Top in for $MRVL?MRVL looks like it's forming a top here.
After a parabolic run since the lows in March, we look set to have a large correction.
How low do we go? TBD, but parabolic runs usually end in 70%+ moves to the downside.
So beware if you're holding onto longs here, I think the downside could get ugly.
Marvelltechnology
MRVL – While Everyone Watched Nvidia, This One Nearly Doubled. MRVL – While Everyone Watched Nvidia, This One Nearly Doubled. $175 Breaks Today.
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Nobody was talking about Marvell six months ago. Now it's quietly one of the top performing semiconductor stocks of the year and it's breaking to all-time highs today.
I have a starter position. If this closes over $175 I'm adding the rest. Stop is at today's low below the gap.
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THE SNEAKY STORY EVERYONE MISSED
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While the whole world was watching Nvidia, Marvell was doing something most traders never noticed. It designs the custom AI accelerators, high-speed Ethernet switches, and optical interconnects that move data across the massive GPU clusters powering AI at scale. No Marvell, no data center networking. It's the plumbing behind the AI buildout and it spent years being an afterthought. StockAnalysis
That changed in April. Nvidia announced a $2 billion strategic investment into Marvell, linking Marvell's custom XPUs and networking solutions directly into Nvidia's NVLink Fusion AI factory ecosystem. That's not a supplier relationship anymore — that's Nvidia writing a $2 billion check and saying Marvell is critical infrastructure. Ticker Nerd
On top of that, Marvell landed a custom chip engagement with Alphabet and acquired Celestial AI to build out optical interconnect leadership. Three major catalysts stacking in the same quarter.
Data centers now represent 73% of total revenue. Last quarter revenue hit a record $2.07 billion, up 37% year over year. This is not a hype story — the numbers are real and accelerating. MarketBeat
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THE SETUP
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High tight flat breaking today. $175 is the trigger — that's the 52-week high and the level this stock has been coiling under. When a name that's been an afterthought for years finally gets institutional sponsorship, a Nvidia investment, and record revenue all at once, and then breaks to all-time highs — that is a powerful combination.
Starter position in. Adding on a close over $175.
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TRADE PLAN
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Trigger: Close over $175
Add: On confirmation close above the level
Stop: Today's low below the gap
Pattern: High tight flat breakout to all-time highs
The key is whether it can rise above 87.68 ~ 92.50
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To continue the uptrend, the price must remain above 81.28.
Therefore, the key is whether it can find support in the 81.28 ~ 91.78 range and rise.
If the upward movement fails, a decline to the 27.15-36.84 level is likely, so a response plan should be considered.
Accordingly, the 66.26 level is the stop-loss point.
If the price finds support in the 81.28-91.78 range and rises, it is expected to attempt an upward move toward the Fibonacci level of 1.618 (156.85).
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To continue the uptrend by breaking above key levels or milestones, the StochRSI, BSSC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends.
If possible,
1. The StochRSI indicator should not have entered the overbought zone.
2. The BSSC indicator should remain above the 0 level.
3. The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line.
Check to see if the above conditions are met.
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A short-term high has formed in the 87.68 ~ 92.50 range.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above this range and maintain its upward momentum.
If the price declines, support in the 81.28 ~ 83.73 range is crucial.
This is because the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing.
If the upward trend begins, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above the 112.86 ~ 115.90 range.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can find support in the 87.68 ~ 92.50 range and continue upward.
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Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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Marvell Technology Stock: AI Growth Outlook vs Weak Price ActionMarvell Technology (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MRVL ) posted stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings, delivering $0.76 EPS on $2.08B revenue, slightly beating analyst expectations. Despite the beat, shares slipped over 5% after-hours, largely due to market concern around short-term margins and spending tied to the company’s latest acquisition.
Management delivered upbeat guidance for Q4, forecasting $0.79 EPS at the midpoint with $2.20B revenue, both above Wall Street estimates. The company expects full-year revenue to grow above 40%, driven primarily by accelerating demand across AI datacenter infrastructure.
A major highlight is Marvell’s acquisition of Celestial AI, a photonics-focused startup positioned in the next wave of high-speed, low-power interconnects. The acquisition deepens Marvell’s footprint in AI compute and networking, a segment CEO Matt Murphy says is entering a “multi-year expansion cycle.” The company also noted that AI datacenter revenue growth for next year is now expected to exceed earlier projections, reinforcing Marvell’s positioning among key semiconductor names benefiting from hyperscale AI investment.
Still, investors appear cautious as broader semiconductor valuations stay elevated. While fundamentals point to strong growth into 2026, short-term stock weakness reflects concerns about execution risk, integration expenses, and near-term volatility across the AI chip supply chain.
TECHNICALS
MRVL remains in a broad uptrend, respecting a rising trendline from mid-2025. Price recently rejected resistance near $97, pulling back toward the $73 support zone, which aligns with the trendline. If this zone continues to hold, bulls maintain control with upside targets $127.
A breakdown below the trendline exposes $61 and $47 support levels. RSI remains neutral-bullish, supporting continuation if volume returns.
$MRVL pullback below $75 sets up new long to $100+MRVL is consolidating in an expanding triangle (bullish) chart formation however price action looks a bit extended here.
I think it's likely that we pullback from here into one of the support levels below, and then that will setup a fresh long up to the upper resistance levels on the chart.
Let's see how the idea plays out over the coming weeks.
Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) Dips 16% On Earnings ReportMarvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) faced a sharp 16% decline in premarket trading on Thursday following the release of its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report. While the semiconductor giant exceeded Wall Street’s expectations on both revenue and earnings per share (EPS), investor sentiment soured due to an uninspiring outlook.
Strong Growth, Weak Guidance
Despite the stock's decline, Marvell delivered solid earnings results for Q4:
- Revenue: $1.82 billion (+27% YoY), surpassing analyst consensus.
- Adjusted EPS: $0.60 per share, up from $0.46 a year ago.
- Data Center Segment: Revenue surged 78% YoY to $1.37 billion, reflecting strong AI infrastructure demand.
However, the market’s reaction was driven by Marvell’s fiscal Q1 guidance, which projected:
- Revenue of $1.875 billion, within analysts' expectations but lacking significant upside.
- Adjusted EPS forecast of $0.56 - $0.66, failing to excite investors anticipating a stronger AI-driven catalyst.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:MRVL now trades below key moving averages, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend. The stock’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently sits at 38, signaling weakness but not yet oversold territory, suggesting sellers may still have control.
NVIDIA's Technical Outlook After the Market CrashYesterday, the market experienced a sell-off that pushed most stocks into the red. One of the key stocks in the spotlight was NVIDIA (NVDA).
From a technical perspective, NVDA had been drifting between the $130 and $150 range for the past three months without establishing a clear direction. During this time, the stock made several attempts to break above the $150 level, but all efforts failed – investors simply weren’t ready to pay such a high price.
Yesterday, the stock finally found a direction: not above $150, but instead below $130. Slightly lower price levels have now taken over.
Current Technical Outlook
At the moment, the stock is once again trapped between two levels – $130 as resistance and $100 as support. Currently, the price sits in what I’d describe as "no-man’s land," and for me, the optimal buy zone would be in the range of $90–$107.5. If the price doesn’t reach this area (pre-market is already up 5%) and instead rebounds back above $130, we can react there, in what I’d consider a safer zone. For now, it’s best to let things settle.
Opening positions at this stage might be risky; ultimately, it’s about balancing risks with your strategy. Personally, I always aim for the best possible prices or the safest scenario. For me, the lower zone between $90 and $107.5 offers the best potential value.
Second Scenario
Another approach is to wait for the price to break back above the current resistance level of $130 and secure a strong weekly close above it. This would signal that the price has moved into a potentially safer zone, suggesting that market panic may have ended well for NVDA holders. This scenario also allows us to take advantage of further potential growth.
Sector Stocks of Interest
Here are a few stocks from this sector that caught my attention and might also be of interest to you:
Broadcom (AVGO)
ASML Holding (ASML)
Marvell Technology (MRVL)
Strongest levels below the current price.
All the best,
Vaido
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the MRVL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 95usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-6,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Marvell shares fell 11.33% on Weak Q1 Reports Marvell Technology ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) reported a significant increase in its data center division's first-quarter revenue, but this did not offset declines in other segments. The company warned in March that sales figures would likely disappoint, but said that its non-data center divisions should recover in the second half of the year. The total revenue for the quarter was $1.16 billion, narrowly above the $1.15 billion analysts expected due to strong demand for its artificial intelligence-related products.
Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) reported a wider-than-expected loss of $215.6 million, or 25 cents per share, as analyst estimates projected a quarterly loss of $196.6 million, or 20 cents per share. Last year, the company lost $168.9 million, or 20 cents per share, in the first quarter.
Marvel's ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) 87% jump in data center revenue to $816.4 million, largely fueled by its AI-related products, wasn't enough to offset declines in its other divisions, which ranged from 13% to 75% compared with last year. The company warned in March that the quarter's results would likely disappoint, but said the declines should be limited to the first quarter as businesses recover in the second half of the year.
Jefferies analysts raised their price target for Marvell stock ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) to $90 from $85, writing that recovery in the company's other divisions "should start to recover and layer on top of the AI business that currently acts as the primary driver of the stock." Marvell projects revenue within 5% of $1.25 billion for the current quarter, with a loss per share of 15 cents to 25 cents.
Technical Outlook
Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) stock is down 11.16% at $68.11 as of the time of writing trading below the 100- day Close Moving Average. The daily price chart shows a long Bearish Harami candle stick pattern which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) however, remains strong moving steadily giving hopes for buyers to delve in.
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold MRVL Marvell Technology before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 72.5usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $8.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Marvell Technology Shares Drop On Weak Forecast Surged FridayIn the wake of Marvell Technology's ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) recent earnings report, investors find themselves at a crossroads, grappling with the reality of a weakened forecast and a sharp decline in stock value. The Santa Clara-based chipmaker, known for its contributions to cloud computing, automotive, and communications sectors, is facing turbulent times ahead, raising questions about its resilience and ability to navigate through the challenges.
The company's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings matched Wall Street's expectations, but its guidance for the upcoming quarter fell well below analysts' estimates. With adjusted earnings predicted at 23 cents a share on sales of $1.15 billion for the current quarter, Marvell's outlook has left investors disillusioned and uncertain about the company's trajectory.
Marvell's CEO, Matt Murphy, attributed the soft forecast to weakened demand across various sectors, including consumer electronics, carrier infrastructure, and enterprise networking. Despite the gloomy short-term outlook, Murphy remains cautiously optimistic, hinting at a potential recovery in the latter half of the fiscal year.
One bright spot amid the dim forecast is Marvell's ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) strong performance in the artificial intelligence (AI) segment. Murphy ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) highlighted AI-driven growth in the data center end-market, with revenue soaring 38% sequentially and 54% year over year. Marvell's strategic positioning as a key player in the AI infrastructure space could offer a glimmer of hope amidst the prevailing uncertainty.
However, challenges lie ahead, particularly in the face of intensifying competition and evolving market dynamics. As technological advancements continue to reshape the landscape, Marvell must adapt swiftly to stay ahead of the curve. The company's success hinges on its ability to innovate, diversify its product offerings, and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
In the aftermath of the earnings report, Marvell's ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) stock witnessed a sharp decline, shedding more than 5% in after-hours trading but shortly spiked with over 4.57%.
As Marvell Technology ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) navigates through choppy waters, investors are closely monitoring its strategic initiatives and execution capabilities. The company's ability to weather the storm and emerge stronger will ultimately determine its long-term success in an increasingly competitive landscape. With uncertainty looming large, the road ahead remains fraught with challenges, but for Marvell, the journey towards sustainable growth continues.
MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 57.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.















