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Nqfutures

Most Probable Bearish Scenario for NQThis is the most probable bearish scenario I currently see for NQ. From an AB=CD pattern perspective, NQ has already completed the A→B leg and has now also finished the B→C retracement. This suggests that the C→D leg could unfold over the coming months. I am seeing confluence from multiple factors. - From the top, price retraced to the 100week EMA, forming the A→B leg, which aligned with a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement - It then moved higher to complete the B→C leg, reaching the 0.618 retracement level - coinciding with the 21week EMA (measured from the Jan 2026 market structure high) - Based on this structure, I am targeting the -0.618 Fib extension for the C→D leg, which projects a downside move into the 20800–20750 region. This area also aligns closely with the 200week EMA, adding further confluence to the target * This TP level also aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement (~21000) measured from the April 2025 lows to the Oct 2025 highs, adding further confluence to the setup Entry Zone: 25200 – 25100 SL: 25800 (above the most recent daily market structure high) TP: 20800 (aligned with the 200week EMA) RR: 1:7
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by smwajeeh
MNQ – Weekly Outlook (First Week of March)1️⃣ Premium / Manipulation Zone The 25.45k–25.55k region represents the premium area of the most recent bearish leg. This zone may function as: • A potential distribution area • A liquidity engineering region • A reference level for structural acceptance or rejection As long as price remains below this region, the higher-timeframe structure favors a bearish continuation scenario. 2️⃣ Current Weekly Candle Context The current weekly candle appears to be: • A retracement within a broader bearish impulse • Not a confirmed bullish market structure shift • Lacking clear bullish displacement At this stage, the price action is more consistent with potential distribution rather than confirmed higher-timeframe accumulation. 3️⃣ Liquidity Below Price There are several clean sell-side liquidity pools resting below current levels: • 24,667 (nearest downside reference) • 24,449 • 24,240 • 24,150 (deeper liquidity level) Following a prior sweep of buy-side liquidity above, the broader draw may now favor these lower liquidity zones within the weekly dealing range. 🎯 Weekly Outlook A structurally efficient scenario would be: • A limited retracement toward 25.2k–25.4k • Failure to sustain acceptance above • Expansion toward 24,667 • Potential extension into the 24.2k–24.1k area This remains conditional on price staying below the premium zone. ❗ Invalidation Scenario The bearish outlook would weaken if we see: • A strong weekly close above 25.55k • Clear bullish displacement • Sustained acceptance above the premium region Until that occurs, the weekly structure continues to lean bearish. This analysis is based solely on higher-timeframe structure and liquidity positioning. Lower timeframes should be used for execution and confirmation.
CME_MINI:MNQH2026Short
by gysnoize
NASDAQ (NQ) – HTF Premium Distribution → Draw on Sell-SidePrice is currently trading in premium of the higher timeframe dealing range. After a strong bullish expansion, we are now seeing: 4H displacement to the downside Failure to hold above prior highs Consolidation under a 4H Market Structure Sell zone This suggests potential distribution, not continuation. The higher timeframe draw on liquidity remains sell-side liquidity at 24,668. As long as price remains below the 4H supply zone, downside remains the higher probability path. 📊 Current Positioning (1H Context) On the 1H: Price is compressing under resistance Acceptance above the 4H MB Sell zone has not occurred No strong bullish displacement has been printed This type of structure typically indicates: → Absorption → Potential for continuation lower → Liquidity engineering before expansion 🎯 Intraday Plan (Execution Framework – 15m / 5m) I am not interested in shorting randomly. I am looking for one of the following: Scenario A – Liquidity Sweep (Preferred) Sweep above 25,070–25,100 5m bearish displacement Return into imbalance (FVG) Target: Asia Low → 24,668 Sell-Side Liquidity Scenario B – Structure Breakdown 15m bearish break of structure Pullback into bearish OB / imbalance First target: intraday liquidity Runner targeting 24,668 ❗ Invalidation This bearish narrative weakens if: 1H candle closes strong above 25,150–25,200 Acceptance above 4H supply Clean bullish displacement with continuation If that occurs, I reassess bias. 🧠 Summary HTF = Premium Structure = Weak Liquidity = Clean below Target = 24,668 SSL Patience > Prediction. I am waiting for confirmation, not forcing entries.
CME_MINI:MNQH2026Short
by gysnoize
NQ Sell Setup – Dead Cat Bounce After BOS (1H, 1:3 RR)Trade Idea – NQ (Sell Setup) * Timeframe: 1H * Entry: 26950 * SL: 26350 * TP: 25250 * RR: 1:3 - We dropped from 26349 to 25536 after moving from the Jan2026 lows near 25000 to the Jan highs at 26349, which marked a 0.618 Fib retracement. - From the sharp sell-off between 25536 and 26050, price has already completed another 0.618 retracement, which I consider a classic dead cat bounce. - The break of structure (BOS) was confirmed once we closed below 26,100, so this move back to 26050 is corrective rather than impulsive. - The decline from 26349 to 25536 formed Wave A to B. After the current 0.618 retracement up to 26050, I expect price to complete Wave C to D, targeting the 25250 area. - The RR setup is excellent, with approximately 255 points of stop loss versus 848 points of potential profit, giving a 1:3 RR. - There is also a strong probability of a deeper move back toward 25000, which aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement from the Nov 2025 lows to the Jan 2026 highs.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by smwajeeh
1
NASDAQ $NQ US100 Major Levels And PatternsNasdaq bounced yesterday heavily and completed a W pattern. I personally have been able to capture majority of this move. You can consider yesterday's W pattern a sort of double bottom which means hat more bullishness is expected in the medium term. On a short term, now that it has completed a W pattern and reached previous important zone which had a gap, so we can expect a correction here but this may not be a big one. In a rare case there may not be any correction here at all because NASDAQ is forming a pattern which when forms usually ignores all the smaller W and M patterns. For that reason my Bias is bullish and I will look for buying opportunities mostly. There are certain Higher time frame levels that I am watching closely which you will find on the chart. Trade what you see, manage the risk. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
SKILLING:US100
by vikinsa
1
NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment Market Context: NQ continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment. 📊 Technical Analysis: Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength. We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH). 🎯 Game Plan: I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment. Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs. ✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by HKCM_Global
7