EURUSD Tests Key Resistance Near 1.1600 Amid Dollar Weakness1. Macro Driver
EUR/USD edged lower below the 1.1600 level during Friday's European session. The pair came under mild pressure as the US Dollar recovered slightly following Thursday's sharp decline driven by profit-taking. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding US-Iran tensions has renewed safe-haven demand for the Greenback, while the Euro is taking a breather after its recent rally supported by the ECB's relatively hawkish policy outlook.
2. Technical Analysis
a. Market Structure & Trend
From a technical perspective, the bearish structure remains intact as EUR/USD has not yet managed to break above the 1.1590 resistance area, which continues to cap upside momentum.
At the same time, the pair is attempting to push higher and establish a short-term bullish trend if buyers can secure a decisive breakout.
b. Key Resistance, Support & Liquidity Zones
Immediate Resistance: 1.1590 โ 1.1600
This area marks a previous rejection zone for buyers and aligns with a descending trendline. A successful breakout could attract stronger bullish momentum and open the door for further gains.
Nearest Support: 1.1555 โ 1.1565
This zone provides the first layer of support and may help stabilize price action during short-term pullbacks.
Major Liquidity Zone: 1.1500 โ 1.1510
This former swing-low area remains a critical defensive zone for buyers. Holding above it would help prevent a deeper decline and preserve the broader recovery outlook.
3. Outlook
Developments surrounding US-Iran tensions and the ECB's policy stance continue to influence market sentiment. The recent weakness in the US Dollar has provided support for the Euro, allowing EUR/USD to maintain a constructive tone.
In the near term, bullish momentum could remain in place, with traders watching closely for a potential breakout from the current consolidation range. A sustained move above resistance may confirm a continuation of the recovery trend.
Wish you a successful trading day
Longeurusd
EUR/USD Breaks Key Resistance, Targeting 1.1650 Area1. Market Overview
The EUR/USD pair remains stable above the 1.1600 level during Mondayโs European trading session. The US and Iran reached an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, which strengthened risk-on sentiment and provided support for the Euro against the US Dollar.
2. Technical Analysis
EUR/USD has broken above the strong resistance zone at 1.1590โ1.1600, allowing the pair to continue its recovery.
At the same time, price has broken above the 4H descending trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and creating conditions for EUR/USD to regain bullish momentum.
Currently, price is retesting the trendline area and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This could be a Technical correction before continuing higher, targeting levels above 1.1650.
3. Outlook
EUR/USD may continue its upward movement today as both macroeconomic developments and technical factors are supporting the bullish momentum.
The pair could move toward the 1.1650+ area in the near term.
Wish you a successful trading day
ECB Support Keeps EUR Firm Despite Middle East Uncertainty1. Market News
EUR/USD advanced toward the 1.1550 level during Tuesdayโs European session, supported by the European Central Bankโs relatively hawkish stance. However, upside momentum remains somewhat capped as ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East continues to support safe-haven demand for the US Dollar.
2. Technical Analysis
a. Market Structure
EUR/USD is showing signs of a short-term recovery following the sharp decline from the 1.1640โ1.1650 region.
The pair has successfully broken above the 0.5โ0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (1.1548โ1.1552), indicating that buyers are gradually regaining control of the market.
In addition, the recent sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the H1 timeframe highlights strengthening bullish momentum and suggests that the recovery could extend further.
b. Key Liquidity Zones
๐ด Resistance / Supply Zone
โข 1.1580โ1.1590
โข This remains the most significant resistance area ahead.
โข The zone aligns with a previous support-turned-resistance level and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
โข Selling pressure could emerge as price approaches this region.
๐ข Support Zone
โข 1.1548โ1.1552
โข The current breakout area.
โข As long as price holds above this zone, buyers are likely to maintain the short-term advantage.
3. Outlook
The near-term outlook remains bullish while EUR/USD holds above 1.1550. The pair is now approaching a critical resistance area around 1.1580.
A decisive breakout above this level could open the door for a continuation toward 1.1620, with 1.1655 becoming the next potential upside target. On the other hand, failure to overcome resistance may trigger a corrective pullback before the next directional move develops.
Wish you a successful trading day ๐ฐ
EUR/USD Sideways: Consolidation Within the 1.1590 โ 1.1665 RangeEURUSD Update :
1. Market Overview
The EUR/USD exchange rate is showing a mild recovery above the 1.1600 level during Thursdayโs European session. This comes after developments suggesting that Lebanon and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire following talks in Washington, easing concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East.
This has helped limit demand for the US dollar, which is typically considered a safe-haven asset, and is therefore seen as a key factor supporting EUR/USD. In addition, rising expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) may raise interest rates by 25 basis points later this month are also providing support to the euro and spot prices.
2. Technical Analysis
a. Market Structure:
โข The market is clearly moving sideways, indicating a consolidation phase within a defined range.
โข There is no strong bullish or bearish trend, with price confined between two major zones:
* Supply zone: ~1.1655 โ 1.1665
* Demand zone: ~1.1590 โ 1.1600
b. Current Price Action:
โข Price recently rejected the supply zone, showing selling pressure.
โข It then produced weak corrective moves without breaking the short-term bearish structure.
โข Currently trading around 1.1608โ1.1610, the price is near the lower boundary of the range but has not fully reached the demand zone.
3. Outlook
The market is expected to remain within the current trading range as today features limited high-impact economic data affecting EUR/USD. Both liquidity zones are still being respected, and there is currently no strong fundamental catalyst capable of breaking the range.
However, any confirmed breakout from this consolidation zone could trigger a strong directional move following the breakout direction.
Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
Breakout of resistance zone 1.1756 - Confirmed upward๐EUR/USD Update :
๐ The latest statements from Iran and the US regarding easing geopolitical tensions and showing willingness for further peace negotiations are weakening the bullish momentum of the US dollar, as the USD continues to lose its safe-haven appeal.
๐ Technical Analysis:
๐ The bullish trend is expected to continue after price successfully broke above the 1.1756 resistance zone and keeps moving higher.
๐ However, the 1H RSI is currently in the overbought area, suggesting a possible short-term pullback before EUR/USD resumes its upward move toward 1.1835.
๐ In addition, the EMA 34, 89, and 200 remain aligned to the upside, continuing to support further bullish momentum.
๐ฅ Bias Today: BULLISH
Wishing you a successful trading day๐ฐ
1H trendline breakout above 1.1750 confirms go up toward 1.179x๐EUR/USD pair:
News:
๐ EUR/USD is holding within a range around the 1.1750 level during Wednesdayโs European session. The pair is finding support as the US Dollar remains defensive amid renewed optimism over a potential ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. However, ongoing US port restrictions on Iran and the lack of response from Iran regarding the ceasefire continue to raise concerns among investors.
Personal View:
๐EUR/USD has broken above its trendline after a period of accumulation, confirming bullish momentum for today with a target toward the 1.179x area.
Resistance: 1.1790
Support: 1.1738
Accumulate below 1.1800 and continue to rise.๐ถ EUR/USD UPDATE
๐ EUR/USD continues to trade below the 1.1800 level after reaching a six-week high on Tuesday and pulling back slightly during the early US session today.
๐ The current move is supported by easing geopolitical tensions as the United States and Iran are expected to resume negotiations in Islamabad soon, reducing safe-haven demand for the USD.
๐In addition, weaker-than-expected US CPI and PPI data are putting further pressure on the US Dollar, helping to maintain bullish sentiment in the market.
๐ Technical Outlook
๐ On the H4 timeframe, an Elliott Wave fourth wave correction is currently forming, with price consolidating below the 1.1800 level.
๐ This structure suggests EUR/USD may continue higher toward the next resistance levels at 1.1850 and 1.1920.
๐ Meanwhile, EMA 34, 89, and 200 are all trending upward, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
Market structure remains bullish in the short term.๐ผ
โ
Resistance zone : 1.1850 ;1.1920
โ
Support zone : 1.1725; 1.1650
๐ฅ Bias Today: BULLISH
Wishing you a successful trading day!
Breakout of resistance zone - continueto wards 1.1770๐ถ EUR/USD UPDATE
๐ EUR/USD receives fresh buying interest and reclaims the 1.1700 level during Fridayโs US session.
๐ The pair is supported by a weaker USD following lower-than-expected CPI data.
๐ Technical Outlook
๐ Resistance at 1.1720 has been broken, confirming continued bullish momentum
๐ EMA 34 crossing above EMA 200 supports the short-term uptrend
๐ Price is extending higher toward the next resistance at 1.1770
๐ฅ Bias Today: BULLISH
Wishing you a successful trading day!
Retest breakout, EURUSD uptrend๐ 1. Market Context (Technical)
๐ Main Trend
Previously: prolonged sideways accumulation
Currently: strong breakout to the upside โ shifting into a bullish trend
๐ This is a classic pattern:
Breakout โ Retest โ Continuation
๐ 2. Key Levels
๐ต Support (Key Buy Zone)
Retest zone: 1.1600 โ 1.1620
Former resistance โ now acting as support
Liquidity zone where buyers are waiting
๐ด Resistance / Targets
Short-term: 1.1680
Mid-term: 1.1700 โ 1.1750 (highlighted zone)
๐ 3. Trading Plan
โ
BUY Scenario (Primary)
Price holds above 1.1600
Weak pullback (no strong selling pressure)
Setup (Entry):
Buy at: 1.1600 โ 1.1620 (retest zone)
TP1: 1.1680
TP2: 1.1700
TP3: 1.1750
Stop Loss : Below 1.1580
๐ Logic:
Structure break โ new bullish trend forming
Retest = optimal entry opportunity
๐ 4. Order Flow Perspective
Histogram shows:
Strong buying volume after the breakout
Current pullback comes with weak volume
โก๏ธ Confirmation:
Smart money is still holding long positions
๐ฐ 5. Economic News Impacting EURUSD Today
Key events to watch:
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) / Jobless Claims
CPI / Core CPI
Fed speeches
๐ Implications:
Weak US data โ EURUSD likely to rally
Strong US data โ deeper pullback
Meanwhile:
ECB remains cautious but slightly hawkish
Eurozone inflation continues to support the EUR
Holding steady at 1.1670, the price continues to rise.๐ถ EUR/USD UPDATE
๐ EUR/USD continues its upside momentum for the third consecutive day, trading around the 1.1670 area during Wednesdayโs Asian session.
๐ The pair remains supported by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which has added further pressure on the US Dollar and helped maintain the bullish tone.
๐ Technical Outlook
๐ A bullish structure continues to develop as the trendline remains firmly intact, supporting the ongoing upward momentum.
๐ The EMA 34, 89, and 200 have all turned sharply higher after a strong convergence, confirming the strength of the current trend.
๐ The 1.1670 zone remains a key support level โ a sustained hold above this area could keep the pair on track for a move toward 1.1750.
๐ Personal Bias
๐ With the US Dollar staying under pressure, EUR/USD still has room to extend higher in todayโs session.
๐ Unless price slips back below the key support zone, buyers are likely to remain in control.
๐ฅ Bias Today: BULLISH
Resistance Zones: 1.1750 ; 1.1820
Support Zones: 1.1670 ; 1.1623
Wishing you a successful trading day!
Selling pressure on EURUSD - DXY recovers๐บRelated Information: (EURUSD)
The EUR/USD pair begins the week with a bearish gap as safe-haven flows tied to the USโIran conflict lift the US Dollar. However, downside momentum remains limited, with spot prices stabilising above the mid-1.1700 area during Asian trading. Technically, the pair appears to have broken below the lower bound of its recent consolidation range, reinforcing the bearish outlook after repeated rejections near the 100-period SMA, which has shifted from support to resistance and signals scope for further near-term weakness.
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐ Chart analysis:
๐ Short-term timeframes: M15, M45, H1
Short-term timeframe - a gap of 1.18150 appeared at the beginning of the week.
๐ Medium-term timeframes: H2, H4
In the long term, H2 and H4 charts are still showing accumulation. The market shows that only the DXY is experiencing volatility, while Europe is in a sideways phase.
Key zones:
๐ Supply zone (resistance): 1.18150
๐ Demand zone (support): 1.17400
๐ Three EMA moving averages; technical indicators: stochastic, volume
set up signal : ๐ SELL EURUSD 1.18150 - 1.18250 stoploss: 1.18550
Take profit : 1.17900 - 1.17400 - 1.17000
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
โ๏ธ Personal opinion:
The display of US military strength strengthens the dollar, the DXY recovers, putting selling pressure on EURUSD.
๐ฅ Follow us for the most accurate gold price trends.
EURUSD sideways, breakout and price increase.Related Information:!!! ( EUR / USD )
The Euro (EUR) is trading broadly unchanged against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hovering near 1.1917 at the time of writing and consolidating at one-week highs following a two-session advance. The greenback remains under pressure ahead of a series of key US macroeconomic releases, while a moderately positive risk backdrop continues to weigh on the currency.
The USD is still struggling to recover from last weekโs disappointing labor market data. Adding to the soft tone, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett cautioned on Monday that job creation is likely to slow in the coming months, citing the impact of US President Donald Trumpโs immigration policies and rising productivity. These remarks, delivered ahead of Wednesdayโs release of the January Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, have done little to shore up demand for the US Dollar.
personal opinion:!!!
The accumulation is continuing, awaiting a breakout from the uptrend, while the DXY index remains weak.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 1.19300, 1.19500 zone
Support zone :1.18850 zone
Follow us for the most accurate gold price trends.
Uptrend in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued its rise and maintained the bullish trend.
The target remains a breakout above the recent highs after a correction.
On Monday, the U.S. observes Labor Day, which usually means lower liquidity and limited market moves.
All positions should remain in line with the trend!
EUR/USD Silver lining as the USD continues to fall - 1.1610The EUR/USD is looking somewhat positive.
I assume because the Exports to the US is under 1 -2% per country, it won't cause major havoc for Europe's GDP even though it's still not great.
Investors are finding a safe haven within the EUR and out of the USD.
Other reasons for the EUR/USD include:
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Tariffs & Uncertainty
Trump's new 104% tariffs spooked markets and hurt the dollar.
๐ช๐บ ECB Support Talk
The ECB said it's ready to step in to keep inflation on track.
๐ Dollar Weakness
Investors are pulling out of the dollar amid global slowdown fears.
๐ง Sentiment Shift
Traders are betting on the euro with the dollar under pressure.
TECHNICALS
Inv Head and SHoulders and the Neckline has finally broken up signalling upside for the EUR.
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD heading up - Europes time to shine!Looks like it's the Euro time to rally. With an unstable presidency and erratic party with America, it seems like Europe is finding it's feet and there is upside to come for it's currency.
Here are five reasons why and then we'll get into the technicals.
๐ฉ๐ช German Stimulus Boosts Euro
Germanyโs โฌ500B spending plan lifts euro confidence.
๐ Weak U.S. Data Hurts Dollar
Poor U.S. data and uncertainty weigh on the greenback.
๐ Euro's Rally Momentum
EUR/USD sees strongest rally since 2015.
๐ฆ ECB Signals Fewer Cuts
ECB hints at fewer rate cuts, supporting euro strength.
๐ Trade Tensions Easing
Tariff delays reduce USD demand, favoring the euro.
Let's look at the technicals
Inv Head and SHoulders
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD ! 10/29/24 ! move in trend, recoveryEUR/ USD trend forecast October 29, 2024
EUR/USD pulls back from recent gains, trading near 1.0810 in early Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair retests the upper edge of the descending channel, potentially signaling a bearish trend. The 14-day RSI hovers just above 30; a dip below would indicate oversold conditions, hinting at a possible upward correction soon.
Gold price moves within 2 H1 downtrend bands - waiting to touch the lower trend and recover
/// BUY USDJPY : zone 1.07950 - 1.07750
SL: 1.07450
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (1.10250)
Safe and profitable trading
EUR/USD Buy Trade IdeaThe EUR/USD pair appears to be on a bullish trajectory, presenting an opportunity for a buy entry based on technical analysis indicators.
Analysis:
Key Support Level has formed around 1.076, indicating strong demand for the Euro against the U.S. Dollar.
Technical Indicators such as moving averages and RSI confirm bullish momentum.
Recent Break of Downtrend Line suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Important Note: Always consider risk management and be prepared to adjust the strategy in case of unexpected volatility.
EUR/USD: Post-NFP Volatility โ Long Setup After Weak EmploymentFollowing the release of key U.S. economic data, including the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Unemployment Rate, we see a significant spike in volatility for EUR/USD. The NFP came in lower than expected at 142K vs. 164K forecasted, which typically weakens the USD. However, the marketโs initial reaction suggests a potential retracement or continuation of the bearish move, providing a possible long opportunity on the 15-minute chart.
โข Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): The U.S. economy added 142K jobs in the latest report, missing the expected 164K. This is a bearish signal for the USD, as it suggests slower economic growth.
โข Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% from the previous 4.3%. This marginal improvement adds mixed signals to the market.
โข Average Hourly Earnings: A positive note comes from the average hourly earnings, which increased by 0.4%, suggesting some wage inflation.
Despite the weaker NFP, the initial reaction in EUR/USD indicates a potential continuation of the downward momentum as traders might be focusing on other factors like broader market sentiment or upcoming FOMC speeches.
Trade Setup:
โข Entry: Enter a long position at the current market price near the 1.1083 level.
โข Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss slightly above the recent high around 1.1062 to account for any possible retracement.
โข Take-Profit: Target the next support level near 1.1140, where price action has previously found selers.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every traderโs situation is unique, so itโs crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long EURUSDI'm expecting bullish movement on EURUSD throughout the remainder of the month. We've already come down and took out liquidity residing below December 15th low (1.08811) and filling in the gap below that level. If price manages to push with good volume pass the 1.08963 price I'll be looking to enter a long position aimed at December's high.
Long Trade for EURUSD Success rate 75%Opportunity for Long trade with a success rate of over 75%
The price is likely to hit TP1 with a 75% chance and TP2 with an 65% chance.
Please note that all the information provided is based on personal opinion, and no responsibility is assumed for any outcomes."
DXY Spike Up Yesterday Only to Spike Down TodayThe USD is showing some terrible weakness today after going up strongly yesterday. It could be due to the better than expected down on oil inventory which stimulated demand for USD and lessen fears of recession forcing down a Fed rate hike. So the USD strengthen yesterday on 26 Apr 2023. Now on 27 Apr 2023, the USD Strength seems to have reversed. The long EURUSD trade seems like a good vehicle to go long the USD.






















