Gold Daily Chart - Breakout or Rejection?Gold continues to recover strongly from the 3940-4000 demand zone and has reclaimed the 4259 level keeping the daily structure bullish. Price is now approaching the 4380-4400 resistance area which also sits close to the descending trendline.
A daily breakout above this region could accelerate the move toward 4456-4479 and potentially 4677-4687 while rejection could send price back toward 4259 and 4195–4165.
The upcoming CPI data this week could have a big impact on gold and may trigger a strong move in either direction. Higher than expected inflation could put pressure on gold by pushing yields and the dollar higher while lower than expected inflation could support further upside in gold.
Trade Plan-Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4380-4405
Sell Trigger: H1-H4 bearish rejection or bearish engulfing from the resistance zone
Targets: 4341, 4303, 4259, 4211, 4165
Invalidation: H4 close above 4405. A sustained breakout above this level would strengthen the bullish trend and could open the door toward 4456-4479.
Trade Plan-Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4211-4165
Buy Trigger: H1-H4 bullish rejection or bullish engulfing from the support zone
Targets: 4259, 4341, 4380, 4456, 4479
Invalidation: H4 close below 4128. A sustained break below this level would weaken the current bullish structure and could expose 4050-4020.
Note
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Paidsignals
Gold Analysis - Key Levels and Trade Plan Ahead of NFPGold remains in a strong short term bullish trend after breaking above the previous resistance around 4195-4200 and rallying toward the 4303 resistance. However the latest H4 candle shows rejection near this supply zone suggesting buyers may pause before attempting another push higher. As long as price holds above the 4195-4165 support area the overall structure remains bullish with potential upside toward 4412 and 4479. A deeper pullback into support could provide a healthier continuation of the uptrend.
Tomorrow NFP news is likely to drive gold next major move. A weaker than expected NFP could push gold above 4303 toward 4412-4479 while a stronger report may trigger a pullback to 4211-4165 or 4128. We should wait for H1-H4 confirmation after the news before entering new positions.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4280-4305
Sell Trigger: H1-H4 bearish rejection or bearish engulfing from the resistance zone
Targets: 4250, 4211, 4195, 4165, 4128
Invalidation: H4 close above 4305. A sustained breakout above this level would strengthen the bullish trend and could open the door toward 4412-4479.
Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4195-4165
Targets: 4211, 4250, 4303, 4412, 4479
Invalidation: H4 close below 4128. A sustained break below this level would weaken the current bullish structure and could expose 4050-4020.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Will Gold Break Above 4120?Gold is currently trading around 4079 after facing rejection from the 4120 resistance area. Price is still respecting the rising trendline and holding above the 4072-4075 support zone keeping the short term structure mildly bullish. If gold manages to reclaim 4091-4105 and holds above this area the next upside targets are 4120 followed by 4165-4168. A clean break above 4168 could increase bullish momentum toward 4197-4211 with 4240-4280 possible if 4211 is broken and sustained.
On the downside if price fails to reclaim 4091-4105 and breaks below the rising trendline we could see a pullback toward 4050-4040. The 4040–4050 zone is important support while a sustained H4 break below 3980 would weaken the bullish structure and expose 3966 and lower levels.
Overall the bias remains buy on dips above 4040-4050 but traders should watch the 4120-4165 resistance zone carefully for a possible sell reaction.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4120-4165
Targets: 4105, 4091, 4072, 4050
Invalidation: H4 close above 4211. A sustained break above 4211 would invalidate the bearish setup and could push gold toward 4240-4280.
Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4040-4050
Aggressive Buy: 4072-4091 if price holds the rising trendline and reclaims this area
Targets: 4105, 4120, 4165, 4211, 4240–4280
Invalidation: H4 close below 3995. A sustained break below this area would weaken the bullish structure and could expose 3980-3966.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Range Before the Big Move?Gold is still trading with a bearish overall structure despite the recent recovery from support. Price is struggling around the 4091-4105 resistance area which also lines up with the descending trendline shown on the chart. Unless buyers can break and hold above this zone the current move looks more like a pullback than a new uptrend. A break above the trendline could open the door toward 4120 followed by 4160-4180 but buying momentum still appears limited.
On the downside a rejection from the current resistance could send gold back toward 4050, 4040 and potentially the 3980-3966 support area.
With the Fed interest rate decision on 29 July approaching, gold is likely to remain volatile and may continue trading in a range until the market receives fresh direction.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4120-4165
Targets: 4105, 4091, 4050, 4040
Extended Target: 3980-3966 (Major H1 Support)
Invalidation: H4 close above 4211. A sustained break above this level would confirm a bullish breakout and could open the door for a move toward 4240-4280.
Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4040-4050 (Aggressive buyers can also watch 4091-4105 if price reclaims and holds above this zone)
Targets: 4091, 4105, 4120, 4165
Extended Target: 4211-4240 (Trendline Resistance)
Invalidation: H4 close below 3980. A sustained break below this level would strengthen bearish momentum and could expose 3966 and lower support levels.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Key Levels for the Next MoveGold remains in a bullish market structure after the confirmed trendline breakout but price is currently consolidating around 4120-4125 below the 4165 resistance. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal with buyers still defending the 4105-4091 support area. If this support continues to hold gold could resume its upward move toward 4165 followed by 4211 and 4240.
However a break below 4091 would signal a deeper correction toward 4050 before buyers may step in again.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4160-4180
Targets: 4120, 4105, 4091, 4050
Extended Target: 4040 (H1 Support)
Invalidation: H4 close above 4211. A sustained break above this level would strengthen the bullish outlook and could open the door for a move toward 4240.
Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4091-4105
Targets: 4120, 4165, 4211, 4240
Extended Target: 4280 (Major Resistance)
Invalidation: H4 close below 4050. A sustained break below this level would increase bearish momentum and could expose 4040 and 3980.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Bears Eye 3887 Daily Support?Gold remains under bearish pressure even though price has managed to recover from recent lows. The current rebound is approaching a strong confluence resistance area around 4020-4040 where the descending trendline, previous structure and FIB levels are aligned. This zone is likely to attract fresh selling interest unless buyers can produce a strong breakout. As long as gold continues making lower highs below the major resistance at 4120, the overall short-term bias remains bearish. A bearish rejection or lower high from the current resistance area could trigger another decline toward the recent lows with sellers aiming for the daily support zone near 3887.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4020-4040
Targets: 3983, 3940, 3924
Extended Target: 3887 (Daily Support)
Invalidation: H4 close above 4120. A sustained break above this level would weaken the bearish outlook and could open the door for a move toward 4136-4160.
Trade Plan - Buy Setup
Sell Zone: 3960-3983
Targets: 4015, 4040, 4060, 4085
Extended Target: 4120 (Daily Support)
Invalidation: H1-H4 close below 3940. A sustained break below this level would increase bearish momentum and could expose 3924 and 3887 (Daily Support).
Note
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Gold Analysis - Is Gold Ready for Another Sell-Off?Gold remains in a well defined bearish descending channel with the overall market structure continuing to favor sellers despite the recent rebound from the 3983 support area. The latest recovery appears to be a corrective pullback rather than a trend reversal as price is still trading below the descending trendline and beneath the major resistance cluster between 4060 and 4080. 4059 and 4078 levels making it a high probability area for renewed selling pressure. A break above 4080 could trigger a short term move toward 4100-4120 but unless buyers manage to secure a sustained H4 close above 4120, the broader bearish trend remains intact. As long as price stays below this resistance region sellers are expected to regain control and push gold back toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The current bounce is likely to offer a better risk to reward selling opportunity rather than signaling a bullish reversal. If bearish rejection forms within the 4060-4080 resistance zone downside momentum could resume with an initial retest of 4020 followed by 3983 which is the recent swing low. A decisive break below 3983 would expose the next support levels at 3940 and 3924 while extended selling pressure could eventually drive price toward the 3887 daily support area.
Traders should closely monitor price action around the resistance zone for bearish candlestick confirmation before entering short positions.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4060-4080
Entry Trigger: Bearish rejection candle or lower high formation on H1-H4 within the sell zone.
Targets: 4020, 3983, 3940, 3924
Extended Target: 3887 (Daily Support)
Invalidation: H4 close above 4120. A sustained break above this level would weaken the bearish outlook and could open the door for a move toward 4136-4160.
Gold Analysis - Bearish Trend Targets 3924Gold remains under bearish pressure after failing to reclaim the descending trendline resistance around the 4080-4100 region. Price is trading below the key resistance levels at 4,080, 4,100, and 4,120, showing that sellers remain in control. Any short term rebound toward the 4080-4120 resistance area is likely to attract fresh selling interest before the broader downtrend resumes.
As long as price remains below the descending channel resistance the path of least resistance remains to the downside with a potential move toward the demand zone around 3940-3924.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4080-4120
Targets: 4020, 3961, 3940, 3924
Invalidation: H4 close above 4120
Note
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Gold Price Forecast - Can Bears Push Gold Back to 3940?Gold remains in a broader bearish market structure continuing to trade inside a well defined descending channel while respecting the long term bearish trendline. The recent rally from the 3940 daily support has pushed price back into the major resistance confluence around 4180-4230 where several technical factors align. This zone includes the neckline of the recent structure, the descending channel resistance, the dynamic trendline and the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement 4161-4206.
The market has also formed a lower high sequence throughout the decline meaning buyers are still trading against the dominant trend. As long as price remains below the descending trendline and fails to secure an H4 close above the resistance cluster this rebound is likely to be a corrective pullback rather than a trend reversal. A bearish rejection from the current resistance area could trigger another impulsive leg lower with the first objective being the 3940 daily support. A confirmed H4 close below 3940 would strengthen bearish momentum and expose deeper downside targets around 3900, 3842, 3781 and potentially 3669 which aligns with the lower Fib extension and channel support.
Bulls would only gain meaningful control if Gold breaks and closes above the upper resistance zone invalidating the current bearish structure.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4180-4230
Targets: 3940, 3900, 3842, 3781
Invalidation: H4 close above 4230
Note
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Gold Technical Analysis - Bears Remain in Full ControlGold continues to trade with a clear bearish structure respecting the descending channel and remaining below the major bearish trendline. The recent pullback into 4060-70 zone was rejected indicating that sellers are defending this resistance area and maintaining downside momentum. Price is also trading below the previous swing highs and key horizontal resistance around 4030-4100 reinforcing the bearish outlook.
The daily support near 3940 is currently being tested making it a critical level to watch. A decisive H4 close below this support would confirm fresh selling pressure and increase the probability of a move toward 3900 followed by the extension targets near 3842 and 3781. While a short term corrective bounce cannot be ruled out from current levels, any recovery toward the highlighted sell zone is likely to attract sellers unless bulls manage to secure a strong H4 close above 4100.
Until that happens the overall market structure remains bearish and rallies are still favored as selling opportunities rather than signs of a trend reversal.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4030-4070
Targets: 3940, 3900, 3842, 3781
Invalidation: H4 close above 4100
Note
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Gold Technical Analysis - Bears Eye 4100 and BelowGold is currently trading around 4184 and remains under pressure inside a broader bearish structure. The price respecting a descending trendline while approaching a critical confluence zone where the rising support channel intersects with the falling resistance trendline around 4210-4230. Recent price action suggests a corrective bounce from the lower channel support but sellers continue to defend higher levels. As long as price remains below the descending trendline and the resistance area near 4268-4300 the overall bias remains bearish.
A rejection from the current resistance cluster could trigger another downside leg toward the psychological 4000 region and potentially the extension level 3835. Bulls would need a sustained break above 4230-4268 to weaken the bearish outlook.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4210-4230
Targets: 4150, 4100, 4022, 3900, 3835
Invalidation: H4 close above 4268
Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, bearish engulfing or lower-timeframe market structure shift) within the 4210-4230 resistance zone before entering. Selling directly into support around current levels carries higher risk while a pullback into resistance offers a more favorable risk to reward setup.
Note
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Gold Analysis: Is a Bigger Drop Coming?Gold remains under bearish pressure after failing to break above the 4345-4350 resistance zone. Price has broken below the ascending triangle support and is trading beneath the descending trendline indicating weakening bullish momentum. As long as price stays below 4345 and the trendline resistance sellers remain in control. A break below the 4306 liquidity-support area could accelerate the decline toward lower targets around 4282 and 4267.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4330 - 4345
Targets: 4306, 4282, 4267, 4243
Invalidation: H1 close above 4355
Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: 4337, 4345, 4358, 4369
- Support: 4322, 4306, 4282, 4267, 4243
Bias: Bearish below 4345. A sustained move above 4355 would weaken the bearish outlook and could trigger a push toward 4369-4380.
Gold Analysis - Bearish Rejection Expected Near 4382 ResistanceGold is showing a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish channel on the H4 timeframe. Price has successfully bounced from the 4024-4110 demand zone and is now trading around 4329 approaching a major resistance confluence near 4330-4382. Its indicating temporary bullish momentum however price remains below the descending channel resistance and the higher timeframe bearish trendline. 4382 is a critical level and rejection from this area could trigger another leg lower toward the channel support. Unless buyers achieve a strong H4 close above 4382 the current move is likely a retracement rather than a full trend reversal. Therefore bearish continuation remains the preferred scenario while price stays below the channel resistance.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4330-4382
Targets: 4200, 4108, 4024
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4382
Bias: Bearish below 4382 with potential downside continuation toward 4200 and lower support levels. A breakout above 4382 would weaken the bearish outlook and open the door for a move toward 4450-4600.
Note
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XAUUSD Analysis - Gold Retracement Before the Next Drop?Gold remains under strong bearish pressure after breaking below multiple support structures and confirming a lower low formation near the 4023 area. Price is currently attempting a corrective rebound from the recent low but the overall market structure remains bearish as long as it trades below the descending trendline and the key resistance cluster around 4190-4235. There could be a potential retracement toward the 4152, 4192 and 4232 levels. Any recovery into these areas is likely to attract fresh selling interest. A rejection from the 4190-4235 region could trigger another leg lower toward 4000 and below while only a sustained break above the major resistance zone would weaken the current bearish outlook.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4190-4235
Targets: 4120, 4023, 3893
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4268
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4193, 4232, 4268, 4362
Support: 4023, 4000, 3893, 3813
Bias: Bearish below 4235 with rallies into resistance viewed as selling opportunities.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Gold Looks Ready for Another Drop!Gold remains under bearish pressure on the 2H chart after a strong impulsive decline from the 4480-4520 supply zone. Price is currently consolidating inside a rising wedge-ascending triangle structure around 4330-4340 but the broader trend remains bearish as long as price stays below the broken support zone near 4360-4390 and below the descending trendline. There could be a potential liquidity grab toward the 4360-4400 area before sellers regain control. A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger the next leg lower toward 4268 support with extended downside targets around 4174 and 4116. Bulls would need a sustained break above 4420-4450 to invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum back to the upside.
Trade Plan - Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4360-4405
Targets: 4320, 4268, 4174
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4450
Bias: Bearish below 4420-4450. Any rally into resistance is likely to attract fresh selling pressure unless buyers can reclaim and hold above the 4450 area.
Note
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Gold Analysis - Gold Sell Opportunity Near ResistanceGold has broken down aggressively from the descending channel resistance and confirmed a bearish market structure shift after losing the 4400-4420 support area. The sharp sell off created a new weak low around 4310 indicating strong selling pressure in the short term. Price may attempt a corrective pullback toward the broken support zone near 4380-4420 before sellers potentially step back in. As long as gold remains below the descending trendline and the retracement area 4419-4442 the overall bias remains bearish. A rejection from this supply zone could trigger another leg lower toward the 4250 and 4205 downside liquidity levels. However a sustained recovery above 4445 would weaken the bearish outlook and open the door for a deeper retracement toward 4480-4520.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4385-4425
Targets: 4320, 4250, 4205
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4450
Note
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Gold Analysis - Battle Between $4440 Support & $4520 ResistanceGold is currently trading inside a descending channel and reacting around the key 4440-4475 support zone shown on the chart. Price recently rejected the upper trendline near 4520-4530 and is now compressing near the channel base which suggests volatility expansion could happen soon. As long as gold remains below the 4505-4520 resistance area bearish pressure is still dominant and sellers may attempt to push price toward 4390 and possibly 4320. However if buyers manage to reclaim 4520 with strong H1-H4 closes then a short-term bullish recovery toward 4560-4595 can develop. The chart also shows equal lows and liquidity resting below current price increasing the probability of a downside sweep before any larger reversal.
Fundamentally gold is still reacting to expectations around US Federal Reserve policy, US Dollar strength and bond yields. Stronger US economic data and hawkish Fed expectations are keeping pressure on gold in the short term while geopolitical uncertainty and recession concerns continue to support long-term safe haven demand.
Traders are also watching upcoming US economic releases and labor market data which could create sharp volatility in gold during the next sessions.
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4425-4445
Targets: 4485, 4520, 4595
Invalidation: H1-H4 close below 4390
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4505-4530
Targets: 4450, 4390, 4320
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4560
Note
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Gold Analysis: Smart Money Levels & Gold Trade PlanGold is currently trading around the 4525-4530 resistance area while respecting the ascending trendline. Price structure remains slightly bullish as long as gold holds above the 4500 support zone. The chart shows buyers attempting to push toward the 4550-4600 region and a strong breakout above the current resistance could open the door for a move toward the 4670+ highs. However rejection from this zone may trigger a bearish correction back toward 4480 and potentially 4390 levels. Overall gold remains in a decision zone with bullish momentum still active above trendline support.
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4505–4520
Targets: 4550, 4595, 4677
Invalidation: H1–H4 close below 4485
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4545–4570
Targets: 4500, 4450, 4390
Invalidation: H1–H4 close above 4600
Note
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis -Will Gold Break Higher or Drop Lower?Gold is currently trading inside a key compression zone after rejecting the 4725-4730 resistance area multiple times. Price is hovering around 4693 while respecting the 30M ascending trendline and holding above the important 4670-4680 demand zone. Gold still shows bullish recovery potential as long as buyers defend this support region.
A breakout above the descending trendline and sustained move above 4705-4725 can trigger strong bullish momentum toward 4760 and possibly 4780-4800.
However if gold loses the 4670 support with strong candle closes then bearish pressure may increase toward 4650 and 4638. Overall structure remains slightly bullish but market is currently waiting for a decisive breakout from this tightening triangle formation.
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4685-4690
Targets: 4725, 4760, 4780
Invalidation: H1-H4 close below 4645
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4725-4755
Targets: 4700, 4675, 4650
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4770
Note
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Gold Analysis - CPI Volatility May Push XAUUSD Toward 4820Gold is currently trading inside a critical support and resistance range after rejecting the 4760-4770 resistance zone on the H1 chart. Price is now hovering around the descending trendline near 4695 while the 4670-4650 support area remains the key bullish demand zone. Technically gold still holds bullish recovery potential as long as buyers defend the 4650 region and the chart structure suggests a possible liquidity sweep before another push toward 4740 and potentially 4780+.
Today’s US CPI news is the major catalyst for volatility with markets expecting inflation to remain elevated due to rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. A higher than expected CPI could strengthen the US Dollar and pressure gold toward 4670-4650 support while softer inflation data may weaken the dollar and trigger a strong bullish breakout above 4740 resistance.
Traders should expect sharp price swings around the CPI release and manage risk carefully.
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4660-4685
Targets: 4720, 4760, 4820
Invalidation: H1-H4 close below 4645
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4725-4755
Targets: 4700, 4675, 4650
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4770
Note
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Gold Analysis and Trade Plan Before NFP ReleaseGold is still trading inside a short-term bullish structure but price is struggling below the 4740-4760 resistance zone where sellers are active again. The possible rising wedge showing weak bullish channel and if gold fails to break above 4760 then a deeper correction could start toward 4700, 4680 and even 4650. Buyers still have control above 4680 but momentum is slowing and rejection near the top zone is important to watch. A strong breakout above 4760 can push price toward 4780-4800 otherwise downside pressure may increase.
Today’s NFP news can create high volatility because the market is waiting for US labor data to decide the next major move. A strong NFP report may strengthen the dollar and push gold lower toward 4700, 4680, 4650 and even more down while weaker than expected data could support a breakout above 4760 toward 4800 and 4840. At the same time ongoing US-Iran headlines are keeping uncertainty high which is also supporting gold prices.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4740-4760
Targets: 4700, 4680, 4650
Invalidation: H1–H4 close above 4765
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4680-4700
Targets: 4730, 4760
Invalidation: H1 close below 4670
Note
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WTI Oil Latest Analysis - Major Breakout Setup FormingWTI OIL is still trading inside a bullish recovery structure after bouncing strongly from the 89.50 support zone but price is now stuck near the important 95.20-95.60 resistance area. The rising wedge and trendline compression suggest volatility is building and a breakout move is close. If oil holds above the rising support trendline then buyers may attempt another push toward 97-100 but rejection from the current resistance area could trigger a correction back toward 93 and 91.
Fundamentally oil remains sensitive to US-Iran headlines, OPEC+ supply decisions and Strait of Hormuz tensions while recent hopes of a softer geopolitical situation are limiting upside momentum.
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 93.00-93.50
Targets: 95.20, 97.80, 100.00
Invalidation: H1 close below 92.50
Note
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Gold Analysis - Rejection at 4680-90 Signals Short-Term PullbackGold is moving within a rising channel after a strong bullish push but price is now testing a key resistance area around 4665-4680 where upside momentum is slowing and signs of rejection are appearing. The overall structure remains bullish above 4620 however a short-term pullback is likely as price struggles to break higher and forms a potential lower high. There is room for a corrective move toward the 4580-4550 region where liquidity and support are aligned before buyers may step in again.
From a fundamental perspective gold is supported by uncertainty around interest rate decisions, mixed U.S. data and ongoing safe-haven demand but a relatively firm dollar in the near term is capping gains and could drive a temporary dip.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4665-4680
Targets: 4625, 4580, 4550
Invalidation: H1–H4 close above 4700
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4500-4520
Targets: 4560, 4600
Invalidation: H1 close below 4480
Note
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