Short term Elliott wave view in Russell (RTY_F) suggests the Index ended the correction from January 17, 2020 high in wave (4) at 1609.56. It has since resumed higher in wave (5) and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure, The Index still needs to break above wave (3) at 1715.1 to avoid a double correction in wave (4)....
Selling into some weakness on the RUT.
- Directional Play? No, neutralizing delta's on existing RUT positions.
- Technical: Below the 20 and 50-day moving averages.
- Fundamental: Bullish long-term.
- Take profit? @50%
- Where will you hedge? $1725
- Short and Long legs: $1615, $1600
- Short Delta: 0.14
Russell 2000 (RTY_F) shows a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure from August 26, 2019 low. In the 45 minutes chart below, we can see wave (4) of the impulse structure ended at 1627.3. The Index has resumed higher in wave 5 with subdivision of another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from 1627.3, wave ((i)) ended at 1676.6 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 1652....
With new all time highs for everyone else, The Russell feels left out. If this beast gets too emotional, and wants to join in, I believe this is how it would look : )
- This is not financial advice. For Artistic purposes only.
The Russell index is a SME-oriented index that mostly addresses the American domestic market.
This index should generally show parallel movements with the Dow Transportation index.
In this respect, we received a good confirmation.
Determine the position size in small amounts.
For this analysis:
STOPLOSS : 1542.5
GOAL : 1743.5
RISK REWARD RATIO : 1/3
On a daily chart, the Russell is looking great, however, on the weekly chart shown above. The Russell is reaching a resistance on what we can see is a downtrend of lowers highs, and lower lows.
Take profits and protect your gains. This is a very bearish flag.
Today we are going to explain the 3 different scenarios we have for E-MINI S&P 500 futures
First, let's analyze the Daily chart. Main Items we can see there:
a)Price is inside an Expanding Triangle, this type of structures are considered continuation patterns after the 5 waves inside are complete, now we have A/B/C/D and E is remaining, so by Elliott Wave Theory...
Elliott Wave sequence in Russell (RTY_F) from May 6, 2019 high (1621.9) appears incomplete favoring further downside. The bounce to 1571.5 in the Index ended wave X. Index has extended lower in wave Y and broken below the previous low on May 14 low (1516.7). This suggests the next leg lower has started. The internal of wave Y is unfolding as a double three Elliott...
RUT is practically neutral at the moment as the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 46.549, Highs/Lows = -4.0275, B/BP = -30.2779) keeps the index bearish while 1W (excluding the early Dec - late Jan extreme) supports it (RSI= 49.965, Highs/Lows = 12.4371) from a greater fall. So far Russell is a no-action asset but we are willing to go long on the upward break-out of the 1D...
The Russell 2000 Index, which tends to move before the S&P 500 Index (SPX) has broken below support with strength.
On the chart above we can see that the RUT broke through EMA50 and EMA100 like hot butter. This can lead to a retrace as far down as 0.618 Fib. just to start, it can go lower.
The MACD is entering the bearish zone with plenty of room left for more...
A quick update on the count for those following the index.
Nasdaq, S&P and Dow all starting to see some decent profit taking as we enter into resistance again. Here watching the Russell as there's a good chance the market has completed a 5 wave impulse move from the 16 lows.
The correction if the above assumption is right, means that this ABC retracement may...