Can T-Mobile Survive Starlink's Spectrum Siege?The competitive moat protecting T-Mobile (TMUS) is eroding rapidly as SpaceX completes a transformational $20 billion spectrum acquisition from EchoStar, securing over 65 megahertz of mid-band frequencies. This consolidation removes Starlink's structural dependency on terrestrial mobile network operators and positions SpaceX to launch its own retail cellular service. The exclusive direct-to-cell partnership between T-Mobile and Starlink expires next month, and SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell has confirmed the company is actively evaluating direct consumer cellular contracts. With over 10.3 million existing Starlink broadband subscribers as a built-in cross-selling base, the orbital giant possesses pricing power that legacy carriers cannot easily counter.
Operationally, T-Mobile is delivering exceptional results that defy its sliding share price. First-quarter 2026 revenue reached $23.1 billion, up 11% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS hitting $2.27 versus consensus estimates of $2.03, a 12% beat. Core service revenue grew 11% to $18.8 billion, while adjusted EBITDA expanded 12%, prompting management to raise full-year guidance. Despite these stellar fundamentals, TMUS stock has declined roughly 25% over the past twelve months, weighed down by US Cellular integration costs and persistent fears around Starlink's competitive trajectory. This disconnect between operational strength and market sentiment creates a compelling asymmetric setup.
Legacy carriers are mounting an aggressive defensive alliance to counter the orbital threat. T-Mobile, AT&T, and Verizon launched a direct-to-device joint venture to pool spectrum resources and prevent SpaceX from playing carriers against each other. All three majors have collectively rejected MVNO ground-sharing agreements with Starlink, attempting to delay its consumer rollout through infrastructure restrictions. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's $8 billion acquisition of Iridium signals broader sector consolidation toward vertically integrated space platforms, while SpaceX's executive-level talks with Charter Communications could route Starlink traffic through extensive ground fiber networks.
The most consequential scenario for institutional investors centers on M&A premium dynamics. TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams flagged the possibility of SpaceX pursuing an outright buyout of T-Mobile, which would force parent Deutsche Telekom to consider acquiring full ownership of its highly profitable US subsidiary as a defensive measure. Either path defensive consolidation by Deutsche Telekom or hostile interest from a space-economy aggressor would unlock substantial valuation upside from current depressed levels. Combined with already-accelerating fundamentals, TMUS offers a rare convergence of operational momentum and structural takeover optionality that sophisticated investors should not overlook.
Satellite
PL: more upside for the next market recovery I’ve been bullish on the macro structure here since September and December, and that thesis is still playing out.
I would’ve preferred one more corrective wave after earnings and a deeper, longer consolidation from the 2025 top. But price evolves in a classical delayed reaction set-up after the gap-up.
Chart:
The price structure is setting up for a move into the 45–60s macro resistance levels once selling pressure wraps up.
Ideal scenario: One more broad market sell-off → NYSE:PL retests its gap-up lows → gives the 21 EMA time to catch up → follows through once the market starts to recover (or a few days before).
Weekly view:
See prior analysis and updates on PL:
BlackSky’s $99M Leap: The New Era of Space IntelligenceBlackSky Technology ( NYSE:BKSY ) is redefining real-time geospatial intelligence. The company recently secured a $99 million U.S. Air Force contract. This deal validates its next-generation satellite capabilities. Investors now watch BlackSky closely as the broader space industry anticipates a SpaceX IPO.
Geopolitics and Strategic Defense
Global instability drives the demand for instant satellite imagery. Governments require high-revisit surveillance to monitor conflict zones. BlackSky’s technology provides this critical strategic advantage. The $99 million Air Force contract emphasizes this shift. National security now relies on commercial speed and innovation. BlackSky positions itself at the center of modern geostrategy.
The SpaceX IPO Ripple Effect
Market interest in satellite stocks is surging. Rumors of a SpaceX IPO create a "halo effect" for the sector. Investors seek established players with proven track records. BlackSky offers a unique value proposition compared to larger rivals. Its focus on low-latency data attracts specialized capital. This industry trend provides a tailwind for BKSY valuation.
Technological Innovation: The Gen3 Edge
BlackSky’s Gen3 satellites represent a massive leap in capability. These units feature large-aperture optical payloads for superior resolution. The company delivers imagery within minutes, not hours. This high-tech infrastructure creates a significant competitive moat. Most competitors cannot match BlackSky’s speed and revisit rates. Continuous innovation keeps the company ahead of the hardware curve.
Management and Corporate Culture
Leadership recently implemented an Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP). This move aligns staff interests with long-term shareholder value. It fosters a culture of innovation and accountability. Retaining top-tier engineering talent is vital in the space race. Management shows a clear commitment to sustainable growth. This strategic alignment reduces internal friction and boosts productivity.
Business Model and Economic Resilience
BlackSky operates a high-margin, software-driven business model. It sells data as a service (DaaS) to diverse clients. Government contracts provide a stable revenue floor during economic downturns. Recurring revenue streams mitigate the risks of high-interest rates. The company balances capital expenditure with aggressive market expansion. This economic discipline appeals to institutional investors.
Cybersecurity and Patent Strategy
Data integrity is paramount in geospatial intelligence. BlackSky invests heavily in cybersecurity to protect its satellite links. The company secures its "data moat" through rigorous patent filings. These patents cover advanced imaging techniques and automated analysis. Intellectual property protection ensures long-term market dominance. Secure, proprietary tech remains BlackSky's greatest asset.
The Future of High-Tech Science
Advanced AI algorithms process BlackSky's raw satellite data. This science converts pixels into actionable business intelligence. The company's platform predicts supply chain shifts and environmental changes. High-tech integration creates a seamless experience for the end-user. BlackSky is no longer just a satellite operator. It is a leading global data analytics powerhouse.
Counter-trend long on Iridium Communications Inc (Ticker IRDM)
NASDAQ:IRDM
Technicals:
- September - January the price failed to break through the support zone 16.80 - 18.00
- strong weekly candle closed above 19.90 ressistance (there since Jul 2018)
- 20.10 - 20.40 can still be retested
- upswing to close Sep 8th weekly candle looks logical
- best-case scenario targets long-term bear trend upper resistance line
- take care of 24.20 - 25.40 resistance zone - partial close preferred
- scenario invalidated if two bars close below 19.00 - price can retest support zone 16.80 - 17.80
Fundamentals:
- company emerged from bankruptcy and has successfully returned to profitability.
- business model centers on providing connectivity via its orbital satellite constellation for tasks such as tracking shipping containers at sea and monitoring pipelines for both government and private-sector clients
- has long-term, fixed-price contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense.
- due to the modern state of its satellite fleet, free cash flow is being directed toward share buybacks and dividends rather than capital expenditures on new rocket launches.
but:
- competition with Starlink for the retail user segment and partial dependency on third-party aerospace companies for orbital satellite deployment.
Conclusion:
- fundamentally, the company is a prominent representative of the aerospace industry during its "renaissance" era (which is now and potentially has bright future).
- with effective management, the stock price has the potential for multi-bagger growth over time.
- the technical setup remains in a bearish trend.
- t here are two distinct positions available: one for high-risk traders and another for patient, long-term investors. For short-term traders, the risk of a further drawdown or a retest of support zones remains high. For long-term traders or investors, an entry price within the $16.00 – $22.00 range is considered attractive.
but:
- the upcoming earnings report on Feb 12th will be the primary catalyst determining the price direction in the short-to-medium term.
# - - - - -
Position - Buy Long ⬆️
# - - - - -
✅ Entry Point 1 Short Term - 21.19
🛑 SL Short Term - 19.75
🤑 TP Short Term - 24.15
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.05 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 2 weeks 🗓
# - - - - -
✅ Entry Point 2 Middle Term - 20.20
🛑 SL Long term - 18.50
🤑 TP Long Term - 27.95
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 4.15 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 3-4 months 🗓
# - - - - -
Good Luck! ☺️
Can a Small-Sat Pioneer Become a Defense Superpower?Rocket Lab has transformed from a niche small-satellite launch provider into a strategic national security asset, closing 2025 with 21 successful Electron launches and a remarkable 175% stock surge. The company's evolution culminated in an $816 million Space Development Agency contract to build 18 satellites for hypersonic missile threat detection, signaling its emergence as a primary defense contractor. This vertical integration strategy positions Rocket Lab as a critical player in an era where supply chain sovereignty has become paramount for military readiness.
The technological centerpiece of Rocket Lab's 2026 ambitions is the Neutron rocket, a medium-lift vehicle capable of carrying 13,000 kilograms to low Earth orbit. Set for its maiden test flight in mid-2026, Neutron features the innovative "Hungry Hippo" fairing design and 3D-printed Archimedes engines, targeting the lucrative mega-constellation market currently dominated by SpaceX's Falcon 9. This technological leap, combined with over 550 global patents covering critical propulsion and structural innovations, creates a formidable intellectual property moat that competitors cannot easily replicate.
The financial trajectory underscores this transformation: analysts project 52.2% EPS growth for 2026, reaching $0.27 per share and dramatically outpacing traditional aerospace giants like Lockheed Martin (0.6%) and Northrop Grumman (-7.6%). A potential SpaceX IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation could trigger sector-wide revaluation, with Rocket Lab standing as the only publicly traded, vertically integrated alternative. Wall Street has responded accordingly, raising price targets to $90 as the company bridges the gap between startup agility and aerospace titan scale, with defense contracts poised to dominate its revenue mix.
GSAT - Split and Move to NASDAQ Monday at CloseI closed all my options except some short dated cheap OTM calls and puts in lots of 15 to hold as standard options post split, more as a lotto and protection for shares. I exercised all the 0.5c calls, the profit wasn't that high and it brought my average price down quite a bit.
I have no idea how its going to move post split. Sized for sideways or down. If it does drop farther I'll add after it stabilizes. Long play for me.
GLong
SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
LUNR IM-2 Launch upcoming in January 2025The privately held Intuitive Machines, LLC, became a public company after merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, Inflection Point Acquisition Corp., in February 2023. The company is listed on the Nasdaq, incorporated in Delaware. On February 22, 2024, the Odysseus IM-1 spacecraft landed on the Moon. It was the first privately built craft to land on the Moon, and the first American spacecraft to do so since 1972. The Odysseus lander fell on its side when landing, but its instruments remained partially functional (albeit with a reduced downlink capacity), so the mission was judged successful. ( WIKIPEDIA )
This company is picking up momentum and creating higher support while enjoying increased volume for the past three months. It looks like this stock seems to climb during the period when they have a space mission or achieve a new contract. Recently they achieved a Contract worth 4.8 Billion Dollars USD with NASA which is a serious contract and not something to be taken lightly. This contract opens up additional revenue opportunities with other companies. Intuitive Machines is increasing REVENUE YOY at a compounding rate, and has seasoned experienced executives in almost every position of leadership. The company is very motivated and explanatory with their products, and you can access user manuals on their technology. It looks like a very legit company that plans on being around for the next space age and further. They have technology in space communications that could possibly be adapted for satellites that transmit signals to earth as various companies are switching to satellites for cellular tech. Inutitive machines market cap is roughly 915.29 Million USD. Their contract is worth 4.8 billion dollars.
www.reuters.com
Following the launch of IM-1, Intuitive Machines' stock surged 35% in one trading day, rising 75% total by Friday, February 16.
Intuitive Machines’ stock sank 32% after the Odysseus moon lander fell on its side on 23 February 2024.
This stock is a great buy for stability while also offering potential for break outs to scalp shares and sell to play short term trends, while going up in the long term. The stock offers consistent news and they are very motivated to become a Space power house for the USA.
BlackSky | BKSY | Long at $1.09BlackSky Technology NYSE:BKSY is a small company focused on satellite imagery tech. It's another name from the SPAC-boom era that suffered a massive price drop - reaching a high of $17.41 in 2021 and a low of $0.86 in 2024. However, based on my selected simple moving averages (SMAs), there may be a price "influx" soon as it merges with its primary SMA (white line) and consolidates further or rises. Fundamentally, the company needs more time to prove itself as a growth/earnings generator, but in the near"er"-term, there may be some price movement in its future. It's currently in a personal buy zone at $1.09.
Target #1 = $1.50
Target #2 = $1.75
Target #3 = $2.00
MNTS- Momentus secures federal contract LONGMNTS is now contracted with the Pentagon and NASA for space exploration work including
satellites and a space station pages.optimallivingdynamics.com
Traders and investors reacted in the past day or two. MNTS is currently priced at about 99.9 %
of its ATH of about $1250 three years ago. Accordingly, it is a penny stock with a potential
1000X upside. That is to say $ 1000 could become $1 M. 135 million shares traded in the past
day. Revenue increased 4X quarter to quarter. The Price X Volime Trend had and impressive
pop I will take a speculative long trade here for a long duration swing trade to see if
MNTS can launch higher.
$ASTS - Generational Technology Leap - Primed for a BOOMNASDAQ:ASTS AST SpaceMobile Technology is one of the most interesting companies in the tech space right now. It will provide a generational leap in technology for direct to device sat com to unmodified devices. This means broadband connectivity anywhere without gaps. They are supposed to launch their first 5 revenue generating satellites in Q2 24. They are also generating revenues off of their BW3 test satellite that is already in space and has provided full proof of concept. They are partnered with major players such as NASDAQ:GOOG , NYSE:T , and $VOD. There is no true competitor to its technology. This is my own opinion after research. Please do not take this as financial advice. Make your own decisions and own them.
GILT launched next generation SkyEdge IV SatellitesThe latest GILAT Quarterly Report is really significant: looks like a turning point to profitability >>> Dramatic surge in Revenue with Significant Growth potential due to successful launch of the next generation SkyEdge IV Satellites, covering North America, Europe and Asia >>> bringing hyper-fast Next Generation Internet using 5G.
ASTR Launch for NASA from Cape Canaveral in JanuaryAstra Space, Inc. (ASTR) to deploy its first satellite in orbit for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in January 2022.
At this price before this big upcoming catalyst, this looks like a great buying opportunity!
My short term price target is 11.8usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ALong
Blacksky Uncertain or Overlooked?Hello, Blacksky is a satellite company that has grown alot and recently went public through a SPAC by SFTW. Now this company aims to give real time data unlike the traditional methods that could take days or even weeks to get.
News
-Rocket Lab, RKLB, will be launching two rockets with Blackskys satellites on them, roughly 6 in total new sats not sure on the actuall number, starting on Nov 11 for the first and second Nov 27.
-Blacksky ER and PLTR ER, PLTR has Blacksky program/software connected to their foundry system so if PLTR can report growth on the Foundry system it will be great for Blacksky's ER
-Blacksky partnered up with reseller AllSourceAnaylist
-S1 filling giving the warrents a price of $11.50-$20
-Blacksky ER is on Nov 12 preMarket
TA
-RSI Neutral
-MACD Leans Bearish
-Support at the 50ema and $9.57
-Reistance at $10 and $10.66
Final Thoughts
I personally own 900shares and believe this company with the upcoming catalyst will shock the investors, since on Fintel theres zero shares to short with a 2x borrowing and maintenance fee. One major move of success from the launch or ER will drastically push this stock since its on track to double their rev next year and continue growth. ZERO downside in the short and long term.
MAXR Cup & Handle + Fibonacci Bounce?!WEEKLY CHART
- Cup and Handle pattern. The handle needs stay above this level.
- Needs to bounce around $25.40. (.65 or .618 fib level)
- Zacks Investment Research Upgrades Maxar Technologies to Buy. (3 weeks ago)
- NGA Awards Maxar With G-EGD Contract Renewal For Mission-Ready Satellite Imagery (Valued at $44 million. This is the second of three option years for the contract, which has a total value of up to $176 million.)
Dislike:
- Volume is getting weaker.
- Earnings on 11/3.
-----------------------------------------> I like MAXR $40 Call 4/14/22 <-------------------------------------------------------
MLong
$ASTR Eyes On The SkyThis week ASTRA or ASTR will be launching a test rocket for the United States Space Force delivering its capabilities over other companies like Rocketlabs, SpaceX, and more. Astra had many failures, but was able to achieve orbital launch, so this Friday starting at 1pm pt time they will have a window open till September 13th to launch the Rocket.
News
-Too many, but many contacts with Space Force, DoD, Nasa, and others
-Got license to launch from Kodiak till 2026
-First commercial launch starting Friday with 2 more planed by eoy
-Building their manufacturing building for satellites
-Their monthly rocket will be ready by eoy
TA
-Roughly at 9.50ish there's some circles you see. These represent past resistance and support from Mid July till now
-VPVR levels have built up at 10.62-11.25, which at current pricing is a 16% move to the upside at max
-Other key zones or past targets I had from Holicity or $HOL hits at $13.33 and now $16-$18
-RSI trends down and lends bearish
-Macd is folding up to show bearish movement, but could bounce back bullish
-If the current price falls, next target is $9
Final Thoughts
I'm bullish on this stock and this week we could see the $12 again with prime target of $16-$18 before the launch. This is a high risk stock, but its development as pushed forward and with recent $SPCE and $VECQ news I will be remain bullish on this stock over the others.
ALong
G
$HOL $ASTR Big WeekBeen a bull in this company, but with it hitting the $10 range I did buy some at 10.02 and Friday bought more at 10.77. This week in Holicity/Astra is pretty massive and I believe the upside out weighs the risk. With getting about a 480mil on their balance sheet, this gives a somewhat fair value of $13, which at current price would be about 20% move this week or even more depending on other factors.
News
-Merger is this week on June 30th and Ticker change on July 1st to ticker "ASTR"
-Astra acquired Apollo Fusion, which will give Astra a boost in their Thursters. This will help low orbit and other orbits of Earth while also giving the possibility of sendings their Rockets too the Moon for SATS according to the interview with Astra and Apollo Fusion.
-Has Planet Contract to send SATS
-Was awarded the TROPIC NASA contract, which starts in Q1 of 2022
-Their monthly rocket will be ready around Q4
-Pipe investors can't sell in a 6 month period. Warrents are exchange at $10, not sure on the deadline.
TA: I know the news sounds amazing and theres more to come like the ANN of the summer launch, which no date is available at the time of writing this. It's suppose to launch this Summer.
-Prime Target in the short term is $13.
-Sideways movement is between the zones of 10.76-11.05. Below 10.76 is key buying and above 11.05 is lots of sellers.
-RSI is oversold and could see a bounce Monday with merger coming soon.
-MACD is looking to flip Bullish
-VPVR levels 10.84-10.90 with next high vpvr levels being in our trading zone of sellers. if we break above 11.26 next level is 11.37 than 12.28
-EMA's are consoldating, but squeezing suggesting a pretty big move ahead.
Final Thoughts:
I'm bullish on this stock in the short term and long term with it hitting my value of investing. Does the company make it cheap? Does the company help others? Who are they competing with? The last question is just 1 which is Rocket Labs, yet they failed to get the NASA Contract due to it not being cheap to use. ASTRA is a game changer and will only get better, but also tougher as other companies try to do it better and cheaper than them. As of now this stock is a buy in the short and long term.
HLong
VLong
Vector Acquisition Corp (VACQ): Rocket Lab to the moon?Vector Acquisition Corp NASDAQ:VACQ
What a brutal drop! But I'm still holding on and in fact, accumulating more for the Rocket Lab IPO.
I'm definitely not a professional advisor and this is not professional advice.
Rocket Lab in the news:
Rocket Lab has now delivered a total of 104 satellites to Earth orbit.
www.space.com
Rocket Lab's next reusable rocket mission will test a new heat shield
www.engadget.com
spacenews.com
spacenews.com
VLong
MAXR (space industry, satellites)Space Stock
Hourly chart
ARKX GAP between 39.96- 43.31
Support: 43.5
Resistance: 50
Bullish above 50$!
PT1: 60$ (R2)
PT2: 100$
MLong
MLong
CHTR was a top gainer, rising 44.38%.Expect Uptrend continuationCharter Communications Inc. - Ordinary Shares - (CHTR, $536.67) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +44.38% to $536.67 per share. My A.I.dvisor analyzed 19 stocks in the Cable/Satellite TV Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 19 of them (100%) charted an Uptrend while none of them (0%) trended down. My A.I.dvisor found 240 similar cases when CHTR's price jumped over 15% within three months. In 184 out of those 240 cases, CHTR's price went up during the following month. Based on these historical data, A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend continuation for CHTR are 77%.






















