%) in next 4 monthsRead the Sec filing 26th August, 2025.
CEO and Board members will end their share selling plans and instead they will start buying shares. This change needs some weeks to get approved by SEC.
But once the new purchase plans are approved - i expect this to happen until the end of the year - and this news hits the street this stock will pump like crazy.
We will see at least 20 USD, im expecting even 25 USD.
Fundamentals are already good. Revenue is growing. Social media managers love Sprout Social already. Big companies will follow in future and start using Sprout Social.
AI c3ai Bullish Reversal Ahead of EarningsAI C3.ai has been in the spotlight recently, following a series of notable developments that set the stage for a potential bullish reversal. The company recently announced that founder and CEO Thomas Siebel is stepping down due to health reasons. While this initially caused some market jitters, it coincides with a broader operational transformation that could act as a catalyst for a turnaround.
Earlier this month, C3ai reported preliminary fiscal first-quarter revenues below expectations, raising short-term concerns. However, the company continues to invest in AI-driven solutions and expand strategic partnerships, including a notable collaboration with Eletrobras in Brazil. These moves demonstrate that the firm is actively diversifying its offerings and positioning itself as a leading player in enterprise AI.
From an options market perspective, there is evidence of bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings. The $25 strike price out-of-the-money calls expiring on September 19 suggest that traders are betting on a near-term upside, signaling expectations of a possible recovery or positive surprise in the upcoming earnings report.
Leadership changes, while initially unsettling, often create opportunities for strategic shifts. A new CEO could accelerate operational efficiency, focus on high-growth initiatives, and highlight C3ai’s AI innovation, which has been a core strength of the company. Combined with ongoing product launches and partnership expansions, these factors could serve as a catalyst for a technical and fundamental reversal in the stock.
Traders may want to watch key support levels and the $25 strike options activity closely, as these indicators suggest that a bullish reversal could be on the horizon. With a renewed leadership team and continued AI innovation, C3.ai has the potential to regain momentum in the weeks leading up to earnings.
AI Insider Trading Before the Buyout? $5.8Million block of callsOn Friday, after the close, C3. ai announced CEO Thomas Siebel is stepping down, with a new leadership team taking over. The stock dropped almost 14% on the news, slashing its market cap and potentially making it irresistible for a takeover bid. They are looking for a new CEO!
Why this matters:
1. Perfect M&A Timing: C3. ai has proven AI tech, including contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense. The right acquirer could turn this into the next Palantir-style success story. Leadership changes often make buyouts easier.
2. Valuation Reset: The 14% drop gives strategic buyers a cheaper entry point, exactly when they might be circling.
3. Massive Call Buying Before News: Just last week, someone dropped $5.8M on Sept 19 $25 strike calls. That’s a high-conviction, short-dated bet. Nobody throws around that kind of money without expecting a big move, possibly insider knowledge of a deal or major contract.
4. Strategic Fit: Defense contractors or big tech companies could instantly expand their AI footprint by acquiring C3.ai.
Palantir built its empire by combining cutting-edge data analytics with deep government and defense relationships. C3. ai is following a similar blueprint and may be earlier in the curve:
1. Strong Defense Footprint: C3. ai already holds contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies, positioning it in the same secure, high-margin niche that powered Palantir’s growth.
2. Mission-Critical AI Solutions: Just like Palantir’s Gotham and Foundry platforms became embedded in government workflows, C3. ai’s AI suite is designed for enterprise and defense applications that are hard to replace once integrated.
3. Massive TAM (Total Addressable Market): The AI defense and enterprise analytics market is projected to grow exponentially over the next decade, mirroring the macro tailwinds Palantir rode after 2020.
4. Sticky Contracts: Government and defense clients tend to lock in long-term, high-value contracts once a system is deployed, creating predictable recurring revenue streams.
5. Potential for Commercial Expansion: Palantir went from mostly government to a healthy commercial mix. C3. ai could follow the same path, leveraging its defense credibility to win private-sector deals.
6. Strategic Acquisition Target: Big tech and defense primes would love to own a proven AI platform with federal clearance — just as Palantir’s unique positioning has made it a darling of Wall Street and a fortress against competition.
In short: C3. ai today could be where Palantir was a few years ago!
If acquired or scaled correctly, the upside could be just as explosive!
UNH bear flag and gapsUNH has been top of my radar for a bullish reversal. With 2 major gaps to fill after the epic collapse in share price this ticker has a lot of potential. Currently sitting in what appears to be a bear flag, it is holding above the monthly 200EMA (overlayed on this 4H chart). However price recently rejected off the daily 21ema (overlayed on this 4H chart) and if the bear flag is any indicator price may head lower for another liquidity sweep before the inevitable bullish reversal.
A side note: insiders have been buying $millions since the share price collapsed which is always a good indicator of what's to come.
Plug Power: A Mirage or a Miracle?Plug Power (NASDAQ: PLUG), a key innovator in hydrogen energy solutions, recently experienced a significant surge in its stock value. This upturn is largely attributed to a strong vote of confidence from within the company: Chief Financial Officer Paul Middleton substantially increased his stake by acquiring an additional 650,000 shares. This decisive investment, following an earlier purchase, clearly signals robust conviction in Plug Power's future growth trajectory, despite prior market challenges. Analysts also reflect this cautious optimism, with an average one-year price target that suggests a significant upside potential from the current valuation.
A major catalyst for the renewed interest stems from Plug Power's expanded strategic collaboration with Allied Green Ammonia (AGA). This partnership includes a new 2-gigawatt (GW) electrolyzer project in Uzbekistan, part of a substantial $5.5 billion green chemical production facility. This facility will produce sustainable aviation fuel, green urea, and green diesel, positioning Plug Power's technology as foundational to large-scale decarbonization efforts. This initiative, backed by the Government of Uzbekistan, further solidifies a broader 5 GW partnership between Plug Power and AGA across two continents, highlighting the company's capability to deliver industrial-scale green hydrogen solutions.
While these strategic wins are promising, Plug Power continues to navigate financial headwinds. The company has faced recent revenue declines and currently reports significant annual losses and cash burn. To address capital needs, it is seeking shareholder approval to issue more shares. However, the substantial, multi-gigawatt contracts secured, particularly with Allied Green, underscore a strong future revenue pipeline. These projects affirm the critical demand for Plug Power's technology and its pivotal role in the evolving green hydrogen economy, emphasizing that the successful execution of these large-scale ventures will be key to long-term financial stability and sustained growth.






















