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Jd catalysts are in place for $43 Interestingly enough , the technicals are aligning perfectly for a sharp move in the coming 2-3 weeks for JD. The breakout of a large wedge , retest of the breakout and consolidation near the support are all bullish signs. The 1.618 fib extension for wave 3 takes it to about $43. Low and behold, this level aligns with the red downsloping trendline that connects 2 previous highs. All this needs is a spark, which will be the tweet Donald Trump will put out once the deal is finalized. His photo op with Xi will be the icing on top. I wouldnt be surprised to see a nice pop into the previois range around $35-$37. The subsequent earnings in mid Nov could be another leg in what will be a journey to $43.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by Fida4u
JD.com Bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern SetupJD.com (JD) is forming a bullish ABCD harmonic pattern, with the current price advancing from point C toward the projected D completion zone. Based on the Fibonacci measurements, the AB=CD projection and 1.618 extension align near $56–57, suggesting a strong potential target area and confluence with the upper channel resistance. A sustained move above $46.5 (B point) would confirm the continuation toward the D leg target. Momentum indicators are gradually turning positive, supporting the bullish bias in this setup. Invalidation: If price reverses and breaks below the C point, the ABCD harmonic structure would be invalidated, signaling potential weakness or a deeper retracement.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by msezng
2
JD 1D: Bulls taking the lead?On the daily chart, JD.com broke out of a falling wedge, moving above both MA50 and MA200. That’s a strong technical signal hinting at a potential mid-term trend reversal. Upside targets are mapped at $39.8 and $46, with Fibonacci levels suggesting a possible extension toward $52 if momentum holds. Support remains around $33–35, and as long as the price stays above it, buyers are in control. From a fundamental perspective, JD continues to reshape its business, expand online services, and benefit from China’s economic recovery. Competition with Pinduoduo and Alibaba is tough, but technically bulls seem to have the upper hand. Tactical outlook: watch the MA200 - staying above it keeps the growth scenario intact.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
JD Technical Outlook: Breaking out into JD Day!Structure and Pattern Recognition JD has recently broken out of a falling wedge structure, reclaiming strength after a prolonged downtrend. The breakout aligns with price now pressing against a key liquidity zone (LQ) near $36.00–$37.00, a level that previously capped multiple rally attempts. This breakout represents a meaningful shift in structure and suggests growing bullish momentum. Key Catalyst – JD Day The upcoming JD Day, one of the company’s largest annual sales and promotional events, often serves as a catalyst for both consumer activity and investor sentiment. Historically, this event has boosted short-term momentum as traders price in strong sales data and retail enthusiasm. With JD currently testing a breakout level, this fundamental catalyst could provide the spark needed to sustain upside continuation. Key Levels and Setups Current price sits at $36.17, directly testing resistance. A clean breakout above this level opens the door toward the next liquidity clusters around $39–$40 and potentially $42+ if momentum builds. Failure to hold above $35, however, risks a pullback into the $33–$34 demand zone before any sustained rally can take hold. Volume and Momentum Volume has been steadily increasing during the breakout, suggesting conviction behind the move. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with RSI holding strong near the upper mid-range without flashing overbought extremes. This indicates room for continuation if the catalyst delivers. Outlook and Scenarios Bullish Case: Break and hold above $36–$37 during JD Day would validate the wedge breakout, targeting $39–$42 in the near term. Bearish Case: Failure to break above $36 or a rejection post-event could lead to a retracement back into $33–$34, with risk of retesting $30 if momentum fades. Conclusion JD is entering JD Day at a critical technical juncture. The breakout from a falling wedge provides a constructive base, while the event itself could act as a near-term catalyst to push price into higher supply zones. Traders should monitor the $36–$37 level closely, as it will likely dictate the next major leg of movement.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by oneforthestacks
1
JD.com: accumulation, golden cross, and a chance to restart JD.com remains one of China’s largest e-commerce players, and despite macroeconomic headwinds, the company continues to hold its ground. Fundamentally, JD is focused on optimizing logistics, cutting costs, and expanding its cloud segment. Government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand also provide support. Risks remain tied to China’s economic slowdown and fierce competition from Alibaba and PDD, but at current levels the stock looks attractive for long-term investors. Technically, the 4H chart shows a breakout of the descending trendline and the formation of a golden cross (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA), confirming a medium-term trend shift. Price has consolidated above the accumulation zone and is now testing $34.50–35.00. If momentum holds, the next upside targets are $41.00 and $46.00, key resistance levels. A more conservative scenario involves a pullback toward $33.00–32.50, followed by another upward leg. This is exactly the kind of market situation where investor expectations diverge from reality, and the longer it lasts the more it seems like a trend reversal is near. But as always, emotions must be set aside and clear signals awaited before committing.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by InvestWorld_777
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out): Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation. Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong. Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target. MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation. 📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals. Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now: Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength. Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings. Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup. ⚠️ Main Risk Factor: U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News). ✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
NYSE:BABALong
by TheAverageTrader00
1
Can Strong Fundamentals Survive Geopolitical Storms?JD.com presents a compelling paradox in modern investing: a company demonstrating robust operational performance while its stock remains volatile due to factors entirely beyond its control. Despite market speculation about decline, JD.com has shown impressive financial resilience with consistent revenue growth—15.8% in Q1 2025 and 22.4% in Q2 2025 - alongside improving operating margins that reached 4.5% for JD Retail in Q2 2025. The company has strategically invested over RMB 75 billion in R&D since 2017, building a sophisticated logistics network spanning over 3,600 warehouses and developing cutting-edge technologies that have reduced fulfillment costs to a world-leading 6.5%. However, JD.com's strong fundamentals exist within a challenging ecosystem of domestic and international pressures. China's deflationary environment, with CPI rising only 0.2% in 2024, has created subdued consumer demand, while intensifying competition from disruptors like Pinduoduo has reshaped the e-commerce landscape. Rather than engaging in destructive price wars, JD.com has pivoted toward sustainable profitability, leveraging its premium brand reputation and proprietary logistics network as key differentiators in an increasingly crowded market. The most significant risk facing JD.com - and all US-listed Chinese companies- is geopolitical uncertainty rather than operational weakness. US-China trade tensions, regulatory crackdowns in both countries, and the specter of potential Taiwan conflict scenarios create unprecedented risks for investors. A hypothetical Taiwan invasion could trigger catastrophic sanctions, including SWIFT banking exclusions and forced delistings, potentially rendering these stocks worthless regardless of their underlying business strength. This analysis reveals that Bloomberg Economics estimates such a conflict would cost the global economy $10 trillion, with Chinese companies facing existential threats to their international operations. The JD.com case study ultimately illustrates a new reality in global investing: traditional financial analysis focusing on revenue growth and operational efficiency may be insufficient when evaluating companies operating across geopolitical fault lines. While JD.com remains operationally strong with clear competitive advantages, investors must recognize they are essentially placing bets on US-China diplomatic stability rather than just corporate performance. This political risk premium fundamentally changes the investment equation.
NASDAQ:JDShort
by UDIS_View
Don’t Sleep on JD! $32 Calls Set to Explode ## 🚀 JD.com \$32 Calls – Earnings Bullish Play! **Sentiment:** 🟢 *Moderate Bullish (75% Confidence)* * **Revenue Momentum:** 15.8% TTM growth – strong e-commerce demand * **Margins:** Profit 3.8%, Gross 9.9% – operational efficiency under pressure * **Earnings Beat History:** 100% over past 8 quarters * **Options Flow:** Heavy bullish call activity at \$32 strike – institutional interest rising * **Technical Indicators:** RSI 39.24 (oversold), trading above 20-day MA * **Key Levels:** Resistance \$33.50, Support \$31.50 * **Macro:** China stimulus + logistics advantage = tailwinds * **IV & Volatility:** IV Rank 75% – moderate volatility expectations --- ### 📊 **Trade Snapshot** * **Type:** CALL (Long) * **Strike:** \$32.00 * **Expiry:** 2025-08-15 * **Entry Premium:** \$0.30 * **Profit Target:** \$0.90 (+200%) * **Stop Loss:** \$0.15 (50%) * **Size:** 1 contract * **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close * **Expected Move:** 5% --- ### 💡 **Strategy Notes** * Limit exposure to 2% of portfolio due to binary earnings risk. * Close within 2 hours post-earnings if stop or profit target not met. * Profit target exit: shares above \$34.00 * Stop loss exit: shares below \$31.50 --- 📌 *Strong fundamentals + bullish options flow + oversold technicals = high-conviction earnings play!* **#JD #EarningsPlay #CallOptions #ChinaEcommerce #HighConviction #OptionsTrading #PreEarnings #AMC #VolatilityPlay #TradingSignals**
NASDAQ:JDLong
by quantsignals
1
JD Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JD before the recent rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JD prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 32.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $3.10. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:JDLong
by TopgOptions
JD.cm | JD | Long at $33.16Like Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and Alibaba NYSE:BABA , I suspect AI and robotics will enhance JD.com's NASDAQ:JD automation in warehousing, delivery, and retail. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though... NASDAQ:JD has a current P/E of 8.1x and a forward P/E of 1.2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.4x, Altmans Z Score of 2.6, and a Quick Ratio of .9 (could be better). From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band is still in an overall downtrend but starting to level out (accumulation of share area). It is possible, however, that the price may drop into the $20s to close out the existing price gaps on the daily chart as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold. Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NASDAQ:JD is in a personal buy zone at $33.16 (with known risk of drop to the $20s in the near-term). Targets into 2028: $44.00 (+32.7%) $52.00 (+56.8%)
NASDAQ:JDLong
by WorthlessViews
JD.com (JD) AnalysisCompany Overview: JD.com NASDAQ:JD is one of China’s leading e-commerce and logistics giants, rapidly expanding into cloud computing and AI-driven solutions. With a strong focus on efficiency, retail innovation, and policy-driven tailwinds, JD.com is well-positioned for long-term growth. Key Catalysts: Chinese Government's “Trade-In” Policy Boost 📈 The extended consumer electronics trade-in policy is expected to accelerate sales, driving demand across JD’s platform. Full Acquisition of Dada Nexus 🚚 JD’s 100% ownership of Dada Nexus strengthens its last-mile delivery efficiency, improving logistics and customer satisfaction. Omnichannel Expansion: JD MALL & JD E-Space 🏬 JD is expanding its offline footprint with JD MALL and JD E-Space, enhancing its omnichannel retail strategy for deeper customer engagement. AI & Cloud Computing Growth ☁️ JD’s investment in cloud and AI positions it as a tech-driven e-commerce leader, driving new revenue streams. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on JD above $34.00-$35.00, supported by policy tailwinds, logistics integration, and AI-driven retail innovation. Upside Potential: Our price target is $60.00-$62.00, reflecting enhanced logistics, e-commerce expansion, and growing cloud adoption. 📢 JD.com—Innovating E-Commerce with AI & Logistics. #JD #ECommerce #AI #CloudComputing
NASDAQ:JDLong
by Richtv_official
Can China's E-commerce Giant Defy Economic Gravity?In a landscape where economic headwinds meet technological innovation, JD.com's recent performance presents a fascinating paradox. Despite China's persistent economic challenges, the e-commerce powerhouse delivered a 5.1% revenue growth and an impressive 29.5% surge in earnings per share, demonstrating resilience in an increasingly competitive market. This dichotomy between macroeconomic pressures and corporate performance raises intriguing questions about the future of digital retail in the world's second-largest economy. The company's strategic metamorphosis reveals a sophisticated approach to market challenges. By leveraging its robust logistics infrastructure and forging strategic partnerships with former rivals like Alibaba's Taobao, JD.com is rewriting the rules of competitive dynamics in Chinese e-commerce. The firm's participation in government stimulus programs, particularly the 150-billion-yuan trade-in initiative, showcases its ability to align corporate strategy with national economic objectives, creating a powerful synergy that benefits both shareholders and consumers. However, the true intrigue lies in JD.com's balancing act between growth and profitability. While marketing expenses surged 25.7% and free cash flow turned negative, the company's core retail division achieved a remarkable 6.1% revenue growth. This apparent contradiction points to a larger truth about modern retail: success in today's market requires bold investments in future capabilities, even at the cost of short-term financial metrics. With analysts maintaining an 89% Buy rating and the stock trading at an attractive 8.9 times forward earnings, the market seems to believe in JD.com's long-term vision despite near-term turbulence. Will this calculated gamble on future growth pay off in China's evolving economic landscape?
NASDAQ:JDShort
by MorMedia
JD.com Stock Jumps in Premarket Trading on $5 Bln Buyback PlanJD.com, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) one of China’s largest e-commerce giants, made headlines this week with the announcement of a substantial $5 billion share buyback program, effective from September 2024 to August 2027. This move has sent positive ripples through the market, with U.S.-listed shares of JD.com jumping over 4% in premarket trading. But what does this mean for investors, and how does it align with the broader market dynamics? JD.com's Bold Decision JD.com’s decision to implement a $5 billion share repurchase program is a bold signal of confidence from the company’s leadership. The buyback is JD.com's second major repurchase initiative this year, following a $3 billion repurchase in March 2024, which the company fully utilized within just five months. This rapid execution highlights JD.com’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value, even in a challenging economic environment. The timing of this buyback is particularly noteworthy. It comes shortly after Walmart’s decision to sell its entire $3.7 billion stake in JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ), a move that raised concerns about the e-commerce giant’s future in the world’s second-largest economy. The announcement of the buyback has helped mitigate some of these concerns, showcasing JD.com’s robust financial position, supported by a cash reserve of $20.2 billion. Citi analysts, who had anticipated this move, placed JD.com on a 30-day upside Catalyst Watch, citing the company’s aggressive buyback pace as a key factor in maintaining investor interest. The analysts also maintained a "Buy" rating on JD.com, underscoring the stock’s attractive valuation. Technical Analysis: A Mixed Signal for Traders From a technical perspective, JD.com’s stock shows both promise and caution. The stock's recent premarket surge of over 4% is encouraging, but it also reveals underlying concerns. As of Monday’s close, JD.com’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 43.67, placing the stock in a potentially oversold region. This indicates that while the stock has experienced downward pressure, there may be limited buying momentum to sustain a prolonged uptrend. For a sustained bullish reversal, JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) would need to break through key technical levels. The immediate pivot point is at $27.52, a level that, if breached with strong buying volume, could confirm a resurgence in price. However, the stock's current RSI suggests that any bullish momentum might be short-lived unless supported by broader market conditions and positive news flow. The stock is also trading below its 50-day moving average, which typically signals a bearish trend. However, the recent buyback announcement could act as a catalyst for the stock to test this moving average in the coming days. If JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) can sustain its price above this level, it would be a positive signal for long-term investors. Market Context: Navigating a Sluggish Chinese Economy JD.com’s buyback plan comes at a time when China’s retail market is grappling with macroeconomic challenges. The ongoing property slump, consumer spending hesitancy, and employment uncertainties have made it difficult for even the largest players to maintain growth. This is evident from the recent market reaction to PDD Holdings’ earnings report, which wiped $55 billion from its market cap and dragged down other Chinese e-commerce stocks, including JD.com. Despite these challenges, JD.com’s buyback strategy demonstrates the company’s resilience and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. It also reflects the broader trend among Chinese tech giants, like Alibaba, which announced a $25 billion share buyback earlier this year, to use buybacks as a tool to stabilize stock prices amidst economic uncertainty. Conclusion: A Calculated Bet with Cautious Optimism JD.com’s $5 billion share buyback plan is a calculated bet to instill confidence in the market and support its stock price amid a challenging economic backdrop. For investors, this move signals JD.com’s financial strength and its willingness to reward shareholders, despite external pressures. However, from a technical standpoint, caution is warranted. While the stock’s recent premarket surge is a positive development, the underlying technical indicators suggest that a sustained uptrend may require more robust buying momentum. Investors should keep a close eye on key technical levels, particularly the $27.52 pivot point, and monitor broader market conditions as JD.com navigates the complexities of China’s economic landscape. In summary, JD.com’s buyback plan is a positive fundamental development, but the stock's technical signals urge a cautious approach. Investors with a long-term view may find value in JD.com, but those with a shorter horizon should watch for confirmation of a bullish reversal before committing capital.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by DEXWireNews
38