With various things Brazilian in implosion mode, it's no surprise that PBR and EWZ have high implied volatility here.
Bullish Assumption Setups: The July 20th 30 delta 9 put is paying .43/contract, resulting in an 8.57 break even, which isn't very compelling, but might appeal to some smaller account holders who are willing to hold the short put until near...
The Plain Jane "Spack" (Short Put/Acquire/Cover) Trade
Sell the June 15th 44 put
Probability of Profit: 75%
Max Profit: $69/contract
Max Loss: Undefined
Break Even: $43.31
The Plain Jane Covered Call
Buy Shares at 46.23/Sell the June 15th 48 call
Probability of Profit: 48%
Max Profit: $174
Although there are quite a few earnings coming up next week, only two catch my eye from a premium selling standpoint: Twitter and U.S. Steel.
Twitter announces on Wednesday before market open; has a 30-day implied volatility of 75.19%; and the May 4th 20-delta, 74% probability of profit 27.5/38 short strangle is paying 1.28 at the mid with its defined risk...
After forming an island reversal last week, complete with a massive bearish engulfing candle off of all time highs, the break below the trend line support and 20dsma seemed fitting. Today's action was bearish, as volumes were subdued relative to recent down days. This suggest that few participants are eager to defend prices in a significant way and bid the market...
The only earnings play coming up next week that currently interests me from a premium selling/volatility contraction standpoint is MU -- with a background implied volatility in the 60's -- which announces earnings on Thursday after market close. Neither ORCL nor FDX -- which announce Monday and Tuesday respectively -- have sub-30 implied volatility, although...
ORCL down 10% after earning season with 1.64% beat estimation. We have one more down after dividends share in october.
From fundamental anaysis this sharp down only correction, coz oracle have many good financial data.
from financial strength, this stocks have 6/10 score, with :
Yesterday, ORCL gapped up. It opened at almost $52 but closed closer to $50.
This morning, ORCL dropped below yesterday's low but quickly got back up above that low.
If ORCL can stay above 50 it should see higher prices. Any long play should have a stop at $50.
Here's what I'm looking at for next week:
VIX/VIX PRODUCTS . VIX finished last week at 16.50. I will look at VIX/VIX product setups early next week depending how the "horse does at the gate" (Monday). If we see a tight range in the S&P like we did pre-Draghi in prepation for FOMC, VIX could drift go a little lower Monday through Wednesday, in which case I will...
With the VIX finishing the week out at 16.66, next week is setting itself up to be a less than sexy week for premium selling, particularly in broader market instruments like SPY, IWM, QQQ, and DIA.
Moving to other sectors, the Brazil ETF, EWZ continues to be hot premium selling wise, with an implied volatility rank of 72. A couple of issues in the oil and gas...
"Cloud competitors have their eyes on Oracle as the company continues to rapidly build out its SaaS and PaaS product offerings. To put this in perspective, Oracle’s human capital management (HCM) SaaS product secured three times as many new customers as competitor Workday’s similar HCM product. This focus on the cloud has led Oracle to expect...
Only two earnings plays stick out to me this coming week -- FDX and ORCL, both of which announce earnings on 12/16 (Wednesday) after market close, so look to put on setups before NY close on Wednesday.
Currently, FDX's 52 week IVR is at 54 (IV 34), which isn't stellar, but it's at 92 for the past six months. Moreover, there is pretty good credit to be had...