So the comparison of gold value vs the total liquid money stock. (M1)
This M1 money supply includes coins and currency in circulation—the coins and bills that circulate in an economy that are not held by the U.S. Treasury, at the Federal Reserve Bank, or in bank vaults.
Anyone holding gold, after the COVID dollar printing, basically lost an enormous amount of...
M2 consists of small-denomination time deposits >$100K - less IRA and Keogh balances at Institutions.
Balances in retail MMFs - less IRA and Keogh balances at MMFs.
M2: Savings Deposits, Small-Denomination Time Deposits, Retail Money Market Funds, + M1.
In Sum, Consumer Economic activity and...
The VVIX was cornered to the 105s, as soon as this Level was violated the
Gaps were filled on the VIX M1 October as we began to Settle November.
This left a lower Gap for the settled Front Month / M1 - November.
The HIgh Low Close - 16.10 / 14.70 / 15.35 for October Settelement.
The HIgh Low Close - 19.70 / 19.30 / 19.325 for November...
Important Note, the Roll Yield is important for the VXX.
I have heard countless YouTube and Forum Gurus dismiss
the VXX as a Junk Derivative. A Scam...
Nothing is further from the Truth.
That statement demonstrates how there are far too many
"Gurus" with no understanding of Volatility itself.
The VXX is comprised of the 30 day Short Term Rolling...
As BR & VG maintain a healthy prop under the Equities Complex....
Real activity outside of the "Markets" is grinding to a decided halt.
Uncertainty has gained a foothold and it is not going to reverse in
the near future.
The spectacle in chasing Price, big greens bars... is merely a trade.
It is not an investment, those days are long gone as the...
Although WARNINGS abound - the emotional's wed to their beliefs
in Potential Short Squeeze(s)... the FED, Their charts, The sympatico
Herd, Confirmation Bias.
"Hoping" for Hope.
Ignoring the Signs.
It ends badly. Catalyst? Could be anything, FOMC, CHINA, DX/BONDS.
The footprints are observable.
M2 never declines, it is the Velocity which matters.
This chart shows BTC adjusted in alignment with the value of USD, when M1 money supply is accounted for.
As we know M1 was discontinued by the Fed allegedly because it paints a less than rosy picture of high inflation. The website shadowstats has done an excellent job of tracking these figures since the 70's.
When BTC is adjusted for this we can see that in...
This chart I quickly drew for myself a while back. Any more information or explanation please just leave comment.
With the US Vaccination numbers compared to other countries I would definitlly trust the US companies the most while other countries still struggles with getting Covid undercontrol. We all saw what the market does when lockdowns are announced so for me...
We're at a major resistence level here on the S&P when M2 is taken in to consideration, going back to 2002. We're looking at S&P Futures divided by M2, and as you can see, this looks like the end of the road, folks. One thing is certain, whatever happens next for markets is going to be epic...
In this chart we see direct Bitcoin comparison against M1 money supply. Never broke the ATH and is currently sitting at a wide technical support level.
There is a important resistance range at 3.24 and secondary support level at 1.25.
As you can see, Bitcoin rejected perfectly at resistance (3.50) and bounced perfectly from Major Support line (1.70).
The chart explains it perfectly.
As long as things stay above that 1.70 level, I think this could be a significant S&R Flip, with Bitcoin showing strength as a hedge against inflation.
If it falls below 1.70, well... then I will assume a more...
There are too many variables, FED printed Money, US 10 Years interest and bitcoin.
This is an experimental study no certain output available
If the gray box will be broken, there might be a massive rug pull.
close below the red trend line is also risky.
There is a double top divergence which might force to go lower.
Do the math
I took a closer look at the difference between the BLX/M1 chart and the standard BLX one.
I specifically looked at the times the price of BTC definitively crossed its previous ath. The difference between those charts in previous bull runs is minimal. In terms of time difference its 7d and 28d respectively and an about 30% to 40% difference.
BUT this time around...