MSTR Holding Key Support, Bullish if BTC Pushes HigherStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR is testing a major support zone, making this a key area to watch. If BTC continues higher, MSTR could follow with strong upside momentum.
This setup supports a long spot idea while price holds above support, with clear upside targets and a defined risk level.
Trading Levels:
Entry: $115 - $120
TP1: $150 - $172
TP2: $190 - $220
Stop Loss: Below $115
MSTR
Strategy is about as sustainable as social securityThe charts say "Strategy" will likely go bust.
In fact, It may very well be necessary for them to go bust in order to shake out all the poor quality investments in the sector before the next credit expansion into crypto can even happen.
Saylor has leveraged up so much and used shares of this company to purchase bitcoin that a break down with Bitcoin headed to 41k, could mean that Strategy hits $80 around the same time.
He has even roped people into high yielding accounts, acting like a money market bank fund to buy more Bitcoin. What's stopping a bank run on Saylor? Just confidence and denial for now.
We've heard this story before.
All of those people will lose their money.
But we will make a killing.
(Not financial advice, but......dang.)
Comment and Boost if you please.
MSTR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MSTR dropped hard in wave Y of 4, but looks complete, reclaiming the daily pivot. This is now under threat once more as price is testing as support.
📈 Daily RSI hidden bearish divergence is playing out, with plenty of room to fall
👉 Continued downside has a target of the S2 pivot, $83.47
MSTR Strat from here?MSTR Elliott Wave Outlook Remains Mixed as Key Levels Get Tested
Since our last update, price has bounced out of the level of interest 100 area in a corrective fashion to another identified LOI at 150 and rejected. This reaction keeps the structure unclear and leaves both sides of the market with valid arguments.
From a bullish perspective, there is still a path forward. The move out of 100 could be an motive wave and is now being corrected in the pattern of an expanded flat. There is also a less likely leading diagonal scenario where the recent rejection is simply corrective within a larger structure. Both of these interpretations rely on 100 continuing to hold as support.
However, the price action into 150 does not inspire strong confidence. The move higher appears corrective and lacks the impulsive characteristics typically associated with strength. The rejection at 150 introduces the possibility that this was simply a bear flag formation. If that is the case, the market may be setting up for continuation to the downside.
A confirmed break below 100 would shift the structure clearly bearish and open the door for a lower low. Until that happens, the market remains in a state of uncertainty with mixed Elliott Wave signals.
Outlook
At this stage, the structure remains objectively mixed. Bulls need to defend 100 and show impulsive strength above that level. Bears are looking for continuation through 100 following what may be a completed bear flag.
As always, the focus remains on reacting to what the market prints rather than anticipating. So I am looking at which pattern prints here and playing the pattern the prints.
Trade safe, trade clarity.
STRATEGY starting the next bearish wave to $60.Strategy (MSTR) continues to be on a non-stop downtrend since the mid July 2025 High and generally a Bear Cycle since its November 21 2024 All Time High (ATH).
As we've pointed out in previous analyses, the current correction resembles so far the 2021 - 2022 Bear Cycle. Right now we are on a similar counter-trend rally as the one in February - March 2022. Both then and now, the trend respected the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as the Bear Cycle's Resistance and the 2022 fractal initiated the next Bearish Leg to the eventual bottom on the 1M MA200 (red trend-line), completing an almost -90% total crash.
As a result, we will be targeting $60.00 now, which sits just above the 1M MA200 and a potential -90% decline. At the same time it is just above the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 5-year Channel Up. Notice also that the 1M MA200 has been the market's ultimate long-term Support, having also priced the March 2020 COVID crash bottom.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Taking Profit on BTC Shorts; Looking to Get Tiny Long ExposureOriginally Posted: 02/05/2026
Reposted For Compliance: 02/13/2026
BTC and MSTR are at potential PCZs of Bullish Gartley; The two assets moved down leading to MSTR earnings and negative unrealized losses expectations. I do think that BTC will ultimately move back down, but from where it is now, looking at all of the downside short leverage that has been building at these lower levels, I think there is a high chance of it short squeezing to the upside and for it to be fast and violent move up to around 90-106k before then confirming a lower high and going back down to even lower lows in a fashion similar to the green projection I have drawn out. Meanwhile we could see MSTR pump back to around $200. In this scenario I would see these pumps as nothing more than Bear Cat Bounces and would be looking to reenter my shorts on these bounces where we could then continue the main bearish trade. Here is a link to a chart of the original underlying bearish trade :
The short squeeze we could be set up for is something similar to what we got near the end of 2019 where BTC was in a bear trend but rallied 40% in 2 days within that bear trend before continuing much lower into 2020. Here is the chart focused around that time period:
At the time it was the greatest BTC short squeeze in the history of the asset yet despite how great it was it still ultimately went lower later so I will be on the lookout for this kind of movement once more as short positions accelerate not only at the bullish trendline but also at the PCZ of Bullish Gartleys on both MSTR and BTC.
I suspect MSTR could pump 20-40% from the PCZ and in terms of BTC I think we will get price action similar to what I have projected in the white brush marker.
I actually posted this last week but it was taken down by a mod so this is a repost which should now be compliant enough for them; Since then, BTC pumped 15% and MSTR is up over 20% but we have since pulled back decently towards the entry zone so there may be way more upside to go from here. However; I have mainly reposted this for archival purposes.
On a side note CLSK, another crypto miner looks like it could be set to rise from it's 0.886 PCZ of a Bullish Bat around 10 dollars all the way back up to around 18 dollars.
Is Bitcoin Bottoming With Software?BTC has been very weak. Price action today did rally off the lows as the 7MA was defended.
We are about to witness a bullish breakout as the 7/20 MA has completed a bullish crossover.
Today as the markets were decimated, software stocks were the first to bottom and rally.
Relative strength was observed in the CBOE:IGV BASKET.
Crypto has been highly correlated to the software sector which has been recently demolished.
If software bottoms, high chance for crypto.
Strategy relief rally targets and pre-bull market price actionStrategy Inc (MSTR), Michael Saylor. We love him now because he is buying Bitcoin at the bottom and this supports the market.
We also love Michael Saylor because I was proven wrong. Instead of some sneaky plan of a massive short, he is doing the right thing—buy and hold.
Bitcoin's supply is limited. The guy is buying hundreds of thousands of Bitcoins. The Bitcoins he buys can be considered out of circulation. Less supply vs increasing demand = higher prices. He is a positive force in this market.
Say a big exchange wants to manipulate the market by making certain moves and for this selling a ton of Bitcoins is needed. They can do this easily, make people panic-sell through a crash and then buy everything back at a lower price.
With Michael Saylor and Strategy, players like this one, this type of market manipulation becomes dangerous. These manipulative whales can end up losing tons of Bitcoins, thus money in the long-term, because once sold these Bitcoins can never be recovered. Other players might buy and hold.
MSTR Technical analysis
We are looking at a relief rally. The chart is a perfect repeat of the last cycle. I also showed how the bear market is so far a perfect mirror image.
The C wave on this chart is the orthodox end of the bear market, but a bull market is not yet, it is still early, pre-bull market.
Now we get a relief rally. The main target is 280. Can be lower, 239 or a bit higher 322. In this case, lower is more likely but make it a range.
We can see growth until late April or May 2026. Then the market goes down until September-November 2026 to settle around the current support zone.
After the relief rally, the stock can easily produce a higher low, double-bottom or lower low. All the same.
After this final correction, retrace and back to support, the relief rally being erased, we see the start of the next market cycle. Years of growth.
This is the full map. This time, we won't have to adapt, it is likely to play-out very close as described. This is an easy one.
Summary
›› MSTR goes up as part of a relief rally—a mild bullish wave, a strong lower high.
›› Then this bullish wave gets corrected back to the same support zone from where it started.
›› Then a new market cycle starts, a bullish one—long-term growth.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
MSTR Bull Trap!In my BKC charting, I’ve identified a pattern I call "tight! tight! tight!" typically paired with a bull trap. Prices surge as traders FOMO in, then collapse. It’s a straightforward trade: enter on the breakdown, set a stop above the prior high. Offers solid risk/reward.
Click like, follow, subscribe! Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. Lets get to 5,000 followers,
MSTR. When Bitcoin sneezes, Strategy looks for the floorMSTR is deep in a corrective phase after the rally to 543. The current decline does not signal a structural breakdown but a return to a major demand zone at 100–102, where long term support and prior accumulation align. Selling volume is fading, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than panic. As long as price holds above 100–102, the recovery scenario remains valid. Initial rebound targets sit near 230, followed by 300 if market structure stabilizes.
Fundamentally, Strategy remains the most leveraged public Bitcoin proxy. As of December 2025, the company holds over 214000 BTC, making it the largest public Bitcoin holder globally. The average acquisition price remains well below historical highs, reducing long term downside risk. In Q3 2025, the company reported an increase in digital asset value as crypto markets recovered. The core analytics software business remains stable, while debt servicing shows no liquidity stress. Strategy is no longer just a software company. It is a macro Bitcoin instrument in equity form.
When Bitcoin panics, MSTR falls harder. But it usually stands up first when the cycle turns.
MSTR, trying to reverse at support...NASDAQ:MSTR
🎯 Price dropped hard in wave Y of 4, invalidating the previous analysis. Wave Y can complete any time in this flat correction pattern, and is trying to print a bullish market structure from a major High Volume Node. Above $138 will trigger this long.
📈 Daily RSI sits at the EQ from oversold
👉 Continued downside has a target of the S3 pivot, $78.47
Safe trading
STRATEGY The collapse continues..Strategy (MSTR) completely lost its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, making its losses at more than -80% from its November 2024 All Time High (ATH), continuing to outperform even Bitcoin in losses. Given that the Bear Cycle on stocks hasn't started yet, this can only get (much) worse, something we've been calling out for since last year.
The last two major market bottoms have both been made after (marginally) breaching the 1M MA200 (red trend-line) in 2022 and 2020. This was close to the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the November 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The stocks recent Highs since 2021 of course represent its strategic shift to Bitcoin reserves.
In any case, this shows that as long as Bitcoin continues to fall (should do so up until September 2026 at least), Strategy should target its 1M MA200 again and based on its current trajectory has high probabilities of making contact at $50.00.
A highly likely Bear Cycle on the stock market however, has the potential to accelerate the correction inside the Higher Lows Zone even.
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MSTR - How to profit from a $140 short target🔱 The MS ponzi is taking its toll. 🔱
I’m not laughing, because it’s genuinely unfortunate for everyone who believed in this scam.
But today, I don’t want to rant about that.
I want to show how one could profit from a potential drop of more than $100.
As an Andrews Pitchfork trader, I know there’s roughly an 80% chance that price will reach the centerline. From there, price either reverses in the opposite direction or breaks through the centerline to continue its journey.
That’s exactly what happened with MSTR.
You can see how the price first reached the centerline, held there a few times, and then broke it. Since then, it’s been following the rulebook by moving further to the downside.
Now, there’s another rule worth remembering:
price often tests or retests the line it just broke.
In our case, that line is the centerline.
This means we could be lucky enough to get a pullback to the centerline, and that would be a good level to consider shorting.
The target is usually the opposite line of the centerline, which in our case is the L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel).
👉 If you want to learn the full framework and its rules, check the links for free material.
I hope this helps many of you, and I wish you all good profits.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) Shares Rebound After a Dramatic Sell-OffMicroStrategy (MSTR) Shares Rebound After a Dramatic Sell-Off
Shares of Strategy Incorporated (MSTR) suffered a severe collapse, falling by more than 75% from their July 2025 highs to last Thursday’s low. The main trigger was concern over the cryptocurrency market, as the company holds more than 700,000 coins on its balance sheet, with an average purchase price of around $76,000 per coin.
However, trading opened on Friday with a bullish gap, and MSTR surged by more than 20% during the session. Market sentiment shifted sharply due to two key factors:
→ Quarterly earnings release. Although earnings per share missed expectations, investors were reassured by statements from founder Michael Saylor and CEO Phong Le, who stressed that the decline in the price of the leading cryptocurrency does not threaten the company’s financial stability. Management confirmed that, despite unrealised losses, the core business generates sufficient cash flow to service debt, and the accumulation strategy remains unchanged.
→ Recovery in cryptocurrency prices. After forming a low on Thursday, the BTC/USD rate rebounded, finding support near the psychological $60,000 level.
Back in early December, we noted that:
→ signs of demand were emerging on the chart, giving bulls hope for a recovery;
→ much would depend on the direction of BTC/USD.
Since then, MSTR shares initially stabilised, finding support around $157, but the downtrend later resumed, driven by:
→ renewed weakness in the cryptocurrency market;
→ resistance at the median of the descending channel, as shown by the arrows. A breakout attempt in mid-January failed, allowing bears to regain control.
The last two candles on the chart form a bullish engulfing pattern, reinforced by exceptionally high trading volumes — a sign of “smart money” activity, which may view current prices as attractive.
Positive sentiment could persist this week, but the key question is whether it will be strong enough to break above the line dividing the lower half of the channel into two quarters. If successful, a crucial test for the bulls would be the area around the psychological $150 level, which stands out as a major resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSTR has likely found a bottomNASDAQ:MSTR has a huge bullish engulfing candle on Friday, 26% closing at the high. CLosing at the high on a Friday is a significant move as it shows investors are confident in holding over the weekend news cycle and Bitcoin price action.
Saylor continues buying weekly including today, now lowering his cost average as he below. He still has 2 years worth of USD to survive a pro-longed bear market and STRC continues to give him more capital.
Wave 4 hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement where it can not go beyond, per the rules. Any lower would invalidate the Elliot wave count and it would become wave 2. Which means wave 3, the most powerful is still to come....
Weekly RSI printed a huge bullish divergence at a major High Volume Node resistance in oversold, with a long lower wick being left. You cant get better bottoming signals than all of these confluences.
MSTR may be a good proxy for judging BTC bottoms moving forward, following institutional flows.
All of this said, the trend is down, the weekly 200EMA and pivot are lost. Don't fade the trend, wait for the reversal signal in price action. Overcoming these 2 areas is the first challenge to cement a new bullish trend in place.
Safe trading
MicroStrategy Analysis: Bitcoin, Quantum Risks, and FutureMicroStrategy recently released its Q4 2025 financial results, showcasing a resilient software business. The company maintains a strong cash position while expanding its Bitcoin holdings. Revenue from enterprise analytics remains stable despite global economic shifts. However, the firm’s massive digital asset exposure continues to define its market valuation.
Technology Innovation and Patent Leadership
MicroStrategy dominates the enterprise analytics industry through continuous innovation. The company holds a comprehensive portfolio of patents in data visualization and AI. Their recent "MicroStrategy Orange" protocol marks a significant leap into decentralized identity. This high-tech approach integrates Bitcoin’s security with enterprise-grade software solutions.
The firm leverages cloud-native architectures to drive digital transformation for global clients. This strategy ensures long-term relevance in a competitive software market. Their commitment to R&D maintains a defensive moat against emerging tech startups.
The Bitcoin Exposure and Market Volatility
MicroStrategy utilizes a bold business model centered on Bitcoin as a reserve asset. This geostrategy offers unparalleled upside during digital asset rallies. However, the company faces significant risks during severe market crashes. A deep price correction could trigger liquidation fears among institutional investors.
The firm’s fate remains tied to the volatile fluctuations of the cryptocurrency market. This concentration risk demands a high tolerance for macroeconomic instability. Investors view MicroStrategy as a high-beta play on the future of decentralized finance.
The Quantum Threat to SHA-256 Encryption
Cybersecurity experts express growing concern regarding quantum computing power. Bitcoin’s security relies on the SHA-256 encryption protocol. Science suggests that future quantum machines could crack this standard with ease. Such a breakthrough would compromise the entire Bitcoin network and its stored value.
For MicroStrategy, this represents a fundamental technological risk. If the underlying protocol fails, the company’s primary asset could become worthless. This high-tech vulnerability looms over the long-term viability of digital treasuries.
The Upgrade Paradox and Wallet Access
Upgrading Bitcoin to resist quantum attacks presents a complex technical challenge. Any major change requires a consensus across a global, decentralized network. A failed or rushed upgrade could lead to a permanent network lock. This scenario would render millions of wallets inaccessible to their owners.
MicroStrategy cannot unilaterally fix these protocol-level issues. The inability to seamlessly transition to quantum-resistant standards creates a potential "dead-end" for digital assets. This structural risk remains a primary concern for sophisticated financial analysts.
Regulatory Pressure and Geopolitical Shifts
Regulatory uncertainty continues to hover over the entire cryptocurrency industry. Geopolitical tensions often lead to stricter capital controls and digital asset oversight. Governments may implement harsh laws to protect sovereign currencies from decentralized competitors.
MicroStrategy operates at the intersection of traditional finance and the new digital economy. Changes in SEC or international tax laws could impact their balance sheet. Management must navigate these shifting legal landscapes with precision and foresight.
Leadership and Corporate Culture
Michael Saylor’s assertive leadership defines MicroStrategy’s corporate identity. His conviction drives the company’s aggressive acquisition strategy and innovation roadmap. This culture of "extreme ownership" attracts investors who value visionary management.
The company fosters an environment of technical excellence and strategic boldness. Saylor’s ability to communicate complex economic theories keeps the brand relevant. This leadership style remains a cornerstone of the company’s market influence.
Macroeconomic Trends and Future Outlook
High-interest rates and inflation influence MicroStrategy’s cost of debt. The company’s ability to leverage its software revenue to buy Bitcoin is a unique economic experiment. As global markets evolve, the firm must balance growth with debt obligations.
The intersection of science, finance, and high-tech will determine MicroStrategy’s ultimate success. While the rewards are potentially astronomical, the technical and regulatory hurdles are equally significant. Only time will reveal if this daring strategy pays off for shareholders.
RECAP - MSTR bounce from support perfectlyNo Reasonable Scenario' Forces Strategy To Sell Bitcoin As $440 Target Stands: TD Cowen
Strategy Inc (NASDAQ:MSTR) shares surged 22% Friday as TD Cowen maintained its $440 price target, arguing there is “no reasonable scenario” forcing the company to sell Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) despite trading underwater on its holdings.
The Bull Case Amid Carnage
TD Cowen analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete said Strategy is “better positioned than ever” to participate in a potential recovery, even as the premise looks strained amid steep declines. The company’s shares are down 13.4% so far in 2026, adding to a 47.5% slump last year.
The volatility looks intentional ― analysts noted Strategy’s common stock is designed to be about 1.5 times more volatile than Bitcoin.
“It should come as no surprise that Strategy’s shares outperform Bitcoin when the price rises, and underperform when falling. This is, in fact, by design,” they said. On solvency concerns, TD Cowen argued Strategy has the “wherewithal to ride out a hypothetically much steeper Bitcoin rout.”
They pointed to the company’s $2.25 billion cash reserve that could fund $900 million in fixed charges for nearly 17 months while covering $1 billion of convertible notes putable in 2027.
The earliest trouble point appears in March 2028, when additional convertibles mature or become putable.
Moreover, TD Cowen maintained Bitcoin price targets at $177,000 by December 2026 and $226,000 by December 2027. The $8K Threshold
TD Cowen’s view aligns with recent Strategy executive comments.
On the Q4 earnings call revealing $126 billion in losses, CEO Phong Le said Bitcoin would need to fall to around $8,000 and remain there for five to six years before Strategy faces difficulty servicing convertible debt.
Executive Chairman Michael Saylor reiterated the capital structure is designed to withstand extended volatility, dismissing quantum computing threats as “horrible FUD.” The Digital Credit Engine
TD Cowen highlighted Strategy’s emerging “digital credit engine” as a key thesis component.
The company raised over $7 billion of preferred equity in fiscal 2025, representing 33% of all preferred equity sold in the U.S.
The firm’s STRC preferred stock pays an 11.25% annualized dividend rate with daily liquidity above $118 million, providing an alternative funding mechanism beyond convertible debt.
MSTR Technical Reality Strategy’s shares are up 22% Friday, bouncing after testing the critical $100-$110 support.
However, the stock remains trapped in a descending channel with overhead resistance.
The SAR indicator at $155.29 positions above current prices, indicating the bearish trend remains intact. Immediate resistance sits at $155, followed by $165-$175, then $200+. Additionally, the RSI at 36.45 shows bouncing from oversold but remains below 50, confirming momentum stays bearish.
Support sits at $100-$110—if this fails, next support appears at $75-$85.
MSTR: What's the strategy? If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Questions Waiting for Answers
MSTR at the larger degree of the Elliott Wave structure is still being resolved. What stands out is the most recent move down, which has the look and behavior of a motive wave. If that interpretation is correct, this impulse may be nearing completion.
Price is now moving into a key area of interest between 118 and 89. This is a larger degree AOI where reactions matter, not predictions. This zone alone is not enough to justify a long. It is simply where I expect the market to start giving information.
The real test sits higher. 150 is the level that answers the bullish question.
If price breaks above 150 with a clear motive structure and holds, that would signal strength and open the door for higher targets. If price rallies into 150 and rejects, that keeps the bearish structure intact and increases the odds that this is still corrective behavior within a larger downtrend.
For a long setup, I am watching for a completed impulsive pattern at the smaller degree, then two things. First, a motive move up off the AOI. Second, a higher low that confirms structure rather than just a reaction.
Momentum is also important here. I am watching the EWO for divergence to develop as price works through this zone. Divergence combined with structural confirmation would significantly increase confidence.
Until price proves itself, this remains a wait and watch environment. Let the market answer the questions instead of forcing a conclusion.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
Full Reset before Full SendWhy March 2025 Could See New Highs
What's Happening Right Now?
Everyone is freaking out right now, but this is actually creating one of the best buying opportunities we've seen. Bitcoin is trading around $95,600 after dropping about 24% from its peak of $126,000 in October.
The Fear & Greed Index is at 10 (Extreme Fear) – and you know what they say? Be greedy when others are fearful. But, also, be patient and set limits.
The thing is, most people don't understand the economics behind Bitcoin or how liquidity actually works in crypto markets. We're playing a completely different game than stocks here.
The Real Cost to Mine Bitcoin (And Why It Matters)
Here's where it gets interesting. The big mining operations are producing Bitcoin for around $26,000-$28,000 per coin, while less efficient miners saw costs spike to $114,842 in October 2025... That's a massive range, and it tells you everything about where the floor is.
After the April 2024 halving, it now takes 854,400 kilowatt-hours to mine just one Bitcoin – that's about 81 years of electricity for an average home, just for one coin. That's a fun fact.
No smart miner is going to sell at a loss when they're paying that much for electricity and equipment (GPUs, etc). They'll just hold and wait. This creates natural supply constraints.
The Liquidity Trap
Right now, the market is in what I call a liquidity trap. As Bitcoin crashed from $126K down to where we are now, all the leveraged traders got wiped out. We saw $870 million in Bitcoin ETF outflows in a single day – that's both panic selling and intelligent, planned shorting, not fundamental weakness.
Here's what most people are missing: if Bitcoin drops to around $75K, it's going to unlock massive amounts of liquidity – I'm talking hundreds of millions, possibly billions of dollars that's currently locked up in long positions (Futures).
When those long get liquidated, the shorts will likely reverse their positions, that money floods back into the market and creates a supply shock. Basic economics: limited supply + sudden demand increase = price explosion.
Price Targets & When to Buy
I think we'll see $89K very soon – possibly this week between Monday and Wednesday (November 17-19, 2025). But here's my recommended strategy instead of trying to catch the exact bottom:
First Buy: $89K
Put in about 30% of what you're planning to invest. This is still a good entry even though it's not the absolute bottom.
Second Buy: $80K
Another 35% here. This is where things get really interesting from a risk/reward perspective.
Third Buy: $75K
The final 35%. This is the sweet spot where all that trapped liquidity gets released. Remember, demand increases as the price drops, and miners won't sell below cost. That's your supply shock waiting to happen.
What About MicroStrategy?
MSTR has crashed about 40% and is now trading at only 1.06 times its Bitcoin holdings, down from 2.7 times. The stock is around $200-$237 now, way down from its November 2024 high of $543.
My prediction: MSTR will probably hit the $140-$150 range, maybe even drop to $100-$120 (which is where it found strong support from March to September 2024). If we do see those lower prices, I'm going all-in on
MSTX
shares, not
MSTR
– the 2x leverage structure is better.
The Macro Picture
Fed rate cut expectations dropped from 90% to about 40%, which is why everything's selling off. But this is temporary sentiment, not permanent damage. The infrastructure is still being built, institutions are still coming in, and the fundamentals haven't changed.
Bottom Line
Be patient. Wait for the dips. Bitcoin will likely hit $89K this week, and from there we could see further drops to $80K and $75K. Each level is a buying opportunity. By March 2025, I expect we'll be making new all-time highs.
The key is understanding that crypto operates on different rules than stocks. Liquidity and supply dynamics matter more than anything else right now.
Good luck,
Terrapins
MSTR, still finding a bottomI am still looking for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and NASDAQ:MSTR to find a bottom soon and MSTR maybe showing better signs.
Price has finally reached 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the big move up, where wave Y of 4 has a high probability of ending. This is also a major High Volume Node support area.
Hidden bearish divergence has played out but daily bullish divergence continued to persist.
Safe trading






















