Introduction - In DRAFT 1 and DRAFT 2, I already discussed the "why" and the "how". In this draft, we focus on the just the "what". As in, "what" is going to happen from here on out. Details - In my mind, 2087 is "in the bag", so to speak. This rally will have 2 highs or a double top at the end. The level of the second top should be at least 2110-2120. ...
Introduction - Earlier this week we eliminated 2150 but was still aiming for 2125. Price action last 36 hours have lowered that ceiling under 2110. In theory, that could still hit. But if trend of "lowering ceiling" continues, we have to settle for 2087. DETAILS - The lack of commitment by short term traders has price hanging around "almost" breakout...
INTRODUCTION - This is the second 02/12/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed, 16-hour trend map for FXOPEN XAUUSD spot gold ticker. This chart is expected to be useful until first vertical dashed line or 16 hours. If price disagrees meaningfully - such as when price leaves boxes - then this map expires IMMEDIATELY, If price agrees, then recasting is required after 16...
INTRODUCTION - This is 02/12/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed, 16-hour trend map for FXOPEN XAUUSD spot gold ticker. This chart is expected to be useful until first vertical dashed line or 16 hours. If price disagrees meaningfully, then this map expires IMMEDIATELY. If price agrees, then recasting is required after 16 hours. DETAILS - The previous #2 draft was...
INTRODUCTION - This is 02/09/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed, 16-hour trend map for FXOPEN XAUUSD spot gold ticker. This chart is expected to be useful until expiration at dotted line (16 hours). If price disagrees meaningfully, then this map expires IMMEDIDATELY. If price agrees, then recasting is required after 16 hours. DETAILS - Friday's afternoon's weak...
INTRODUCTION - This is 02/08/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed, 16-hour trend map for spot gold price. This chart is expected to be useful until expiration at dotted line (16 hours). If price disagrees meaningfully then recasting is necessary after 8 hours. If price agrees, then reconfirmation is needed after every 16 hours. DETAILS - I've given up waiting for...
NTRODUCTION - Bears have shifted intermediate curves meaningfully. But they are still dogs. This is the second 02/08/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed, daily binary, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. DETAILS - Medium term curves have shifted so much now that...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 02/08/24, 18-min bar, ultra-detailed >> incomplete signal << in this CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. This one IS SO HARD, you don't even know. DETAILS - So I finished #4B and went back to post #3 to post most recent notes bc #3 was...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 02/05/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed daily binary, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. We've reached tipping point, while bulls still favored 51/49, a move under 2015 would make orange route here the favorite. Taking orange route here...
INTRODUCTION - This is the second 02/06/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed daily binary, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. This is #4, updated with "reconciliation" for all trend charts. DETAILS - I think the cycles people are mistaken. In my humble opinion, most...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 02/06/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed daily binary, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. In previous post #3, bulls hit the box as required, now they have 3 routes to take and it's too early to say which one. DETAILS - As stated in the last...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 02/03/24, 15-min bar, ultra-detailed daily binary, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. In my humble opinion, blue route should be the favorite from now to noon on Tuesday. DETAILS - Link to #1 is in links section below. In that post, I...
SUMMARY - So blue route is most likely route and all its variations. Gray route is the mirror image. Why have it? Because it has proven useful that I make the "opposite of the favorite route. It should either one or the other OR BOTH AT DIFFERENT TIMES. DETAILS - This covers next 48 hours of price action.
SUMMARY - This is just in case we move for 2011 overnight. DETAILS - Price must be on time for bear case to win Thurs/Fri's move to 1970-1985 area.
INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/26/24 unitary (not binary), 15-min bar, 5-day partially-detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST (changes as often as I can update) for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. This is the signal I caught last night, adjusted for bar size, time frame, vol-limits, with consideration for PCE/CORE PCE release...
INTRO - Are we going down again? AGAIN? Will 2000 hold? Will Jerome Powell cut gold bugs a break on last day of January? Have I given up intermediate forecasting? Well, short term trend mapping says there's only one good trade ahead of FOMC. That is short Thursday night into Friday and Sunday. DETAILS - I left off last post saying I caught a bearish signal. This...
INTRODUCTION - This is the second 01/19/24 binary, 3-hour bar, 16-trading day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. From the notes in end of DRAFT 3, this revised "inverse head-and-shoulders" break-out scenario is derived from all combined current trends from micro to super long. This...
INTRODUCTION - This is the 01/19/24 binary, 3-hour bar, 16-trading day ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS & EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. From the notes in end of DRAFT 2, this is the "inverse head-and-shoulders" break-out scenario derived from current short and intermediate (over long and very long) regression...