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NZD/USD Bearish Play — Trend Reversal + Structured Sell Zones🐻 BEARISH SWING TRADE SETUP | NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Hey Traders! 👋 Here's a detailed swing trade analysis for the NZD/USD pair, focusing on a high-probability bearish continuation play. We're using a strategic layered entry method to optimize our risk. 📈 Trade Thesis & Market Context A bearish structure is confirmed, and price is currently exhibiting a classic pullback towards a key dynamic resistance (Moving Average). This setup aims to capture the next leg down in line with the prevailing downtrend. ⚡ The "Thief" Layered Entry Strategy This plan uses multiple limit orders to "scale in" to the position, averaging your entry price as the pullback unfolds. 🎯 Entry Zone (Sell Limit Orders): Layer 1: 0.56500 Layer 2: 0.56400 Layer 3: 0.56300 💡 Pro Tip: You can increase or decrease the number of layers and adjust prices based on your own capital and risk management. 🚨 Risk Management (Your Responsibility!) Stop Loss (SL): A suggested stop loss is above the recent structure at 0.56700. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: I am NOT recommending you use only my SL. You MUST adjust your stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and strategy. The market is unpredictable; protect your capital first! 🎯 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP) Primary Target (TP): 0.55900 Rationale: This target aligns with a strong support zone, oversold conditions, and a potential liquidity pool ("trap"). The goal is to "escape" with profits before any significant bounce. ⚠️ REMINDER: Just like the SL, this is a suggested target. You are free to take profits earlier or adjust based on how price action develops. Manage your own trade! 🔍 Key Correlations & Pairs to Watch Understanding the Kiwi's relationships is crucial for this trade's context. AUD/USD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ): 🦘 The "Aussie" and "Kiwi" are highly correlated commodity brothers. A strong downtrend in AUD/USD often reinforces bearish momentum in NZD/USD. USD/CNH ( FX:USDCNH ): 🇨🇳 China's economy is a major driver for New Zealand's exports (especially dairy). A stronger USD/CNH (weaker Yuan) can signal risk-off sentiment and pressure the NZD. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 🇺🇸 A strong overall US Dollar, as shown by a rising DXY, provides a strong tailwind for this bearish NZD/USD setup.
Short
by The-Thief
NZDUSD – 4H Descending Channel AnalysisMarket Structure: NZDUSD is in a higher-timeframe downtrend, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. A clear descending channel is visible on the chart, supporting bearish continuation. Price Action: The recent upward move appears to be a pullback. Price has shown rejection near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating selling pressure. Trade Bias: Sell Zone: 0.5780 – 0.5810 Stop Loss: 0.5855 Take Profit Levels: 0.5720 0.5660 0.5600 Invalidation: 4H candle close above 0.5860
Short
by forexinworld
NZDUSD Channel Down forming a Low. Buy Signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 01 2025 High and is currently approaching its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). Four out of five Lower Lows have rebounded on a Bullish Leg to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. With the 1D RSI also oversold, we expect a new Bullish Leg to start and target yet again the 0.618 Fib at 0.57250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
7
NZD/USD Downtrend Can Resume Below this SupportFenzoFx—NZD/USD started the week with a big gap. However, the gap has been filled during the Asian session. The price also tapped into 0.5838, the Friday high, and swept the buy-side liquidity above this level. The currency pair is making new higher highs and higher lows; however, the volume is decreasing. This means the current bullish momentum could be a correction. Immediate support is at 0.5824. From a technical perspective, the downtrend could resume if the price closes and stabilizes below this level. In this scenario, the equal lows are at 0.5894. Trade safe—the key is patience.
Short
by FenzoFxBroker
NZDUSD: Downtrend May Extend Toward 0.5731 SupportFenzoFx—NZD/USD is bearish and displaced below the 0.5811 low, currently testing the bearish fair value gap with resistance at 0.5845. Looking at the daily chart, we notice a fair value gap with support at 0.5731. From a technical perspective, we expect the downtrend to resume to this liquidity area. This is because the price is close to the fair value gap; therefore, there is a high probability for the bearish momentum to resume. Once the fair value gap is filled, at least half of it, we expect a bullish setup with targets at equal highs, the 0.5997 high.
Short
by FenzoFxBroker
NZDUSD: A Slow Pair, but a Clear Setup1. What happened before Although NZDUSD has been a very slow mover lately, the pair remains highly technical. Looking back, the broader downtrend started in 2014, with the decline visible on the chart since 2021. The most recent leg down began exactly one year ago and ended in April at 0.55 – a level that coincided with both the pandemic low and the October 2022 bottom. 2. Key question Has NZDUSD finally built a foundation for a bullish continuation, or will the market remain trapped in its slow range? 3. Why upside continuation looks possible • The rebound from April low reached 0.61 resistance before pulling back. • Importantly, the pullback stopped at 0.58, forming a higher low and aligning with an old support. • The new rise that followed confirms strong demand at 0.58, suggesting momentum may continue to the upside. 4. Trading plan • The pair is bullish above 0.58. • First upside target: 0.61 resistance. • Longer-term soft target: 0.64. • Patience is required – NZDUSD is a slow pair, and such a move needs time to develop. 5. Conclusion NZDUSD might not be the fastest market, but its technical precision makes it worth watching. Above 0.58, the bias stays bullish, with the market slowly but surely building a case for higher levels 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
NZDUSD Channel Down targeting 0.57500.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 01 High and right now it is on its latest Bullish Leg. The 1D RSI has already touched its Lower Highs trend-line, so that's an indication that the Bullish Leg might have topped already, given also the fact that the price has almost touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level also, marginally above which all previous Lower Highs have been made. As a result, we can expect the new Bearish Leg to decline by as much as -3.13% (according to the declining rate on every Bearish Leg), with our fair Target placed at 0.57500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
NZD/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Key Levels and RSI InsightsThe NZD/USD pair is currently trading around 0.5861 after recently bouncing from the 0.5800 support zone. On the 4H chart, price action shows a strong rejection at the recent low, followed by a short-term bullish correction. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Support Zone: 0.5800 – Strong buying pressure observed here. Resistance Zone: 0.5900 – Price failed to break this level in the last attempt. Current Price: 0.5861 📉 Trend Analysis The ZigZag indicator highlights a dominant downtrend from above 0.6000, followed by a corrective move. The price is now consolidating between 0.5800 and 0.5900, suggesting indecision in the market. 📊 RSI Indicator (14) The RSI is hovering around the 40–50 range, showing neutral momentum. Previously, RSI touched oversold levels near 30, sparking the recent bounce. As of now, there’s no clear overbought or oversold signal, meaning traders should watch closely for confirmation. 📌 Trading Plan Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 0.5900 could open the path toward 0.5950 – 0.6000. Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 0.5800, the next target could be 0.5750. ✅ Conclusion NZD/USD is in a consolidation phase after a strong downtrend. Traders should keep an eye on the 0.5800 support and 0.5900 resistance levels for the next directional move. RSI suggests neutrality, so waiting for a breakout or confirmation is wise before entering new trades.
Long
by forexinworld
NZDUSD Excellent buy opportunity on the Channel Up bottom.Last time we looked at the NDUSD pair (May 27, see chart below), we gave a buy signal that in a few days hit our 0.60900 Target: This time the price is trading exactly at the bottom of a 3-month Channel Up, with the 1D RSI entering its Support Zone. The true Support might be a little lower on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as long as it holds, the trend will remain bullish, but this is the first strong buy signal of the chart. Our Target is 0.61450, which will be a +4.10% rise, exactly the same as both previous Bullish Legs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
"Vault Breached! NZD/USD Bullish Loot (Live Heist)"🚨 "THE KIWI BANK HEIST" 🏦💰 NZD/USD Bullish Raid – Loot Fast Before the Cops Arrive! 🌟 Greetings, Money Bandits! 🌟 (Hola! Bonjour! Ciao! Konnichiwa!) 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: The Vault is Open! 🏦➡️📈 – Price is bullish, but overbought. Red Zone = Police Trap! 🚨 (Resistance/Reversal Risk) Escape Plan: Take profits near 0.62400 (or bail early if traps trigger). 🔐 ENTRY: "BREAK IN NOW!" "Buy the dip!" – Use 15M/30M swing lows for stealthy entries. Set Alerts! ⏰ (Don’t miss the heist!) 🛑 STOP-LOSS: "THIEF’S SAFETY NET" "Hide at 0.59500 (4H Swing Low)" – Adjust based on your loot size! 🎯 TARGET: "GRAB & VANISH!" "0.62400 or escape earlier!" – Don’t get greedy; cops (bears) are lurking. ⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE: "Only steal LONG!" – Use trailing SL to protect your bag. "Rich? Charge in! Poor? Wait for swings!" 📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: "Kiwi is bullish… but check the news!" 📰 (COT, Macro Data, Sentiment) ⚠️ ALERT: Avoid trading during high-impact news – cops (volatility) love chaos! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share = More Loot!) 🚀 "Support the crew! Hit 👍, and let’s rob this market blind!" 💸🤝 Next heist coming soon… Stay tuned, bandits! 🏴‍☠️🎭
Long
by The-Thief
Is This the Next Big Heist? Thief Trader Eyes NZD/USD Long SetupThief Trader’s NZD/USD Heist Plan – Long Setup in Play! 🌍 **Hello Global Wealth Warriors!** Hello, Bonjour, Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola! 📢 **Fellow Profit Pirates & Market Mavericks**, it’s time to set sail again! Get ready to loot the forex seas with our latest **Thief Trader Strategy** targeting the **NZD/USD (The Kiwi)** pair. --- 🔎 **Trade Overview** 💥 Setup: Long Entry Plan – Executing our cunning blueprint with Thief Trading's sharp technical & fundamental intel**. 🎯 Target: 0.62300 (or exit just before for safety). ⚠️ Danger Zone: Watch for traps at the RED Zone Level – signs of overbought conditions, consolidation, trend flips & bearish setups. --- 🟢 **Entry Signal** – *The Heist Begins!* 📈 **Primary Entry**: > Breakout above **MA Line (0.60300)** = Bullish move → *Place a Buy Stop above ATR Line* 📉 **Pullback Option**: > *Buy Limit* at recent swing low/high on **15 or 30-min TF**. 📌 **Pro Tip**: Set an **Alert** on your chart to catch the breakout live. Timing is everything! --- 🛑 **Stop Loss – The Getaway Plan** 📍 **SL Recommendation**: > Recent swing low on the **4H chart (0.59400)** for day/swing trades. > 🎯 Customize your SL based on risk, lot size, and total orders. --- 🔐 **Scalpers vs. Swingers** 👀 **Scalpers**: Focus ONLY on long-side plays. 💰 Got deep pockets? Dive in. 😎 Otherwise, swing traders – this is your golden moment. Trail your SL to protect profits. 🌐 **Market Pulse** – Momentum Watch 📊 Kiwi is navigating a **MA Resistance Zone**, but bullish bias remains due to: * **Fundamentals** * **Macro Insights** * **COT Reports** * **Sentiment & Intermarket Trends** * **Quant Analysis + Overall Score** 📎 Check the linkks for detailed breakdown. 📰 **News Warning!** ⚠️ Major releases ahead? * Pause entries. * Protect trades with **trailing SLs**. --- 🚨 **Join the Next Heist with Thief Trading!** 💥 Smash that **Boost** or **Like** to join our profit squad. With **Thief Trader Style**, we dominate the markets DAILY. Your support fuels our mission. ❤️💼 --- 💸 Stay ready for the next move, money-makers. 🎯 Eyes on the chart – timing is profit.
Long
by The-Thief
1
NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure. 🔹 Elliott Wave Context: The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited. This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone. 🔹 Targets & Levels: Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977 First support target: 0.5885 Next major support: 0.5846 📌 Trading Plan: Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977 Potential short entries targeting the support levels A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation. As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (0.57500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (0.56800) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: ✂Primary Target - 0.58350 (or) Escape Before the Target ✂Secondary Target - 0.59600 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan. NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market is currently experiencing a Bullish 🐃 trend,., driven by several key factors. 🟡Fundamental Analysis - Economic Indicators: New Zealand's GDP growth rate is 2.5%, inflation rate is 2.3%, and unemployment rate is 3.7%. - Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's official cash rate is 3.25%. - Fiscal Policy: The New Zealand government's budget deficit is 1.2% of GDP. ⚫Macroeconomic Factors - Inflation Rate: The inflation rate in New Zealand is 2.3%, which is within the Reserve Bank's target range of 1-3%. - Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's official cash rate is 3.25%, which is relatively high compared to other developed economies. - GDP Growth Rate: New Zealand's GDP growth rate is 2.5%, which is moderate compared to other developed economies. - Trade Balance: New Zealand's trade balance is improving, with exports increasing. 🟠Global Market Analysis - US Economic Indicators: The US GDP growth rate is 2.2%, inflation rate is 2.2%, and unemployment rate is 3.5%. - Commodity Prices: The price of gold is $1,700 per ounce, and the price of oil is $65 per barrel. - Global Economic Growth: The global economic growth rate is 3.5%, which is moderate. 🔴COT Data - Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and speculators, have been net long on the NZD, with 30,000 contracts. - Commercial Traders: Commercial traders, such as banks and institutions, have been net short on the NZD, with 20,000 contracts. - Open Interest: The total number of outstanding contracts in the futures market is 120,000. 🟣Intermarket Analysis - Correlation with AUD/USD: The NZD/USD exchange rate has a strong positive correlation with the AUD/USD exchange rate, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8. - Correlation with Gold: The NZD/USD exchange rate has a moderate positive correlation with gold prices, with a correlation coefficient of 0.5. 🟤Quantitative Analysis - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is 0.5820, and the 200-day moving average is 0.5750. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 60, indicating bullish conditions. - Bollinger Bands: The NZD/USD exchange rate is currently trading above its Bollinger Bands, indicating a strong uptrend. 🔵Market Sentimental Analysis - Bullish Sentiment: 60% of market participants are bullish on the NZD/USD exchange rate. - Bearish Sentiment: 40% of market participants are bearish on the NZD/USD exchange rate. - Fear and Greed Index: The fear and greed index is currently at 70, indicating greed. 🟢Positioning - Short-Term: Long NZD/USD, targeting 0.59000. - Long-Term: Long NZD/USD, targeting 0.62000. ⚪Next Trend Move - Upward: The NZD/USD exchange rate is expected to move upward in the short term. 🟡Overall Summary Outlook - Bullish: The NZD/USD exchange rate is expected to move upward in the short term, driven by macroeconomic factors, global market analysis, and quantitative analysis. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by The-Thief
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
NZD/USD Strength Persists: Dips Remain Buying OpportunitiesOver the past two weeks, I have drawn attention to major USD pairs, suggesting that a reversal could be imminent and that an upside correction might follow the downtrend from the last quarter of 2024. NZD/USD is no exception. After finding strong support around the 0.5550 zone, the pair began to reverse to the upside. Following last week’s higher low, it broke resistance on Friday. After an initial correction and confirmation, bulls have regained control. I expect NZD strength to continue, and as long as 0.5650 holds, there is a high probability of a move toward 0.58 or higher. In conclusion, buying dips remains a favorable strategy, aiming for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
NZDUSD preparing massive rebound on the 5-year Support Zone.The NZDUSD pair rebounded last week exactly at the top of the 5-year Support Zone. This is the 3rd time in total and first since October 10 2022. As you can see, both previous times that this Support Zone was touched, the price reacted with an immediate rebound and skyrocketed to the long-term Resistance Zone (0.65150 - 0.65850). Also on both those bottoms, the 1W RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier and rebounded. This time, we have the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to consider as the first long-term Resistance, so our Target is just below a potential extension of it at 0.6200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
NZSDUSD Bottom of the 1-year Rectangle. Strong buy.The NZDUSD pair gave us a solid sell signal on our last idea (September 04, see chart below) as it respected the 1-year Rectangle pattern, stayed within its Resistance and Support levels and easily hit our 0.6000 Target: The price hit yesterday the top of the 1-year Support Zone (0.58500) and is reacting today positively with the first green 1D candle in 6 days. The 1D RSI has double bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier as on April 14, so we have a strong case for going long with huge reward and limited risk. Notice how we are about to form a 1D Death Cross and the last two such patterns coincided with the bottoms on the Support Zone. As a result, we are now long, targeting 0.6200, which is considerably below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that all previous Bullish Legs hit. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot