The Giant's Rebirth: Long-Term Prospects for INTCIn times when the market seems on the verge of falling, opportunities arise that only the most astute investors are able to recognize. We are now witnessing one of those rare moments with INTC. The events of the last few days, in which the CEO was forced to resign or be fired, mark not just a corporate reshuffle, but perhaps a historic turning point. History teaches us that such significant leadership changes are often harbingers of recovery and growth. Watching the price-to-sales drop to levels we've only seen in the darkest times of the past indicates that we may have hit bottom. This is not just a signal, it is a once-in-a-decade chance. INTC now offers us a unique opportunity for long-term investing with minimal risk. We are not talking about short speculation; this is an investment in the future of a company that is on the cusp of new growth. If we look at the patterns of past recoveries, we see that such situations often precede multi-year upturns. Looking at all aspects, I would rate this opportunity as having a tremendous probability of success. We are facing potential huge long-term profits. This is not just an investment; it is a bet on the revitalization of a company that is now at the bottom of its cycle, but with tremendous upside potential. This may be one of those rare occasions when we can buy at the very beginning of a recovery, when all market fears turn into strategic advantages for those willing to look beyond the current news.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
INTC
Opening (IRA): INTC Feb 21st 15/19/20/24 Skinny IC... for a 2.04 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV (91.4/69.7) earnings announcement volatility contraction play. Going "skinny"/"almost iron fly" here. For purposes of take profit, treating it as an iron fly, where I generally look to take profit at 25% max.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.04
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 1.96
25% Max: .51
ROC at 25% Max: 25.0%
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t buy during last year’s double bottom on INTC:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 22usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.56.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Can Intel Redefine the Future of Tech?Intel is at the heart of a technological renaissance, pushing boundaries across multiple fronts in the tech industry. From pioneering neuromorphic AI chips that mimic human brain functions for energy-efficient computing in everyday devices to quantum computing advancements with its Tunnel Falls silicon quantum chip, Intel is not just following trends but setting them. Introducing the Spiking Neural Processor T1 could revolutionize how smart devices process data, significantly enhancing battery life and reducing reliance on cloud computing.
In the quantum realm, Intel's release of a 12-qubit silicon chip to the research community marks a significant step towards practical quantum computing. This initiative fosters academic exploration and positions Intel as a leader in developing scalable quantum technologies. The potential here is vast, promising breakthroughs in computation that could challenge our current understanding of what's possible in data processing and security.
Moreover, Intel's strategic maneuvers in the chip manufacturing sector are particularly intriguing. With rumors of Apple potentially shifting its iPhone chip production to Intel, and government initiatives encouraging domestic production, Intel stands at a crossroads of innovation and geopolitics. This could lead to a reshaping of global supply chains, fostering technological and strategic advancements in national interests.
The question now is not just whether Intel can redefine the future of tech, but how its multifaceted approach will inspire a new era of computing, where efficiency, sustainability, and strategic autonomy are paramount. Intel's journey is a narrative of challenge and change, urging us to reconsider the limits of technology and the shape of our digital future.
Intel - This Support Has To Hold!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is retesting cucial support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping an incredible -60% over the past couple of months, we are finally seeing some stabilization at the current support on Intel. It is also quite likely, that we will see another short covering rally, which would perfectly line up with a rejection away from the support area.
Levels to watch: $20, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
INTC Intel Corporation Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TaIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC:
My price target for INTC in 2025 is $30, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strategic Product Launches and Technological Advancements:
Intel is set to launch its new Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake processors, designed specifically for artificial intelligence (AI) and personal computing. These chips, expected to be manufactured using Intel's advanced 18A process technology, promise significant performance improvements and energy efficiency. The successful rollout of these products could revitalize Intel's position in the competitive CPU market, especially as demand for AI capabilities continues to grow across various sectors. Analysts anticipate that these innovations will contribute to a recovery in Intel's data center and AI segments, which are critical for future revenue growth.
Financial Recovery and Growth Projections:
After experiencing a challenging period marked by declining revenues and operational setbacks, Intel is projected to report a strong recovery by 2025. Analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $0.98, a significant rebound from anticipated losses in 2024. Revenue is also expected to grow by about 6%, reaching approximately $55.84 billion, indicating a positive shift in Intel's financial health. This recovery is supported by robust cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet, which provides the necessary capital for ongoing investments in R&D and production capabilities.
Market Position and Competitive Advantages:
Despite recent challenges, Intel maintains a dominant market share in the global CPU market, estimated at 60-70%. This strong position provides a competitive advantage as the company looks to regain momentum against rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Intel's shift towards an outsourced foundry model will not only enhance production efficiency but also open new revenue streams by manufacturing chips for other companies. This strategic pivot is indicative of Intel's adaptability in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Investor Sentiment and Valuation Potential;
Currently trading at a significant discount relative to its historical valuation metrics, Intel presents an attractive investment opportunity. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains low compared to industry peers, suggesting potential upside as market sentiment improves with the anticipated product launches and financial recovery. Investors are increasingly optimistic about Intel's long-term prospects, particularly as the company navigates its operational challenges and focuses on innovation.
Intel (INTC) Long-Term Value BuyThe monthly chart for Intel Corporation (INTC) on the NASDAQ suggests that the stock is currently presenting a good value for long-term investors. With a strong support level around the $20-$21 range, Intel appears to be a solid opportunity for those looking to invest in a company with a robust history and potential for future growth.
$INTC GGWP Bankruptcy is coming. SHORTIntel Announces Retirement of CEO Pat Gelsinger
on December 2nd 2024.
Thy have launched many faulty processors, instead of fixing their fkup they started to flee.
Short it to 0.
I sadly have bought one of these laptops with new gen intel CPU. AND IT DOES FEEL LIKE A FAULTY ONE.
If I buy/long any of it is at 8-12$ just to play a round of "Casino Roulette". High risk low reward.
Of course if they announce something positive this might change but I hardly doubt it.
Will America's Tech Sovereignty Rise or Fall on a Silicon Chip?In the high-stakes chess game of global technological supremacy, Intel emerges as America's potential knight—a critical piece poised to reshape the semiconductor landscape. The battleground is not just silicon and circuits, but national security, economic resilience, and the future of technological innovation. As geopolitical tensions simmer and supply chain vulnerabilities become increasingly apparent, Intel stands at the crossroads of a transformative strategy that could determine whether the United States maintains its technological edge or surrenders ground to international competitors.
The CHIPS and Science Act represents more than a financial investment; it is a bold declaration of technological independence. With billions of dollars earmarked to support domestic semiconductor production, the United States is making an unprecedented bet on Intel's ability to leapfrog current manufacturing limitations. The company's ambitious 18A process, slated for 2025, symbolizes more than a technological milestone—it represents a potential renaissance of American technological leadership, challenging the current dominance of Asian semiconductor manufacturers and positioning the United States as a critical player in the global tech ecosystem.
Behind this narrative lies a profound challenge: can Intel transform from a traditional chip manufacturer into a strategic national asset? The potential partnership discussions with tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, and the looming geopolitical risks of over-reliance on foreign chip production, underscore a moment of critical transformation. Intel is no longer just a technology company—it has become a potential linchpin in America's strategy to maintain technological sovereignty, with the power to redefine global semiconductor production and secure the nation's strategic technological infrastructure.
INTC about to breakout 26 to 28 stretched.INTC is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of consolidation as the price action narrows into the triangle's apex. This pattern suggests indecision in the market, with the potential for a significant breakout in either direction. The resolution of this triangle is likely to set the tone for the next move, however I have taken a bullish position. The price action is nearing the triangle’s apex, suggesting a breakout is likely within the next 3–5 trading sessions.
Watch for a volume spike to confirm the direction of the breakout. For a bullish breakout, take partial profits at $25.50, then hold for the full target of $25.89 to 28.00.
Entry Strategy:
Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above $24.54 with strong volume.
This would indicate a bullish continuation, with the price likely to target higher resistance levels.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height:
Measured from $24.54 (upper resistance) to $23.19 (lower support), giving a height of $1.35.
Breakout Target:
Bullish Target: Add $1.35 to the breakout point ($24.54) → $25.89.
Bearish Target: Subtract $1.35 from the breakdown point ($23.66) → $22.31.
Stop-Loss Placement:
For a bullish breakout, place a stop-loss below the lower trendline at $24.19.
For a bearish breakdown, place a stop-loss above the upper trendline at $24.54.
I have already taken a position for 11/22/24 25C @0.28
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow.
Levels to watch: $20, $27
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Short INTC from $23.81 to $20.50 or channel bottomMODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom top of 3 channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
Impulse MACD is flat crossing over to the downside
Price at near Fibonacci level
In at $23.80
Target is $20.50 or channel bottom
INTEL Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW ?According to the Financial Times, Intel and the United States will finalize $8.5 billion in chip funding by the end of the year.
-(Reuters) - The Financial Times reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the discussions, that Intel and the U.S. government are likely to finalize $8.5 billion in direct funding for the chipmaker before the end of the year.
- The report stated that the negotiations were at an advanced stage, but there was no guarantee that it would be finalized before the end of 2024. It added that any acquisition of all or part of Intel’s (NASDAQ: INTC) business could risk disrupting the negotiations.
Intel and the U.S. Department of Commerce did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.
- U.S. President Joe Biden awarded Intel nearly $20 billion in grants and loans in March to boost the company’s domestic semiconductor chip output.
- The preliminary agreement was for $8.5 billion in grants and up to $11 billion in loans for Intel in Arizona, where some of the funding will be used to build two new factories and modernize an existing one.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) has approached Intel to explore a potential acquisition of the troubled chipmaker.
- Once a dominant force in chipmaking, Intel ceded its manufacturing edge to rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and failed to produce a widely desired chip for the generative AI boom capitalized on by Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and AMD (NASDAQ: AMD).
I expect that the price will grow very quickly...
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
INTC, timely correction DONE. Expect some ASCEND now.INTC temporary correction has likely concluded. Net buys are increasing notably.
BUYERS are certainly back at accumulation phase after touching 61.8 FIB levels.
Expect some bounce from the current levels.
Spotted at 28.0
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always.
Intel's $3.5 Billion Deal: A New Dawn for the Chip Giant?Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) made headlines with its stock climbing 1.22% in premarket trading on Monday, buoyed by reports of a potential $3.5 billion federal grant to manufacture advanced semiconductors for the U.S. Department of Defense. This deal, part of the Pentagon's "Secure Enclave" initiative, could mark a major turning point for Intel as it looks to reclaim its dominance in the global semiconductor space, a market increasingly vital to both civilian and military applications.
Rebuilding with Secure Enclave
The $3.5 billion federal grant Intel is expected to secure is part of the U.S. government's efforts to reduce reliance on foreign semiconductor manufacturers. Intel has emerged as the front-runner for the Secure Enclave program, which focuses on developing chips for military and intelligence use. While foreign competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung are also constructing U.S.-based plants with the help of the Chips and Science Act, Intel stands out due to its status as an American company with deep ties to national security interests.
The funding will help Intel build and expand its production facilities across multiple states, including Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon, reinforcing its position as a key player in the domestic chipmaking industry. This comes at a time when the U.S. government is laser-focused on revitalizing semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on Asian suppliers, especially in light of recent global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions.
Intel is also set to benefit from a separate potential $8.5 billion in grants and $11 billion in loans under the Chips Act, further bolstering its financial position. However, the disbursement of these funds is yet to commence, and the current Secure Enclave grant offers a more immediate lifeline.
Intel’s broader manufacturing strategy, however, has not been without its challenges. A disappointing earnings report last month raised questions about CEO Pat Gelsinger’s global investment plans, forcing Intel to reconsider its priorities. Delays or cancellations in overseas projects may ensue, but U.S. facilities, especially those in Arizona and Ohio, are expected to proceed without disruptions.
Signs of a Reversal
From a technical standpoint, Intel's stock has been trading within a falling trend channel for a prolonged period. However, recent price movements suggest that a reversal could be on the horizon. As of Friday’s close, NASDAQ:INTC ended the session up 1.55%, breaking out from the ceiling of a bullish horizontal trend chart pattern. This breakout, combined with Monday's premarket rise, signals growing optimism surrounding Intel's prospects.
The relative strength index (RSI) of 29.51 is another encouraging sign. A low RSI typically indicates that a stock is oversold and could be primed for a rebound. With Intel's RSI not yet entering overbought territory, there is ample room for upward momentum, especially given the positive news cycle around its government contracts and U.S. manufacturing ambitions.
Key support levels for Intel lie around the $30 mark, a crucial pivot point in its long-term price action. Should the stock sustain its current uptrend, a move past $35 could set the stage for further gains. Conversely, if selling pressure resumes, the stock could revisit its recent lows, but the Secure Enclave deal may serve as a buffer against significant downside risks.
The Road Ahead
While Intel’s immediate future looks promising, the road ahead is not without its risks. The company still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor for some of its most advanced chips, a fact that underscores the limitations of its current manufacturing capabilities. Furthermore, Intel's ability to successfully deliver on the Pentagon’s demands will depend on its ability to innovate and scale production, areas where it has struggled in recent years.
That said, Intel’s growing relationship with the U.S. government, bolstered by the Secure Enclave initiative and the Chips Act funding, positions the company well for future growth. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, with national security and technological leadership at the forefront, Intel has a unique opportunity to redefine its role on the global stage.
Conclusion
Intel’s $3.5 billion deal with the U.S. Department of Defense signals renewed confidence in the chipmaker's ability to contribute to critical industries. This deal represents a key milestone in Intel’s broader efforts to revitalize its manufacturing capabilities, while the technical outlook hints at a potential reversal in its stock price. With favorable government backing and promising technical indicators, Intel may be on the cusp of breaking out of its prolonged downtrend, offering investors renewed hope for future growth. However, the company’s reliance on external partners and the global competitive landscape remain key factors to watch.
Intel Corporation ($INTC) - Potential Squeeze After Rate CutIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move:
Fibonacci Support Holding Strong
The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this level is a strong indicator that a reversal could be imminent. A rate cut would provide a fundamental catalyst to accelerate a recovery from this level, as lower borrowing costs typically improve market sentiment, especially for large-cap tech stocks like Intel.
Worst-Case Scenario: Testing $13–$14 Support
While we are optimistic about the current setup, the worst-case scenario to watch for is a potential retest of the $13–$14 range. This level marks a significant historical support zone and, if touched, could provide a final flush-out of weak hands before the stock rebounds. Should this happen, it would likely signal a capitulation event, paving the way for long-term bulls to step back in at attractive prices.
Squeeze Potential and Rebound Targets
If Intel holds its current Fibonacci support, we could be setting up for a short squeeze driven by fresh liquidity entering the market post-rate cut. With technical and fundamental catalysts aligning, the stock has potential to rally toward the $40+ level over the medium term. This would mark a massive rebound, and a retest of previous highs would not be out of the question.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: 0.786 Fib level
Worst-Case Support: $13–$14
Upside Target: $40+
Is SMCI a buy? SMCI has lagged NVDA and many other semis.
Were now approaching a critical area...its make or break!
positive Daily divergence provides some hopes that were close to a near term bounce however after today semiconductor selloff the whole complex was shattered.
The fact that SMCI remained green while NVDA was down 10% should be a small win in itself...
The question is can it hold and build on this?
I do think its better positioned for a long than most semis.
No confirmed technical breakdown has occurred yet
Intel Faces Potential Exit from the DOW Amid Market StrugglesIntel Corp. ( NASDAQ:INTC ), once a dominant force in the tech industry, now faces the risk of being removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a position it has held since 1999. This possible removal could mark a significant blow to Intel’s already tarnished reputation, as the American chipmaker grapples with a host of challenges that have led to a dramatic decline in its stock price.
Declining Performance and Missed Opportunities
Intel's shares have plunged nearly 60% this year, making it the worst-performing stock on the Dow. The company has been struggling to keep pace with its competitors, missing out on major opportunities such as the artificial intelligence boom after passing on an early investment in OpenAI. This misstep, combined with mounting losses in its contract manufacturing unit, has placed Intel in a precarious financial position.
To counter its downturn, Intel has undertaken drastic measures, including suspending its dividend and announcing layoffs that affect 15% of its workforce. However, many analysts believe these steps are not enough to reverse the company's fortunes. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, stated, "Intel being removed was likely a long time coming," highlighting the company’s prolonged struggles.
Implications of Dow Removal
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, unlike the S&P 500, is price-weighted, meaning stock price plays a crucial role in the inclusion of its members. Currently, Intel’s stock price is the lowest on the Dow, making it the least influential component of the index with a meager 0.32% weightage. Intel’s removal would not only be a symbolic blow but could also further depress its share price, which has already plummeted by over 70% from its all-time high in August 2000.
While S&P Dow Jones Indices has not commented on whether Intel’s removal is imminent, the possibility looms larger than ever, with market experts pointing to potential replacements like Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) or Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ). Nvidia, which has seen a 160% surge in share value this year thanks to its leadership in AI chips, is a strong contender, although some consider it too volatile for the Dow. Texas Instruments, with its stable stock price and significant U.S. production capabilities, could also be a fitting replacement.
Mixed Signals Amid Downtrend
From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has been exhibiting mixed signals. Despite a brief uptick of 9.49% in Friday's extended trading, the stock has struggled to maintain momentum, down 1.3% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45.98 suggests that the stock is not yet oversold but is hovering close to the oversold territory, indicating potential for growth if market conditions improve. A move towards the RSI level of 30 would typically signal oversold conditions and could spark a rebound, but Intel’s current RSI level reflects ongoing uncertainty.
Intel’s chart pattern also reveals a struggling trajectory, with limited bullish indicators. The stock price has been unable to sustain higher levels, reflecting broader concerns about Intel’s future prospects. Investors are keenly watching for signs of stabilization, but the technical outlook remains cautious.
What’s Next for Intel?
Intel’s battle to remain in the Dow highlights broader issues within the company, from strategic missteps to financial woes. The potential removal from the prestigious index underscores the urgent need for Intel to rethink its approach and regain its competitive edge. Whether through revamping its business model, making strategic investments, or improving operational efficiencies, Intel must act swiftly to restore investor confidence.
As the chipmaker faces critical decisions, both technical and fundamental factors will play crucial roles in shaping its future. Investors should closely monitor Intel’s next moves, as the coming months will be pivotal in determining whether Intel can overcome its challenges or continue its slide into obscurity.
Technical Analysis on Intel (INTC)Using long-term volume analysis with the Volume Profile, we observe that Intel's ( INTC ) current price has moved below a significant monthly Point of Control (POC). To gain a clearer perspective, it will be crucial to wait for the monthly close to determine whether the price remains above or below this POC level.
By zooming in to the daily or H4 timeframe, we notice a potential rounding formation in both the candlesticks and volume, indicating a possible shift in trend direction.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for a monthly close above the POC. This signal will be strengthened if the volumes increase as well.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price stays below the POC, the bearish scenario suggests potential targets, as illustrated in the image below. It may be possible to consider short entries at the levels indicated as Target 2 and Target 3.