This chart incorporates the Bitcoin's market cycles inside the parabolic shape factoring in the halving effect.
The halving has so far occurred after the bottom of each market cycle was made so based on that (next halving May 2020) the new bottom should take place inside this February - April.
What is even more important than that is the lengthening of each...
Market cycle study through sinewave suggests the following:
Bull market are long as one full wave length: Lambda (peak to peak)
Bear market lasts Lambda/2
Accumulation lasts Lambda/2
Currently in accumulation phase.
Sinewave peaks overlap monthly macd histogram peaks
Just an idea, but if you use the long form Fibonacci sequence of numbers as extensions of bitcoin's very first bull run in 2011, you get some interesting results. This provides key levels of support and resistance, which were projected way back in 2011.
It almost seems as if we are climbing the long form sequence, with important targets having been reached at...
As the S&P500 approached its all-time high last week, it was met with massive resistance in the form of more EM problems. I strongly believe you do not need to know current news to analyze price action, because they commonly work together. Price has been attempting to get over this ket resistance zone in the past six months, and has not been able to do it. Whether...
First, here's a static picture of the chart we'll be discussing.
Something I do very often is get lost in the charts, comparing old data to new, recycling old methods and even memeing technical analysis like the Wall Street Cheat Sheet based off psychology.
Today, I decided instead of overlaying the two...
I think it is time to publish my LONG TERM view on Silver. I believe within next couple of years we will witness a complete sentiment change on Silver as we getting out of depression phase of a market cycle. This change will manifest itself in a great rally to at least peak price of 2016 year which is $21. Later it will gain much more after possible retrace.
Hello everyone! This is my first ever TV post! There will certainly be more to come in the future!
Firstly, I want to thank you all for stopping by. I've finally decided to come out of my shell, and I feel like I have something important to say. To help involve myself in the trading community I would like to point out a few things that no one has really...
I'm no mathematician so I kind of pulled these numbers out my ass to be honest. But hear me out.
Assuming the trend continues (on increasing market cycle time), then these are some guesstimated numbers of this market cycle's bottom and top.
Pink vertical line is bottom, orange is top.
Bottom this autumn, with next top in 2022/2023.
Also note the time the...
There have been many talks about a recession, every youtube/facebook guru and their mom was talking about it, and although the market crashed late last year it was quite uneventful to the average individual. And we got quite a bull run afterward however, I believe the actual recession hasn't hit yet. on the 22nd of March, the 10-year U.S bond yield curve became...
Quite a few things going on within this chart, but what I'm trying to convey is actually very simple.
The chart is based off a few key models which have been used with tremendous accuracy for over a century.
Model 1) Bear markets will usually last about 18 months in duration.
Model 2) Bear markets will usually last about 1/3 as long as the previous bull....
Hey guys! Posting an update on my DJI analysis, since we're close to invalidating the possibility of further weakness (for the time being). As I said in my previous analysis, it was best to remain on the sidelines after the bounce from the 21000 area, since it was fairly strong. In addition, I indicated the possibility that we'd actually break the previous high,...
Looking to short it at resistance level marked on the chart.
This week we are in a buy model.
Low of the week was established on Tuesday. We have approximately 3 days of rise. Week high was on Thursday.
Price rised to week high today. Currently on intraday level 1 Rise.
Looking at CAD news to propel it upwards and reverse on hitting resistance.
Current price to...
What are we in for?
Could this be the top of the market right now?
End of a market Cycle?
Maybe, seeing as the early warning signs are here. With similar structure to the previous cycle, at the top of a rising wedge/channel and the sell volume increasing... The signs do not look promising for continuation for sustained uptrend. The Market is always right,...
If I learned something in 2018 it is about market cycles. 2017 was the year I learn to draw trendlines and follow performing assets early on, and 2018 the year I learned about market cycles (and start doing the opposite of what I did in 2017 - enter opposite to trends).
Maybe by 2020 I will have learned how to do both.
So to be clear, this is not an idea...
I have a lot of thoughts to express, so I apologize if this is rather long. Since my first DJI analysis and short setup, we have dropped a good 14%. There was a chance that we could rally higher, sort of like we did before the Great Depression, but we've broken the bullish structure. Until we see any movement above the 26000 area, we can assume we will be in a...