RDDT – 200 SMA Cleared. Inside Day While Market Sold offBeen watching RDDT for weeks waiting for the right setup. Thursday the market was weak and RDDT held an inside day right above the 200 SMA. When a stock refuses to sell off while everything else is getting hit — that's institutional accumulation. That's the tell.
Base breakout is triggering now. This is the entry.
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WHY THE FUNDAMENTALS BACK THE CHART
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Most people still think of Reddit as a forum. The numbers tell a completely different story.
Q1 advertising revenue came in at $625 million — up 74% year over year. Total revenue $663 million. Gross margins above 90%. That's software-company margin on an ad-driven platform. Free cash flow was $311 million last quarter. And the company just authorized a $1 billion share buyback. Companies burning cash don't buy back stock. This business is generating real money.
Q2 guidance is $715 to $725 million revenue — 49% year-over-year growth — and EPS consensus is up 120% year over year. The numbers are accelerating not decelerating.
The AI data licensing angle is still early and still real. Google pays Reddit for content licensing and that deal comes up for renewal in 2027. RBC estimates fees could jump 5x to 8x at renewal — that's not a small number. Nearly half of shoppers now verify AI-generated recommendations on Reddit before buying. One in four Redditors purchases a product after seeing their decision validated on the platform. Reddit just presented this data at Cannes Lions alongside META, Google, Snap, and AppLovin as a core 2026 digital ad platform. The market is finally waking up to what Reddit actually is.
Loop Capital reiterated Buy with a $260 price target — more than 50% upside from current levels — calling it attractively valued relative to 2027 earnings. That's a firm conviction call on a stock that's been down 24% year to date.
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THE SETUP
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Stock sold off hard from prior highs. Spent weeks building a base under the 200 SMA. This week it finally cleared it. Thursday the market sold off and RDDT held — inside day, tight range, no give. That's not a coincidence. That's buyers stepping in at a key level and not letting it crack.
200 SMA breakouts after extended bases on quality growth names are some of the most reliable setups in momentum trading. The pattern is clean. The fundamentals back it up.
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TRADE PLAN
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Pattern: 200 SMA base breakout
Relative strength tell: Inside day Thursday while broader market sold off
Entry: Breakout trigger above the base
Upcoming catalyst: July 7 digital ad trends call — RDDT named alongside META, GOOGL, SNAP, APP
Q2 earnings: Next major catalyst in the pipeline
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THE RISK
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RDDT trades at a premium multiple — 47 times earnings on forward estimates. Any stumble on Q2 revenue or user growth gets punished hard at this valuation. Competition in digital advertising is intensifying. Google AI Search changes could cut Reddit referral traffic before the licensing deal reprices. Rich multiples mean execution has to be perfect. Size accordingly and respect the stop.
RDDT: Content generator or time bomb?Reddit started as a news aggregator, but today it is the largest archive of live human conversation: over 25 billion posts, nearly half a billion weekly users. The company trades on the NYSE, and everyone who understands authentic data as the rarest resource for training AI is watching. However, the price the business pays keeps rising with every new lawsuit.
Fundamentals
On April 30 Reddit reported its first quarter results. Revenue grew 69% to 663 million dollars, advertising jumped 74% to 625 million, and net income soared from 26 million to 204 million dollars. Free cash flow exceeded 300 million, and the balance sheet holds 2.8 billion dollars. Daily active users reached 126.8 million, up 17% year over year, and weekly active users now approach 500 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose 131% to 266 million, while gross margin hit 91.5%. Investments in AI-powered ad tools are paying off: small and mid-business ad applications grew over 75%, and the number of active advertisers increased by roughly the same amount. Licensing deals with Google (about 60 million per year) and OpenAI bring in tens of millions. Q2 revenue guidance is 715-725 million dollars, nearly 45% above last years level.
Risks why the decline will continue
A class action lawsuit covering the period from October 29 2024 to May 20 2025 alleges that the company concealed how Google algorithm changes, especially the introduction of AI Overview, led to zero-click searches and suppressed real traffic, while management continued to give optimistic user and revenue forecasts.
The UK Information Commissioner's Office fined Reddit 19.5 million dollars for unlawfully collecting and using data from children under 13. The company lacked proper age verification mechanisms. At the same time, the FTC is investigating Reddits licensing of user content for AI training. Regulatory pressure creates uncertainty around the companys most valuable asset: its data.
In the SerpApi lawsuit against Reddit, the defendant argues that Reddit only holds a non-exclusive license to user posts, making DMCA claims impossible. If the court sides with SerpApi, the entire data-licensing business – a key growth driver – could collapse, forcing Reddit to rely on more expensive contractual mechanisms.
CEO Steve Huffman and other top executives sold millions of dollars worth of shares. From August 2024 through January 2026, management sold nearly 170 million dollars worth of stock. Sales continued in Q1 2026. Even if executed under pre-planned trading arrangements, this insider selling sends a troubling signal: even founders and leaders are not confident in the current valuation.
Time spent on the site in the US fell 10.5% in January, a significant engagement drop. The median American spends only 12-15 minutes per day on Reddit. The company has long aimed to reach 100 million daily active users in the US but remains at only about 50 million. Meanwhile, roughly 40% of traffic depends on Google, and the advertising business remains tiny compared to Meta.
Technicals
On the daily chart, price broke above the descending trendline and then successfully retested it. A death cross has formed: moving averages have crossed to the downside. The 170 dollar level is a strong resistance zone that has repeatedly rejected upside attempts. The structure points to further downside. The target from the chart is 97 dollars.
Reddit is a unique asset with phenomenal financial results, but that valuable asset is now in the hands of a company surrounded by legal, regulatory and structural problems. The technical death cross signal and the confirmed 170 dollar resistance suggest that price will continue moving toward 97. The short position remains a priority until at least the key risks are resolved.
Reddit Inc. (RDDT): 91% Gross Margins Meet a Technical RetestMy Macro & Technical View:
Reddit ( NYSE:RDDT ) has completely wiped out its recent speculative froth and returned exactly to the zone where smart money rules the tape.
Here is my objective, dual-perspective roadmap for Reddit as it consolidates around $120 - $175.
1. The Fundamental Engine: A High-Margin Powerhouse
Reddit’s Q1 2026 earnings print proved that the platform is transforming into an absolute cash machine:
Explosive Growth: Total revenue surged by 69% Year-over-Year to $663M. Net income flipped decisively positive, printing a whopping $204M in GAAP net profit.
Unrivaled Leverage: The company operates at a staggering 91.5% gross margin—a metric almost untouched by other social media platforms.
Fortress Balance Sheet: With $2.77 Billion in cash and virtually zero debt, the operational runway is flawless. Data-licensing deals for AI training (Google, OpenAI) provide high-conviction, pure-profit recurring revenue.
2. Technical Breakdown: Structural Re-test & Price Acceptance (Daily Chart - D1)
The daily price action reveals a clear institutional accumulation blueprint:
The Structural Shift (ChoCh): The initial aggressive rally generated a clean Change of Character (ChoCh) on the high timeframe, confirming that institutional size entered the market.
The Demand Retest: The subsequent 50% macro correction brought the price straight back into the primary green DEMAND zone ($120.00 - $140.00) . The market did not panic-break this level; it completely accepted the price test and defended the structure.
The Local Breakout: After sweeping local liquidity inside the demand box, the price broke cleanly above the local purple Breakout Box. The current consolidation is a healthy re-accumulation phase before the next push.
The Upside Targets: The technical path of least resistance is now open toward the major psychological milestone at $200.00 , with an extended structural target aiming into the macro liquidity pool between $220.00 and $240.00 (aligning with Wall Street consensus price targets).
3. Risk Management & Invalidation Level
No matter how pristine the fundamentals look, we never trade without a strict line in the sand.
My Invalidation Line for FIRST ENTRY: $120.00 . For whole scenario is $80.00
If the bears force a breakdown and secure a daily/weekly candle body close below $80.00 , this entire bullish structural thesis is dead, and I will not argue with the market. Until then, the buyers are in control of this floor.
Summary:
A 69% YoY growing tech beast trading at a deep discount inside a proven daily demand zone. The risk-to-reward ratio here is heavily asymmetric. I am trading the structure, not the noise.
Are you buying the post-earnings stabilization at this demand floor, or do you think the social media sector faces too much macro friction? Do you think META can take a lead from Reddit as the main forum platform?
Let me know below! 👇
Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play?
Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives.
Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations.
- **Positive:**
- Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand.
- Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength.
- **Negative:**
- High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending.
- Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic.
Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips.
Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom.
Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs.
This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240.
Key indicators:
RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70.
MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum.
Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias.
Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high).
Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction.
Scenarios and Risk Management
Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints.
Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism.
What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
RDDT Institutional Order Flow & Macro Liquidity AnalysisMacro Regime
The fundamental narrative surrounding Reddit (RDDT) is heavily weighed down by its struggle to monetize without alienating its core user base.
Historically, Reddit has actively resisted becoming a traditional "money-making machine." The platform's lifeblood is its community, which holds a deep, emotional connection to the site's original, ad-free, organic ethos. While the recent strategic move to license data to AI companies like OpenAI (ChatGPT) provided a temporary fundamental catalyst, it does not mask the platform's structural decay. The site is currently losing its most valuable asset: genuine user experience. The ongoing battle against bots is yielding poor results, with the platform becoming increasingly saturated with manipulative political threads, fake product reviews, and comments with shadow advertising.
Concept Explanation: From an institutional perspective, "fundamental decay" occurs when a company's core product loses its qualitative value. When large funds see a social platform being overrun by bots rather than human daily active users (DAUs), they view the stock as highly toxic and begin to aggressively sell off their positions, creating persistent downward momentum.
Liquidity Conditions
Referencing the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) on the chart, the liquidity landscape is highly precarious.
The Green Zone (Only Support with POC) : This is the last major structural defense line. It houses the Point of Control (POC).
Concept Explanation: The Point of Control (POC) represents the specific price level where the highest volume of trading has historically occurred. It acts as a massive gravitational pull and the ultimate "fair value" consensus. If price breaks below this, there is an immediate "liquidity void" (lack of historical trading), meaning price can free-fall rapidly.
Upper LVNs (Low Volume Nodes): Above the current price action, there are several distinct LVNs characterized by clean drops with no wicks.
Market Structure
The current market structure is defined by aggressive downward momentum. We are seeing lower highs and heavy distribution. The price is currently being compressed toward the green support box. The lack of impulsive buying indicates that retail traders are exhausted and institutions are not stepping in to accumulate at current market prices.
Order Flow / Footprint Behavior
How we interact with the green box dictates the entire trade plan. We do not blindly buy the support. We must observe the footprint chart for institutional intent.
If the price hits the green box and holds, we are looking for a highly specific institutional trap. Institutions often leave unfilled short limit orders at clean LVNs (Low Volume Nodes without wicks) located above the current price.
If the green box absorbs the selling, expect price to bounce upward to sweep these LVNs.
Concept Explanation: A "Liquidity Sweep" into an LVN happens when smart money temporarily allows the price to rise into an area where retail traders have placed stop-loss orders. This sudden spike triggers those buy orders, which provides the exact liquidity institutions need to execute their massive short sell orders without slipping the price. Once those short orders are filled, they roll the price back over to the downside.
Correlated Assets & Intermarket Relationships
RDDT's high-beta, speculative nature means it is hyper-sensitive to the broader tech environment. Traders must overlay QQQ (Nasdaq 100) and SOCL (Global X Social Media ETF). If the broader market begins to distribute (sell off) while RDDT is resting on the green box, the probability of a structural breakdown increases exponentially. A fragile asset cannot survive a broad market headwind.
Risk Sentiment
The risk regime for RDDT is heavily "Risk-Off." The initial euphoria surrounding its IPO and AI data deals has completely faded. Market sentiment is now hyper-focused on the platform's inability to maintain a clean ecosystem. When fundamental trust erodes, technical support levels become highly vulnerable.
Institutional Interpretation
Smart money is fully aware of the bot infiltration and the user base's resistance to monetization. Therefore, their overarching strategy is distribution. They are using any retail-driven bounce to systematically offload inventory or initiate new short positions. The clean LVNs above the current price are prime targets for these institutions to step in and forcefully cap the price before pushing it lower.
Key Invalidation Levels
Bearish Continuation (The Breakdown): If price enters the green box and the footprint shows high aggressive market selling (deep negative delta) that easily pushes the price through the bottom of the box, the support has failed. Downward momentum will violently accelerate due to the liquidity void below.
Bearish Invalidation: If price sweeps the upper LVNs and, instead of rejecting, finds massive aggressive buying (stacked positive imbalances) that holds the price above the $165 red resistance line, the short thesis is temporarily invalidated.
Concept Explanation: "Stacked positive imbalances" mean that buyers are so aggressive they are overwhelming all sellers at multiple price levels simultaneously, signaling a genuine shift in trend rather than just a temporary trap.
Upcoming Macro Catalysts
Key drivers will be future earnings calls where management is forced to address DAU authenticity, the success rate of their anti-bot initiatives, and the actual revenue translation of their ChatGPT data deals. Any admission of declining organic user engagement will likely act as the catalyst to break the green box.
Conclusion
RDDT is caught in a battle between its cultural identity and corporate reality. Technically, the chart reflects this heavy burden with strong downward momentum pressing into the final green POC support zone. If this zone holds, be highly cautious of a relief rally designed solely to sweep liquidity at the clean LVNs above, filling institutional shorts before the next leg down. If the green box is lost, the lack of underlying liquidity suggests a rapid and aggressive acceleration to the downside. Stay defensive, watch the footprint for absorption, and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
When multiple signals align, it's worth paying attentionHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts
Today, we’re looking at a setup where multiple technical signals are aligning in the same direction.
Reddit (RDDT) is showing a strong multi-factor technical confluence that points toward a potential bounce from current levels. Four independent signals are all lining up at the same zone - Elliott Wave structure, Volume Profile support, a key trendline, and a momentum reason-to-bounce setup. When this many things agree on one level, it's worth paying attention.
Elliott Waves:
Elliott Waves Counts
We can clearly see that Primary degree wave ((1)) & ((2)) are completed along with lower degrees alignments, maintaining all wave rules & principles. Now possibly we have started small subdivisions within wave (1) Intermediate degree within wave ((3)) of Primary degree upwards. Invalidation level of this structure is below 119.27.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Profile Support
Volume Profile shows where the most trading activity has happened at specific price levels. The high-volume nodes act as magnets - price tends to bounce from them because buyers who entered there will defend their positions.
Again at Same Support Trendline:
Taking Support at same Trendline
A trendline gets more powerful every time price touches it and bounces. RDDT is now testing the same rising trendline that has held multiple times before. This is not a new, unproven line - it's a pre-tested support level.
Bullish Divergence:
Reason to Bounce
Beyond structure and volume, there's a momentum-based reason for price to bounce here. This could be a combination of oversold readings, a divergence between price and an oscillator, or a candlestick pattern forming right at support. The important thing is that the market is showing early signs of exhaustion to the downside. Price has come into the support zone with weakening bearish momentum - sellers are losing steam.
Conclusion:
When four completely different tools - Elliott Waves, Volume Profile, a multi-touch Trendline, and a Divergence - Momentum setup - all land on the exact same price zone, that's not a coincidence. That's confluence. This is what makes technical analysis powerful. No single indicator tells the full story. But when structure, volume, trend, and momentum all agree on the same level, that price zone becomes significant - and worth understanding deeply.
That's the core concept this analysis demonstrates. Each tool has its own logic. Together, they tell one story.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
RDDT – Earnings Just Dropped. 69% Revenue Growth. $169 Is the TrReddit just reported and the numbers were not close. This was a blowout.
Revenue up 69% to $663 million. EPS came in at $1.01 — Wall Street was expecting $0.56. That's a 79% beat on the bottom line. Seven consecutive quarters of revenue growth above 60%. And they guided Q2 revenue to $720 million, above what analysts were expecting.
The stock is reacting. Now the question is whether the chart confirms it.
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THE SETUP
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$169 is the level I'm watching on the daily chart. That's the trigger.
I'm not chasing the gap tomorrow. What I want to see is the stock come up and test $169, build a small base or tight consolidation right under it, then break through on volume. That's the high-probability version of this trade. A gap-and-go attempt on a name that just ran hard is a coin flip. A base-and-break after a strong earnings reaction is a setup.
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WHY RDDT HAS LEGS
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Google and OpenAI are paying Reddit for data licensing. Reddit has 25 billion posts and comments sitting on its platform — the CEO called it "oil for the modern internet." Every AI company needs that data. That licensing revenue stream is just getting started and it's essentially pure margin.
Ad revenue grew 74% this quarter. Active advertisers up 75%. Free cash flow margin hit 47% on just $1 million in capex. This is a capital-light business that is scaling fast.
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TRADE PLAN
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Trigger: Break and hold above $169 on volume
Entry: After small base forms under $169, on the breakout candle
Stop: Below the base low or 9 EMA at time of entry
Timeframe: Swing
Not in yet. Watching $169 closely.
RDDT Bearish: Breakdown Watch Toward $130 SupportRDDT is a textbook example of “good news, bad reaction.” Q4 2025 prints were strong (EPS $1.24 vs. $0.96, revenue $725.61M +69.7% YoY), paired with a $1B buyback and upbeat Q1 2026 guidance—yet price is still unwinding hard after the run-up, suggesting a sell-the-news reset rather than a fundamental collapse.
Technically, the dominant pressure remains bearish across the 1D and 1W. The daily “waterfall” has pushed price to ~$141.32, well under MA20 ($199.24) and MA60 ($214.40), with the 1D SuperTrend capping rallies near $169.54. The double top near ~$270 is already confirmed (neckline ~ $230), so until structure improves, rallies are still suspect.
The key inflection is the 4W SuperTrend at $130.21. A daily close below $130 turns this into a continuation breakdown setup, with the next magnet being psychological $100 (and an intermediate risk zone around $118–$120). If buyers defend $130 and price can reclaim $145 on a daily close, the higher-probability “relief” path opens toward $155–$160 first, then potentially $169.54 and $180 if momentum flips
Reddit (RDDT): Technically Aligned, Risk Now DefinedReddit is one of the most recognizable platforms on the internet.
A place where retail investors, niche communities, and real-time sentiment collide.
From WallStreetBets to hyper-specific hobby forums, Reddit is not just social media - it’s a behavioral data engine powered by highly engaged users. That alone makes it an interesting name for retail investors to keep an eye on.
🔍 Why Reddit is on my radar now
Technically, the stock has pulled back into a high-confluence demand zone — an area where risk-taking starts to make sense again.
This zone is not based on a single indicator, but on multiple overlapping technical signals:
1. Trendline support
Clearly defines an uptrend, with price coming into a third touch after a clean pullback from a prior high and evenly spaced reactions.
2. Fibonacci Golden Ratio (61.8%)
A textbook retracement level... often where strong stocks find renewed demand.
3. Channel projection (blue lines)
Price is interacting with the lower boundary of a broader price channel.
4. Equal waves (yellow dotted lines)
The corrective move has completed a symmetrical structure, suggesting downside momentum may be exhausted.
5. ~50% decline from the ATH
Historically, this is a level where emotions reset, and risk/reward starts to improve.
6. Psychological round number: $150
This is not a buy signal by default.
It’s a “pay attention” zone.
For me, this is exactly the kind of area where technicals say:
Now is the time to open the numbers, so... let fundamentals do the talking.
If the business story supports the structure, this zone can matter.
Good luck,
Vaido
$RDDT Long Setup - $280 Target During Q1 2026Reddit is one of those gifts that keep on giving since the IPO. Right now, support seems strong and it doesn't seem to be going away, at least from some current indicators. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
BEYOND MEAT: How One Trader Pumped A Stock 1500%!
BEYOND MEAT: How One Trader Pumped A Stock 1500%!
📈What It's All About:
The chart you are looking at is not one of a sh*tcoin, it’s a stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange! The company is called Beyond Meat, a pioneer of the artificial meat market. A set of commercial failures and debt problems brought the stock down by 99.79% from the highs when the pump started!
📈The Pump:
A Reddit account called "Capybara Stocks" disclosed buying roughly 3.1 million BYND shares around mid-October and published a detailed bullish thesis, arguing the note exchange plus equity issuance, which triggered dilution fears, actually reduced bankruptcy risk and improved the balance sheet.
His post highlighted heavy short interest/borrow costs and retail options flows that amplified the upside.
📈What Happened Next:
It was a typical short squeeze on an epic scale. With the 54% short float, a sudden buying spree started triggering stop losses and key options levels. People who sold the options and expected to make easy $100 were now looking at $1,000+ potential losses and were scrambling to buy shares to "cover" their sold options.
📈GameStop Case:
This scenario closely mirrors the GameStop stock pump ( NYSE:GME ) during 2020/21 when the stock was pumped by Reddit trading group WeTradeStocks from $17 to $483 within days (a 2,840% surge), driving some hedge funds into near bankruptcy.
📈What Now:
As BYND stock price has already lost 50% from the recent highs and seems to want to go lower, the company’s current prospects remain bleak with revenue projected to drop 14% next year.
But the CapybaraStocks trader made $10,000,000 in profits and says he kept a sizeable position in the stock as he believes in it “long term.” Many option traders made small fortunes, and the people who were on the opposite side of the trade went bankrupt overnight.
📈Conclusion:
Hats off to the legends who pumped the stock to the moon and HODLED!
To those who lost money: C’est la vie 😎
Yours Truly,
Greg🌹
RDDT Reddit Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RDDT Reddit prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-11-7,
for a premium of approximately $11.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Reddit (RDDT) – Bullish Outlook Backed by Monetization StrengthReddit NYSE:RDDT stands out in the social media space with its community-first model and focus on authentic, user-driven engagement. As digital ad spend accelerates globally, Reddit is positioning itself at the intersection of social networking and data-driven monetization.
🔍 Key Drivers:
💡 AI-Powered Ads: Reddit’s ad platform uses AI to optimize placements, improving ROI for advertisers and strengthening pricing power.
💰 ARPU Beats Expectations: Global ARPU hit $4.53, highlighting strong monetization efficiency and reducing reliance on user growth.
📊 Scalability & Leverage: The AI engine supports operating leverage, setting the stage for robust earnings growth over time.
🚀 Price Momentum: Shares are up over 50% YTD, reflecting investor confidence and post-IPO execution strength.
📌 Technical Setup:
We remain bullish above the $205.00–$207.00 breakout zone. Sustained strength above this range could open the path toward a target zone of $380.00–$390.00.
#RDDT #Reddit #Stocks #StockMarket #TechStocks #AI #SocialMedia #DigitalAdvertising #GrowthStocks #Investing #Bullish #Breakout #EarningsGrowth #ARPU #IPO #AIstocks
#RED/USDT – Too Late, or One More Chance?#RED
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area (in green) at 0.4320, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.4478
First target: 0.4657
Second target: 0.4885
Third target: 0.5213
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Reddit - Impressive But I Stalk A ShortReddit is currently delivering excellent figures – revenue and user base are booming, profits have returned, and AI partnerships are creating strong conditions for growth. However, the current share price reflects this upward momentum with (over-)enthusiasm. Exciting for speculative investors, but those focused on value should wait for a pullback.
And that’s exactly the hook for why I’m lying in wait for a short trade.
Let’s take a look at the technical side – the chart analysis:
We can see that several CIB lines (Change in Behavior) have been broken.
And bam! – the market hits our 80%-probability profit target.
We know what that means: the market is in equilibrium.
And when the market acts like a couch potato, we also know it can’t stay that way for long.
So, what are the options?
Up or down.
Up?
Could happen – human greed is boundless and goes further than the moon, as we’re currently seeing.
Down?
If we take the fundamental analysis into account, and our common sense also tells us that Reddit is overheated, then this short idea is definitely worth investigating.
I see two possibilities:
1. Speculative short:
Here I would go with options, since shorts are always trickier than longs. You simply have more time to be right.
2. Wait for a trigger signal:
If we see the market leave the couch (the CL), we look at the bars and find a good entry with a sensible risk/reward, targeting:
a) the 1/4 line
b) the L-MLH
Happy hunting!
Reddit breaks out for bullish run I have been watching Reddit for a couple of weeks and identified that we had put in the .786 low from the correction since February and then formed a range that was well respected for the past 4 months .
In this video I highlight zones where i expect price to gravitate too and where a nice entry will be if you are looking to long reddit.
Tools used Fib suite , trend based fib , tr pocket , 0.786 + 0.382 and fixed range .
New targets for Reddit RDDT In this video I recap the previous reddit analysis where we looked for the long which is playing out really well .
I also look at the current price action and simulate what I think could be a target for the stock moving forward using Fib expansion tools as well as levels below for price to draw back too.
Welcome any questions below the chart . Thanks for viewing
Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) – Global Growth & Monetization TailwindsCompany Snapshot:
Reddit NYSE:RDDT is a community-centric social media platform, uniquely positioned through user-generated content and authentic engagement. With over 100,000 active communities, Reddit is a magnet for targeted brand advertising and premium ad formats.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven International Expansion 🌐
Launched AI-powered post translation in 35+ countries, including Brazil, Germany, and Italy.
This unlocks new audiences and ad monetization in high-growth global markets.
High Margin Business Model 💸
Reported a 90.5% gross margin—highlighting Reddit’s asset-light infrastructure and operational efficiency.
Sets the stage for significant operating leverage as revenue scales.
Ad Revenue Acceleration 📊
Brands increasingly view Reddit as a premium ad environment, given its contextual targeting and deep user engagement.
Expanding tools for advertisers (e.g., Dynamic Product Ads) may enhance monetization per user.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Entry Zone: Above $120.00–$122.00
Upside Target: $190.00–$195.00, supported by global reach, margin strength, and ad revenue tailwinds.
🧠 Reddit isn’t just a social platform—it’s a monetizable network of influence, fueled by community trust and scalable technology.
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