AUDUSD is possible to test 0.7050 and 0.7075 this week. Conditioned by risk-on sentiment with weaker USD, stronger Gold.
BTC keeps returning to the pivot line at 19500 which also acts as a support. It is also barely holding the base of the triangle as support. Bollinger Band is squeezing for a big move soon. As for now, the Head & Shoulder pattern neckline is still not yet broken, suggesting much lower prices if the neckline breaks. We just have to wait which way it breaks. If...
Waiting to see the next phase of the BTC/USD on the 1hr chart. I am look for an efficient market to sell the top of that range.
ARKK making a strong name for itself after the Jackson Hole meeting. Are we nearing the breakout point or will we continue to see more waiting and what will ultimately happen with the ARKK index at this juncture? We will see! Good luck traders :)
Today we are witnessing a sharp turn around in Emerging Markets $EEM after the Jackson Hole meeting. $IWM a strong indicator of risk tolerance has seen a sharp move back up into it's middle pivot. Could the continued low rate environment and strong economy be enough to continue the rush into risk-on assets? Keep a close eye on $EWZ though (Brazil ETF in which PAGS...
I am positioning to buy CADJPY because of > Potential bullishness in Oil price which is a plus for CAD > Global improvement in containing COVID-19 which implies more economies will be opened and investors will start to dump safe haven like JPY. I am not ruling out the weak legdown due to Hongkong Riots and Minneapolis Riots which will likely worry investors and...
With improvement of risk there might be fund flow out from Gold to other risk assets. This might pull back the advancement in the price of gold in the medium term. I see huge opportunity to sell gold at the current level with taking profit at 1700, 1690 and 1680.
With improvement in risk environment, we expect the DXY to weaken which will imply the Dollar might experience a sell-off against majors (EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and emerging markets (MXN and ZAR)
In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #EURUSD and #USDJPY #EURUSD weak on: - US-EU potential trade conflict (airbus illegal state aid - WTO depended) - ECB's Germans board member resignation Medium-term #Euro led flows will hang on Lagarde's policy. A potential transition to fiscal tools will be euro positive #USDJPY strong on: - Dovish Evans...
Looking at recent structure, we can see the price are creating a new LH which align with previous based as well as 50% fibs level. therefor give us a chance to go short. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Traders! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade...
Revisiting our Chart of the Day from Tuesday, where we took a look at the safe haven asset of Gold. On Tuesday we were seeing Gold catching a bid and trading higher on the back of a softer dollar and investors cycling out of riskier assets and aligning themselves with the risk-off assets. We discussed the longer-term setup of the head & shoulders pattern...
Those who have been following our commentary on Gold will have known 1180-1220 was our initial entry for longs when the position was anti-consensus. Once it started working we released the idea of longs towards 1345 and finally we are here after 14 weeks. Expecting a large retrace here as bulls unwind their positions and book profits, we have an opportunity to...
The Yen continues to underperform all major pairs, including the Dollar. Yen weakness rather than Dollar strength is currently responsible for the gains that the Dollar has made, retracing some 700 pips off of the March lows. and, more recently, 230 pips off the August low. Technically we're looking at a potential alternative cypher pattern, though I make almost...
LONG USDJPY: 1. Slightly late posting this position but we got long at 104.5 earlier today. The rationale behind owning USD VS JPY is as follows. USD risks are bid 1) in the run up to the 2015 dec hike USD traded extremely bid with DXY breaking through 100, based on the last 2wks i expect USD to mirror 2015 and continue the bid tone we have seen both in...
Long XAUUSD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) XAUUSD has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.3%, hence there is a implied 99.7% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1250 level. 3. Fundamentally I think risk is priced very cheaply here, although...