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MarcuDan MarcuDan DXY, 60, Long ,
DXY: DXY long from current levels
39 0 7
DXY, 60 Long
DXY long from current levels

Major lines of support holding USD Index from going down. I think the price starts to reverse to the upside. If you look on the left you can see the same pattern formed before price went up. Decision is based on the analysis the currency pairs included in the DXY (euro, aud, nzd, gbp) which appear to turn in the direction of the stronger dollar. Expecting to ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: LONG DXY / USD: HAWKISH FOMC RATE STATEMENT - SEPTEMBER HIKE?
308 4 7
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY / USD: HAWKISH FOMC RATE STATEMENT - SEPTEMBER HIKE?

The FOMC rate statement was largely in line with expectations and to the hawkish side - with a september hike hinted at. Much of which followed the rhetoric of FOMC members in the past few weeks (see previous posts) and data (disregarding the poor -4% durable goods mom print). Perhaps the most hawkish/ promising statement made for a Sept rate hike was the fact Fed ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: LONG UPDATE - RENEWED JPY FISCAL STIMULUS SPECULATION?
956 7 23
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY: LONG UPDATE - RENEWED JPY FISCAL STIMULUS SPECULATION?

I posted earlier with my 107 USDJPY breakout trade (see attached post) - one of the reasons I said to long USDJPY on the 107 break-out was due to JPY Govt stimulus speculation. In the last few hours we have seen fresh speculation of the JPY stimulus, with JPY20trn now being discussed/ proposed to be on the table - this renewed rhetoric is nothing but positive for ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: SHORT GBPUSD: CENTRAL BANK EXPECTATIONS - BOE/ ECB/ BOJ & FOMC
417 3 12
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD: CENTRAL BANK EXPECTATIONS - BOE/ ECB/ BOJ & FOMC

Reuters Analyst Expectations: FOMC 1. IMPROVING DATA POINT TO SEPTEMBER RATE HIKE - - The Fed is very unlikely to spring any surprises at the upcoming FOMC meeting, which concludes next Wednesday 27th July, but a September rate hike is a distinct possibility. The statement next week should acknowledge the apparent pick-up in second-quarter GDP growth, ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: BUY THE 107 BREAKOUT - RISK-ON TO CONTINUE - BOJ/ BOE
421 5 14
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY: BUY THE 107 BREAKOUT - RISK-ON TO CONTINUE - BOJ/ BOE

USDJPY: 1. Been watching $yen closely as my top 2 trades this week (along with GU). As expected/ foretasted 107 was the next key risk sentiment resistance level after 104 and after buying the 104 breakout i have confidence/ advise buying the 107 breakout - we have now crossed the 3m moving average at 106 which provides support/ confirms bullish move. 2 Risk has ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
189 0 10
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS

FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view on the FOMC's positioning for future rate ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
584 8 23
EURUSD, D Long
LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY

Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We Need it During Next Recession". Nonetheless he ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: SELL EURUSD/ LONG USD, DXY: HAWKISH FED GEORGE SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
472 3 21
EURUSD, D Short
SELL EURUSD/ LONG USD, DXY: HAWKISH FED GEORGE SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS

IMO FOMC George was largely bullish/ Hawkish $ on the margin; surprisingly coming out and stating for one of the first times that "Fed rates are too low" and "Not Raising Rates in June Was Due to Timing Issues" - these two statements imo hint that a hike coUuld be on the cards earlier than perhaps was expected (Dec), in-light of his opinion of them being too low ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: USD/ DXY: FOMC DUDLEY & WILLIAMS - BREXIT & US ECONOMY SPILLOVER
233 0 9
DXY, D Long
USD/ DXY: FOMC DUDLEY & WILLIAMS - BREXIT & US ECONOMY SPILLOVER

1. IMO Dudley tipped to the dovish side, especially on key inflation highlighting that it is " rising again, but still low". Other rhetoric reaffirmed much of what has been said post the brexit vote e.g. Uncertainty being the biggest factor. 2. Meanwhile, Williams was notably more upbeat/ optimistic, shrugging off the US's shock miss NFP report to instead point ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 45, Long ,
USDJPY: RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2
468 1 13
USDJPY, 45 Long
RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2

Trading for this week: 1. My plan for next week focuses on point "3." from the previous post - I am waiting for risk-on or risk-off assets to confirm investor conviction by using USDJPY as a barometer for net risk sentiment. Despite the market uncertainty and high volatility UJ last week traded within a 200pip range for the between 101.3-103.3. Therefore, I ...

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