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Killy_Mel Killy_Mel JPM, D, Long ,
JPM: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: JPM TESTING MACRO UPTRENDS
63 0 4
JPM, D Long
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: JPM TESTING MACRO UPTRENDS

JPMorgan is testing its macro uptrend, after successfully testing its 10-year uptrend, currently price tires to reestablish its 5-year uptrend. Recently price has bounced up from the 10-year uptrend border, marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (at 57) Currently price is trading around its 5-year uptrend border, marked by upper 1st st deviation from ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel JNJ, D,
JNJ: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: JNJ HOLDS LONG TERM TREND, SHORT TERM RISK
41 0 4
JNJ, D
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: JNJ HOLDS LONG TERM TREND, SHORT TERM RISK

JNJ micro picture currently contradicts macro one. On long term basis, JNJ has held the test of 10-year trend by falling below and then bouncing back up above the 10-year uptrend border (marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, now at 91) On short term basis, however, price has fallen below 1st standard deviations from quarterly (66-day) and 1-year ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel XOM, D, Short ,
XOM: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: EXXON IS ON RISK OF FURTHER DECLINE
93 0 1
XOM, D Short
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: EXXON IS ON RISK OF FURTHER DECLINE

Exxon is in a complex situation - but overall risk is still to the downside at the moment. On long term basis, XOM fell out of 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean (at 76 now), but is still holding within 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (although, below the mean itself) Thus XOM is on risk of decline there at least to 65 - which is the lower 1st ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel CL1!, M, Short ,
CL1!: MACRO VIEW: WTI OIL IS STILL ON LONG TERM DOWNTREND RISK
288 2 5
CL1!, M Short
MACRO VIEW: WTI OIL IS STILL ON LONG TERM DOWNTREND RISK

WTI Oil recently broke down into the 10-year downtrend by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (120 month), and confirmed it by holding the test of the level (now at 56.5) As long as price holds below the level among expanding volatility (marked by 3.2 standard deviations from the mean), risk of lower prices persists.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel CSCO, D,
CSCO: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: CISCO IN MACRO RANGE
72 0 3
CSCO, D
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: CISCO IN MACRO RANGE

Cisco Systems trades in macro range - on 5 and 10 year basis. Price is now currently trading between 2 key levels. The lower level is combined from 5-year (260 weeks) and 10-year (520 weeks) means and is at about 22. The higher level is combined from upper 1st standard deviations from the same means and is at 27. Price trading within 1 standard deviation is not ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: FX CHART OF THE DAY (2): GBPUSD IS ON BREAKDOWN RISK
204 0 7
GBPUSD, 60 Short
FX CHART OF THE DAY (2): GBPUSD IS ON BREAKDOWN RISK

GBPUSD is on risk of a macro breakdown (see related chart) On short term basis the situation is now tradable - Pound is breaking below 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean, amid expanding volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from the weekly mean) Traders can pick shorts at the 1st standard deviation (1.5300) and stops at the weekly (1.5375) ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: MACRO VIEW: GBPUSD MACRO BREAKDOWN RISK
104 0 4
GBPUSD, D Short
MACRO VIEW: GBPUSD MACRO BREAKDOWN RISK

GPBUSD is risking to enter into a downtrend on quarterly basis, with price falling out of flat lower 1st standard deviation from quarterly (66 day) mean at 1.5390 As long as price trades below the level, risk of further downmove is very high - it can trigger volatility expansion (marked by 3.2 standard deviations from quarterly mean) The risk is only cancelled ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel BA, D, Long ,
BA: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: BOEING HOLDS 10-YEAR TREND
101 0 3
BA, D Long
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: BOEING HOLDS 10-YEAR TREND

During the recent selloff, Boeing on long term basis failed the 5-year uptrend by falling below 1st upper standard deviation from 5-year (260-week) mean @ 137, however held the test of 10-year uptrend by bouncing up from 1st upper standard deviation from 10-year (520-week) mean @ 121. On short term basis, the price managed to hold 1-year ascending channel ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel AAPL, D, Long ,
AAPL: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: APPLE HOLDS 10-YEAR UPTREND TEST
513 2 8
AAPL, D Long
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: APPLE HOLDS 10-YEAR UPTREND TEST

During the recent selloff, Apple on long term basis failed the 5-year uptrend by falling below 1st upper standard deviation from 5-year (260-week) mean @ 109, however held the test of 10-year uptrend by bouncing up from 1st upper standard deviation from 10-year (520-week) mean @ 92. On short term basis, the price managed to hold 1-year ascending channel (marked ...

MacroThinking MacroThinking SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: Stock Market at Important Juncture
141 1 2
SPX500, W Long
Stock Market at Important Juncture

The S&P500 is at an important point in time. This excellent chart from @YaKa shows how the market is now at a meaningful long-term inflection point after a 7.5 year run. Normally this would be convincing, but this market cycle is different and thus the last run cannot be used for precise comparison. This market is not expensive enough at a point in the economic ...

djflowmaster djflowmaster EURUSD, M, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Macro Look - looks to continue downtrend
248 0 0
EURUSD, M Short
EURUSD Macro Look - looks to continue downtrend

The Euro looks bearish here along with oil. It has been in a macro downtrend or downward parallel channel since 7/08' which only accelerated the downtrend in 9/14' with the accompanying rising dollar and falling oil prices which the rising dollar is inverse with most currencies and oil. Right now.......the Euro is consolidating along w/ Oil & USD. When USD starts ...

djflowmaster djflowmaster CL1!, M, Short ,
CL1!: Oil Macro Look - Bearish still possibly
625 6 5
CL1!, M Short
Oil Macro Look - Bearish still possibly

Oil looks bearish here on a macro timeframe. It broke down through the upward macro sloping trendline around Aug. and then thru the 50 dma in Sept. and has been in a downtrend ever since then. The fast decline and bear mkt. caught many by surprise. Oil is currently showing a macro bear flag pttn. w/ tgts. being in a range of 27-16 lvls. depending on where you draw ...

BobbyBlueShoes BobbyBlueShoes SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: S&P vs retail spending?
89 0 1
SPX, W Short
S&P vs retail spending?

Are the last few month's decrease in retail sales "transitory" as the FED puts it or should the market be pricing in risk. The last time retail sales started falling like this, the market had already priced in risk for 1 year. QE and NZIRP do strange things!

BobbyBlueShoes BobbyBlueShoes SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: S&P vs. new orders?
127 0 5
SPX, W Short
S&P vs. new orders?

So which one will correct? QE and NZIRP have created such a bubble since 2013 and has completely diverged from macro fundamentals. Based on history, which always returns back to mean? But it's different this time, until it's not.

djflowmaster djflowmaster GLD, M, Short ,
GLD: $GLD
251 0 2
GLD, M Short
$GLD

Looks bearish on a long-term timeframe.......looks like a macro bear flag pttn. w/ a tgt. of around 80 for the extn. of the move......of course if it b/o of the upper trendline around 125-126 to the upside then the pttn. is not valid.....if it trend down to the lower end of the range & then b/o to the downside of the pttn. around 110 then it could go to the tgt. ...

retailpropshop retailpropshop GC1!, D, Long ,
GC1!: Long Gold
146 0 1
GC1!, D Long
Long Gold

With interest rates around the globe slowly entering negative territory, gold become a rewarding asset yielding zero... Is it the end of the cyclical bear market and the start of a new bull? I am definitely opening some long with the hope of pyramiding later this year. For the time being, a nice speculative long position can be entered on a retest of the neck ...

MaxxPayme MaxxPayme PRO BRK.A, M,
BRK.A: Monthly BRK/A study - Possible Parabolic Climax?
118 0 3
BRK.A, M
Monthly BRK/A study - Possible Parabolic Climax?

Just an interesting study using arcs and Fib retracements. Using BRK for an overall proxy for our markets to gain insights as to if we may be nearing a generational top. This chart suggests to me that we may be closer to some sort of top than we are to the beginning of a new secular bull market as some have suggested.

J.Livermore J.Livermore PRO XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: Ca$h is king. This incredible run hurts any commodities (BTC?)
256 2 2
XAUUSD, M
Ca$h is king. This incredible run hurts any commodities (BTC?)

With this very pronounced strengthening of the dollar, none of the commodities are immune to that, from wheat to palladium. One of the main standard to look for is how gold is reacting, and it is going through some pretty tough times. The question is, what about Bitcoin? ==> Does the money go back into the box and leave speculative investments like Bitcoin is?

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