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Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion. Key Observations: 🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top. 🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs. 🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC) TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH) OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap) All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market. 🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets. Conclusion: Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in. 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by marshyyy
bitcoin 4 years cycle chart from pacmanIf you want invest in bitcoin don't miss 4 years cycle Original chart from pacman Bitcoin experienced a -50% retrace approximately 100 days prior to Halving #1 in 2012 and lasted 2 days. Bitcoin experienced a -38% retrace approximately 24 days prior to Halving #2 in 2016 and lasted 44 days. Bitcoin experienced a -63% retrace approximately 88 days prior to Halving #3 in 2020 and lasted 29 days. Historically, Bitcoin has rallied exponentially after each of its Halvings. Bitcoin rallied +3,400% after Halving 1 and 4,080% after Halving 2. It is a fundamental catalyst that has played a significant role in propelling Bitcoin’s price to exponential highs. buybitcoinworldwide.com buybitcoinworldwide.com "Bitcoin cycle pattern history: 2011-2012-2013: three year bull. 2014: ~80% crash. 2015-2016-2017: three year bull. 2018: ~80% crash. 2019-2020-2021: three year bull. 2022: ~80% crash. bitcoin next bullish cycle is 2023 ~ 2025
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by curtischangTW
1
Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle...Time to AccumulateLook at the 4 year cycle of Bitcoin. If history is going to repeat itself, we are very close the starting the next cycle. During the cycles, Bitcoin sees upward price action for 3 years with a parabolic run at the end. Then it sees downward movement for 1 year with capitulation at the end. Not sure if we've seen capitulation yet but we are close. So if this holds true, we could see sideways price movement until the end of 2019 before we gain traction. ALTS you ask?? Well it depends on bitcoin. If it goes sideways, that's good for alts. If it goes up it's very good for alts. Sometime at the beginning of the next cycle, we could see the next big alt run.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by tradingj
2
Bitcoin 4-year cycles - The party is getting startedPeople say this cycle is different. But so far, when you zoom out, things are following the general trends. - The white vertical lines represents exactly 4 years from the first cycle peak - The blue measurements represents exactly 399 days after the white vertical lines The trend (so far) is clear. Bitcoin has a cycle peak every 4 years, and has a cycle bottom 399 days later If this trend was to follow this cycle: 1. Bitcoin to peak on the week of 24th November 2025 2. Bitcoin to bottom on the week of 28th December 2026 Let me know what you think!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by aadilsfin
1
Bitcoin 4-year cycleThe 4-year cycle A Bitcoin cycle typically lasts for 4 years. A halving event is immediately followed by a 1-year bull market, then followed by a 1-year bear market before slowly recovering to the previous peak across 2 years. - What is the 4 year Bitcoin cycle? After every 210,000 blocks mined, or roughly every four years, the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions is cut in half. This event is referred to as halving because it cuts in half the rate at which new bitcoins are released into circulation. - Why is crypto a 4 year cycles? This pattern is commonly known in the crypto space. Approximately every 4 years (or more specifically – after 210,000 blocks are mined) the amount of Bitcoin awarded to the miners drops by 50%. This makes Bitcoin scarcer and therefore more valuable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by franklinfox007
1
Bitcoin 4 year cycleBitcoin has a 4 year cycle based on the bitcoin halving. Also Bitcoin has a "production cost" based on what hardware and electricity costs for the miners. So my indicators are based on a 4 year average and what this Script from Capriole Investment means what the cost in dollar should be in average to "produce one Bitcoin". As long as there is usage and demand of bitcoin it should follow this 4 year cycle. But as always no guarantee and now financial advise.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingRul85
1
Bitcoin 6 Year CycleThis is a more realistic presentation of how the next 2 Markets cycles could unfold for bitcoin. As you can see 100k is coming quicker than most people think. This pattern I have put together shows how bitcoin can stay in the parabolic trend channel drawn with the white lines And still reach 191k by October 2021. The bear market from 191k top should bring us to around 35k which would be a 82% decline in price. This also stand true with the history of bitcoin bear markets. Dropping 93% in first bear market 85% in the second and 82% in the 3rd bear market. From the 35k bottom in August of 2022 we will start our 5th bull market and start the move to 1 million by 2025.
BNC:BLX
by Gevorg24
3
Bitcoin 4 Year CycleFibonacci Time Zones are a technical analysis tool, depicted as vertical lines on a chart, used by traders to identify potential market reversals based on intervals derived from the Fibonacci sequence. To use them, traders pick a significant high or low point, then plot vertical lines at time intervals corresponding to Fibonacci numbers (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.), with the expectation that major price movements or trend changes may occur at these lines. How to Use Fibonacci Time Zones 1. Identify a Trend: Find a clear trend, either an uptrend or a downtrend, on your chosen financial asset's price chart. 2. Mark a Starting Point: Select a significant swing high or swing low within that trend as your starting point. 3. Plot the Time Zones: On your chart, draw a series of vertical lines extending to the right from your starting point. 4. Interpret the Zones: The intervals between these lines represent periods based on the Fibonacci sequence (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). The goal is to look for potential price reversals, significant movements, or trend changes near these vertical lines. Key Considerations Focus on Time: Unlike Fibonacci retracement levels, which focus on price levels, Fibonacci Time Zones are solely focused on the timing of potential market changes. Ignore Early Zones: The initial zones can be clustered very close together, so traders often suggest ignoring the first few zones and focusing on later, more spread-out zones. Combine with Other Indicators: To confirm signals, you can use Fibonacci Time Zones in conjunction with other technical indicators for entry and exit points.
by InnovationCapital