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| DXY | CONFLUENCE INDEX | Q3 | W29 | D13 | Y26 |📈| Q3 | W29 | D13 | Y26 |
📊| DXY | CONFLUENCE INDEX |
💡| FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS |
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
• Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐
• Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
💡 Core Philosophy
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.”
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐
⚠️ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲
They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊
🙏 Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast.
Stay disciplined 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
📌 Disclaimer
This content is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey toward consistent profitability in currency trading.
Please understand that any forecasts shared are not financial advice. I will be looking for confirmation in line with my setup model and specific entry criteria from the key areas identified on the chart.
All analysis, whether presented via image or video, is shared strictly for educational insight and is not intended to breach any TradingView House Rules.
TVC:DXY
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NFLX Breakdown or Bounce? July 13
NFLX is coming into the week under pressure after a sharp drop from the 76 area into 72.51. Price bounced from the low, but it is now consolidating around 73.40 and remains below the short-term descending trendline.
For me, NFLX is still bearish while it stays below 75–76. Buyers need to reclaim that area before I would trust a stronger recovery. If 72.50 fails, the next move could quickly expand toward 70 because the GEX setup is currently less stable.
Daily Chart
The daily chart remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
NFLX has fallen significantly from the 108.95 high and recently tested the 70.86 area. The latest bounce has not changed the larger structure because price remains below the important 84–85 resistance zone.
The first thing buyers need to do is defend 70.86 and build a higher low. After that, NFLX still needs to reclaim 76, followed by 80 and 85, before the daily chart begins looking healthier.
As long as price stays below 85, I still consider rallies to be recovery attempts inside a larger bearish trend.
15-Minute Chart
The 15-minute chart shows a sharp breakdown from around 75.50, followed by a selloff into 72.51.
NFLX bounced from 72.51 and reached approximately 73.75, but price was unable to continue higher. It is now moving sideways near 73.40 and sitting directly under the descending intraday trendline.
This is a tight decision area.
A break above 73.75–74 could create a move toward 75, but I would still need to see NFLX hold above 75 before becoming more bullish.
If price continues rejecting below 73.75 and loses 73, the 72.51 low could be tested again.
Key Levels
Resistance: 73.75–74, 74.96–75, 76, 76.42, 80, 82, 85
Support: 73, 72.51, 72, 70.86–70
GEX Positioning
The GEX chart shows NFLX trading below the main high-volume level around 75.
That makes 75 the most important pivot for the week. While price stays below it, the GEX structure continues to favor weakness and may turn 75 into resistance.
The first upside call level is around 76. Above that, the next major levels are 80, 82 and 85.
The 80 level is especially important because it appears as a major options level and could become a larger resistance zone if NFLX begins recovering.
On the downside, 70 is the main put wall and the most important bearish target if 72.51 and 70.86 fail.
The chart also shows negative GEX. That matters because negative GEX can allow moves to become faster and more volatile once support or resistance breaks. Instead of price staying pinned, momentum can expand in either direction.
Bullish Scenario
For the bullish setup, I want NFLX to hold above 73 and break the short-term descending trendline.
A move above 73.75–74 would be the first sign that buyers are trying to regain control.
The next test would be 74.96–75. This is the most important confirmation area because it lines up with the high-volume GEX level.
A 15-minute close above 75 followed by a successful retest would give NFLX a better chance of reaching 76 and 76.42.
Above 76.42, I will watch 80 as the next larger target.
If NFLX can eventually reclaim and hold above 80, the next levels would be 82 and 85.
Bearish Scenario
For the bearish setup, I will watch for rejection around 73.75–75.
If NFLX cannot reclaim that area and then loses 73, price could move back toward the 72.51 low.
A confirmed break below 72.51 would increase the chance of a retest of the daily low around 70.86.
If 70.86 fails, the 70 put wall becomes the next major target.
Because GEX is negative, a clean break below 70 could create a faster downside move. I would avoid trying to catch the first bounce if price begins accepting below that level.
Trade Considerations
NFLX is currently trapped between support around 72.50–73 and resistance around 73.75–75.
Inside this range, the price action may remain choppy and difficult to trade. I would rather wait for NFLX to clearly leave the range before choosing direction.
For calls, I want to see price reclaim 74 and then confirm above 75.
For puts, I want to see rejection below 74–75 followed by a loss of 73 and 72.51.
The opening range and VWAP will be important. A breakout that cannot hold above VWAP could quickly reverse because the daily trend is still bearish.
Options Outlook
The chart shows IV Rank around 96.4 and average implied volatility near 52.4. That tells me NFLX options are carrying very expensive premium.
Because IV is elevated, buying contracts while price stays sideways could be difficult. Even when the direction is correct, premium can lose value if the stock does not move quickly enough.
I would avoid chasing contracts in the middle of the 72.50–75 range. The cleaner setup may come after price confirms above 75 or breaks below 72.51.
Conclusion
NFLX remains bearish on the daily chart, but it is trying to stabilize above 72.51.
Above 75, I will watch 76, 76.42 and 80.
Below 72.51, I will watch 70.86 and 70.
The main decision zone this week is 72.50–75. A reclaim of 75 could create a short-term recovery, but another rejection followed by a break of 72.51 could send NFLX back toward the 70 put wall. PLTR Coiling for the Next Move? July 13
PLTR is coming into the week sitting inside a tight decision zone around 125–130. The daily chart is trying to recover after the sharp drop toward 106, but price is still below the key 129–130 resistance area.
For me, this is not a place to guess direction. I want to see whether PLTR can reclaim 129–130 and hold, or lose 125 and start another move lower.
Daily Chart
The daily chart shows PLTR bouncing strongly from the 106.37 low, but the larger structure has not fully turned bullish yet.
Price is currently sitting around 126–127 and continues to struggle below 129.24. This area acted as an important support level before the selloff, so it may now become resistance.
A daily close above 129.24–130 would be the first sign that buyers are taking control again.
Above 130, I will watch 135, 140 and then the larger resistance area around 162.67–165.57.
The bullish structure becomes much stronger only if PLTR can eventually reclaim the 162–166 area.
On the downside, 125 is the first important support. If PLTR loses 125, the next larger downside levels are 120 and then the previous low around 106.37.
15-Minute Chart
The 15-minute chart shows PLTR consolidating after the rejection from 132.28.
Price is now trading in a very tight range near 126.50, with support around 125.75–125 and resistance around 127.25–128.
The stock is also trading below the short-term moving average, so buyers still need to prove that they can reclaim 127.25 and push back toward 128–130.
This tight consolidation can lead to a strong move, but I would wait for price to break the range with volume instead of entering while it stays trapped in the middle.
Key Levels
Resistance: 127.25, 128, 129, 130, 132.28, 133, 135, 140
Support: 126, 125.75, 125, 124.80, 120, 116, 115, 106.37
GEX Positioning
The GEX chart shows 125 as the main high-volume level and near-term support.
PLTR is currently trading just above this area, so 125 may act as a magnet and keep price pinned until buyers or sellers create enough volume to break away from it.
The first upside GEX level is around 127, followed by 129 and 130.
The 130 level appears to be the most important nearby call wall. That means PLTR could struggle or slow down near 130 unless buyers come in with strong volume.
Above 130, the next upside GEX levels are 133, 135 and 140.
On the downside, 120 is the main put wall and the most important bearish target if 125 fails.
Below 120, the next put levels are around 116 and 115.
The GEX structure suggests PLTR may stay inside the 125–130 range until a catalyst forces a larger move.
Bullish Scenario
For the bullish setup, I want PLTR to hold above 125 and reclaim 127.25–128.
A 15-minute close above 128 would give buyers a better chance of pushing into 129 and 130.
The stronger confirmation would be a break above 130 followed by a successful retest.
Above 130, I will watch 132.28, 133, 135 and then 140.
If PLTR can break and hold above 140, the daily chart would have more room to recover toward the larger 162–166 resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario
For the bearish setup, I will watch for rejection around 127.25–130.
If PLTR continues failing below this area and then loses 125, the short-term structure would weaken.
A confirmed 15-minute close below 125 could open the move toward 124 and then the major 120 put wall.
If 120 fails, the next downside targets would be 116 and 115.
A larger breakdown below 115 could eventually bring the previous daily low around 106.37 back into play.
Trade Considerations
PLTR is currently sitting near the middle of the 125–130 GEX range, so this could remain choppy until price clearly breaks one side.
For calls, I want to see PLTR reclaim 127.25–128, then confirm above 130.
For puts, I want to see rejection from resistance followed by a clean loss of 125.
I would also watch the opening range and VWAP. A breakout without volume could quickly fail because the GEX levels are positioned close together.
Options Outlook
The chart shows IV Rank around 59 and average implied volatility near 65.6, so options premium is already elevated.
Because of that, I would avoid chasing contracts while PLTR remains stuck between 125 and 130.
The cleaner opportunity may come after price breaks the range and confirms direction with a retest.
Conclusion
PLTR is trying to build a base, but buyers still need to reclaim 129–130 before the chart becomes more bullish.
Above 130, I will watch 132.28, 133, 135 and 140.
Below 125, I will watch 120, 116 and 115.
The main decision zone this week is 125–130. A clean break from this range could create the next strong trading opportunity. BTC/USD | 4HBitcoin Analysis – BTC/USD | 4H
Bitcoin is trading near $62,767 after rebounding from the $57,704 low. However, the broader market structure remains bearish, and the current recovery has not yet confirmed a bullish reversal.
Key resistance: $67,330
Major support: $57,704
Next support: $54,502
Bullish scenario: A confirmed close and sustained price action above $67,330 could extend the recovery toward $82,906. A breakout above that level would expose $97,839.
Bearish scenario: Rejection from $67,330 or a breakdown below $57,704 would increase the probability of a decline toward $54,502. Losing this support would confirm further bearish continuation.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is currently ranging between $57,704 and $67,330. There is no strong directional advantage inside this range; confirmation requires a clear breakout or breakdown. The structure remains bearish while price stays below $67,330.
Educational analysis based on the BintKhalifa Market Positioning Framework. This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. 
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SELLERS STILL IN PLAY FOR BITCOIN Hi Traders
Hope you had good weekend ,
Bitcoin is looking a bit bearish right now, and it feels like sellers are in control of the market at the moment. As I mentioned before, I’m not panic-selling or dumping my position. I’m simply trading what I see and reacting to the price action in front of me.
That said, my long-term outlook on Bitcoin remains bullish. Because of that, I’m not going to hesitate to close a trade if it’s not working out in the short term. Risk management always comes first. Sometimes taking a small loss is the right move, especially when the bigger picture still supports your long-term conviction.
For now, I’m staying flexible, respecting the market, and letting the charts guide my decisions rather than my emotions.
What’s your take on Bitcoin from here? Do you think the bearish momentum continues, or are we setting up for the next move higher?
Drop your thoughts in the comments below 👇 and follow for more market insights, trade ideas, and crypto updates.
please note that this is not financial advice Short 
US30 H4 | 50% Fib Resistance In SightThe price is rising to our sell entry level at 52,761.81, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop-loss is set at 53,211.51, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 52,137.79, which is an overla support.
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Sellers remain in control?Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,202.35
1st Support: 3,921.02
1st Resistance: 4,351.16
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