TVC:GOLD Gold price remains slightly bullish as it consolidates previous losses amid positioning ahead of NFP. Also allowing Gold to maintain a light bid are headlines showing China stimulus and US Treasury yields falling from their highest levels since November 2022. It's worth noting the active signals The recent mixed US employment and activity has been...
TVC:GOLD Gold price is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern on an hourly scale, which indicates a decline in volatility but is followed by an explosion in the same. Horizontal support is plotted from the previous week’s low at 1,910$. A straight 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1,928$ portrays a non-directional performance. The...
TVC:GOLD Gold prices saw decent buying around 1948$ during the London session. The precious metal broke through the critical resistance of 1950$ as investors anticipate just one more rate hike from the Fed this year. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been flat as upside is limited around 102.60 although Fed chair Jerome Powell has confirmed that no rate cuts are...
TVC:GOLD From a technical perspective, some selling below the daily low, around the 1,935 area, would be seen as fresh trigger for bearish traders. Gold price could then accelerate its decline towards the 1,918$-1.920$ intermediate support before finally dropping to the $1,910 circular mark. On the downside, the 1,945$-1,950$ area is likely to act as an...
TVC:GOLD Gold prices fell below three-week descending resistance, around 1950$ at press time, after falling for the past three weeks in a row. On the other hand, a daily close below resistance turning support around 1,955$ is not an open invitation for Gold sellers as the upward sloping trendline from November 2022, near 1,935$, could challenge the bears before...
TVC:GOLD Gold price extended its downtrend below the immediate support of 1,930$ during the Asian session. Earlier, the precious metal showed a vertical decline after sliding below the 1,955$ cushion as the US economy was moving closer to default amid a divergence in views on the budget between the two countries. Gold price has turned out of balance after...
Testing for perceived location: SubMillennial wave: 1 Grand SuperCycle wave: 5 SuperCycle wave: 2 Cycle wave: B Primary wave: B Intermediate wave: B Location ID: 152BBB This is an update on the progress of Primary wave B. My last analysis ( ) projected Intermediate wave A (inside of Primary wave B) to bottom on December 22 which appears to be the case...
We believe we have finished Intermediate wave 3 after an extended Minor 5 and are somewhere into Intermediate wave 4 which should bottom soon. The full wave identity is 152BA4. Based on waves ending in 2BA4. Intermediate 4 will likely last no more than 3 trading days which would end tomorrow. The quartile movement retracements are at 20.04%, 26.20%, and 32.36%. We...
INTERMEDIATE WAVE 1 It is likely we have ended this wave although technically the index could still go lower for one more day. This analysis is based on the assumption we have ended wave 1 on April 11 as originally forecasted. INTERMEDIATE WAVE 2 With wave 1 lasting only 9 days, I am expecting wave 2 to last 3-4. Most of the models agree at 4 days. Day 4 would be...
Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 4, 2022 with a closing price of...
Trying to gauge the current wave is a tad taxing. We know Supercycle 1 ended at the beginning of 2022. This is followed by Supercycle wave 2 which is composed of an ABC corrective wave. The question is are we in the early stages of wave C and about to end Supercycle 2, or are we in the middle of wave A with plenty of plummeting ahead? Historics would have...
The algos triggered a sell signal. Let's see. The RSI triggered buy on the same day as an MTF sell. We have already rode up and now it is time for the sell side to kick in.
I am short this week. Long for the following three. Short for the four after it. We should start strong on Monday and finally end Intermediate Wave 4 early. Right now the models point to a bottom by Friday, that bottom is projected for the 4160 mark. This would mark the final bottom for Primary wave A which has been the downtrend since the beginning of the year....
The market should finish Intermediate Wave 4 today, possibly in the morning before we head down again to Groundhog Day. My models have the most agreement around 4436 for the top so that is my conservative top for now. Wave 5 still needs to take us below Intermediate Wave 3's bottom of 4222.62. Earliest guess is a bottom south of 4100 and relatively quick. I will...
Here is the estimated wave A down, wave B up, and final wave C down.
This is an estimate of SuperCycle 3's end based on Cycle 1's makeup of the larger wave. While we may be correcting currently, it certainly will not last forever, and big gains appear likely in the future. I currently project SuperCycle 3 to end between 6475 & 7253.05 sometime between 2024 - 2027. I will continue to update this projection as more time passes.
This appears to be perfectly in line with an expected correction. Cycle 1 just end at the beginning of January, which was about 2 earlier than my initial estimates but that is why I call them estimates. Cycle 2 should bottom around early March. Historically speaking, the second Cycle wave retraces the length of its wave 1 by 10-23%. The largest retracement was...
This is the plan based on the daily data tracking back to 1877 (my projected beginning of the Grand SuperCycle for you EW followers). Looking at a solid market top around the month of April 2022. I have charted the likely ups and downs to it. For now, looking at a near-term top around this Friday at noon which should begin a roughly 13-15 trading day drop of about...