In this post, I'll be breaking down Bitcoin's market cycle theory, explaining my perspective on the target and time period I have in mind for this bullish rally. If you've been keeping track of my other posts, you'll notice that I've been very clear with the fact that the overall trend remains bullish on Bitcoin, as much as the short term trend may appear...
Here I present my indictor for longterm swing trades and/or general market cycle analysis of bitcoin: the top & bottom price action integral bands (short: PAIBs)!
Instead of fitting some curve dependent on time (~ f(t)), I integrate over price action with two custom functionals. Then if I expand those functionals by +- 5% I get two bands, in blue the top price...
This, like my previous two posts, is a model playing with multiplied moving averages. I found that more "spot on" cycle tops were seen when multiplying exponential moving averages, rather than simple moving averages. It appears that the relationship between the length of the moving average and pi is not really present here, as the 100, 200, and 400 day EMA...
Based on this chart we are currently in the complacency stage. The description fits quite well for the overall market sentiment. For months now we have heard about how we are in a much needed correction for the next great run up. Think of all the emotions that you experienced from the March crash to the May top. Many of us have felt the optimism, belief, thrill,...
AXS market cycle based from their white paper. This is how you make money in crypto!
November 2020 - Day 0
December 2021 - Month 1
January 2021 - Month 2
February 2021 - Month 3
May 2021 - Month 6
June 2021 - Month 7
July 2021 - Month 8
August 2021 - Month 9 (End of 1st Wave)
September 2021 - Month 10
October 2021 - Month 11
November 2021 - Month 12
The 2 major Expansion Cycles of the 20th Century, both expanded exactly +2509%. & both over exactly 18 Years from ATH Breakout!!
In this analysis, I compare the size and duration of the 2 major economic expansions cycles of the 20th Century, identifying the key components of each individual cycle to draw Observations, Parallels and Predictions with the 3rd major...
Quick analysis for today. There has been a question in the air for the last 2-3 months. "Are we in a bear market?". Well there is not a simple yes or no answer for this and I would say it is a little too early to call. I am personally leaning more bearish as I am seeing rallies with bearish price action representing dead cat bounces. Not to...
$alts #Altseason #Cryptos
Update long term crypto market analysis (#total2 )
*Double top 1: Wave 3 of main cycle, end of 4 years repetitive cycle (Novembre 1-15).
*Double top 2: Wave 5, end of lengthening cycle (June 2022-June 2023).
*Final target: between 0,382 and 0,5 of last cycle.
From this chart alone, it looks like the top may be in. With that being said, this conclusion is not absolute as there are still many other factors that could lead to the continuation of the bull market. IF we have topped, however, one can see that when price drops below the dashed green line, it is best to accumulate as much $BTC as possible before the next rally...
GOLD is currently printing several similar patterns on our indicators that could lead to a 12% drop soon - if confirmed this move would repeat the 2012-2013 cycle where dxy over time dominates the markets - when dxy is bull - most other markets are going bear.
This week's dip on the AMEX:SPY revealed something important within the Sector Rotation model. For the last quarter the Sector Rotation model has been giving mixed signals following the clear predictive path it forecasted coming out of March 2020. This recent price shock provided a glimpse into where the money is moving right now!
Hello Traders and Analysts,
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment...
I was going to hold off posting this until the current daily close as it could invalidate my entire road map for now, I'm already short how ever was looking to cover my position today with the intentions of seeing a buy back on the daily close.
If this current Daily candle closes well below the current short term range support I'm expecting more downside much...
• Market Phases :
2) Mark Up
4) Mark Down
• Bitcoin already entered its markdown phase. What’s been happening lately in my opinion is not an accumulation phase, but a redistribution phase which is usually followed by another markdown.
Last April I made a comparison of fractals towards a bear market and it was carried out, we currently see a recovery but how true can it be in the face of a bullish break? We can get to have a bulltrap and come back again and double-bottom in the 30k. Otherwise, we can break well and head towards the 44-48k level in case this is done in a good way, we could visit...
The great unwind... As Mark Cuban calls it. Such capitulations are, however, not uncommon throughout Bitcoin's history. Feb 2018, Nov 2018 and Mar 2020... To name a few. Of course, to newcomers, such volatility is difficult to stomach. At least, that was how I felt back in 2017.
The latest China FUD is simply three banking and payments associations in China...