Get started

Community ideas

05-17-26 WARNING : Major TOP Pattern SetupAs I was completing my weekend analysis, I wanted to take a minute to warn all of you my Custom SPY Smart Money Index appears to be suggesting the US markets have completed a PRE-TOP pattern and could move aggressively to the downside over the next 3-5+ months. I don't usually share this type of information publicly, but this is a great example of why my Custom Indexes are so valuable. You can't always get the proper context of price action related to risks and opportunities unless you dig a bit deeper - beyond the price/technical indicators. I may be a bit early in this warning, but I believe the markets are clearly telling us this last rally is a blow-off top and I would urge all traders to move into an extreme protective phase. _ trade smaller allocation sizes. _ be very cautious of bullish price rallies. _ move more capital into CASH or hedge instruments. _ prepare for extreme volatility. Yes, I could be wrong - or early in my prediction. But my data is telling me this is happening and all we need now is another 2-3 weeks of a Top Confirmation. Buckle up. This could be a big move downward through the end of 2026. Get some.
FX:NAS100Short
by BradMatheny
1
Gold at 4500 Support Again… Breakout Incoming or what? This week’s pre-market analysis focuses on one major question: Will the 4500 support on Gold hold… or finally break? After the heavy bearish momentum from last week retracement, price is now sitting around a critical support zone that could determine the next major move for XAUUSD. In this video, we break down: • DXY market direction • Gold key support & resistance levels • Oil price outlook • Possible bullish & bearish scenarios • What to watch for this week before entering trades As always, the goal is understanding the market structure, timing, and key levels before execution. Drop your thoughts in the comments: Do you think 4500 will hold or break this week? 👇 BELIEVERS GANG 💚 “Slow motion is better than no motion.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GanaJoshuaDanlamiTheAnalyst
Gold : Sell at rally, buy at dip.Hey traders! Last week, gold closed with a large bearish candle—breaking below the 5- and 10-week moving averages and the prior high-level consolidation range in one move. On the 4-hour chart, Bollinger Bands are fully expanded downward, and price continues trading near the lower band—confirming strong short-term bearish momentum. However, RSI remains oversold (<30) with emerging bearish divergence, suggesting a mild corrective rebound is likely early next week—targeting ~$4580 (mid-band). That rebound lacks follow-through: price is expected to stall at $4580, then resume its downtrend. This “rebound-and-resume” pattern makes all rallies shorting opportunities. Key levels: Support: $4500–$4490 (near-term), $4450 & $4400 (strong) Resistance: $4580 (near-term), $4600 (strong)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Batsman_Edward
BtcusdtThe H1 chart now shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside after price failed to continue making higher highs. Following the rejection from the H1 supply zone near 82.6k, Bitcoin broke bullish structure and started forming lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), confirming bearish momentum. The previous bullish trend inside the ascending channel has weakened, and sellers are currently in control. Price is now reacting inside the H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is acting as a bearish continuation zone rather than support. As long as price continues creating LL and LH on the H1 timeframe, the overall short-term trend remains bearish. The chart suggests a possible continuation toward the 64k support area, which is the next major downside target shown on the chart.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by haseebmalik01
XAUUSD — Two-Trade Setup: Oversold Bounce Long, Then Flip Short Date: May 18, 2026 Bias: Short-term bearish continuation with a tactical bounce first Context: Gold closed last week at $4,540 after a brutal 4% selloff driven by April CPI printing 3.8% YoY (highest since May 2023) and PPI surging at its fastest pace since 2022. Markets have fully repriced to zero chance of a Fed cut in 2026, with 50% odds of a December hike now live. The dollar (DXY) hit 5-week highs. Structurally, this is a stagflationary regime — bad for gold's rate-cut narrative near-term. However: the 4H RSI is sitting at 25.32 — deeply oversold. The 1H RSI is at 35.35. Last time 4H RSI reached these levels (March 2026), gold bounced $200–300 before resuming lower. We are playing that bounce first, then fading it. Bounce can be exepcted to 4607-4640 zone (Fib 0.382-0.5) (also 4580 zone). Short targets are 4,520 zone and then 4,440–4,400 zone. Key risk: FOMC minutes Wednesday May 20. Four dissenters at last meeting. — This is personal account analysis, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RajaRSB
$ETH , IdeaETH/USD Structure does not lie. It just takes time. ETH is at an inflection point. The weekly chart has compressed price into a zone where the next significant move - in either direction - will define the macro trend for the next cycle. Three scenarios are in play. Scenario 1: Price holds current structure and begins its expansion phase directly from here. No deeper reset, no patience required. Clean and decisive. Scenario 2a: A moderate pullback into the nearest structural support zone before the expansion resumes. A common pattern in macro bullish structures. Nothing unusual - just the market shaking the tree before the move. Scenario 2b: A deeper correction into the strong low zone, tagged and reclaimed before the real move begins. This is the scenario that would shake out the most participants - which is precisely why it cannot be dismissed. All three scenarios share one conclusion: the macro structure remains intact and points higher. The question is the path, not the destination. The system monitors all three. The process adapts. We do not predict - we prepare. Hidden in plain sight. EQC. Follow, Boost, Thank You! Warning: Financial Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor, your life coach, or your legally responsible adult. Always do your own research and never trade based solely on internet comedy.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by evolutionqc
FCCL - Short Swing — Ascending Structure Still Intact FCCL is showing a developing ascending triangle structure on the lower timeframe while maintaining its rising trendline support. Price is currently hovering near the demand zone around 48–49, and as long as the trendline remains intact, the probability of a rebound toward the upper resistance zone stays strong. A sustained move above the short-term resistance could trigger momentum toward the previous highs. Trade Plan: Buy Zone: 48–49 Stop Loss: 46 TP1: 53–54 TP2: 55–56 Volume confirmation on the breakout would further strengthen the bullish continuation scenario.
PSX:FCCLLong
by GrowingPath
PIBTL - Swing IdeaPakistan International Bulk Terminal Limited (PIBTL) — Retest After Trendline Break PIBTL appears to be stabilizing after breaking its major downtrend structure. The stock has shown a strong recovery from lower levels and is now consolidating above an important support region. The key area to watch is the 15.50–15.75 gap-demand zone. As long as price holds above this region, the recovery structure remains intact and another move toward higher resistance levels remains possible. A gradual accumulation strategy looks reasonable: partial entry near current levels, additional buying near the support zone if revisited. Trade Plan Accumulation: Current levels + 15.75 support zone Stop Loss: 14.90 Targets: 17.50 18.70 20.00 A breakout above 17.50 with strong participation could improve momentum significantly.
PSX:PIBTLLong
by GrowingPath
Javedan Corporation Limited (JVDC) - Swing IdeaRecovery Structure Still Intact JVDC continues to hold its recovery structure after a strong correction phase. The stock has repeatedly defended the 125–128 demand zone, which currently remains the key area for buyers. The recent rebound from support suggests that accumulation may still be active, while price consolidation below resistance keeps the possibility of another upward leg open. A gradual accumulation strategy looks reasonable here: partial position near current levels, additional buying from the 125–128 support zone if revisited. Trade Plan Accumulation Zone: Current levels + 125–128 Stop Loss: 119 (daily closing basis) Targets: 142 148 155 A sustained move above 142 could improve momentum further, while closing below 119 may weaken the recovery setup.
PSX:JVDCLong
by GrowingPath
Bunnys Limited (BNL) — High Volume Near Key Gap Support After the split, BNL has remained relatively quiet for a long time, but now a significant spike in volume has appeared exactly near the major gap-support zone. This kind of activity often attracts attention because operator-driven stocks can react very sharply once accumulation begins. RSI is also approaching the oversold region, which improves the short-term risk/reward setup. At this stage, volume alone is not a confirmation of smart money entry, but if price manages to hold this support area and follow-up buying appears, a volatile upside move cannot be ignored. Trade Plan Support Zone: 7.00 – 7.30 Stop Loss: 6.70 Targets: 8.20 – 8.50 9.40 – 9.80 Risk management is important because these types of stocks can move aggressively in both directions.
PSX:BNLLong
by GrowingPath
$DY: High-Growth Base Ready for a Breakout?Dycom Industries ( NYSE:DY ) shows massive fundamental strength with a 97 Composite Rating, accelerating triple-digit EPS growth, and solid institutional accumulation (B+ rating). It is currently forming a strong multi-month consolidation base just below its $446.00 pivot. While the long-term trend is powerfully bullish, the recent daily pullback to $437.37 means swing traders should watch for support at the 21-day or 50-day moving average and await a high-volume breakout before entering.
NYSE:DY
by ralhlucky
UJ ShortCURRENTLY: I'm looking for price to long, just a bit, to hit .27 on minor FIB. When it makes a LL and LH, on minor structure, I'll look for it to go short to previous support/resistance zone retesting H4 trendline ------------------------------------------------------------ M/W: Uptrend, respecting the lows D: Uptrend, price hit -61.8 + bearish divergence on RSI 4H: Uptrend, respecting the lows + RSI is showing over bought 1H: Uptrend, respecting the lows + bearish divergence on RSI
Short
by MarketKaps
Weekly Bias — 18 MayAll 3 indices are still in higher-timeframe uptrends after the April V-reversal, but the structure is beginning to look late-stage impulsive rather than early accumulation The key divergence is AMEX:IWM underperformance Relative weakness in small caps is typically consistent with rising real yields/tighter financial conditions, growth leadership narrowing & institutional rotation into mega-cap quality rather than broad risk-on participation This matters because durable bull continuation usually wants breadth expansion, cyclicals confirming & small caps leading Right now, breadth is fading while NASDAQ:QQQ remains extended above its intermediate trend averages NASDAQ:QQQ remains in a strong bullish market structure Trend still above 20d & 50d MAs Anchored trend support However, price is now trading deep into the 100% measured extension (~$722), upper volatility envelope & overbought momentum conditions The last several candles show shorter real bodies, increased upper wicks & slowing momentum despite price making higher highs That is classic distributional behavior after an impulse leg The push through $700–$705 likely acted as a buy-side liquidity sweep Price expanded aggressively into psychological resistance, extension resistance & crowded call positioning, but RSI failed to accelerate materially with price, MACD histogram is flattening & volume is declining versus the April rally phase This is hidden bearish divergence Price higher highs Momentum plateauing The market is signaling continuation is getting increasingly expensive The rally from the April lows was validated by strong participation initially, but the last leg from ~$680 → ~$720 occurred on declining relative volume, while RSI remained pinned >70 & MACD expansion slowed Usually precedes either consolidation, volatility compression, or sharp mean-reversion A daily close back below R2 after tagging highs looks like a failed breakout acceptance, probable reversion toward the 20d mean AMEX:SPY looks structurally healthier than NASDAQ:QQQ because breadth is somewhat better, fewer parabolic candles Cleaner stair-step advance, but the same warning signs exist — RSI > 70 rolling lower, MACD histogram decelerating & rejection directly beneath R2/extension levels Resistance $740–$750 Major breakout trigger >$750 Fair value/equilibrium $723–$728 First downside magnet $710 Major support $695 pivot Breakdown acceleration <$690 AMEX:IWM is the most important tell here Unlike QQQ/SPY, it failed to sustain above R2, already lost near-term momentum & closed back toward R1 support This is a potential failed breakout, bearish MSS (market structure shift) & relative risk-off signal If yields continue higher, AMEX:IWM likely underperforms further From the option chain data 1. NASDAQ:QQQ 25Δ call IV ~19.9% 25Δ put IV ~25.5% Strong downside skew 2. AMEX:SPY 25Δ call IV ~11.0% 25Δ put IV~16.7% Defensive hedging bid 3. AMEX:IWM 25Δ call IV ~19.6% 25Δ put IV ~28.2% Heavy downside demand The market isn't chasing upside convexity aggressively, but is paying materially for downside protection Consistent with institutions hedging into strength, not panic, but cautious positioning near extension highs AMEX:IWM put skew especially stands out Current environment appears to be realized trend slowing, implied volatility stabilizing rather than collapsing Suggests market expects larger directional movement soon, likely transition from grind-up to expansion regime This doesn't look like a pure volatility crush environment anymore Likely dealer gamma areas 1. NASDAQ:QQQ Major positive gamma support $680–$685 Resistance/call wall $720–$725 Trigger level above $725 could squeeze toward $740 rapidly 2. AMEX:SPY Gamma support $723 Resistance $740–$750 Volatility trigger below $720 3. AMEX:IWM Key support $277–$280 Air pocket below $270 Resistance $287–$290 AMEX:IWM losing $277 likely accelerates dealer short gamma behavior faster than QQQ/SPY Fair value/equilibrium NASDAQ:QQQ Fair value $680–$690 Current price stretched above equilibrium AMEX:SPY Fair value $720–$728 AMEX:IWM Fair value $268–$272 Best risk/reward remains a short-term downside mean-reversion → not outright trend reversal, but a tactical pullback setup 1. NASDAQ:QQQ $700–$705 rejection continuation Target $690 first, $680 main magnet Invalidation on daily acceptance above $722–$725 2. AMEX:SPY Bearish below $740 Target $723, then $710 Invalidation on sustained breakout above $750 3. AMEX:IWM Bearish below $280 Target $270, then $267 pivot Invalidation on reclaim above $288 1σ expected move approximate near-term 1σ move NASDAQ:QQQ ±16–18 → expected range roughly $690–$725 AMEX:SPY ±14–16 → roughly $724–$755 AMEX:IWM ±7–8 → roughly $270–$286 Current price is already pressing the upper side of those expected distributions, which increases mean-reversion probability unless a fresh catalyst appears This is still technically a bullish higher-timeframe market, but momentum is decelerating, breadth is narrowing, small caps are failing, downside skew is elevated & rallies are occurring on thinner participation Combination usually precedes consolidation, pullback into moving averages, or a volatility expansion lower before the next sustainable advance The key tell this week is whether QQQ/SPY can reclaim & hold above extension highs, or whether this week becomes a failed breakout & liquidity sweep above prior highs
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
We’re Back & $BCH is Breaking Out!"What’s up, fam! 👋 Been a minute! Kicking things off with our first analysis after the break — we’re diving into #BCHUSDT. Looks like #BCH just broke out of that weekly box and stepped right into a fresh uptrend. 🚀 First major target’s sitting around $970, but let’s be real — those sweet 4-digit psychological levels might get tested too. 👀 Not much else to overcomplicate here — chart speaks for itself. Good luck out there, traders! 🍀💪"
BINANCE:BCHUSDTLong
by Binanciega
2
#FUSDT.P Breakout Alert! Don’t Sleep on This OneHey folks! We’re back with a fresh and spicy new analysis straight outta the Binanciega family kitchen. We just couldn’t let you miss out on this one! Today’s hot opportunity is #FUSDT.P, straight from Binance Futures. I’m seeing a solid setup here — and with low leverage, this could turn into a sweet, juicy profit play. Plus, the Funding Rate is slowly dipping into the negative zone, which is music to our ears. 🎶 Now let’s dive into the chart, my friends. #FUSDT.P has just broken out of a 10-day downtrend on both the 4H and Daily charts — a clean breakout to the upside. ✅ Entry zone: $0.12 – $0.14 looks like a strong area to start scaling in. 🚫 Don’t forget to set your stop loss based on your balance and risk management plan. Now, let’s talk about those sweet, sweet targets for our LONG setup. We’ve got three take-profit levels, but we’ll be securing 80% of the position at TP2 to lock in those gains. 🎯 TP1: around $0.20 🎯 TP2: $0.25 – $0.26 (main zone to secure the bag 💰) 🎯 TP3: $0.29 – $0.30, but if price struggles at TP2 or faces heavy resistance, don’t hesitate to close fully there and ride off into the sunset. 🌅 That’s all for today’s opportunity—oops, analysis! 😉 May your charts stay green and your trades stay clean. 💚 Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trades. #Binanciega #FUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #DYOR #NoFinancialAdvice #TradeSmart
BINANCE:FUSDT.PLong
by Binanciega