Patternsoncapital
DXY 4H - waiting for longDXY printed an impulsive 5-wave advance from 95.550 → 100.660. Since that high, price has shifted into a corrective phase. The current retracement is sitting inside the typical 38.2–61.8% Fib correction zone, and it looks like we may already be in the late stage of that pullback.
Longs only after 1H prints the first clean 5-wave structure up from the corrective base.
Best trigger: break above the local swing high after that initial 5-wave push.
🎯 Target
• > 103.000 (continuation toward higher
EURUSD (4H) - bounce to 1.1750Structure (4H)
EURUSD appears to have completed a 5-wave decline into the recent lows. From there, price is likely starting a corrective phase. The first leg up can form as a diagonal / wave (A), followed by a wave (B) pullback, then a wave (C) extension higher.
Plan (correction setup)
I’m looking for an ABC recovery over the coming sessions, with price potentially gravitating toward the 0.50 Fib retracement area.
Target zone
• ~1.1750 (≈ 50% retracement / key reaction level)
✅ Trade safe ✅
DXY 1H — bullish - target to 101.4I’m treating the recent pullback as wave (4), and it appears to have held the 38.2% Fib retracement (support reaction). Structure is still constructive and the move can be framed inside an ascending channel, which supports continuation rather than reversal.
📌 Plan
• I’m looking for wave (5) continuation from the wave (4) reaction area.
✅ Confirmation trigger
• Prefer to see a 5-wave push up on lower TF (15m) to confirm wave (5) is underway.
🎯 Target
• 101.40
DXY (4H) - bullish after correction DXY 4H — Wave 4 pullback → long for Wave 5 📈💵
🧠 Wave count (4H)
I’m bullish on DXY. The advance looks like an impulsive sequence where wave (3) has just completed (or is completing). If correct, the next phase should be a wave (4) correction before wave (5) continues higher.
📌 What I’m waiting for (no chasing)
• Wave (4) retrace zone: 99.0 → 98.1 (key support / prior reaction area)
• Ideally the pullback is 3-wave (ABC) and remains corrective (overlapping / choppy).
✅ Entry conditions (stri
NZDUSD 1H — Leading diagonal (5) → sell ABC retrace 🧠 Wave view (1H)
NZDUSD looks close to completing a 5-wave decline, and the price action fits a leading diagonal profile (overlapping legs, channel-like compression). If wave (5) completes, the next typical step is a sharp 3-wave corrective rebound (ABC).
📌 Plan
I’m not shorting the lows. I want the bounce first:
• Expected retrace zone: 0.59450 – 0.59800 (≈ 50–61.8% Fib)
✅ Entry conditions (strict)
Shorts only after confirmation:
1. Wave C of the correction completes in the zone, then
2. 1
NZDCAD (1H) — 5-wave decline in progress🧠 Market structure
On the 1H chart, I’m treating the current move as a descending 5-wave impulse, with price now developing a potential corrective wave (4).
Why 5-wave impulse and not a wave C?
• The leg 0.82553 → 0.79383 fits best as wave (3): it is close to 2.618× wave (1), which is more typical for a third wave extension than a C-wave.
• Prior to that, the rise 0.78578 → 0.82757 is a clear 3-wave (ABC) structure — visible on the chart — which supports the idea that the next major move is i
BTCUSD — correction after 5-wave drop completed🧠 Structure (wave view):
I’m treating the move from 74,072 → 65,650 as an 5-wave impulse down. Since then, BTC has been retracing into the 0.618–0.786 Fib area.
📌 Bias / Plan:
I consider the correction complete for the downward trend to continue
🎯 Targets:
• Primary downside area: 55,000 → 50,000
• Potential extension: lower, depending on how waves (3) and (5) develop during the decline.
Trade safe!
ETHUSD 15m — Finishing 5-wave dropIdea 🧠
ETH looks like it’s completing a 5-wave impulse down from the ~2,200 swing high. The next high-probability sequence is an ABC corrective bounce.
Plan 📌
I’m not interested in chasing the lows.
• Expect A-B-C up after wave V completes
• Short zone: 38.2–61.8 Fib of the prior leg (~2,122–2,140)
• Alternative conservative entry: short after break below B-wave low (confirmation)
Targets 🎯
• Expecting to hitting aa new local low - below 1700
Invalidation ⚠️
Setup is invalid if price acce
AUDCHF (15 min) - watching for shortsSince January 2026, we have been in a price channel.
We broke through it downwards, and I assume that we have formed a five-wave structure (0.55175 - high, 0.54065 - low).
I assume that we are now in an upward correction structure, and after its completion, I expect the downward movement to continue.
Due to the unstable situation in the world and the formation of gaps on the charts, I recommend considering short positions after breaking through wave B, with a stop above the level of wave C















