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BTCUSDT: Structure Break & Bearish Channel ContinuationHi! Bitcoin has shifted into a clear bearish market structure after breaking the long-term ascending trendline and losing the key horizontal support zone. Price is now trading inside a descending channel, confirming downside momentum. The recent breakdown below the 68K support area turned previous support into resistance, increasing the probability of continuation toward lower liquidity zones. Market Structure Broken ascending macro trendline Lost major horizontal support Clean rejection from broken support → resistance flip Price respecting bearish channel boundaries Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) If the price continues to respect the channel resistance, further downside is likely. Target Zones: Target 1: 60,000 – 58,000 Target 2: 55,000 – 53,500 Important Context – Monthly Support This setup comes with reduced statistical confidence because the price is approaching a higher timeframe (monthly) support region. That means: Downside continuation is possible But sharp bounces can happen unexpectedly Overall win rate of this bearish continuation idea could be lower than usual due to higher timeframe demand presence
Short
by melikatrader94
10
BTCUSDT Short: Bearish Structure Holds - Focus on 65,000 DemandHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT has been trading within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure and consistent seller control. Throughout this phase, price respected the channel boundaries, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic bearish continuation structure rather than impulsive capitulation. Eventually, BTC broke below the lower boundary of the descending channel, confirming a continuation of the bearish trend and accelerating downside momentum. After this breakdown, price entered a short consolidation range, suggesting temporary balance as sellers paused and buyers attempted to absorb supply. Currently, BTCUSDT is consolidating beneath the descending supply line and below the horizontal Supply Zone near 71,000, signaling that bullish attempts remain corrective in nature. Price action shows compression between the descending supply line and the rising demand trend line, forming a tightening structure where a directional move is likely to emerge. Importantly, BTC has failed to reclaim the supply zone or break above the descending trend line with acceptance, suggesting that sellers still maintain higher-timeframe control. My primary scenario favors bearish continuation, as long as BTCUSDT remains below the descending supply line and the 71,000 supply zone. A rejection from this area increases the probability of a continuation move toward the 65,000 Demand Zone (TP1), which serves as the main downside target and a key area where buyers may attempt another reaction. A clean breakdown and acceptance below this demand zone would expose even lower levels. However, a strong breakout and sustained acceptance above the supply line and resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential structural shift. For now, market structure and price behavior continue to favor sellers. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
16
BTC: another Drop??????Hi everyone! After a strong rally, BTC formed a rising wedge pattern and has now broken to the downside. Price is currently sitting at a very important support zone, which could be difficult to break. 🔴For now, it’s better to stay patient and wait for a clear breakdown below the $74,400 support level, or a breakdown followed by a retest/retracement, before considering any short positions. 🎯If this support fails, the potential downside target would be around $63,500.
Short
by melikatrader94
17
Bitcoin Rejects Resistance, Eyes Support Test Around $65KHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within a well-defined descending channel, where price respected both the resistance and support boundaries, confirming controlled bearish pressure rather than impulsive selling. This channel structure guided the market lower with consistent lower highs and lower lows, reflecting steady seller dominance. The decline eventually culminated in a sharp sell-off that swept liquidity and formed a clear turning point, where price reacted strongly from the Buyer Zone. This reaction marked the first sign of demand stepping in and weakening the bearish momentum. Following this reversal, BTC staged a strong impulsive recovery and broke back above the Buyer Zone, signaling a temporary structural shift and attracting renewed bullish interest. After this move, price entered a consolidation phase, forming a clean range where buyers and sellers temporarily found equilibrium. This ranging structure acted as a redistribution zone before the market rotated lower again. The rejection from the upper boundary of the range aligned with the descending resistance line, confirming that sellers were still active within the broader channel context. Currently, BTC is trading below the Seller Zone and remains inside the descending structure, with price recently breaking down from resistance and rotating toward the channel support. This move suggests that the recent bounce was corrective rather than the start of a sustained bullish reversal. Price action shows controlled downside continuation, with the market now approaching the Buyer Zone around 65,000, which also aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a key support area. My primary scenario favors a continuation toward the support region, as long as BTC remains below the Seller Zone and continues respecting the descending resistance line. A clean reaction from the 65,000 Buyer Zone (TP1) could trigger another bounce, as this level represents a confluence of structural support and potential liquidity. On the other hand, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below this Buyer Zone would confirm bearish continuation and open the path toward deeper downside expansion. Until buyers reclaim the Seller Zone and break the descending structure, the broader short-term bias remains cautiously bearish. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
27
FEBURARY 13 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. At the bottom left, the purple finger indicates the final long position entry point from the analysis on the 12th, at $65,967.1. The CPI data will be released shortly at 10:30 AM. *If the light blue finger moves, Switch from short to long. Or, if it immediately declines, hold the long position. This is a neutral strategy. 1. Top: Light blue finger, $67,809.1, short position entry point. / Stop loss if orange resistance line is broken. 2. Bottom: $67,067.7, long position switch. / Stop loss if green support line is broken. 3. $68,971.8, short position switch. / $68,318.2, long position switch. From Good to Great, this is the long position target for the weekend. If the strategy is successful, the daily MACD golden cross may connect after tomorrow. If the price fails to touch the short position entry point at $67,809.1 at the top and immediately falls, then wait for a long position at the bottom at $6,533. The stop loss price will be the same for those holding a long position at $65,967.1. I intentionally kept the bottom point short. The channel will remain intact until the second point, if it remains unbroken. Further declines below the bottom at $64,070.8 are possible, so long positions should be cautious. The Nasdaq is falling in real time, so please refer to the coupling and manage your trading wisely. Please use my analysis to this point for reference only. I urge you to operate safely, adhering to principled trading and a stop loss. I hope for a rebound after breaking through the top during the Lunar New Year holiday. Happy New Year! I'll see you next Thursday, the 19th. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
$Btcusd Long possibility 2026 February valentine's gift or trapAfter the recent drop in altcoin prices, we're in a good position to join the crypto train and Bitcoin presents that opportunity. Buyers should keep in mind. 60,000 - for stops 66,000 - for entry 80,000 - for target CONFLUENCES ♦ HTF correction at 80k D1, W1 {target} ♦HTF price position at discount D1, H4{entry} ♦ Jan 26th 2026 sweep as stop cushion for stops, corrections remain possible before/if more drops in prices. Hence we're likely to see 80k before 60k again.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Bankhead007
BTCUSDT Compression Below Resistance Signals Expansion To 71,800Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within a well-defined range, where price respected both the upper and lower boundaries for an extended period. This consolidation phase reflected balance between buyers and sellers, with multiple reactions from range highs and lows. Eventually, price broke down from the range, signaling a loss of bullish control and the start of a corrective bearish phase. Following the range breakdown, BTC entered a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Price respected the falling resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure and controlled downside continuation rather than a volatile sell-off. During this move, several corrective bounces were capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. Currently, BTCUSDT is consolidating above the Buyer Zone, while also attempting to break and hold above a newly formed ascending support line. This behavior suggests that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are gradually gaining control. The recent breakout attempts from minor resistance indicate early bullish intent, although price is still capped below the key Seller Zone / Resistance near 71,800. My primary scenario favors a move higher toward the 71,800 resistance level (TP1), which aligns with the Seller Zone and previous breakdown area. A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm a deeper recovery and potentially signal a trend shift. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone could lead to another pullback toward the Buyer Zone. A decisive breakdown below the 68,000 support and loss of the ascending support line would invalidate the bullish recovery scenario and open the door for renewed downside continuation. For now, BTCUSDT shows signs of stabilization after a strong drop, with buyers defending demand and price compressing below resistance — a classic setup for a potential breakout move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
25
Bitcoin's Volume Profile: If $60k Gives Up $27k Catches Knife Bear Flag alert played out accurately In this chart, I would like to share with you a different perspective on the charting for educational purpose. I'm gonna show you "underwater world" that can be displayed with the Volume Profile indicator I put three lines on the chart that highlight 3 levels of support based on highest traded Coinbase exchange volume areas 1) yellow one is located at $61k and recently it absorbed all the downside pressure from the Bear Flag drop and rejected the sell-off so far 2) orange line represents shallow interim support around $42k it could hardly survive once another fall appears 3) red line is a die-hard support at $27k that shows the highest traded volume that lasts solid down to $19k This is what we can see under the "iceberg" to have all perspectives: price/patterns and volume based levels
by aibek
BTCUSDT 4H setup - Outlines a BULLISH continuation strategyThe idea anticipates a liquidity grab within the $0.618$ to $0.786$ Fibonacci discount zone ($62,500 – $64,600) to clear out early long positions before a trend reversal. Following this sweep, the plan projects an impulsive move upward, reclaiming the psychological $70,000$ level and targeting the $-0.382$ extension at approximately $76,936. The strategy utilizes tiered take-profits, seeking "full" target realization once the local high is cleared.
Long
by HoneyBadgerAI
FEBURARY 12 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. The Nasdaq indicators will be released shortly at 10:30 AM and 12 PM. At the bottom left, the strategy is linked to the long position entry point of $65,715.9, which was reached on the 11th with the purple finger. *The light blue finger's path indicates a two-way neutral short->long->short->long switching strategy, or a long-wait strategy. 1. $67,717.1 short position entry point / stop loss price if the orange resistance line is broken. 2. $66,798.1 long position switch / stop loss price if the green support line is broken. 3. $68,971.8 long position first target / $70,171.4 top second target (Short if the top section touches alone / Long position maintained if the good section touches.) The light blue finger marked in the middle, $68,112.5, can be used to re-enter a long position. In today's strategy, the light blue finger at the top, $67,717.1 short entry point If the price falls immediately without touching, the final long position is held at section 1 below. If the green support line is broken, the stop-loss price remains the same. The second section of the light blue support line represents a downward correction zone. If the price falls to this point, the support line is unclear, and the possibility of a bottom-out is high. Please use my analysis to this extent for reference only. I hope you will operate safely, following the principles of trading and maintaining a stop-loss price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
2
BTC Trading Plan & Investor Guide: Feb 2026Bitcoin is currently trading around $66.4k USD, and structurally the price looks vulnerable to retesting lower levels until a convincing upward reversal confirmation appears. Below is an extended intraday (trading) plan with stop-losses/targets and a medium-term outlook for investors (not financial advice). Intraday Technical Analysis Current context: after an impulsive decline, the market often transitions into consolidation and "liquidity collection" before the next move, so it's better to work from predefined scenarios rather than improvising. Key zones (reference points for plans, adjust to your M5–H1 timeframe): Resistance: 67,200–67,600; then 68,800–69,300; followed by 70,000–71,100. Support: 66,000–65,700; then 64,800–64,200; followed by 62,000–61,000; strong zone at 60,000. Intraday Trades (stops and targets) Scenario A — bounce from support (counter-trend, cautious): Entry: limit/confirmation in the 66,000–65,750 zone (reaction + hold). Stop-loss: 65,350 (below local wicks/false breaks). Take-profit: TP1 66,900; TP2 67,450; TP3 68,000 (in parts, move stop to breakeven after TP1). Scenario B — breakdown (with the trend): Entry: short after confirmation below 65,700 or on retest of 65,700–66,000 from below. Stop-loss: 66,350 (above retest zone). Take-profit: TP1 64,800; TP2 64,200; TP3 62,000; TP4 60,000 (if strong momentum — trail by highs/MA). Scenario C — reversal/breakout upward (only if market shows strength): Entry: long after confirmation above 67,600 and retest from above. Stop-loss: 66,950. Take-profit: TP1 68,800; TP2 69,300; TP3 70,000–71,100. Risk Management (to make the plan work) Risk per trade: 0.5–1% of capital; if 2 stops in a row — pause/reduce risk. Ratio: aim for trades with R:R minimum 1:2 (e.g., $600 stop, cumulative target $1,200+). "Do not enter" triggers: wide candles without pullback, news/volatility spikes, lack of structure (levels being "cut" back and forth). Fundamental Factors In April 2024, the halving event occurred: miner rewards decreased from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block, structurally reducing emission rates. On January 10, 2024, the SEC approved the listing of 11 spot Bitcoin ETPs/ETFs in the US, simplifying BTC access through exchange infrastructure for some investors. Medium-Term for Investors (3–12 months) Basic approach — dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and risk control: a portfolio allocation that you're psychologically and financially comfortable holding during 30–50% drawdowns (historically normal for BTC). Focus on weekly structure: confirmation above key resistance increases the chances of trend reversal, while losing strong support (down to the 60k zone) signals the downside scenario isn't finished yet. If you share your style (spot/futures, leverage, timeframe, and acceptable risk %), I can adjust levels, stops, and targets to your specific plan. Hashtags: #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading #CryptoTrading #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BTCUSD #Finance
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by GRAWDAYTRADER
2
BTC Intraday (Feb 13, 2026)### A) Market Context (The "Why") * **Macro Cycle:** BTC is in a **mid-cycle reset**. After hitting an ATH of ~126k in Oct 2025, price has drawn down 45–50% to the 60k region. The long-term trend remains bullish, but the current structure is fragile. * **Today’s Regime:** Price is chopping around **66–67k**. The market is heavily **derivatives-driven** (Futures Vol ~$63.7B vs Spot ~$6.9B), increasing the risk of "wicks" and stop-hunts. * **CRITICAL EVENT:** **US CPI Data** releases today at **08:30 ET (14:30 CET)**. * *Implication:* This is a binary risk event. **NO TRADES before 14:30 CET.** Any technical setup prior to the release is gambling. Wait for the reaction and structural clarity. --- ### B) Structure & Key Levels (The "Where") Mark these zones on your chart: **1. HTF Context (4H/Daily)** * **Supply (Resistance):** **72k – 75k** (Major breakdown zone). * **Demand (Support):** **60k – 62k** (Recent crash lows) & **58k** (200-Week MA – the "line in the sand"). * *Note:* Current price (~66k) is **Mid-Range**. Swing trading here has poor R:R. **2. LTF Context (15M/1H)** * **Current Range:** **65k – 68k**. * **Local Resistance:** **68.5k – 69.5k** (Top of current consolidation). * **Local Support:** **65k – 65.5k** (Yesterday's lows pre-CPI). --- ### C) Trade Scenarios (The "How") **Status:** Conditional. Valid **ONLY POST-CPI** and if specific triggers occur. #### 📈 Scenario 1: Post-CPI Momentum LONG *Targeting a breakout of the local range toward HTF supply.* * **Zone of Interest:** **68.5k – 69.5k** * **Precise Entry Trigger (Must see this):** 1. **Breakout:** CPI impulse pushes price above 69.5k with a **15M candle close** above the level. 2. **Retest:** Price pulls back into **68.5–69.5k**. 3. **Confirmation:** On the retest, look for a **Bullish Engulfing** or **Pinbar** (5M/15M) followed by a **micro-BMS** (break of market structure to the upside on 5M). * **Invalidation (SFP):** If price spikes above 69.5k but immediately closes back inside the range (<68.5k), cancel the long. * **Stop Loss:** Below the retest low (approx. **67.6k – 67.8k**). * **Take Profit:** * **TP1:** **71.5k – 72k** (Secure 50%). * **TP2:** **74k – 75k** (Main target). #### 📉 Scenario 2: Post-CPI Momentum SHORT *Targeting a breakdown of support toward cycle lows.* * **Zone of Interest:** **64k – 65k** * **Precise Entry Trigger (Must see this):** 1. **Breakdown:** CPI impulse pushes price below 65k with a **15M candle close** below the level. 2. **Retest:** Price bounces back up to **64.5–65.5k** (from below). 3. **Confirmation:** On the retest, look for a **Bearish rejection** (long upper wicks) and a **micro-BMS** (lower low on 5M). * **Invalidation (V-Shape):** If price wicks below 65k but the same 15M candle closes back above 65–66k, cancel the short. * **Stop Loss:** Above the retest high (approx. **66.3k – 66.5k**). * **Take Profit:** * **TP1:** **61k – 62k** (HTF Demand). * **TP2:** **59k – 60k** (200W MA zone). --- ### D) Execution Summary | Component | Guideline | | --- | --- | | **Timing** | **Strictly Post-CPI (After 14:30 CET).** | | **Strategy** | Reactive Intraday (Trend Following). No Swings today. | | **Order Book** | **Longs:** Look for bid absorption at 69k on the retest. **Shorts:** Look for sell walls reloading at 65k on the retest. | | **Risk** | High volatility expected. Wait for candle closes to avoid "whipsaws." | **Daily Verdict:** Patience is the edge today. The market is trapped between 60k and 75k. Let the CPI print force the price out of the **65–68k** box, then trade the retest of the broken level.
by minno91
XAGUSD: downside opportunuties🛠 Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, Silver (XAGUSD) is consolidating after a sharp selloff from the recent peak. Price is currently capped by a descending trendline and a key resistance zone overhead, while the lower boundary of the formation is acting as short-term support. The Moving Averages show mixed conditions: price is holding above the fast MA, but remains below the higher-period averages, keeping the broader bias pressured. This compression typically precedes expansion, and a rejection/false breakout from the upper wedge line would reinforce the bearish continuation scenario. A confirmed breakdown from the pattern opens room for a move into the next major support area around 69–71. If momentum accelerates, the lower support band becomes the next downside objective near 64. ——————————————— ❗️Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Approx. 81.00 🎯 Take Profit: 69.43 🔴 Stop Loss: 90.14 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
TICKMILL:XAGUSDShort
by Trade8Eight
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) — D1 Potential Wave 3 Formation + Trendline BrBitcoin (BTCUSDT) — D1 Potential Wave 3 Formation + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation) 🟠 Bitcoin / TetherUS (BTCUSDT) — D1 Potential Wave 3 Formation + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation) 🔎 Market Structure (D1) On the Daily timeframe, BTC is forming the technical prerequisites for the start of a potential Wave 3 to the upside, confirmed by: • a breakout of the corrective trendline (end of the local correction) • completion of the corrective phase (Wave 2) inside the descending structure • stabilization above the breakout/retest area (impulse activation zone) • early signs of a shift from corrective movement into impulsive continuation • compression near the channel boundary, often preceding expansion into Wave 3 The current setup matches the classic Elliott Wave impulse model, where Wave 3 begins after Wave 2 completes and price exits the corrective channel. 📐 Elliott Wave Context • Wave 1: first impulsive leg up (trend initiation) • Wave 2: corrective retracement within structure • Wave 3: potential impulsive expansion upward (current scenario) 📌 Key principle: The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the low of Wave 2. 📍 Entry Entry: 66,851.94 The entry is positioned: • near the post-breakout zone • inside the impulse activation area after trendline breakout • where Wave 3 often starts accelerating after confirmation 🎯 Target Levels (Wave 3 Projections) Targets are derived from projected impulse expansion zones and key reaction levels: TP1: 74,763.84 TP2: 79,810.22 TP3: 84,700.12 TP4: 92,211.00 Each target represents a potential reaction zone and a logical partial profit-taking level during Wave 3 development. 🛑 Invalidation / Stop Loss Stop Loss: 64,869.27 📍 The stop is placed below the low of Wave 2, which: • invalidates the Wave 3 bullish scenario if breached • protects against continuation of the corrective/downtrend structure • follows Elliott Wave invalidation logic (Wave 2 low must hold for Wave 3 to develop) 🧠 Risk & Trade Management Trend-following setup Wave 3 is typically the strongest phase, but can be volatile with sharp pullbacks. Recommended approach: • partial profits at TP1 / TP2 • move stop to breakeven after confirmed impulse continuation (strong daily close + structure hold) • avoid increasing exposure before Wave 3 acceleration is confirmed • scaling in only on pullbacks with clear support reaction 📌 Summary BTCUSDT on D1 shows a corrective trendline breakout and structural conditions for a potential Wave 3 to the upside. The bullish scenario remains valid above 64,869.27, with upside targets aligned to projected impulse expansion levels.
Long
by NewOneCrypto
Bitcoin – Bearish Continuation or Stand AsideWe remain in a bearish market environment on Bitcoin. For short exposure today, I want to see price respect the H1 bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and reject from that imbalance area. If we get proper reaction and displacement from that zone, my objective would be a continuation move targeting the PDL (Previous Day Low) as the primary liquidity draw. However, if price fails to respect the H1 FVG and trades through it with acceptance, I will avoid trading Bitcoin today. In that case, price could rotate higher toward the PDH (Previous Day High) or into the Order Block (OB) resting just below the PDH. Given that my intraday bias remains bearish, taking longs in that scenario would mean trading against my directional bias, which falls outside my trading plan. Additionally, we have high-impact USD news today. Expect elevated volatility during the release window. Tight stop-loss placements could easily be swept due to liquidity spikes and aggressive repricing. Risk management and timing will be critical. COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Dan-Goldfx
BTCUSDT – 4H | Sell Setup – Supply Reaction & Liquidity BelowBTCUSDT – 4H | Sell Setup – Supply Reaction & Liquidity Below BTC is currently reacting into a lower timeframe supply / imbalance zone after a corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure. 🔎 Technical Context: 4H structure remains bearish (lower highs & distribution behavior). Current move appears corrective rather than impulsive. Price is tapping into a clear supply zone. Volume profile shows heavier positioning above current price, while liquidity rests below recent lows. 📌 Sell Scenario: As long as price fails to reclaim and hold above the marked supply area, downside continuation toward the 64K – 63K liquidity pocket becomes the higher probability path. Target area aligns with: Untapped liquidity below equal lows Inefficiency fill Volume imbalance resolution ⚠️ Invalidation: Strong 4H close above the supply zone, shifting short-term structure bullish. This is not a prediction — it is a reaction trade based on structure, liquidity, and positioning. Defined risk. Clear invalidation. Asymmetric opportunity. Risk management remains non-negotiable.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
Stop!Loss|Market View: BTCUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the BTCUSD☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 72115.95 💰TP: 79200.75 ⛔️SL: 66949.95 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Bitcoin is unlikely to be attractive for a short-term trade today, but a more likely buy scenario could realize in the near future. This would require waiting for the price to return to the 67,000-71,500 range, and then wait for a breakout of the upper limit. The upside target in this case is considered to be near 80,000. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by StopLoss222