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Nonfarmpayroll

NVDA Earnings, FOMC Minutes, US Non-Farm OH MY!!!All eyes on NVDA and earnings - they matter (a lot) More important than a beat or miss is the price action around NVDA earnings -bulls have a long ways to go to reclaim all-time highs -bears have pressured NVDA enough that it seems like major support could break FOMC Minutes today -CME Fed Watch Tool is literally 50/50 on the December rate cut outlook -if the FED doesn't cut in December, they will likely be cutting in early 2026 US Employment Data -Remember Non-Farm Payroll? Well it's back with a Thursday release -58k forecasted, 4.3% unemployment forecasted -let's see how the release is taken by the markets Although it feels like "the brink" in many ways, my thoughts as expressed in the video are I believe the market can win both ways and just provide wild volatility but no real direction or follow through. Negative sentiment is truly awful and it rarely rewards the bears with a sustainable down move. Seasonality is expected but perhaps bulls have grown too complacent. Therefore, the market is comfortable making everybody uncomfortable More to come later this week when the smoke clears or the dust settles Thanks for watching!!! CP
NASDAQ:CEG
by ChrisPulver
1
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 STOP!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.17085 💰TP: 1.15818 ⛔️SL: 1.17720 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: A decline in the euro is seen as the main scenario for today, as part of a reversal from the area near 1.19000. Currently, the price is testing short-term resistance at 1.17445, where the POC (point of control) of the current downward movement is located. For a more conservative entry, it is better to use a pending order with an entry level below this resistance. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
2
S&P 500: Rising Wedge signals movement before NFP📈 BLUEBERRY:SP500 | Rising Wedge + Non-Farm Payrolls: Which breakout scenario is more likely? A Rising Wedge pattern is forming on the 30-minute chart of US SPX 500, with price approaching the convergence point of two trendlines. This pattern typically signals weakening bullish momentum but doesn’t rule out a breakout to the upside 🚀. 🔍 Technical Analysis: • Price is consolidating within a narrowing channel, forming a Rising Wedge 🔺. • Key support lies between 6717 - 6734 (lower blue zone) 🛡️. • Target zone on a breakout to the upside is 6767 - 6775 (upper blue zone) 🎯. • The pattern signals an imminent breakout, but confirmation with a candle close beyond the wedge is needed 🕒. 📊 Non-Farm Payrolls Impact: • If NFP comes in below expectations, the market may react positively (break up) on hopes of Fed easing monetary policy 💵👍. • Conversely, a higher-than-expected NFP could increase downside pressure (break down from the wedge) 📉⚠️. 💡 Trade Setup: • Enter a BUY position once price breaks above 6733 with confirming high volume 🔥. • Place stop loss below support at 6716 to manage risk 🚧. • Target area between 6770 - 6775 🎯. 📝 Summary: The Rising Wedge on SPX 500 points to a breakout soon, with the NFP report acting as a key catalyst. Wait for confirmation and manage your risk carefully ✅. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
BLUEBERRY:SP500Long
by ZuperView
Non-Farm Payrolls: Do You Trade the Print or Let It Pass?NOTE – This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. If anything, I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence. Every first Friday, the market braces for NFP. For some, it’s a chance to catch a big move. For others, it’s a day to protect capital and energy. The real question isn’t just what’s the number? It’s: What’s your process around events like this? Here’s the work to do before Friday: 1. Define your approach Are you trading the release, fading the first spike, or waiting until the dust settles? Write it down before the event - don’t decide in the heat of the moment. 2. Check what’s pulling you in Is it part of your tested edge, or are you driven by FOMO, the rush of adrenaline, or the feeling that you “should” trade it? 3. Notice your body’s signals Faster breathing or shallow breaths Shoulders tightening Heart rate climbing Narrowed focus on the screen Fingers itching to click These are not just “nerves” they are signals. Use them as feedback, not fuel. 4. Review the impact afterwards Did trading the news leave you calm, in control and aligned with your plan? Or did it drain your energy, push you into overtrading, or spark regret? The point isn’t whether NFP is an opportunity or a trap . It can be either. The edge comes from knowing yourself, deciding ahead of time and sticking to a process that matches both your system and your psychology. So before the number drops, get clear: - Do you have a defined playbook? - Or are you letting the market and your body pull you into one? If you’re contemplating trading at any point around the NFP number you might want to check out @JeffBoccaccio’s posts on ES range expectations around the release for some idea on how he frames the news event. Start here but check out the linked video post for a walk-through explanation:
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by soda8888
12
Critical jobs data you need to watch this week Fresh labor market data will likely be the focus this week, with payrolls, unemployment, and wage growth all carrying weight for the Federal Reserve’s policy path. Stronger-than-expected job reports could revive dollar demand, while weaker figures may keep pressure on the greenback as markets price in further Fed easing. Nonfarm payrolls for September are projected at 39K, a modest improvement from August’s 22K, but still far below the levels seen through most of 2023 and earlier years (chart, top left). The unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.3% (chart, top right). Average hourly earnings are seen rising 0.3% month-on-month, matching August’s gain. That would keep annual wage growth steady, reflecting sticky wage pressures even as job creation softens. The JOLTS job openings series remains elevated at 7.3 million (chart, bottom left), but still well below the peaks of 2022. This suggests firms are slower to post new jobs, but demand has not collapsed entirely.
by BlackBull Markets
Follow-Up: Non-Farm Moves from FridayHi All, Following up on the range (size of the move) after non-farm on Friday to see how close our range expectation estimates were (see the earlier video post linked here for that). The actual number came in pretty poor and worse than expected at 22k (vs 75k expected). The move on the Non-farm release itself was actually quite muted with roughly a 20pt move on both sides of our VWAP starting point. But the real move came around 30 minutes into the US open where we saw a quick decline down to our lower boundary (50pts lower at 6470) and then briefly over-ran to 6450. But we settled and that 6470 became support for most of the session before reverting back to that declining VWAP to finish the day around 6490. So, what's the lesson here: a bit of time pre-framing the possibilities for moves in either direction using a combination of stats (ATR, standard deviation of range), other technical analysis tools (support/resistance, VWAP, vol profile) along with experience can help frame the day and the important levels. Use this to start to decide what tools to pull out of the toolbox (trading strategies) and where to initiate trades. If you find this helpful and would like to see more please let me know. Happy Trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by JeffBoccaccio
1
Its Non-Farm: How much will ES Move?Hi all - Happy Non-Farm Friday! I haven't done this in a while and thought it might be helpful to share my process for estimating the size of the move that we may get on ES after the Non-Farm Payrolls data is released. I'm not trying to make a prediction on direction here - but more understand where the boundaries could be so I can determine how to trade this (what trading tool I can pull out of my box) once the announcement comes out. Hope it helps and please let me know if you find it useful and I'll create more posts . Cheers, Jeff
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by JeffBoccaccio
2
This week’s main event: Non-Farm Payrolls – Friday at 15:30!This Friday, September 5, 2025 at 15:30 EET , the U.S. Department of Labor will release one of the most anticipated macroeconomic reports — the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) . This release could confirm whether hopes for a near-term Fed policy shift are justified — the very hopes that helped U.S. equities climb to historic highs in late August. Markets see this report as a checkpoint for both the ongoing rally and rate expectations. NFP and the markets: 3 possible scenarios Strong report: If job creation exceeds expectations, unemployment falls, and wages accelerate — markets may believe the Fed will stay cautious on cutting rates. Typically, this boosts the dollar and bond yields, while growth stocks and tech underperform. More traditional sectors like banking, industry, and energy tend to hold up better. Gold and crypto often dip under pressure from a stronger USD and rising yields. Weak report: If job gains disappoint, unemployment rises, and wage growth slows — this strengthens the case for a faster Fed pivot. In this case, the dollar usually softens, yields fall, and growth stocks, gold, and major crypto (BTC/ETH) gain on expectations of lower rates. Neutral report: If numbers align closely with forecasts and there’s no big surprise, markets may remain range-bound. Initial reactions fade quickly, and focus shifts to the details — such as wage data and revisions to past reports. Price action often becomes choppy and short-lived until the next key catalyst. The September 5 NFP release is a crossroads moment before the Fed’s September 16–17 meeting. Volatility is almost guaranteed, and the market’s reaction will depend on the combination of headline jobs number, unemployment rate, wage growth, and revisions. According to FreshForex , this setup offers tactical trade setups across forex, metals, and crypto pairs.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD – Retest in Play After NFP Reversal?EURUSD started last week with a heavy bearish tone, dropping 200 pips on Monday alone — which is quite a move for such a typically stable pair. After a brief consolidation around the neckline support of the recent double top, sellers came back in, pushing the pair down to 1.1400 by Friday — a level I highlighted in my previous analysis. But then came NFP... The weak jobs data triggered a sharp bullish reversal, and the euro took off like a rocket. By the weekly close, the pair had rallied all the way back to the neckline zone, now acting as potential resistance. ________________________________________ 🔍 Technical Outlook: This area around 1.1550–1.1590 could now serve as a retest of the broken structure. • 🔽 A rejection here, followed by a break back below 1.1500, would confirm the bearish scenario and open the door for a move toward 1.1200, the next major support. • 📌 On the flip side, a sustained move above the neckline would invalidate the double top — and put bulls back in control. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Watching for sell signals around the neckline makes technical sense — but confirmation is key. The reaction early this week will likely set the tone for the next major swing. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
8
S&P Correction Window is official - VOLATILITY AHEADIt's that time of year where the pre-summer push wraps and the summer lull and potential pause gets underway. July 31 finished on a bit of a sour note with over 67% of stocks declining today and US indexes finishing RED despite the big gaps and bullish pops on MSFT and META post earnings.f SPX Key Levels -watch the 21 day moving average -watch the 50 day moving average -more dynamic support in the 100/144/200 moving average cluster I'll be taking bites at the 5/10/15% correction levels with options and looking for this dip to be bought by retail and institutions. Will August 1 US Tariff Deadline matter? After Japan and Eurozone came in and said a deal is being done, I was thinking this would be a dud. BUT, Dr. Copper says "maybe" on the global tariff deadline with the largest single day move in history (bearish). Being the perfect time of year for a correction (the other being Feb-Apr), and the technicals looking so clean for an orderly pullback, VIX may float higher and make things more interesting in the next 30-60 days. Strategies matter, I'll be trading risk defined, but there are great opportunities ahead. A pullback is sure better than literally watching all-time highs every single day. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
USDCAD: New month, first green dayHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always, my analysis are not a way to predict the market, but long and short are just a signal regarding the setup I'm looking for the day. Guessing the direction is not part of my job, entering setups in line with my thesis, that's my job! A little consideration before analysing this current week, the previous week, placed the monthly low, and retested it completing a pump and dump template. We are currently into the April monthly low and I'm looking for a long opportunity considering the potential volume trapped down low. But what happened this week and why I'm bullish? Monday, is the opening range of the week, weekly boundaries are now in place and short breakout traders are involved in the market. Tuesday, initial balance, expanded the range lower, triggering again shorts in the market. Wednesday, midpoint of the week, breakout lower again, stopping the traders long from the April monthly low and closing the day in breakout, going in consolidation into the end of the day. To me, this aspect is pretty important, triggering traders down low, with not really a strong momentum, typically gives me the signal of a potential reversal. Thursday, pretty much Asia and London session consolidated down low around the closing price, breaking the daily high for the first time during the week (which is to me a break in structure). The day closed as first green day, which is a potential long signal, especially when appears down low. Today, Friday, last day of the week and first day of the new month, I can see a potential dump and pump setting up for the day, but NFP is on schedule and it can mess up completely the overall setup. How I'm gonna take this trade? Well, first of all no action will be taken before news release at 8:30am NYT, after that, if the dump and pump is still intact during NY session, I will be willing to position myself in the market, accordingly with my entry criteria (typically bullish price action coiling for a long move). Can the market go lower? Absolutely yes! As I said, I do not predict any direction, but overall today I won't be interested in shorting USDCAD, because typically shoring into the weekly low, is not a very profitable trade opportunity, and I typically don't like to stuck in a trade for ages! :) I will update anyway the intraday overview during the NY session, starting in a couple of hours! Gianni
Long
by GianniPichichero
16
Non-Farm Payrolls – April 4: The key market driver!On Friday, April 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM EET, the U.S. Department of Labor will release one of the most anticipated macroeconomic reports — the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This figure reflects the change in the number of jobs in the non-farm sector and is a crucial indicator of economic health. Strong numbers suggest economic expansion and may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, while weak data could strengthen expectations of rate cuts — impacting stocks, the U.S. dollar, bonds, and commodities. Historically, NFP reports have triggered significant market reactions, with sharp movements depending on the actual data versus expectations. Analysts forecast a moderate job gain, indicating a slowdown compared to recent months. The release comes amid uncertainty linked to new tariffs introduced by President Trump, which may affect business confidence and consumer spending. Investors are closely watching for signals on the economy’s direction and potential Federal Reserve actions. How could NFP impact the markets? • Stock market: Weak data could stoke recession fears, pressuring equities, especially in cyclical sectors. However, if seen as a reason for Fed easing, markets may rebound. • U.S. Dollar: A disappointing report might weigh on the dollar as investors adjust their rate expectations. Strong figures, on the other hand, would support USD. • Bonds: Slower job growth could drive demand for U.S. Treasuries, pushing yields lower. • Gold: In case of weak data, gold may rally as a safe haven amid rising expectations of looser monetary policy. Economists expect a job gain of around 140,000, lower than previous figures — a scenario that could increase market volatility. Get ready for big moves!
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
US Nonfarm Payroll Report: Market InsightsUS Nonfarm Payroll Report: Market Insights Navigating the complex waves of the financial markets requires an astute understanding of various economic indicators. Among them, the nonfarm payroll report stands out as a pivotal monthly metric that can significantly sway financial markets. This article demystifies the intricacies of this influential report, walking through what to know before trading it. Nonfarm Payroll Definition The nonfarm payroll (NFP) is a key economic barometer that tallies the number of employed individuals in the US, excluding the agricultural sector. Besides the farm workers, government, private household, and nonprofit organisation workers are not included. This nonfarm payroll, meaning the workforce in industries like manufacturing, services, construction, and goods, reflects the health of corporate America and, by extension, the US economy. It’s one of the components of the Employment Situation report released on the first Friday of every month by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm employment change data is released along with unemployment rate and average hourly earnings data. Given its encompassing nature, the NFP and its importance to economic vitality makes it a beacon for investors and traders, who see the data as a projection of economic trends and an influencer of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Fluctuations in NFP numbers can cause significant movements in currency, bond, and stock markets. The Nonfarm Payroll Report and Market Volatility The release of NFP figures is a major event on the economic calendar, often triggering heightened market volatility. As nonfarm payroll news hits the wires, traders and investors brace for potential rapid swings in asset prices, particularly in the forex market. The immediate aftermath can see significant fluctuations in currency pairs with the US dollar. The anticipation and reaction to the nonfarm payroll in forex markets exemplify the weight this report carries. Impact of NFP on USD Pairs The nonfarm payroll report has a profound influence on USD pairs. When the NFP data is released, traders immediately compare the figures to market expectations, leading to price adjustments based on how well the actual data aligns with analyst forecasts. The broader trend of NFP data is also important, but it generally takes a backseat compared to actual vs expected figures. For example, if the report indicates stronger-than-expected job growth, the US dollar typically strengthens, especially against currencies like the euro, yen, and pound. A robust employment outlook suggests economic health, potentially raising expectations for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. On the flip side, if the NFP numbers fall short of expectations, the US dollar may weaken, particularly if the data points to economic slowdown or stagnation. In such cases, currencies like the euro or Japanese yen might rise against the dollar, as traders speculate that the Federal Reserve could delay interest rate hikes or even consider easing measures to boost the economy. The NFP report also reverberates through other major currency markets. For instance, currencies in economies closely tied to US trade and investment—such as the Canadian dollar or Mexican peso—may experience volatility as changes in US employment data often reflect shifts in economic demand for their goods and services. The Role of Employment Rates and Wages in Market Sentiment Within the US nonfarm payroll release, two key indicators—unemployment rates and average hourly earnings (month-on-month)—are pivotal in influencing market sentiment. Unemployment Rates The unemployment rate measures the percentage of the labour force actively seeking employment but currently without a job. A falling unemployment rate generally signals that more people are finding work, a positive indicator for economic growth. As a result, equities may rally, and the US dollar often strengthens, particularly if the data beats expectations. Traders interpret lower unemployment as a sign of economic resilience, which could influence the Federal Reserve to maintain or tighten monetary policy, further boosting the dollar. Conversely, a rising unemployment rate may signal economic weakness, spurring concerns over reduced consumer spending and slowing economic activity. This could lead investors to shift towards so-called safer assets like bonds or gold. In the forex market, a rising unemployment rate tends to weaken the US dollar as it lowers expectations for interest rate hikes and prompts speculation about potential stimulus or rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, further pressuring the dollar and encouraging risk-off sentiment. Average Hourly Earnings Alongside unemployment, average hourly earnings (m/m) is another key metric that traders closely monitor. This indicator tracks changes in wages from one month to the next and offers insight into inflationary trends. When average hourly earnings rise, it can indicate that workers have more disposable income, which can increase consumer spending. Higher wages often fuel concerns about inflation, prompting markets to anticipate interest rate hikes to combat potential overheating in the economy. This expectation typically strengthens the US dollar. However, if average hourly earnings come in below expectations or show signs of stagnation, markets may interpret this as a sign of weaker inflationary pressures. In such cases, traders may anticipate a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, potentially delaying or even reversing interest rate hikes. This can weigh on the US dollar and boost equities. Execution Tactics for the Nonfarm Payroll Report Release On the day the NFP data is released, specific execution tactics tailored to the NFP's unique market footprint can add substantial value. Due to the potential for rapid price movements, traders narrow their focus to liquid markets, like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, to facilitate quick entries and exits. They’ll typically trade on the 1m, 2m, 5m, or 15m charts and often require platforms built with speed in mind. Nonfarm payroll trading involves comparing the actual data against market expectations. The outcomes can typically be categorised as follows, with each scenario influencing forex markets differently: - As Expected: Currency values may experience minimal immediate impact if the report aligns with analyst forecasts, as the anticipated news is already priced into the market. - Better than Expected: A robust report can boost the US dollar, as higher employment rates suggest economic strength, potentially leading to rising interest rates. - Worse than Expected: Conversely, weak employment figures can devalue the US dollar, reflecting economic concerns and pressuring policymakers towards accommodative measures. Given the volatility, many traders prefer limit orders to manage slippage, potentially ensuring they enter the market at predetermined points. Lastly, spreads can widen substantially, inadvertently triggering a stop loss. Some traders choose to set a wider stop loss than normal for this reason. Traders usually monitor not just the headline number but also revisions of previous reports and associated metrics, such as unemployment rate and wage growth, which can influence market sentiment. High-speed news feeds and an economic calendar containing nonfarm payroll dates are employed to access the numbers in real-time, enabling immediate analysis. Analysing Unemployment and Wage Growth Numbers Together with NFP When trading around the nonfarm payroll release, it's essential to look beyond the headline number and integrate unemployment and wage growth data into your analysis. The NFP number alone can drive initial market reactions, but combining it with unemployment and wage growth figures provides a more nuanced view of the economy’s direction. Traders start by comparing the trends across these three metrics. For example, if the NFP report shows strong job creation but unemployment remains stubbornly high, this could indicate that the economy is absorbing a larger labour force, potentially due to discouraged workers returning to job-seeking. This dynamic might lead to a more muted market response, as the overall labour market picture is mixed. On the other hand, rising average hourly earnings alongside strong US nonfarm payrolls often signals not just employment growth but increasing inflationary pressure. If wages grow faster than expected, especially when paired with a low unemployment rate, it could indicate that labour shortages are driving up pay, raising inflation risks and making Federal Reserve action more likely. In this scenario, traders might anticipate a stronger US dollar, as higher interest rates become more probable. To streamline your analysis during nonfarm payrolls, consider the following approach: - Aligning Expectations: Traders compare actual numbers for NFP, unemployment, and wage growth with analyst forecasts. If NFP and wages grow but the unemployment rate falls, the market is likely to favour USD strength, while mixed results can trigger choppier price action as traders digest the implications. - Gauging Momentum: Looking at the broader trend can provide further insight. If unemployment has been trending down and wages are steadily increasing (i.e. an expanding economy), the overall market sentiment may remain bullish even if NFP slightly underperforms. Conversely, if there’s a rising unemployment rate despite decent NFP growth, it could signal that the economy is slowing down. - Assessing Policy Impact: It’s good to know how the Federal Reserve might interpret the combined data. For instance, moderate NFP growth with stagnant wage numbers may not trigger immediate policy shifts, allowing for more accommodative conditions in the near term. However, strong wage growth and low unemployment alongside robust NFP numbers are more likely to prompt a hawkish response. Trading the NFP: A Strategy Traders often consider analytical nonfarm payroll predictions to calibrate their strategies. However, an approach to take advantage of whichever direction the market takes uses an OCO (One Cancels the Other) order. This order straddles the current price range just before the report is released. Such a strategy prepares the trader for movement in either direction, as the NFP release can generate a significant breakout from the prevailing range. According to theory, the strategy unfolds: - An OCO order is placed with one order above the current price range and another below it. This setup positions the trader to catch the initial surge regardless of its direction. - Stop losses might be set on the opposite side of the pre-report range to potentially manage risk. - Profit targets might be established within a four-hour window post-release, aiming for a favourable risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3. - Alternatively, a trailing stop may be utilised, adjusting above or below newly formed swing points to protect potential returns as a trend develops. Such strategies allow traders to potentially capitalise on the new trend direction ushered in by the NFP data. Risk Management When Trading NFP Trading the NFP report often brings heightened volatility, making risk management crucial for protecting capital during these market swings. Below are some key risk management practices often employed when trading the NFP: - Awareness of Spreads: Spreads can widen substantially during NFP releases. This can trigger even wide stop losses; tight stop losses can suffer extreme slippage, where the stop loss execution price differs substantially from the desired price. - Conservative Position Sizing: Some traders take smaller positions when entering pre- and post-NFP release. The increased volatility when the report is released can lead to slippage and greater-than-anticipated losses as a consequence. Likewise, post-release conditions can also be unpredictable if data is mixed. - Avoiding Overtrading: Aim to be selective with trades to avoid chasing price swings in a highly reactive market. It might be preferable to wait for a clear direction to emerge before entering a trade. Comparative Analysis with Other Economic Indicators The NFP report serves as a primary mover in the forex market, but its full value is best understood in concert with other economic indicators. Investors compare its findings with the Consumer Confidence Index for insights into spending trends, as employment health can influence consumer optimism and spending behaviours. Likewise, juxtaposing NFP data against the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures provides a more complete narrative of the economic cycle since higher employment typically signals increased production and economic growth. Additionally, assessing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) alongside NFP numbers can offer insight into inflationary pressures; strong employment data may point to higher inflation, a significant factor in central bank policy decisions. The Bottom Line In closing, learning how to trade nonfarm payroll data today may sharpen your market acumen and create exciting trading opportunities in the future. For those ready to apply these insights when NFP data is released, opening an FXOpen account provides access to over 700 markets, high-speed trade execution, tight spreads from 0.0 pips, and low commissions from $1.50. Happy trading! FAQ What Is NFP and How Does It Work? The NFP meaning refers to the nonfarm payroll report, data that measures the number of jobs added in the US economy, excluding the agricultural sector. Released on the first Friday of every month by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the NFP is a key indicator of economic health, affecting currency, bond, and stock markets. How Does Nonfarm Payroll Affect the Stock Market? NFP data can drive stock market volatility. Strong job growth signals economic strength, often boosting equities. Conversely, weak NFP figures may indicate a slowing economy, leading to stock market declines as investors anticipate weaker corporate earnings. What Happens When NFP Increases? An NFP increase suggests robust job growth, typically strengthening the US dollar and stock markets, as investors expect economic expansion and potentially tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. Why Is Nonfarm Payroll So Important? An NFP report is crucial because it reflects the overall health of the US labour market and economy. Traders and investors use the data to gauge economic trends, determine Federal Reserve actions, and understand where markets are headed. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EU Short idea as we approach NFPLast week, EU went down after it touched a 1D Low crossing through a 1D FVG. I believe this trend should persist as I recently discovered a 1W Sellside Liquidity Pool, and major news such as NFP are when Smart Money look to capitalize on those quickly. (My mentioned non-concern on the trade's drawdown is because of ICT's Power of 3. Manipulation -> Accumulation -> Distribution. In the context of a bearish trading day: Manipulation: Price goes above the NY Midnight Open Accumulation: Price consolidates and/or takes liquidity above the Open Distribution: Often called "the real move". Price would enter a downtrend afterwards if Smart Money wants to push it down today.) My HTF perspectives: 1D 1W
Short
by NhatHoang123
NFP Data: Can it Sway Election? Just days before the U.S. heads to the polls, the last employment report before Election Day will offer a snapshot of hiring and unemployment, key factors in a race where the economy remains top of mind for voters. Ordinarily, monthly jobs data provides a clearer gauge of economic conditions. However, analysts project that last month’s hiring figures could be skewed by multiple disruptions. Hurricanes Helene and Milton, alongside a prolonged strike by Boeing machinists, are expected to have temporarily trimmed employment by up to 100,000 jobs. Gold could emerge as one of the most responsive assets. Following a surge to record highs, bullion slipped as some investors opted to lock in gains and pushed the RSI into oversold levels. Technically, XAU/USD is potentially still bullish.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets