Get started

Community ideas

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case. 1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share. About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time. This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure. The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end. 2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025. This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst. 3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix. The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S. 4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production. Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand. In conclusion: Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
NASDAQ:AAOILong
by TopgOptions
Netflix - Heading for new all time highs!💣Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is clearly heading higher: 🔎Analysis summary: After I published my last analysis of Netflix, we already witnessed a move of about +25%. And while the higher timeframe remains 100% bullish, we could see another rejection lower. Either way, Netflix remains a clear swingtrading setup heading for new highs. 📝Levels to watch: $70 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TheTraderPhil
25
#OP/USDT Ready to launch upwards#OP The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is trending towards a bounce. A retest of this boundary is expected. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a downward trend, and this trend is likely to continue due to the overbought condition. A key support zone (in green) was found at 0.1135, and the price has bounced off this zone several times, making it a strong support level. The price is trending towards the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports an upward move. Entry Price: 0.1157 First Target: 0.1197 Second Target: 0.1247 Third Target: 0.1303 Stop Loss: At the resistance zone (in green) Remember this simple rule: Money Management. Any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
MSTR Monthly – Time@Mode cycle signal: October 2022 déjà vu?Time at Mode just fired a downtrend expiration signal on the MSTR monthly originating from October 2025, and it's structurally the same setup as the one from January to Oct 2022. I want to break down why I think that matters. Then vs. now January 2022: bearish Time@Mode signal triggers, Fed launches the most aggressive tightening cycle since the '80s. What followed was a wrecking ball. LUNA, Three Arrows, Celsius, FTX. MSTR bled from $90 to the $15 zone by October 2022, falling by two times the projected range target. That kind of overshoot is textbook capitulation, and it's exactly where the system flags high-probability reversals when the projected time duration for the move pans out. Now look at today. The October 2025 signal fired with BTC peaking at $126K and MSTR topping near $457. Since then, MSTR has corrected to $137 (70% drawdown), BTC to $71K. Once again, the move has run to almost 2x the projected range in MSTR. Macro rhymes Different catalysts, same function: peak uncertainty, max fear, forced liquidation. 2022: Fed hiking into inflation, crypto contagion (LUNA -> 3AC -> FTX), institutional capitulation across the board. 2025-26: U.S.-Iran conflict (Hormuz disruption, oil above $100), tariff escalation on multiple fronts, Fed frozen at 3.50-3.75%, crypto down $2T+ from the October peak. Both times the narrative at the signal zone was uniformly bearish. October 2022, nobody would touch MSTR. It was a "zero" trade. Today feels the same: Strategy just posted a $14.5B unrealized loss in Q1, BTC is 44% off highs, CryptoQuant is flagging a bear regime they call "worse than 2022." What happened after October 2022 BTC went from $16K to $126K. About 8x. MSTR, being the leveraged beta play, went from $15 to $457. About 30x. The fuel: spot ETF anticipation, the 2024 halving, and the Fed finally cutting in September 2024. What could fuel this one Wars are expensive. Deficits expand. Eventually the Fed has to accommodate. Same script as post-2022 tightening, just with geopolitical spending as the forcing function instead of plandemic stimulus unwind. Saylor holds 780,897 BTC at $59B cost basis and is still buying through the STRC preferred program with $48B in remaining ATM capacity. This is not the fragile MicroStrategy balance sheet of 2022. This capital structure was built for exactly this scenario. And sentiment is washed. ETF outflows until very recently, algo selling below key MAs, sell-side publishing +-$40K BTC targets. That's the kind of positioning extreme you typically see at cycle lows, not cycle tops. The signal Time at Mode doesn't tell you what the catalyst will be. It tells you when the cycle structure is ripe for a momentum or for mean reversion. In January 2022, the signal said "this bear trend has a shelf life." By October 2022, the bottom in QQQ was in. The October 2025 signal is saying the same thing. The bear phase is mature, the overshoot fits the pattern, and the probability of a significant mean reversion from this zone is high. Not investment advice. But I've seen this chart before... Best of luck, Cheers! Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by IvanLabrie
2
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 1.35225 - Pullback support - 161.8% Fib extension Stop Loss: 1.34937 - Swing low support Take Profit: 1.35685 - Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Long
by FXCM
1
USD/JPY | Going up! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of USDJPY we can see that in one drop in the earlier hours of today, it dropped all the way to 158.26 level, hitting all of our targets based on the previous analysis, and then bounced back up from there, reaching 159.06 and now being traded at 159.03. I expect USDJPY to retest the April 16th NDOG and go through it towards the march 23rd NWOG Low at 159.22, go through this one as well and go for the April 13th NWOG C.E. at 159.43. Should it break above it and stabilize there, further rise to 159.60 is likely. Targets: 159.05, 159.15, 159.25, 159.35 and 159.45. However, after sweeping the liquidity above the 159.15, failing at retesting the March 23rd NWOG could result in dropping back again below the April 16th NDOG, and first target will be at 158.70 and then 159.49 levels.
Long
by AmirAliTrading
6
BTCUSDT Bearish OptimismHi **Disclaimer: This analysis is for sharing purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately. BTCUSDT – H2 Structural Outlook BTCUSDT is currently presenting a bearish structure on the H2 timeframe, with downside bias maintained while price remains below 72558.67, which acts as the primary structure boundary. The price is trading below 71468.98 and is currently in a contraction phase, forming a **Decision Box (box range)** as it consolidates over support. This reflects a **pause in momentum**, not a shift in structure. Within this contraction, price has the potential to **pulse upward toward the 72000 level**, likely forming a corrective ABC sequence before continuation. Structure & Phase Context: * **Primary Structure:** Bearish * **Current Phase:** Contraction (Decision Box) * **Short-term Move:** Corrective upside (ABC potential) Key Levels: * **72558.67** → Structure boundary (bearish invalidation above) * **71468.98** → Local range control level * **72000** → Corrective upside target (ABC completion zone) **Downside Bias:** * **68000 → 67000** as primary bearish target zone Execution Considerations : * Maintain bearish bias while below **72558.67** * Treat upside toward **72000** as **corrective within bearish structure** * Avoid trading inside the **Decision Box (contraction phase)** * Monitor for breakdown and confirmation to align with continuation toward **68000–67000** Bias Summary (TL;DR): Bearish H2 structure below 72558.67; price is going down below 71468.98, and there is a chance of an ABC pullback towards 72000 before the price continues down to 68000–67000. Khiwe.
by Khiwe
1
The uptrend continues. Watch for potential buying zones 73,800🔶 BTC (BITCOIN) ANALYSIS 👉 Bitcoin continues to trade under improving market sentiment as risk-off behavior in the crypto market gradually fades, supported by ongoing ceasefire negotiations between the US and Iran. 👉 According to CoinMarketCap data, the Fear & Greed Index stands at 55, reflecting a neutral stance and gradually approaching 60, which could signal a return of investor optimism. 📌 Technical Overview 👉 The bullish structure remains solid. 👉 The trendline continues to hold an upward direction, supported by rising EMAs. 👉 Price is maintaining stability above the key support zone at 73,800 - 73,400, with potential buy scalping opportunities on any retest of this area. Nearest Support Zone: 73,800 – 73,400 Nearest Resistance Zone: 76,000 🔥 Today’s Bias: BULLISH Wishing you a successful trading day 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDCHF - Keeping it simple!USDCHF has been clearly bearish from the weekly timeframe, with price respecting a long-term falling structure. Now, price is approaching the upper bound of the wedge, a key area where sellers typically step back in. Zooming into the 4H, the structure shows a potential shift brewing. For the bears to take full control and align with the higher timeframe trend, a break below the last major low (marked in blue) is needed. Until then, this remains a reaction zone… but the bigger picture still favors the downside. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
Dow Jones (DJIA) – Elliott Wave Study: Possible Bearish C Wave The Dow Jones Industrial Average has shown a well-structured impulsive advance followed by a corrective phase after completing a higher-degree Wave 5. The broader trend transitioned from bullish impulsive structure into a corrective sequence, suggesting a potential ABC correction in progress. The current structure strongly suggests that the market is transitioning into Wave C of an ABC correction. The rejection from key Fibonacci levels and the formation of a lower high provide a high-probability setup for downside continuation.
TVC:DJIShort
by codeblooded
Gold Technical Analysis - Liquidity Grab Before Big MoveGold is currently respecting a rising trendline but showing clear weakness near the 4830-4835 resistance zone, where multiple rejections and a lower high structure are forming. Price is consolidating inside a tightening range below the descending trendline suggesting liquidity buildup before a move. The overall bias is turning bearish unless price breaks and holds above 4840. The projected path shows a fake push up into resistance followed by a strong rejection targeting the imbalance and liquidity zone below around 4780 and potentially extending toward 4740. Trade Plan – Sell Setup Sell Zone: 4825 - 4835 Trigger: H1 bearish rejection - engulfing from resistance + trendline rejection Targets: 4785, 4753, 4730 Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4845 Trade Plan – Buy Setup Buy Zone: 4770 - 4785 (trendline + demand area) Trigger: Strong bullish rejection liquidity sweep Targets: 4820, 4835 Invalidation: H1 close below 4750 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
1
CLSK: Breakout Commeth! - Fib Reclaim in Play After TrendlineCLSK Daily — Fib Reclaim in Play After Trendline Break CleanSpark bottomed at the full 1.0 retracement ($8.00) and has been building a recovery structure since mid-March. The descending trendline from December highs is now broken — price is consolidating above the 0.618 fib ($10.85), currently trading $11.18. Structure: — Swing high: $15.49 — Swing low: $8.00 (1.0 fib, clean bounce) — 0.618 ($10.85) acting as reclaimed support — Descending trendline from Dec broken and retested Levels I'm watching: ▸ Hold above $10.85 (0.618) → structure stays intact ▸ $11.73 (0.5 fib) — first real test of continuation ▸ $12.61 (0.382) — the level where shorts start covering ▸ $13.70–$14.37 (0.236–0.146 zone) — supply cluster ▸ $15.49 — full recovery / swing high reclaim Invalidation: ▸ Daily close below $10.85 unwinds the fib reclaim thesis ▸ Below $10.22 (0.707) and the recovery structure is broken Bias: Constructive above 0.618. This is a fib ladder setup — each level proves or kills the next. No need to front-run. Let price show its hand at $11.73. Process over prediction. Risk-first, always. — WaverVanir
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold Holds Above 4,800, but the Market Is Still Gold Holds Above 4,800, but the Market Is Still Waiting for a Real Trigger XAUUSD is staying firm above 4,800, though the broader move still looks like a controlled recovery rather than a clean breakout. Gold remains relatively stable as the market continues to balance two competing forces. On one side, the lack of any real progress in the Middle East over the last 24 hours is keeping geopolitical uncertainty alive. The Strait of Hormuz remains under pressure, with restrictions affecting both regional producers and Iranian oil flows. Even though tensions have not escalated further, they have not been resolved either. That keeps a layer of risk premium in the market and prevents gold from losing support too easily. On the other side, WTI crude trading near weekly lows around 89 USD suggests that immediate panic around Gulf conflict has eased. The market still sees a path back to negotiations, and that has reduced the urgency for aggressive safe-haven chasing. In short, fear is not gone, but it is no longer expanding fast enough to push gold into a clean impulsive rally. That is why XAUUSD is holding firm, but not exploding higher. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, gold continues to recover from the deeper March low and is now consolidating around the 4,800 area. The rebound structure remains intact, but price is still trading just beneath the first stronger resistance ceiling. The chart shows a clear roadmap: 4,700–4,800 is the current balance zone the first key sell-side liquidity / resistance sits near 5,370–5,412 near-term support remains in the 4,650–4,700 region deeper support is still located around 4,568–4,585, which remains the first stronger defensive base if price pulls back At this stage, the structure is still constructive. Buyers are holding the recovery well, but they have not yet forced a decisive expansion above the upper resistance zone. Key Price Zones Immediate Support: 4,650–4,700 This is the first area holding the current rebound together. As long as price remains above it, buyers keep short-term control. Secondary Support: 4,568–4,585 If the current structure softens, this becomes the next important demand zone. Major Resistance / Sell-Side Liquidity: 5,370–5,412 This is the broader upside objective and the more important technical ceiling on the chart. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold support and continue higher This is still the constructive path. If gold remains stable above the current support structure, the market may continue building higher and gradually rotate towards the 5,370–5,412 liquidity zone. Scenario 2 – Stay in consolidation before the next move This is also very realistic. With no major breakthrough in geopolitics and no fresh escalation either, gold may remain trapped in a controlled range while the market waits for a clearer catalyst. Scenario 3 – Pull back into support before recovering again If short-term momentum fades, price may revisit 4,700 or even 4,568–4,585 before buyers attempt another upside leg. As long as those zones hold, the broader recovery structure would still remain valid. Market Insight Gold is not trading in a panic environment right now. It is trading in a market where uncertainty remains high, but urgency has cooled. That distinction matters. The unresolved situation around Iran and Hormuz is enough to keep gold supported, but softer oil prices and the absence of fresh escalation are stopping buyers from pushing price into a full breakout. From my perspective, this keeps the structure constructive but patient. For now, the message is clear: XAUUSD is still holding recovery structure above 4,800, but the next bullish leg will need a stronger catalyst before the market can break decisively into higher liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
5
XAUUSD and a BIG rise!HELLO! As shown on the chart, XAUUSD has confidently broken above the long-term descending trendline, which had been acting as resistance for several weeks. Following this breakout, price continued to move higher, confirming a shift in market structure. More importantly, this breakout was supported by a strong bullish impulse in the form of a *bullish engulfing* move, which also cleared the previous local high. This price action strengthens the case for a true trend reversal rather than just a temporary bounce. After the impulsive move upward, XAUUSD is now pulling back toward a key demand zone around 4,750–4,780, aligning with prior structural support and the post-breakout retest area. This zone offers an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for long positions. As long as price holds above this support zone, the next upside target lies around 5,015, corresponding to the next major resistance level and the projected move following the breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jessicaa_
NAS100 Long-Term Buying Opportunity | AB=CD Harmonic Setup#NASDAQ (NAS100) is currently showing short-term bearish momentum after breaking a strong support level around 24,000, indicating a continuation of the downtrend on lower timeframes. However, from a higher timeframe (weekly perspective), the market structure suggests something much bigger is developing Key Analysis: Price action indicates a potential AB=CD Harmonic Pattern formation The AB leg is already completed Currently, price is moving toward the C point (retracement phase) This C leg aligns perfectly with the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.5 – 0.382) Strong Buying Zone: 21,300 – 20,100 This zone offers a high-probability long-term accumulation area Trading Plan: Wait patiently for price to enter and react within the zone Look for confirmation (price action / structure shift) on lower timeframes Enter long positions with proper risk management Target Expectation: Completion of the CD leg Potential upside move of around +3000 points Important: This is a swing/position trade idea, not for scalping. Patience and discipline are key. Why this setup is powerful: Confluence of market structure + harmonic pattern + Fibonacci zone Higher timeframe bias increases probability Clear invalidation & strong RR potential Your View? Do you agree with this bullish harmonic setup, or do you see further downside before reversal? Drop your thoughts below 👇 #NAS100 #NASDAQ #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #HarmonicPattern #ABCDPattern #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #SwingTrading #Fibonacci #TradingIdeas #Investing #MarketAnalysis
FX:NAS100Long
by Elite_Technical_Analysis_Hub
Pullback resistance ahead?US Dollar is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 98.41 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 99.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 97.28 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USDXShort
by Vantage