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OMITradingGroup OMITradingGroup EURUSD, 240,
EURUSD: EURUSD
106 0 2
EURUSD, 240
EURUSD

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codypd codypd SPX500, W,
SPX500: A tale of two transitions - Oil and SPX to soon part ways
72 0 2
SPX500, W
A tale of two transitions - Oil and SPX to soon part ways

For the last several years US equities have benefited from a liquidity flood that caused a commodity bull. The oil boom / bust is a good example, and you can see from their recent change in correlation, we may be seeing the last weeks of those two assets moving roughly in tandem. The last time the correlation movement was this unstable was 2008/2009 - when they ...

djflowmaster djflowmaster AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL Showing Macro HnS pttn. w/ extension of move to 82
179 1 5
AAPL, D Short
AAPL Showing Macro HnS pttn. w/ extension of move to 82

Looks bearish on the daily as it is showing a Macro HnS pttn. that has broken to the downside of 108.50 lvls. A possible tgt. w/ the extension of the move to around the 82 area as the 2nd tgt. area. Also, it is showing a bear flag pttn. as a follow-thru pttn. to the HnS pttn. w/ an extn. of that pttn. to around the 90 area as the 1st tgt. As always volume is key ...

MarcusWilliamson MarcusWilliamson 1/GLD, D,
1/GLD: GLD & BTC Correlation?
45 0 1
1/GLD, D
GLD & BTC Correlation?

I struggle to fully understand the connection here, if anything I would have thought the direct correlation between these two assets would exist. Flight to safe haven be it a cryptocurrency or an asset like gold, I would have thought the same fear drives these actions. This chart is contrary to that view / idea, here we have seen a pronounced tracking since ...

PipperA PipperA EURJPY, D, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY Hitting Daily Trendline Resistance
63 0 1
EURJPY, D Short
EURJPY Hitting Daily Trendline Resistance

Right under major resistance, a macro small position short may help pay for holiday shopping

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: MACRO VIEW: WTI OIL UPDATE: BREAKDOWN FROM THE RANE
292 3 4
CL1!, D Short
MACRO VIEW: WTI OIL UPDATE: BREAKDOWN FROM THE RANE

Following the OPEC decision to avoid cutting their oil production, WTI Oil has again broken down from its relevant range border, this time it looks like for good. Price is now significantly below both 1-year and 1-quater distribution, trading above below 1st standard deviations from 1-year and 1-quarter mean - signaling more downside probability. The move will ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel USDRUB, D, Long ,
USDRUB: MACRO VIEW: USDRUB UPDATE: BREAKOUT FROM THE RANGE
190 0 4
USDRUB, D Long
MACRO VIEW: USDRUB UPDATE: BREAKOUT FROM THE RANGE

After the WTI Oil has confirmed its breakdown from its relevant range, USDRUB reacted accordingly - by breaking out from its range it has been in since September. Price is now above both 1-year and 1-quater distribution, trading above upper 1st standard deviations from 1-year and 1-quarter mean - signaling more upside probability.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XLU, D, Long ,
XLU: MACRO VIEW: XLU STRUGGLING TO GET BACK INTO MACRO UPTRENDS
36 0 3
XLU, D Long
MACRO VIEW: XLU STRUGGLING TO GET BACK INTO MACRO UPTRENDS

XLU - the SPDR utilities sector ETF is struggling to get back into macro uptrends, while showing no bias on short term. On long term perspective the price is trading around upper 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean, which is a 5-year uptrend border. The price is also technically in 10-year uptrend, trading above the upper 1st standard deviation from 10-year ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XLK, D, Long ,
XLK: MACRO VIEW: XLK IN UPTREND ON ALL FRONTS
27 0 2
XLK, D Long
MACRO VIEW: XLK IN UPTREND ON ALL FRONTS

XLK - the SPDR Tech sector ETF s in firm uptrend both on macro and on micro perspective, and it is the best-looking US sector ETF from the SPDR range. On long term perspective price has broken back into the 5 and 10 year uptrend, trading above upper first standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means respectively On long term perspective price has recently broken ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XLB, D,
XLB: MACRO VIEW: XLB IN UNCERTAINTY ON ALL FRONTS
29 0 4
XLB, D
MACRO VIEW: XLB IN UNCERTAINTY ON ALL FRONTS

XLB trades within uncertain territory both on macro and micro basis. On long term perspective price has failed its 10 and 5 year trends, and now trades between 2 macro levels - the 5-year mean at 41.50 and the 10-year uptrend border at 46.50. On short term perspective price also showing no particular trend - XLB is trading within 1st standard deviations from ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel SPX, W, Long ,
SPX: MACRO VIEW: SPX UPDATE: 5-YEAR UPTREND  RESTORED
137 2 7
SPX, W Long
MACRO VIEW: SPX UPDATE: 5-YEAR UPTREND RESTORED

S&P 500 restores 5-year uptrend by breaking above the upper 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean (at 2020), signaling more long term upside probability. One should also note that the August selloff did not trigger the test of the 10-year trend (price did not tag the 10-year uptrend border at 1845), meaning the upward bias is pretty strong on the index.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XLF, D,
XLF: MACRO VIEW: XLF AT MACRO UNCERTAINTY, STILL RECOVERING FROM 2008
39 0 3
XLF, D
MACRO VIEW: XLF AT MACRO UNCERTAINTY, STILL RECOVERING FROM 2008

Financial SPDR ETF is still recovering from 2008 losses and did not make it back in terms of prices. On long term basis - XLF has only recently crossed back the 10-year mean upwards (now at 21.50) and have been in 5-year uptrend until the recent August selloff. Currently it is trading within 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean, showing no macro trend. On ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XLP, D, Long ,
XLP: MACRO VIEW: XLP IN FIRM  MACRO UPTREND
24 0 4
XLP, D Long
MACRO VIEW: XLP IN FIRM MACRO UPTREND

Consumer Staples SPDR ETF is looking good on both short term and long term basis. On long term basis - XLP trades in both 5 and 10 year uptrend, as the price stands firmly above 1st upper standard deviations from both 5 and 10 year means It has tested its 5-year trend during the august selloff and held it successfully. On short term basis - XLP shows no trends ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel USDRUB, D,
USDRUB: MACRO VIEW: USDRUB UPDATE: INTO THE LATERAL RANGE
245 0 3
USDRUB, D
MACRO VIEW: USDRUB UPDATE: INTO THE LATERAL RANGE

USDRUB has finally managed to end its upward trend, started the begining of June 2015 The price level has shifted - before uptrend USDRUB was trading about 55, now it is trading north of 60. The end of the uptrend was marked by the price falling below quarterly mean and within 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean. Thus currently the pair is range-bound, with ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel V, D, Long ,
V: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: VISA IN LONG TERM UPTREND
64 0 2
V, D Long
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: VISA IN LONG TERM UPTREND

VIZA is looking good both on long term and short term perspective On long term basis price is in firm 5-year uptrend, trending above 1st upper standard deviation from 5- year mean. The stock is traded relatively recently, so there is no way yet to measure its performance against 10-year mean. On short term basis the picture confirms the macro uptrend - slope of ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel VZ, D, Short ,
VZ: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: VERIZON IN UNCERTAINTY, ON SHORT TERM RISK
62 0 2
VZ, D Short
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: VERIZON IN UNCERTAINTY, ON SHORT TERM RISK

At least stock price wise, not all is looking good for Verizon... Trading between macro means on long term basis, price signalling uncertainty. Price has recently failed 5-year mean at 44 and is now between it and 10-year mean at 38. No trend on macro basis is an outlier, indicating that currently long term institutional investors are unsure regarding this ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel MICEX/USDRUB, D, Short ,
MICEX/USDRUB: MACRO VIEW: MICEX IN USD RISKS ANOTHER BREAKDOWN
113 0 3
MICEX/USDRUB, D Short
MACRO VIEW: MICEX IN USD RISKS ANOTHER BREAKDOWN

Rusian MICEX index, measured in US dollars is on risk of another severe breakdown. Price is now currently trading at a key level - converged lower 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly means (@ 24.75) If the level is taken out, price will be open to fall to its relevant lows @ 23 and If those are broken down, next target would be 18.5 - the 2014 ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel MRK, D, Short ,
MRK: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: MRK IN MACRO UNCERTAINTY, ON MICRO RISK
47 0 3
MRK, D Short
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: MRK IN MACRO UNCERTAINTY, ON MICRO RISK

Merck fell into uncertainty on long term basis, but is on risk to fall on short term perspective. On long term perspective price is now in lateral range after it failed 10-year uptrend, by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 54.65 (now the range upper border). The lower border of the macro lateral range is marked by 5-year mean, standing now ...

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