ILMN Sold off big time and fell lower, similar to ALGN
Put Spread $282.5/252.5 EXP is September 27th
30 points wide and cost was $9.13
Market continues to sell off and it could move lower to EMA 200 where it may bounce.
Exit 1 underlying price of $252.5 and max profit will be $1050 Time looks good and my preference for this move is around 45 days.
I bought a call credit spread against "A" 72.5/77.5 Credit spread exp June 21st Fill Price 2.49
Earnings are tomorrow but due to the uncertainty in the air with the whole tariff move courtesy of trump everything that recently looked good will look less good because everyone will be skiddish. Let's see how it pans out.
Max loss $2.51 + commission
This is a...
Trading without a risk management is gambling. Gambling relies on hope.
Selling OTM spreads depends on a 75% success rate and surviving a few big losses. The RR is very low if you are aiming to collect 25% of the spread. I traded 12 months solely on BullPut and this has taught me well. It's a losing strategy based on the misconception of high win rate and...
After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue).
I am looking for some support coming in here.
As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies...
Update on a upsloping trendline (blue) which acts as resistance
On the 5 hour chart, we should have generated a sell signal.
I still remain short via puyt spread 1x2s, as frost is no longer an issue. It appears the market is still digesting this from last week and should correct lower IMHO as physical supplies out of Brazil remain steady.
Warehouse stocks in...
Seems like no frost in Brazil. It was a busy weeks last week and throughout the weekend with fears a frost could hit coffee areas. None has been confirmed and worst fears did not play out.
Once all of this is digested I expect some downside opportunities as the market goes back into trading technicals rather than emotions.
Quite oversold and we saw sell...
As we see some support is coming in from our longer term trend channel as well as the lower Bbands.
So far the last three weeks have provided with the expected sideways action once reaching 50.
Selling calls has been the right strategy so far (51, 52 and 53 calls).
At this support I am covering my short calls, but will hold of selling any put spreads to see how...