November 2010 - November 2012 WALCL ~ +20% TSLA ~ +100% November 2012 - November 2015 WALCL ~ +60% TSLA ~ +600% November 2015 - November 2020 WALCL ~ +60% TSLA ~ +600% November 2020 - WALCL ~ +24% (ATH) TSLA ~ +240% (ATH) ... Input 1 Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level WALCL Input 2 Tesla Motors, Inc TSLA
Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level WALCL/100000000 versus Tesla Motors, Inc TSLA/1000
This chart uses a simple downtrend in order to predict the terminal fed funds rate, which I believe will be 150-175 basis points by March 2023. As we can see, the previous fed funds rate hikes under the current downtrend have resulted in periods of lower GDP growth as well as yield-curve inversions and very regularly precede lows in total US jobless claims (the...
If you look at the S&P500 index ( TVC:SPX ) chart, you find that it has reached, and even surpassed, the previous high at 3393.5 which occurred just before the CV19 drop in March 2020. The last close on 31 December 2020 was at 3760. However, many attribute the recent V-shaped recovery to the Quantitative Easing scheme by the Federal Reserve, which makes a lot of...
$BTC closed Jan 6th Daily with a bearish engulfing candle, providing indication that selling momentum remains strong. Unable to sustain long-term mid-channel as support, increasing likelihood of 100 EMA falling below the 200 EMA for an impending "death cross" in near future. Bearish structures continue, double tops, head & shoulders losing neckline support,...
I'm certainly not a person to take financial advice from. But today I noticed something in morning futures trading that concerned me. A news release on bio & tech caused about 5 minutes of extreme volatility and a test / rejection of 4712. My thoughts are that with Fed Bond purchases this morning at 10am there might be additional volatility for the indexes and...
Gold setting up a beautiful Bull Pennant on the week chart. With Volatility increasing thanks to the tapering of QE, a flight to gold is a natural reaction. A break and hold above $1 860 could result in a first price target back to local highs of $2 000. I am bullish on Gold for the medium term. Boom, TheRaggy
VIX has hit my short term price target of $25. With all the fundamentals of money supply, let see how the market reacts now with some easing in QE. I hope this coming crash will be a lesson Central Banks, but I doubt it.... Lets sit back and what the volatility bubble up! Boom, TheRaggy
Silver and SVM has consolidated to new lows in 2021. Await FED printing program QE to float more QQQ. SVM showing head and shoulders after retracing that should break upward from current position. Silver will need to get back to $25, or $28 range for really good up. Just my opine, trade at your own risk as call for Jan in the money, or buy due to inflation...
dollar is strenthening, euro QE relaxing but think about it: would you rather turn into dollars or euro?
Hi Guys, to keep it simple... Financial Crisis 2007-2008 and Pandemic led to the implementations of QE programmes in combination with other accomodative monetary policies. Following these events FEAR drove the value of Gold to its highest at $2.000 both in 2011 and in 2020. In both these occasions, after having reached $2000, the precious metal bounced off the...
Over the past few months one of the most popular topics generally has been related to whether the FED will taper its asset purchases. Now that we are almost past the recovery phase and about to enter the economic mid-cycle expansionary phase as inflation is far about target (>4% compared to 2%) and GDP is far above trend (2021 Estimate of ~6-8% vs potential GDP of...
The ECB’s decision. The European Central Bank (ECB) held its interest rates unchanged during their monetary policy meeting yesterday. Main Refinancing Operations Rate: 0.00% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 0.25% Deposit Facility Rate: -0.50% The size of its quantitative easing (QE) programmes remains unchanged as well. Asset Purchase Programme (APP):...
The dovish tapering decision. During its monetary policy decision yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its cash rate unchanged at 0.10%. As promised, the central bank proceeded with its quantitative easing (QE) tapering plan announced back in the July’s meeting. What came as a surprise is the duration of the new round of QE. Previously, the RBA...
Tech has gone into a melt up! The word on the block is that there are no more bears. Well, loads of people are long in the market. Would you go long now? When I look back to March 2020, the dip south seems soooo insignificant. We know that markets correct but we don't know when major corrections are going to happen. What's driving the market? Some say it's...
I have set-out my logic in prior posts of how I am exiting the SP500 market from prior longs bought more than 18 months ago - by selling into rallies. If an infrastructure deal goes ahead and debt ceiling issues are dealt to successfully, I will reconsider my current stance. However, I am happy to scalp particularly from needless / senseless market...
As the markets pullback this week, keep in mind we're still in what I call the J&P 500 Channel. The chart is the daily SPX adjusted for Inflation. The bottom channel is a 10 year regression trend channel that has contained the SPX until the march 2020 crash. The upward trending channel is what I call the Jerome & Powell 500 Channel which is a modified schiff...
Three days ago, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a little surprise when it decided to stick with its quantitative easing (QE) plan announced back in July despite the recent spike in COVID cases in Australia. (Refer to my post "RBA Sticks With QE Tapering Plan (04 August 2021)" on RBA monetary policy) Details on why the central bank decides to...