This is the first time since the M2 Money supply has been tracked that there has been a contraction. The population over 65 is increasing at an alarming rate. Population growth is decreasing at an alarming rate. This seemingly indicates that there is going to be a shortage of workers and consumers in the US market. What does this mean for the constituents of...
Market shocks and drawdowns are designed to shake you out. Charts are pointing to continual asset inflation this decade. #DOWJONES to $64,000 was a general target I had in mind a few years ago. NOW we have confirmation this could indeed play out over the coming 5-7 years #FTSE100 to break 10,000 and indeed we have a target of over 12,000 #DAX to...
Now we have a period of high inflation that, in my opinion, will continue for some time. Even if it falls (as the M2 money stock decline points out), we may have a second reversal wave of inflation during the revival after the current bear market. For this reason, a lot of people are waiting for a pivot, which, according to them, will mark the low. This statement...
"Russell 2000 / M2 Money Supply" ratio 1) It moves in a horizental trend in the long-term. 2) %20 discounted compared to 500 days MVA. 3) Nearly touched a major long-term horizental support. Of course it can also move more downwards if the crisis/war deepens but we can say that the probability of upwards move is more likely. First target: 0.095-0.100
Correlation between PESO m2 BCRA and MEP measured by AAPL/AAPLD on BYMA
Just playing around with M2 money supply chart the reason we have inflation ! We have increased M2 by 40% in the last 2 years a process which usually takes 5-6 years historically.
Hello Traders, This is somewhat an educational post as well as some TA with possible directions to watch for. update on #QQQ (#Nasdaq 100 ETF) vs #M2SL seasonally adjusted money flow in billions. When indexing this chart to a scale of 100 we may have a clearer picture of what is going to play out, important areas to watch for that may present opportunity and...
Lets take a look at the historical charts to compare silver to other mountains of money to gauge value. Is silver cheap or is it expensive? how would we know. Lets investigate and form an opinion. SILVER SLV GOLD GLD CEF
Do you think is it good idea to evaluate Gold price movements with these data? I strongly believe one thing for sure which is obvious; there are so many dollars printed...
The fundamental cheapness of gold is a fairly sideways chart. We are approaching a similar cheapness as was seen in 1999 to 2003 where we saw a ~700% rally until 2012. When we established a top in the channel in 2012, the market bottomed. It appears currently that it's not done selling off and has some room to run down, or is about to establish a sideways bottom...
M2 is the money in circulation issued by the government. (fred.stlouisfed.org) M2REAL is the real value of M2 deflated by the CPIAUCSL (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers). (fred.stlouisfed.org) (fred.stlouisfed.org) M2REAL is in an infinite uptrend, with a downward correction now. The correlation with SPX is positive as both are falling. A change in...
Some people say that things are getting cheap. I agree, they are in the process of getting cheap, but we're not quite there yet as far as historical bottoms go. The Russell isn't that cheap yet, still twice as expensive as in 2009. Unless a true miracle happens, it's hard to see any upside in this market as far as real wealth terms(as opposed to numerical price...
We are dead cat bouncing. #Biden is attempting to reduce the price of oil via favourable taxes so companies will produce more oil. This could help CPI moderate. Supply chains remain crippled, so this dead cat rolls over on the next piece of bad news. This could come in the form of unemployment start to accelerate. In prior recessions, unemployment typically...
SPX / M2 is in an uptrend as per ascending channel. It last bottomed in the 2008-2009 crisis. Currently struggling in this multi-decades resistance area (red rectangle). Break it in the following months and the road is clear for another top in 2038.
The sharpest decline in a very long time. Clearly, a drain is underway. FED will release its updated balance sheet shortly. After a $51B Drain followed by a $4B add.... We'll see how well roll off indicated after June 15th has been handeld.
BTC, normalised for M2 growth, is now trading at the 2019 $12k peak, not the 2017 $20k peak. M2 over this period has grown 47%... *FOURTY-SEVEN-FFFFING-PERCENT* BTC is grossly oversold
The fundamentals that move markets dashboard Here you find the: SPY , VIX , DXY , Crude oil , Commodities , Fed-Funds, 2YR-T, 10YR-T, the Fed's balance sheet, and the M2 money supply.
8-minute video where I gloss over the big picture stuff relating to the Markets and as they relate to the M2 (WM2NS) Money Stock. This is a High Time Frame analysis of the Market charts like the Dow and SP500 vs the Printing of Money and the increase in Money Supply. Basically, the entire market exists as a function of printing money, organic growth hasn't been...