After being struck down -7% post ER and general weak market, I like the idea of selling puts on NKE via an Iron Condor (bull put spread and bear call spread). With a demand zone 95-100 area, I opened 2x position 100/95p bull spread and 1x position 125/130c bear spreads with another 1x to be added on next green week ( assuming we get one) to capture better call...
SPX/ES/SPY 27 May 2022 For today, the current expected volatility is going to be below 1.8% with a chance of probability of 85% For SPX/ES this is going to be translated in a movement of +- 73$ from opening candle For SPY this is going to be translated in a movement of +- 7.35$ from opening candle Taking into account the opening candle price which was around...
SPX/ES/SPY 26 May 2022 The current volatility is expected with close to 85% chance to be below 1.85% In this case, our channel for today is going to be TOP 4045 BOT 3900 From fundamental point of view, today we are going to have US GDP release, which it may affect with a high probability the price of this asset Since the expected GDP is going to be...
SPX/ES 18 May 2022 The current expected volatility is around 1.71% Based on a 88.2% chance, our asset is going to be compressed within the channel made from: TOP 4160 BOT 4020 At the same time yesterday, we had Jerome Powell on a hawkish attitude, so we can expect another bear rally in the near future. Based on all of this, at this very moment we can try as...
SPX/ES 17 May 2022 The daily expected volatility is around 2% With an 87% accuracy based on the historical data, we can assume that the price of SPX/ES today is going to be between TOP 4080 BOT 3922 All of this taken into account with the opening price of today which was 4000* From VOLUME POC point of view its above 114 which imply a bullish momentum at this...
IBM 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 32.77%/year So that converted into daily is 2.06% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 133.7 (you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 2.75 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going...
Apple 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 47.8%/year So that converted into daily is 3.01% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 145 (you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 4.3 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going...
XLE 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 36.3%/year So that converted into daily is 2.3% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 79.3(you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 1.8 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going to...
DIA 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 24.22%/year So that converted into daily is 1.52% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 320.6(you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 5 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going to...
QQQ 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 40.66%/year So that converted into daily is 2.52% However we are going to go with 25% coficient for a total of 3.2% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 297(you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 9 points from the open...
SPY 13 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 33%/year So that converted into daily is 2.08% Since we are in need of the open price for the highest accuracy, I am going to take the current price which is 398(you can also wait for the opening price and take +- 8.1 points from the open candle value) So based on that our channel for today is going to be...
IBM 12 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 35.63%/year So that converted into daily is 2.24% The close of yesterday was 130.75 So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed within TOP 133.68 BOT 127.8 with a probability chance of 81.6% based on the last 3007 candles From fundamental point, today we have PPI and initial jobless...
NQ/NDX 12 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 40.1%/year So that converted into daily is 2.53% The opening of today was 11970 So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed within TOP 12300 BOT 11700 with a probability chance of 79.8% based on the last 5395 candles From fundamental point, today we have PPI and initial jobless...
ES/SPX 12 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 32.6%/year So that converted into daily is 2.05% The opening of today was 3939 So based on that our channel is going to be compressed within TOP 4020 BOT 3860 with a probability chance of 86.9% based on the last 1049 candles From volume point, current POC is around 3930, so I believe initially the 3.9k...
Amazon 11 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 54.27%/year So that converted into daily is 3.42% The yesterday close price was on 2177 So based on that our TOP 2250 BOT 2100 This channel has a 80.5% change to sustain based on the last 3006 candles At the same time with 89% we can affirm that the price is going to be above TOP 2185 BOT 2170 From...
Apple 11 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 40.54%/year So that converted into daily is 2.55% The yesterday close price was on 154.5 So based on that our TOP 158,5 BOT 150,5 This channel has a 79% change to sustain based on the last 3006 candles At the same time with 89% we can affirm that the price is going to be above TOP 154.9 BOT 154.1 From...
NQ/ NDX 11 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 41.43%/year So that converted into daily is 2.62% The opening price was on 12320 So based on that our TOP 12650 BOT 12000 This channel has a 80% change to sustain based on the last 5394 candles At the same time with 88% we can affirm that the price is going to be above TOP 12360 BOT 12300 From...
SPX/ES 11 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 32.11%/year So that converted into daily is 2.02% The opening price was on 3991 So based on that our TOP 4070 BOT 3910 This channel has a 87% change to sustain based on the last 1048 candles At the same time with 85% we can affirm that the price is going to be above TOP 4000 BOT 3980 From fundamental...