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OIH: 67% Probability trade on OIH (Put Ratio+Call)
28 0 3
OIH, D
67% Probability trade on OIH (Put Ratio+Call)

With over 20% move to the upside in the last 29 days, I think is time for OIH to have some sort of pullback or correction. The last 5 candles couldn't close outside of the Upper Bollinger Band, so it looks like is losing momentum and most likely retrace at least to the midline. Implied Volatility Rank is at 54 so I sold the 28/27 Put Ratio Spread (2 Short Puts ...

EWW: 61% Probability on EWW (Strangle)
60 0 6
EWW, D
61% Probability on EWW (Strangle)

Yesterday We got a close above the 200 Moving average and EWW is right inside the Volume area, and right at the Point of control. So I expect two-way action between buyers and sellers, giving me a chance to make a neutral trade. With EWW IV Rank at 57, I sold the 54/50 Strangle (30 Delta) that expires in February, to take advantage of the high ...

Avasreader Avasreader PRO ATVI, 240, Long ,
ATVI: ATVI - The Best Gaming Stock For 2018
97 0 3
ATVI, 240 Long
ATVI - The Best Gaming Stock For 2018

Please read the box, read the comments, and manage your own risks. I recommend after ER options (sell before the ER to avoid risks), or the leap for this trade. Be aware, this is not a guaranteed gain, but a good estimate how the stock might perform going further.

Avasreader Avasreader PRO TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: TSLA Price Prediction for the year 2018-2019. Bullish
325 4 4
TSLA, D Long
TSLA Price Prediction for the year 2018-2019. Bullish

If you are thinking what else you can invest with all those Jan Gain TSLA If you missed the GM Train, Also meet TSLA Potential Gain 50% +. Risk: >20% after the consolidation. Wave Analysis: Bullish LT 1 2 3 and 4 completed, time for the wave 5 before a correction takes place. Fundamental: Bearish, overvalued Expect the overvaluation to wash away with the abc ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO QQQ, D, Short ,
QQQ: Short Calls in QQQ
156 2 8
QQQ, D Short
Short Calls in QQQ

QQQ have outperfomed SPY and with an IVR of 42 we are getting at least something for taking the risk against this Raging Bull Market. Also we have divergence and already over 2 standard deviation move in the last 20 days to help us make the case to go short. The Trade 42 days to Expiration Short the 165 Calls For $1.22 Credit Probability of profit 72% PS: I ...

ChrisMoody ChrisMoody PRO SPY, D,
SPY: $1K Options System Exposed!  Any Interest In Weekly Options?
13181 134 62
SPY, D
$1K Options System Exposed! Any Interest In Weekly Options?

So I Saw Yet Another $1000 Dollar System For Sale. This Marketer Actually Had A Decent System…But Left A Lot Of Key…And I Mean Important Information Out. Likely To Get People To Pay For His Weekly Picks. ***I’m Tired Of These Marketers Hyping Up A System…Charging A Premium…And Taking Money From People Who After Taking The Course Don’t Even Realize How Much ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO SPY, D, Long ,
SPY: Put Ratio on SPY (86% Probability)
233 2 7
SPY, D Long
Put Ratio on SPY (86% Probability)

New Year, and the market continues to go up with no mercy. With the over extension of the 20 EMA, Eventually it will have to make a correction, so I am trying to pin the down move for max profit at the nearest high volume area. Implied Volatility is still very low with the VIX at ~9 and IVR of 14, but we have to keep trading. Would make money as long as we stay ...

AXP: How to Buy stocks using Options (Short Put)
99 2 7
AXP, D
How to Buy stocks using Options (Short Put)

If an investor wants to buy stocks, a better way to do it is Selling Put options. What are Put options? A put option is an option contract giving the owner the right, but not the obligation, to sell a specified amount of an underlying security at a specified price (called Strike Price) within a specified time (called Time to Expiration). This is the opposite of a ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO XLU, D, Long ,
XLU: 72% Probability trade on XLU (Big Lizard)
83 0 9
XLU, D Long
72% Probability trade on XLU (Big Lizard)

The Utilities sector have been underperforming. With IV Rank of 67.5 and down around 10% since December we are getting at least some premium to sell. I don't want to risk a move upward, so I Sold a Big Lizard (Straddle at 51 and bought the 52 call) to eliminate the risk to the upside. This is a high probability trade above 70% and we make money as long as it ...

IYR: Neutral trade on IYR,58% probability  (Strangle)
76 2 9
IYR, D
Neutral trade on IYR,58% probability (Strangle)

The Implied Volatility Rank of IYR is at 65 and with a down move of around 6% in the last 20 days, I expect we are going to start a correction soon around the value area. So I decided to sell a Strangle to collect some premium. With 37 days to expiration I Sold the 80/76 Strangle for 0.95 credit. That will give me a 58% probability to make money, but if I close ...

NDX: Cashflow play on Nasdaq (Double Double)
200 1 15
NDX, 60
Cashflow play on Nasdaq (Double Double)

I am betting the market will be ranging and we can get a quick win by next week. The trade is like an iron condor, but with 2x the Calls vs the puts taking advantage of the skew and giving us more space to the downside. Our break evens are far away from the expected move at 5969.20 and 5648.1. This gives us a high chance of making money about 80% of the ...

FB: Iron Condor on Facebook
242 9 18
FB, D
Iron Condor on Facebook

With a small increase in the VIX today and FB still around 50 IV rank I added this trade to my FB positions to slowly start to have trades expiring in oct. The trade: Expiration date - Oct 20, 2017 Long 150 Put Short 155 Put Short 185 Call Long 190 Call Price: $1.10 Max loss: $390 Probability of profit 67%

TexasTourTrade TexasTourTrade PRO SPY, D, Long ,
SPY: SPY OPTION OUTLOOK
52 0 2
SPY, D Long
SPY OPTION OUTLOOK

Small correction until End of Month. Breakout from Regression trend. Could see bullish through Februrary before possible correction in Q2. I like Iron Condor at 272-275 Strike with 30 Days and Strangle Options at 277 strike end of Q1 from 41 to 60 days out . Always do your DD. This is not professional advice.

LockNLos LockNLos PRO AAPL, M,
AAPL: AAPL
108 0 2
AAPL, M
AAPL

Long term trend. Difficult to tell how the cut in corporate taxes and other fundamentals will affect the trend.

XLE: Strangle on XLE (58% probability)
105 0 8
XLE, D
Strangle on XLE (58% probability)

With the strong move to the upside, I am betting that we are starting a new auction between 78 and the 71 levels. So with an Implied volatility Rank of 37, I sold a Strangle at the 30 deltas for a $1.36 credit. As long as the price stays between $78.35 and $71.65, we will be making money. The Trade: Short 73 Puts Short 77 Calls Credit $1.36 per contract 58% ...

AtoHoward AtoHoward AMAT, D, Long ,
AMAT: AMAT - Apr.'18 Exp. Put Vertical Credit Spread
63 0 2
AMAT, D Long
AMAT - Apr.'18 Exp. Put Vertical Credit Spread

Trade details: 47/42 Put Vertical Credit Spread @ $0.98 Prob. of Max Profit = 69.49% Prob. of Max Loss = 13.53% Break-even @ $46.02 114 D.T.E. Trade plan: Similar bias as NVDA trade (check it out below). Entry by oversold + support/resistance analysis Expecting $48.00 support level to survive possible test before earnings report in Feb.'18 for an uptrend ...

AlfonsoMoreno AlfonsoMoreno PRO DAL, W, Long ,
DAL: Delta Airlines #DAL weekly demand imbalance, long bias
88 3 4
DAL, W Long
Delta Airlines #DAL weekly demand imbalance, long bias

New weekly demand level a round 50 for long term longs on Delta Airlines #DAL american stock. Previous weekly demand zones at 48.50 and 45.15 have played out nicely. Long term long bias at weekly and daily demand imbalances

lindosskier lindosskier SHOP, 120, Long ,
SHOP: Cautiously Bullish on SHOP by selling Put Credit Spreads
13 0 1
SHOP, 120 Long
Cautiously Bullish on SHOP by selling Put Credit Spreads

Sell the Feb 16 SHOP 100/95 Put Credit Spread for $0.65 or better, for a 13% (not counting commissions) return within 35 days. Stop loss should be if the spread increases to $1.30. SHOP has held the 61.8% retracement of the Sep 17 high to Oct 17 low and is clearing the way for higher moves. Playing it with selling a put credit spread and receiving $65 for every ...

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