Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to MIN wave "1" 90.136.Colleagues, the price has shown a decent bearish impulse, and I think we should move Wave 1 lower—to the 90.136 level. Wave “2” is currently forming; this is a correction that has either ended or will end around the 103 level, and I expect the downtrend to resume soon in wave “3”.
I believe we should keep an eye on the nearest target—the low of wave “1” at 90.136.
Once this target is reached, it is worth considering a continuation of the downward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
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BTCUSDT: Rally Continues as Resistance at 82,5K Comes Into FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded below a descending triangle resistance line, which capped the price for several weeks. After finding support near the rising trendline, Bitcoin broke above the triangle resistance and started a strong bullish recovery.
Currently, BTCUSDT is holding above the 79,400 support zone while trading within an ascending structure. Price recently consolidated in a range near support, and the breakout from this range confirmed renewed buying momentum. The market is now approaching the 82,500 resistance zone, which remains the next major target for buyers.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 79,400 support zone and respects the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 82,500 resistance zone (TP1).
However, if price breaks back below 79,400 and loses the rising trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated, opening the path for a deeper correction.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Potential Upsides!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.17100 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.17100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD: TACTICAL SIGNALStatus: Tactical Short (Broadening Rejection)
Deadline: May 15, 2026 (Warsh Regime Pivot)
Logic: Price rejected the "Strong resistance line" after a corrective bounce. We are now entering the final impulsive leg of the macro broadening formation toward the Support line.
The Trap: The $4,700 "psychological floor." Retail is buying the dip here, but the collapse of US-Iran negotiations has removed the geopolitical "panic bid," leaving only hawkish gravity.
Kill Zone: 🎯 Entry: $4,670 – $4,710 | 🛑 Stop: $4,765 | 🚀 Target: $4,400 (Macro Support).
Insider Note: Today's Senate vote for Kevin Warsh is the death knell for near-term rate cuts. With real yields hitting +1.1%, Gold is losing its luster to a resilient USD. Expect high-velocity selling if the $4,640 local pivot cracks.
EURUSD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationEUR/USD is currently reacting inside a major resistance zone after a strong bullish recovery. Price pushed upward with momentum, but buyers are now struggling to break and hold above the 1.1785–1.1790 area. This zone has already shown rejection pressure multiple times, which is why the market is slowing down near the top trendline resistance.
The chart structure shows liquidity resting above the highs, and after sweeping that area, sellers may step back into the market. If EUR/USD fails to maintain bullish strength above resistance, we could see a bearish reaction toward the 1.1745 support zone first, followed by deeper downside continuation near 1.1730 and potentially 1.1700.
Market sentiment currently looks cautious as traders wait for stronger confirmation from USD movement and upcoming economic news. Buyers still have short-term control, but momentum is weakening near resistance, increasing the probability of a pullback before the next major move.
📌 Key Levels:
* Resistance: 1.1785 – 1.1800
* Support: 1.1745 – 1.1730
* Major downside target: 1.1700
📉 Idea:
Price may continue giving fake bullish pressure inside resistance before sellers take control. A clean rejection from the highlighted supply zone could trigger strong bearish continuation.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
ETHUSD – Bullish Continuation Structure📊 ETHUSD – Bullish Continuation Structure
🔍 Market Overview
Ethereum is showing strong recovery momentum after breaking above the previous descending trendline structure. The market has transitioned from a prolonged bearish phase into a developing bullish accumulation zone, where buyers continue defending higher lows.
Price is now stabilizing above the cloud support region, indicating growing bullish strength and increasing potential for continuation toward higher resistance levels.
📈 Market Structure Insight
* Market Bias: Bullish
* Momentum: Gradually strengthening
* Current Phase: Consolidation before continuation breakout
As long as Ethereum holds above the key support zone and maintains higher low formations, the bullish outlook remains valid.
🚀 Trading Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Conditions: • Price remains above cloud support
* Higher lows continue forming
* Buyers sustain momentum above structure support
Trade Plan: Look for buy opportunities on pullbacks or breakout confirmations above consolidation highs.
🎯 Target 1: 2,709
🎯 Target 2: 3,047
❌ Bearish Invalidation Scenario
Conditions: • Strong breakdown below support zone
* Failure to hold bullish structure
* Sellers reclaim market control below recent lows
Trade Plan: Short-term bearish pressure may increase if support fails decisively.
🎯 Downside Support Zone: 1,917 – 1,819
📍 Key Levels to Monitor
🔴 Major Resistance Zone: 3,200 – 3,350
🟢 Immediate Support: 1,917
🟢 Major Support: 1,819
⚠️ Trading Perspective
ETHUSD is currently respecting a bullish continuation structure after recovering from the previous downtrend. Holding above support keeps the upside scenario active, while consolidation near current levels may build momentum for the next expansion move.
🧠 Professional Insight
The current setup reflects a bullish recovery pattern supported by: • Trendline breakout
* Higher low formation
* Cloud support alignment
The strongest entries usually appear during healthy pullbacks rather than chasing impulsive candles.
🛡️ Risk Management
* Risk only 1–2% per trade
* Place stop loss below structure support
* Wait for confirmation before entry
* Avoid overleveraging during volatile moves
EURUSD primed for a potential Sell-Off (4H)After the bearish CH on EURUSD, price has retraced into a premium zone. The entire area has turned into a neutral, choppy range where bullish momentum has faded, creating potential for a short setup.
There are two planned entry points, and positions should be scaled in using a DCA approach.
Targets are marked on the chart, offering a risk-to-reward setup of approximately 1:2.
A touch of the invalidation level will negate this analysis.
If you have a symbol you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
Do you also think EURUSD is bearish?
VVV (no one’s talking about it !)VVV / USDT
No one's talking about this coin... Its price has increased 17X since its low point last November.
But upon closer look, we can see that it has just broken out of its 460 days of accumulation range!
If it manages to stay above this range, there are potential targets shown on the charts for the coming weeks/months.
Note: This is a high-risk coin, but it also has high potential.
USDCAD Eyes Breakout as USD Strength ContinuesUSDCAD Eyes Breakout as USD Strength Continues
USDCAD is rising slowly. Friday's NFP data supports USD strength and weaker than expected CAD data did not help CAD at all.
USDCAD seems to be gathering momentum for further gains. A move above the 1.3715 resistance area should push USDCAD higher.
If this breakout occurs, USDCHF could rise to 1.3780 and 1.3860.
Bullish targets:
🎯 1.3780
🎯 1.3860
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
XAU/USD | Gold Reaches Critical Supply Zone, Free Fall Ahead?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, Gold opened today with a bearish gap around the $4687 region. Price initially dropped toward $4648, but strong buying pressure stepped in once again and buyers managed not only to fully fill the gap, but also push price even higher into the critical $4730 – $4750 supply zone.
However, after reaching this key resistance area, strong selling pressure appeared again and Gold is currently trading below this zone, showing signs of rejection.
Right now, markets are heavily pricing in the possibility of renewed tensions between Iran and the United States, which explains today’s extreme volatility and aggressive price swings. Headlines remain highly contradictory, making this one of the most headline-driven environments we’ve seen recently.
In my view, if geopolitical tensions continue rising, Gold could eventually enter another heavy bearish phase. However, I also see a possible liquidity-grab scenario where price may first sweep the liquidity sitting above the $4772 high before the real bearish move begins. For now, this remains the key level to watch.
From a structural perspective, the nearest supply zones are $4730 – $4750, followed by $4770 – $4800 as the next major resistance cluster. On the downside, the closest demand zones are located around $4680 – $4700, with deeper support sitting between $4620 – $4650.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BITCOIN about to drop based on the USDT Dominance.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been following the exact same pattern of the USDT Dominance (blue trend-line) during the 2020 - 2022 period.
As you can see the USDT.D 's Triple Top (blue circles) on that previous Cycle was initially a Support for BTC during the Bull Cycle and then the first Low during the Bear Cycle (green circles).
When the USDT.D broke above it, BTC made a new Lower Low and on the USDT.D's subsequent pull-back, it formed a new Bear Flag. That was contained below BTC's 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested last week and when the USDT.D resumed the upside, Bitcoin went on to form the Bear Cycle bottom on its 1W MA350 (red trend-line).
This is why our minimum Target for this Bear Cycle (and the starting level of new our long-term buy strategy) is $50000.
So do you think the USDT.D will reverse upwards again, sending BTC to a new Low? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gold Sell Setup Below ResistanceGold price rising channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, lekin strong high area se rejection dekhne ko mila hai. Price ab lower momentum show kar raha hai aur trendline support test kar sakta hai.
Agar channel support break hota hai to downside continuation possible hai toward lower demand zone.
LEVELS:
Resistance: 4,764
First Target: 4,655
Main Target: 4,556
Invalidation: Channel breakout above resistance
Gold Bulls Eye 4,800 After Descending Channel BreakoutHello traders! Here is my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. Gold previously traded within a descending channel. After finding strong support and forming a base, price broke higher and entered a consolidation range. Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 4,630 buyer zone, which acts as key support, while approaching the 4,800 seller zone. The market is also respecting the ascending support line, and a recent breakout from the short-term descending channel confirms renewed buying momentum. As long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,630 support and respects the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 4,800 resistance level (TP1). Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
Silver Holds Bullish Structure Above Key SupportSilver is currently in a pretty similar position to Gold, standing at an important crossroad after an extremely strong rally over the past weeks.
At the beginning of the month, Silver reversed very nicely from above the 70 zone and continued its bullish expansion all the way above 80 last week — a level that also aligns very well with the resistance area from mid-April.
However, compared to Gold, Silver’s P.A currently looks cleaner and, to be honest, more bullish.
After the rejection from 82, the retracement found support around the 78.50 zone on Friday, and this detail is important because, unlike Gold, last night’s low was actually a higher low compared to Friday’s low — not a fresh local low.
This suggests that buyers are still defending the structure quite aggressively and that the market is, at least for now, maintaining bullish pressure despite the recent pullback.
Because of this, I currently maintain a bullish stance on Silver, especially while the market remains above the recent support zones.
Of course, like always, the market must confirm the scenario, but at this moment Silver still appears technically stronger than Gold. 🚀
XAU/USD Forecast: Momentum Building for Next Big Move📊 XAU/USD Technical & Fundamental Analysis 📊
Starting with the technical analysis, gold is currently trading inside a tightening consolidation range while respecting an important ascending trendline on the higher timeframe 📈. The chart also shows a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern forming near the resistance zone, which is often considered a strong bullish reversal structure 🔥. Buyers are attempting to maintain momentum above key support levels, while the resistance area around the neckline remains the major breakout point. If gold manages to close strongly above resistance, bullish momentum could accelerate quickly toward higher levels 🚀.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
• 4732
• 4748
• 4764
However, if the breakout fails and sellers regain control near resistance, gold could face another bearish correction toward lower support zones ⚠️
🎯 Bearish Targets:
• 4682
• 4658
From the fundamental perspective, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to support gold prices as investors still prefer safe-haven assets during uncertain conditions 🌍. Although the United States is attempting to stabilize shipping routes and OPEC+ may increase oil supply in the future, market fear and global uncertainty continue supporting bullish pressure on gold 🟡.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
USNAS100 | IS A 5% CORRECTION COMING AFTER THE +27% RALLY? NASDAQ: The 27% Parabolic Run & The "Rubber Band" Risk
Since March 31st, the NAS100 has surged roughly 27% in about 40 days. We are currently witnessing a rare "vertical" market. In this entire move, we haven't seen a correction exceeding 1.45%. This has created a massive Liquidity Gap—an "air pocket" beneath the current price that offers very little structural support if a sell-off begins.
1. The "Rubber Band" Effect & RSI
Technically, the Nasdaq is extremely overextended from its 20-day and 50-day moving averages.
Think of the price like a rubber band being pulled away from its average; the further it stretches without a pause, the more violent the snapback usually is.
RSI Alert: With the RSI hovering near 80, we are deep in overbought territory. Historically, staying this high for this long leads to a swift "mean reversion."
2. Potential Retest Levels: How Deep?
If the price fails to break and hold above the 29,480 resistance, we look for three tiers of correction:
Level Expected Drop,
Tier 1: Minor Pullback. -3% to -5%,
Tier 2: Standard Retest. -7% to -10%,
Tier 3: The "Flush". -12% to -15%
3. Why Hasn’t It Corrected Yet?
- AI & Semiconductors: A 30% jump in the semi-sector has acted as a shield against broader weakness.
- The Short Squeeze: Many traders shorted early (at the 10-15% mark) and were forced to buy back, fueled by "Short Covering" which pumped the index higher.
- Dovish Sentiment: Optimism regarding Fed leadership and cooling inflation has kept the "bid" strong.
4. The Danger: The "Blow-off Top"
The biggest risk of a 27% rally without a 2% correction is a V-Top. If the final 5% of this move becomes vertical, expect a sharp, V-shaped reversal. Any Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East could be the catalyst that triggers this move toward 28,490 and eventually the 27,000 Institutional Demand Zone.
Key Takeaway
- A move of this scale requires a retest of at least 5-8% to be sustainable. Without a healthy reset, the risk of a "flash crash" style correction increases daily.
- Watch the 29,480 level closely. If we lose momentum here, the "Rubber Band" is ready to snap.
Technically:
Overview
Since the March 31st lows, the NAS100 has staged a massive +27% rally in just under 40 days. What makes this move extraordinary—and dangerous—is the lack of a meaningful correction. To date, the largest "pullback" has been a mere 1.45%. Historically, moves of this magnitude without at least a 2% breather create a "liquidity gap" that often gets filled by a sharp, sudden retest.
1. The Technical Setup
We are currently trading just below the 29,480 resistance. As long as the price remains below this level, the probability of a "mean reversion" increases significantly.
a. The Correction Target : A standard 5% correction from current levels would pull the index toward the 28,490 support, with a deeper structural retest likely at the 27,000 zone (Institutional Demand Zone).
b. Bullish Shield: Strong U.S. Jobs data and relentless AI-driven momentum continue to provide a floor, but the "rubber band" is stretched to its limit.
2. Catalysts for the Move
The market is now hyper-sensitive. The transition from "Extreme Greed" to a "Correction Phase" likely hinges on:
a. Geopolitical Pressure: Any escalation in the Middle East could act as the pin that pops the bubble, driving a quick flush toward 28,490.
b. Profit Taking: After a 27% gain, institutional "smart money" often begins rotation, leaving late-retail buyers holding the bag at the top.
c. Momentum Divergence: If we see lower highs on the lower timeframes while under 29,480, the 5% correction becomes the base-case scenario.
Key Scenarios
Bearish/Correction: A break of local momentum leads to a swift -5% move to 28,490, potentially extending to 27,000 if risk-off sentiment takes over.
Bullish Extension: Total geopolitical de-escalation could postpone this correction, pushing the index toward the 30,100 / 31,350 reaction zones before the eventual "big" retest.
Conclusion: Enjoy the trend, but protect your capital. A market that goes up like a rocket usually falls like a stone when the fuel (liquidity) runs out. Keep a close eye on the 29,480 ceiling.
Sincerely, Srosh Mayi
BITCOIN(BTCUSDT): Price is on the way to $90,000! Dear Traders,
Bitcoin has been in a bullish trend for the past few weeks, with increasing bullish volume and momentum. We expect the price to continue climbing towards the $90,000 area. As the new week begins, we might see the price rise above 84k first. If we break through the strong resistance zone, our target could be achieved sooner than anticipated. If you agree with our idea, please like and comment. Don’t forget to follow us for updates.
The Setupsfx_ Team
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We stuck with the NFP Report and suggested that the move may continue lower into the level we wanted, which worked well and completed. It was at that level we said we would wait for the algo to align and the indicators to give us the indication for the long, that indications gave us 3 fantastic trades upside to finish the day.
For the remainder of the session we would like to see this pull back with the lower regions being 4710 and below that 4690-5. 4690-5 is the region that needs to hold us up to the go higher tomorrow and break open the resent high.
For now however, the plan has worked extremely well and we're happy with that outcome.
From Camelot yesterday:
RED BOX TARGETS:
BREAK ABOVE 4730 for 4740✅, 4747✅, 4752 and 4765 in extension of the move
BREAK BELOW 4704 for 4695✅, 4687✅, 4675✅and 4666✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
Please do support us and the analysis by hitting the boost button.
KOG
SOLUSD Facing Major Channel Resistance_Pullback PossibleSOLUSD continues to trade inside a strong ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines with multiple clean reactions. The chart clearly shows how price has repeatedly bounced from channel support and faced rejection near the upper resistance zone, confirming the strength of this structure.
Recently, buyers pushed the market aggressively toward the top of the channel after a strong bullish expansion from the lower trendline support. However, price is now entering a critical resistance area where previous selling pressure appeared. The latest candles near the upper boundary suggest that bullish momentum may begin slowing down as the market approaches overextended levels inside the channel.
If sellers defend this resistance successfully, SOLUSD could enter a corrective phase targeting the first downside zone around 92.81. A deeper pullback may extend toward the lower target near 88.26, which aligns closely with the channel support and could act as a strong reaction area for buyers again.
From a technical perspective, the market structure still remains bullish overall because price continues forming higher highs and higher lows inside the channel. However, short-term traders may look for bearish confirmations such as rejection candles, lower highs, or momentum weakness before expecting a retracement move.
A strong breakout and close above the upper channel resistance would invalidate the bearish pullback scenario and could open the door for another bullish continuation leg. 🚀
GOLD REMAINS HEAVY BELOW 4700 — CPI WEEK VOLATILITY AHEADGold continues to respect the bearish intraday structure after failing to hold above the short-term H4 recovery trendline. The market opened the week with a bearish gap and confirmed weakness after rejecting from the upper demand zone around 474x, which aligned perfectly with the previous sell bias.
For the US session, focus remains on how price reacts around the current support + Fibonacci 0.382 area. This zone is acting as the first short-term liquidity support after the breakdown move. If gold loses this area cleanly, momentum could continue toward the deeper support + fibo zones below around 463x–462x.
The broader macro perspective remains unchanged. Current recovery phases still look more like technical rebounds inside a larger uncertain macro structure rather than confirmation of a sustainable bullish trend. CPI week volatility ahead could become the catalyst for stronger directional movement.
MAIN SCENARIO:
Gold continues weak below the broken trendline structure. Any rebound back toward the intraday demand zones may continue attracting sell pressure before another move lower toward support + fibo liquidity zones.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO:
If support around fibo 0.382 holds firmly during the US session, gold may attempt a short-term recovery back into the 470x–472x demand area before the market decides the next major move.
Current bias:
• Intraday: bearish below trendline
• Main focus: wait for recovery → sell continuation
• Key zones: 470x demand | 463x–462x support + fibo liquidity zones
LucasGrayTrading
BTC Daily Above EMA144 · Bitcoin is going up!Bitcoin is now trading safely above EMA144 on the daily timeframe. A red day yesterday and today the session recovers before reaching this level. EMA144 has a reading of $78,877.78 while the low happened at $79,181. So far, everything looks incredibly good.
The last time Bitcoin traded above EMA144 was October 2025. Coming from support, after a correction/bearish wave, the date is April 2025, again this date.
Needless to say, the move that started in April 2025 resulted in months of sustained bullish action and a new all-time high before the end of the period. And EMA144 worked as a strong indication as to what was coming. The same signal is active today.
How much growth can happen if Bitcoin stays above EMA144 daily? We are talking about 2-3 months, easily. Now, try to picture this with your minds eye.
The market sentiment was so low during and after the crash, that thinking of, believing in, and seeing, only if mentally, Bitcoin growing strongly became taboo. I wasn't even allowed to mention that Bitcoin would turn bullish let alone grow long-term. "Bitcoin is going to 40K" most people would say and still say.
Now picture this, what would two or three months of bullish action look like? May, June and July.
Can Bitcoin really crash to $40,000 or $50,000 after reaching $110,000, $125,000 or maybe even higher? How can that be?
If sellers couldn't break the support level that was right below 60K, not even able to challenge it, how will they be able to break it after Bitcoin hits a new all-time high and the altcoins go through a major bullish cycle?
The last time growth on the altcoins was weak at best; this time, we are getting the best ever and this is already underway.
Money cycles from Bitcoin to the altcoins, but it also works in reverse. All those altcoins that will be growing 1,000% and more, when the correction comes, lots of this money will flow to Bitcoin and this creates a stable base and support.
In short, we are going up, and it is a long-term bullish cycle. Not a relief rally, not an inverted correction, not something small. It is something unique, fresh & good. It is something that you won't believe is true. It is already old.
Should we put the focus on profit taking? Should I continue to repeat... Bitcoin is going up!
Namaste.
Ethereum Approaches Decision Zone Near Trendline ResistanceEthereum is consolidating below a descending trendline while reacting between strong support around 2275 and resistance near 2370. A breakout above resistance could revive bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may trigger another downside move before recovery.
THE KOG REPORT -1HTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we will stick with our plan from the week before and although we had a lower low than expected, we gave traders our algo hot spots to watch out for. bounces As you can see from the path, the hot spot was hit on the nose and price bounced giving us the long trade for a phenomenal capture during the week. We then updated traders with the NFP Report and again, gave the potential path and the hot spot to look for. And again, price hit our level and we got the RIP down to where we have closed on Friday.
A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on gold but also on the other pairs we trade, analysis and share our red box indicator trades on.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week, again, we’re sticking with the same plan and instead of the usual 4H chart, we’ll use the NFP chart and see if we can get the move we wanted. This play has already hit our hot spot and we got the RIP, so anything from above should have been cleared, taken or protected by now.
Below we have the level of support at the 4704 level which price may test on the open, failure to breach can give us a bounce but that will flip us into 4735 resistance. We do have the higher level 4655-60, which is a possibility on the stretch, however, price needs to remain below these levels to come down again and attempt the break of 4700 to lead us into that lower level on the chart, where we wanted to wait during NFP for the long trade.
For this week we’ll keep it to a daily update rather than the week’s KOG Report.
RED BOX TARGETS:
BREAK ABOVE 4730 for 4740, 4747, 4752 and 4765 in extension of the move
BREAK BELOW 4704 for 4695, 4687, 4675 and 4666 in extension of the move
Quick and simple one this week. Let’s see how we start on the open and we’ll play level to level.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG






















