ES Bias Zone — Jul 10 recap: broke upProbed below, then broke up and held — the long-gamma fade played out.
Zone going in: 7581–7590 (this morning's read)
How it played:
*Open: inside the zone (7587.75).
*Session low 7553 flushed below the zone around 9:30 on headlines, then the high 7627 broke well above the top — the downside probe was faded, not accepted.
*Close 7622.50 — above the zone, confirming the upside commit.
The headline flush undercut the zone but couldn't hold it; when price rejected below and accepted above the top, the neutral-into-commit read leaned long.
— Janice
Levelsandzones
ES Bias Zone — Jul 6 recap: heldZone held after the early shakeout — in and out through the 9:00 data reaction, then up away from the zone
Zone going in: 7552–7562 (this morning's read)
How it played:
*Open: at the zone top, ~7562 ⚠️ CONFIRM (cash-open print).
*In and out of the zone through the 9:00 AM data reaction — session low 7556 printed inside the band and the shelf below held.
*Left the zone by ~9:05 and never returned — high 7602, close 7593.50 ⚠️ CONFIRM (grid close, unconfirmed) — above the zone, confirming the long lean. Acceptance after the 9:00 reaction was the tell — above = long lean from there, and the majors overhead were for fading, not chasing.
— Janice
ES Bias Zone — Jul 3 recap: chopHoliday half-day chop — poked both edges, held neither, closed back inside.
Zone going in: 7547.14–7558.91 (this morning's read).
How it played:
Open: inside the zone (⚠️ CONFIRM exact regular-session open — grid read ~7553 pre-open). Session high 7565.25 / low 7546.00 — overshot the top by ~6 points and reverted; dipped one point under the bottom and held.
Close 7557 — inside the zone, no acceptance either way. A 19-point range on a thin noon-halt session — inside the zone with rejections at both edges is a stand-aside read, and that's a position.
— Janice
Markets Have a MemoryOne of the core ideas behind market structure crypto is market memory trading. When a major move starts from a specific area, traders, institutions, and algorithms remember it.
That's why old price levels crypto often become future market reaction areas. The market remembers where traders got trapped, liquidated, or made money.
🎯 Support and Resistance Are Zones
Forget perfect lines. Real support resistance psychology works through crypto trading zones.
When price revisits these historical price zones, watch the reaction. Strong buying or selling pressure creates the price reaction levels that matter.
📊 Bitcoin Does This All the Time
Open any long-term bitcoin market structure chart and you'll see the same thing: resistance becomes support, support becomes resistance.
This is basic price action structure and a key part of professional crypto chart analysis.
⚡ Watch the Reaction, Not the Level
The secret isn't finding revisited price levels — it's reading price interaction crypto when price gets there.
Ask yourself:
Is volume increasing?
Are candles getting rejected?
Is momentum fading?
That's how you understand real market behavior crypto and identify the most important key levels crypto before everyone else.
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
ES Bias Zone — Jul 2 recap: brokeZone broke down after an upside overshoot — the round trip resolved below.
Zone going in: 7542.47–7553.14 (this morning's read).
How it played:
Open: above the zone (⚠️ CONFIRM — pre-open print 7,559; verify the 8:30 open).
Session high 7,594 / low 7,479 — overshot the top first, then broke the bottom and extended.
Close 7,520.75 — below the zone, rejecting the morning lean. The top capped nothing on the first push, but once the bottom gave way the break carried — the zone grades acceptance, not the first poke.
— Janice
ES Bias Zone — Jul 1 RecapZone worked as a magnet — price whipped both edges and settled back inside.
Zone going in: 7527.83–7535.05 (this morning's read).
How it played:
Open: at the lower edge of the zone (~7527). Session high 7578 / low 7505 — poked above the top and flushed below the bottom, held neither.
Close ~7530 — back inside the zone, no acceptance either way. A textbook "inside = chop" finish: the reclaim ran the upside, then gave the whole move back to close flat inside the band. Not every session pays.
— Janice
TGT: All levels of interestTGT (Target), consumer defensive play crashing on bad earnings and inflation concerns....
Weekly chart.
Now oversold. Can we go lower?
Here are the levels I'm watching to enter:
- 139.30: I'll be buying if we reach that level. If it holds it will be a long term investment for me. If it just bounces and drops, I'll be selling and looking for the next level.
- 90-82: is the second zone of interest I'm watching. If we reach this zone I'll buy stocks as a long term investment.
Trade safe.
$MSTR - Houston, we may have a problem...NASDAQ:MSTR is sitting at a very important spot on it's daily chart. It's important to monitor and consider the moves CRYPTOCAP:BTC makes when doing any sort of analysis on $MSTR. For this chart I have a CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart linked as well and it's also not looking the prettiest .
You'll see my fibonacci set up from the March 2025 lows > July 2025 highs for NASDAQ:MSTR here.
NASDAQ:MSTR broke below the 1.272 fib-extension and attempted to get back above it over the last ~7 trading days but open and closed below it on every daily candle, the weekly candle opened below that level and looks like the chances are ever-growing that it will close below that level as well. This is not a good indicator for a bullish thesis.
There is some possible positives for bulls though, many gaps have been made along the way down to the levels we are at. There are some descending RSI wedges on a few times frames that could result in a nice breakout to the upside if this recover or reverse here.
I'll be watching these levels closely to close out the year.
If there is a break below $153 I anticipate NASDAQ:MSTR will continue to dive down more with the Next Most Likely Reversal/Support Levels being at the 1.618 extension. This could be catastrophic for NASDAQ:MSTR based on their business model and the assumption here would be that CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not reversed either.
If there is a reclamation of the 1.272 fib level along with some CRYPTOCAP:BTC support you could expect some volatile moves to the upside.
XAU/USD Weekly Plan – Rebound or Breakdown? Key Levels AheadGold experienced a sharp pullback from last week’s 4234 resistance, dropping aggressively on Friday into the 4027 support level before finding temporary support around the 200MA.
Buyers now face early resistance between 4115–4170. A clean break above 4170 would signal that bulls are regaining control, opening the way for a move toward 4232 → 4285.
If price fails to reclaim 4115, we may see another leg lower. A breakdown below 4053 would expose the support zone , with deeper downside risk toward the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure strengthens.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4115
4170
4232
4285
Support:
4078
4053
4027
3996
3968
3921
🔎Fundamental focus:
As the U.S. government reopens for business, all attention will now turn toward when critical data on employment, inflation, and other key economic indicators will be released.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold failed to hold above $3,883 yesterday, triggering a pullback into the $3,861 support where the 50MA is currently holding as dynamic support. Price is now consolidating just above this level.
If bullish momentum continues, a retest of $3,883 is likely, with a breakout opening the path toward $3,903.
A break below $3,861 would expose the $3,842–$3,828 supports, with risk of a deeper pullback into the First Reaction Zone and a possible 200MA test.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,812–$3,796 (First Reaction Zone / MA200 confluence)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Oct 2
The spotlight today is on US Unemployment Claims.
👉 With NFP tomorrow, traders should expect positioning swings and volatility around today’s data.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF but..Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF.
However, Breakout on Daily TF from 452 - 453.
Weekly Closing above this level would
be a positive sign.
Upside Targets can be around 495 - 500
& if this level is Sustained, with Good
Volumes , we may witness 540 - 550.
Should not break 400, otherwise, we may see
heavy Selling pressure.
S&P500 Next Key Levels I will be waiting to see if we get some short term buying before continuing down to $5,200 levels.
Waiting for price to reach the $5,800 area and anticipating a strong rejection to continue the bearish trend.
After confirmation of the rejection, I will be looking for simple lower lows, lower highs before entering a sell, preferably around the $5,600 mark.
What are your thoughts on the AMEX:SPY and the THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX in general?
Play on Levels124 - 124.50 Very Important Support on Monthly Basis.
Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF that is why it pushed the
price downwards.
Now Hidden Bullish Divergence & Bullish Divergence on Hourly
TF has triggered the price up. Bullish Momentum will resume
once 146 is Crossed & Sustained. Now it is Important to Sustain 134
on Monthly TF & if 165 is Crossed & Sustained, Next Target
can be around 190+
On Daily TF, 134 - 135 is a Resistance. Crossing it will
touch the price around 138-139






















