SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment.
Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high.
Scenario
An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment.
DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach
Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below).
The case for beginning the investment approach now
The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment.
The case against beginning the investment approach now
The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH.
Swing trade
Entry: 200
TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head
SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL )
R/R: 1:2
The case for the swing trade
The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times.
The against a swing trade
Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade.
Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
META run almost finished? Just a little fun and brainstorming with higher time frame charts. Utilizing RSI, patterns, and time cycles.
Lots of similarities between now and the 2020-2021 bull run. Not to mention a lot of good data suggesting we are close to a recession at best. (Weak housing data/stocks, yield curve uninversion)
What are your thoughts?
JUPUSDT Swing Long IdeaJupiter is the second largest DEX on Solana and its price has been ranging for almost 1 year.
If all of crypto is getting ready to bounce JUP looks primed to breakout of the range,
RSI is crossing above the RSI MA and midpoint,
MFI is crossing above the midpoint,
JUP has outperformed TOTAL according to MA Based relative performance,
We recently saw the largest ever volume and volume MA.
All of this makes me think JUP wants to breakout from this range soon, hopefully TOTAL and BTC will allow that to happen.
GBPJPY Inverse Head & Shoulders Set-UpOANDA:GBPJPY has formed the Bullish Reversal Pattern, Inverse Head & Shoulders!
Price has broken up above the Down-sloping Neckline to confirm the pattern.
Once the Break is Validated by retesting the Neckline and is Supported, the pattern could deliver a good buying opportunity around the 188.5 area to take up to the February Resistance Level and potentially further!
Fundamentally,
GBP has GDP on Thursday
**Beware of False Break creating a Bearish Trap. Watch for adequate Bullish Volume to Follow the Break and the Retest suggesting Bulls are interested!
UJ Prepping Falling Wedge Breakout To Start 2025?FX:USDJPY starts 2025 in what appears to be a Falling Wedge, but following the 50% Fibonacci Retracement based from the Low @ 148.639 to start December 2024 to the High @ 158.874 last month, Price seems to may be ready to setup for a Bullish Break of this Pattern.
To see if FX:USDJPY has truly Broken Out of the Falling Wedge, here are some signals:
1) While price travels lower in the Falling Wedge, we can see Volume picks up the lower price goes
2) The Breaking Candle following the 2nd 50% Retracement touch generates a good amount of Bullish Volume compared to the similarly sized printed Bullish Candle following the 1st 50% Retracement touch (both candles marked in yellow to compare)
3) Following this Break, we see RSI Break above the 50 mark moving into Bullish territory.
** Buy Opportunities will come if Price successfully retest the Break of the Falling Resistance and finds Support.
-- Beware of a False Break if Price decides to fall back down Below the Falling Resistance too soon before a legitimate test.
#ZECUSDT #1h (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakoutZcash regained 50MA support and broke out bullish on hourly, looks good for short-term recovery towards 200MA resistance and more.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
49.41
Entry Targets:
1) 48.62
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 52.63
Stop Targets:
1) 46.61
Published By: @Zblaba
$CRYPTO:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +82.5%
Possible Loss= -41.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
Duo-Reversal Patterns Show USDCAD Rally "Hanging By A Thread"Price has rallied quite a bit for OANDA:USDCAD since its last visit of the Rising Support @ 1.34189 and we currently see Price showing quite a bit of exhaustion at the March 2020 Highs @ 1.44664!
This exhaustion comes in two Reversal Patterns:
Advance Block - 3 Candlestick Reversal Pattern
+ (Bearish Confirmation Candle)
Hanging Man - Single Doji Reversal Candlestick Pattern
Both these Reversal Candlestick Patterns and RSI in Oversold territory, spell possible trouble for Bulls in which signaling Bears could potentially overcome and Push Price Down!
This suspected drop in Price could be a Retracement to Previous Structure of Past Resistance @ (1.39775 - 1.38784 ) which happens to land right in the 50% - Golden Ratio Fibonacci Zone.
Fundamentally, USD and CAD both last week showed flying colors when it came to their Employment and Unemployment Results both showing an Increase in Work and Lowering in Jobless. This week will be news heavy for USD with:
Core PPI/PPI - Tuesday
Core CPI/CPI - Wednesday
Core Retail Sales/Retail Sales/ Unemployment Claims - Thursday
If overall week results are negative, we could see USD lose all strength and CAD take the stage!
$PEPE - Price Action, MACD, RSI, Stoch RSII have had accumulated some Pepe back in May of 2023. I have not sold any and am looking to exit my position sometime this year.
I have charted up the divergence between Price action making lower lows while RSI and MACD have made higher lows. I have gone back through the past to find 3 different examples of divergences resulting in trend shifts from being bullish to bearish. Then after the bearish correction with some time you can see that there is a consolidation period. RSI MACD And Stoch RSI resets. Price RSI and MACD then diverge and after sometime price will base or then break out of a base resulting into a higher leg up.
Pepe has been a very well performing Crypto Coin and has yet to make a higher high this year. Last time was in dec of 2024.
I am currently looking for continued consolidation, Divergence of Price action RSI and MACD which I see some development of and I expect that in the near future we will see another leg Higher. What I will look for is a break out either above or below the consolidation and see how that correlates to the indicators I am starting off using this year. I do expect a higher leg up given the current environment of a President, Regulators and sentiment Leaning PRO Crypto.
ETHENA - Identifying a trend shift using RSI, MACD, EMA and DivFirst post of 2025 to start the new year Journaling and using Basic tools Offered by Tradingview. The most Common Used by traders are RSI MACD and EMA's.
I am going use these indicators with descriptors of what I came to understand after reading the "About script" and applying them to my trade Ideas to see If I can correctly Identify Strength and Weakness in markets.
I have plotted out on the charts what the use cases are for these tools.
RSI, MACD and EMA's are momentum Indicators, They are not used to identify where a reversal will happen but over a period of time where you can see trend start to shift or continue trending based on the Information they provide.
Dollar Vs INR: Dollar clearly Overbought as of now. Dollar Vs Rupee:
Dollar is at 87. Major breakout from the zone but one interesting point to note is the RSI. Relative Strength Index is above 90. Near 91 in fact. These are unsustainably overbought levels. We will see a proper deep correction there sooner than later. Once the Dollar starts to correct, Nifty will not remain bearish.
Anyone who understand RSI will tell you that Dollar is at unsustainable levels. India is the least effected compared to other currencies of emerging markets as well as developed nations. It is in the zone where sustaining itself that high will soon be impossible. That's why in the earlier message. I have written 1 to 4 weeks more pain for Indian markets.
Much also depends on policy announcements of Trump as he takes power. Back Channel diplomacy to avert further damage to India Inc., Might have already started...keeping my fingers crossed. Unreal times ahead. Long Term Vision For India looks unharmed. The dust will start settling in the next few weeks. We can expect dust to settle fully by end of this quarter. After which Bull run can recommence in my opinion.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Apple appears to be in a bullish trend for the near future.We observe a similar pattern to what occurred previously with APPL. Additionally, the Dynamic RSI indicator suggests that Apple could rise further. Therefore, we are setting the buy zone at the blue level. For Apple, two take profit levels have been set, meaning the strategy involves selling 50% at the first take profit level. Should the price return to the buy zone, we plan to reinvest the 50% for the second take profit.
NQ may have found a little Support to continue its climb.After a healthy, needed pull back, the NASDAQ may have found the support it needed to finish its climb with the inauguration soon to come at the end of the month. Price has not been comfortable below the middle Keltner channel band during this push-up over the last few weeks. The MACD and and RSI look prime for a turnover, and Fridays push-up off of Thursdays Liquidity sweep, sets us up nicely for a move up. At the very least, there's a good chance we test some of these levels for the upcoming week.
Raymond 1 d chart signalling price action Raymond is looking in the uptrend after making a low near 1326. It is reversing from there on daily chart .
Ascending triangle pattern is forming and is about to complete the same .
Volume is Supporting in this uptrend .
RSI momentum is showing intact with higher high with Price in conjunction. Both are in same tandem . Signaling bullish momentum.
If price closed above 1829 on daily chart further bullish Moment can be expected .
If price closed below 1428 on daily chart further bearish Moment can be expected .
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
HOVR Heading For New Horizons?! Cup & Handle Set-UpLets break down NASDAQ:HOVR on the Daily Chart!
Price from Mid-Sept to Early-Dec outlined the "Bowl" of the Cup and on Dec. 11th, Price made the Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone to start the "Handle"!
Today we have Price printing a STRONG Bullish Candle Breaking the Confirmation of the Cup & Handle Pattern @ .8799!
Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HOVR secured a $8.4 Million investment from an "unnamed investor" to help with the advancement of the Hybrid Electric Vertical Take-off Aircraft, the Cavorite X7.
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241220:A3286797:0/
*In order for the Pattern to be Validated, WAIT for Price to Close above Confirmation @ .8799, then we will expect Price to come back down to Retest the Break @ ( .8900 - .8799 ), THEN the Pattern is Validated and we can look for Buying Opportunities!!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50
-BBTrend Printing Green Bars
-Bullish Volume Building
XRP To Make or Break in 2025? A Pennant May TellBITSTAMP:XRPUSD has been Consolidating just above the April 2021 High @ $1.96 and shows potential of forming a Pennant Pattern! What does this mean for 2025?? Lets break it down
Resistance Zone: ( $2.90 - $2.60 )
Support Zone: ( $1.96 - $1.76 )
So far Price has made 2 Tests of both the Falling Resistance and Rising Support and 3 Tests is what usually Validates a Trend line, so we want to be vigilant for what Price ends up doing when traveling to either Leg of the Pennant Pattern!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50 suggests the overall sentiment is still Bullish
-BBTrend Still Printing Green Bars
*If Price Breaks Below the Support, we could see Price Decline further.
*If Price Breaks Above the Resistance, we could see Price Ascend to the All Time Highs of $3.31.
XLM Falling Wedge Could Rise 135% to .95 On Bullish Break!Here I have COINBASE:XLMUSD on the Daily Chart.
Low - .089449
High - .63445
Since the High, Price has been forming a Falling Wedge where we see Price Retraced to the Golden Ratio Zone @ .31339 where it tested the Falling Support then to find more Support at the 50% Fibonacci Level to now be currently Testing the Falling Resistance!
If Price can generate a Bullish Break and continue finding Support, then I believe the prior 608% Price Increase we saw over November, could suggest a Potential 135% Price Increase to the .95 - $1 Area on a Bullish Break!!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50
-BBTrend Printing Green Bars
-Bullish Volume Building
The Relative Strength Index (RSI): A Beginner’s GuideThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. Developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, it helps traders evaluate the momentum of a market and identify overbought or oversold conditions.
What is RSI?
RSI is an oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specific period, typically 14 periods. It provides a value between 0 and 100, which helps traders gauge whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
Overbought: RSI above 70 suggests the asset might be overbought and due for a correction.
Oversold: RSI below 30 indicates the asset might be oversold and due for a rebound.
The RSI Formula
The RSI is calculated as:
Where:
RS= Average Gain of Up Periods (over the lookback period) / Average Loss of Down Periods (over the lookback period)
How to Interpret RSI
1. Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- When RSI crosses above 70, it may signal that the asset is overbought and could experience a price decline.
- When RSI drops below 30, it may indicate that the asset is oversold and could see a price increase.
2. Divergence:
- Bullish Divergence: When the price makes lower lows, but RSI makes higher lows, it suggests a potential upward reversal.
- Bearish Divergence: When the price makes higher highs, but RSI makes lower highs, it indicates a potential downward reversal.
3. Centerline Crossover:
- RSI crossing above 50 is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating upward momentum.
- RSI crossing below 50 suggests bearish momentum.
Strengths of RSI
- Versatility: Works well in a variety of markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
- Simplicity: Easy to interpret for beginners.
- Divergences: Offers insight into potential trend reversals.
Limitations of RSI
- False Signals**: RSI can provide false overbought/oversold signals in strong trending markets.
- Lagging Indicator: Like most indicators, RSI relies on historical data, which may delay signals.
Best Practices for Using RSI
1. Combine with Other Indicators:
- Use RSI with trend-following indicators like Moving Averages or MACD to filter out false signals.
- Pair it with support and resistance levels to validate potential reversals.
2. Adjust the Period:
- Shorten the period (e.g., 7 or 9) for more sensitive signals.
- Lengthen the period (e.g., 20 or 30) for smoother, less frequent signals.
3. Context Matters:
- In a trending market, RSI may remain overbought or oversold for extended periods. Use it cautiously in such conditions.
Example of RSI in Action
Imagine a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin has been rallying for several days, and the RSI rises above 70. This suggests that Bitcoin might be overbought, and a pullback could occur soon. However, if the market trend is strong, Bitcoin’s RSI could stay above 70 for an extended period. Combining RSI with trend analysis or support/resistance levels can provide better insights.
Conclusion
The RSI is a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market momentum and potential reversal points. While it’s simple to use, its effectiveness increases when combined with other indicators and market context. As always, practice using RSI on historical data before applying it to live trades, and remember that no single indicator guarantees success