My concerns of anything more than a pullback are subsiding, Chinese PMI is in expansion once more which is confirming that the majority of poor economic performance is likely finished.
Over the next 6 months we expecting to see hard data underperform, compounded with a rising dollar it is a headwind for equities.
Over the past week, my tone has switched a little more bearish. I was advocating for a blow-off top in equities before this cycle ends, however, on a second look at the data the leading indicators are continuing to show weakness over the coming 6 months. Certain aspects of the economic data are positive however, which makes it difficult to be outright bearish or...
From a macro top-down framework, the current environment heavily favors the bears. The leading data continues to show expected weakness in the economy over the coming 3-6 months.
I would love to hear your feedback, have a wonderful day!
The Russell 2000 ETF continues to deliver critical technical and longer-term price patterns for skilled technicians. Combining the IWM chart with the Transportation Index, Oil, Gold, and others provide a very clear picture of what to expect in the immediate future.
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