Short
SMCI 4-month consolidation could be a bottom.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has been ranging for exactly the past 4 months (since the November 17 2025 candle), when it broke below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This consolidation is no technical accident as it is taking place on Support 1 (27.50), the April 07 2025 Low and could be an indication of a medium-term bottom. To confirm that however, it needs to break above its 1W MA200 again but on the bullish side, it is already trading above the 1W RSI MA (similar to December 2024 - January 2025) and just completed a 1W MACD Bullish Cross (similar to December 09 2024).
As a result, as long as Support 1 holds, it is likely to see a rally towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the previous Lower High) at $52.00.
A weekly closing however below Support 1, eyes Support 2 at $17.25.
The price is currently close enough to Support 1 to allow solid Risk/ Reward and SL placements on this strategy.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 SMCI Loss of this Support can result into crash to $10.Supermicro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has been under heavy pressure since its March 2024 ATH and last month hit and held its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a key Support level, which even though it broke on the November 2024 crash, the price managed to recover and close the month back up above it. In fact, the last time SMCI closed a month below it was in March 2020 during the COVID flash-crash.
As a result, loss of this level can result into an accelerated sell-off, technically the second Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, towards the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). If it is as strong as the first Bearish Leg, then we should be expecting a -86% decline to $10.00, which would technically make contact with the 1M MA200.
Notice also how similar the current 1M RSI structure is with SMCI's last Channel Down correction in 2015 - 2018.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
Long 
Long 
Long 
Long 
SMCI $46.50 Calls Poised for Explosive Move – Don’t Miss Out! 🚀 SMCI Weekly Options Analysis (2025-08-17) – Don’t Miss Out!
### 🔎 Model Insights Recap
**Grok/xAI Report**
* 📊 Daily RSI: 35.2 → short-term bearish pressure
* 📊 Weekly RSI: 55 → moderate bullish trend
* 📈 Call/Put Ratio: Strong bullish flow
* 🔊 Volume: Weak institutional support
* ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$47.00 Call**
**DeepSeek Report**
* 📈 Call/Put Ratio: 2.47 → bullish
* ⚠️ Conflicting daily/weekly signals
* 🛑 Decision: **No trade**
**Gemini/Google Report**
* 📊 Daily RSI bearish, Weekly RSI bullish
* ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$46.50 Call**
**Llama/Meta Report**
* 📊 Mixed sentiment, weak volume
* ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$46.50 Call**
**Claude/Anthropic Report**
* ⚠️ Daily momentum weak, weekly bullish potential
* 🛑 Decision: **No trade**
---
### 📌 Key Agreements & Disagreements
* **Agreements:** Call/put ratio bullish, daily RSI weak, volume declining → caution
* **Disagreements:**
* Bullish call recommendation: Grok/xAI, Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta
* No trade: DeepSeek, Claude/Anthropic due to conflicting signals
---
### 📊 Recommended Trade
* **Direction:** CALL (Long)
* **Strike:** \$46.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-22
* **Entry Price:** \$0.88 (bid/ask midpoint)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.44 (50% of premium)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.32 (50–100% gain)
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Confidence:** 65%
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Weak volume → insufficient institutional backing
* Daily RSI weak → short-term reversals possible
* Maintain exit strategy if price breaks support or fails to reach targets
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON**
```json
{
"instrument": "SMCI",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 46.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.32,
"stop_loss": 0.44,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.88,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-17 12:07:47 EDT"
}
``` Long 
Short 
SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25)
### 🔹 SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25)
**Bullish Flow + Strong RSI = 🚀 Call Opportunity at \$62**
---
### 📊 TECHNICAL SNAPSHOT
* **RSI (Daily + Weekly):** ✅ Above 55 — clear bullish strength
* **Weekly Close:** 🔼 Broke prior highs — momentum continuation likely
* **Volume Ratio:** Slightly weak (0.9x) 📉 — watch early-week participation
* **VIX:** 14.93 💤 — low vol = smoother price action (great for weekly calls)
---
### 💥 OPTIONS FLOW HIGHLIGHTS
* **Call/Put Ratio:** 4.30 🔥 (heavy bullish skew)
* **Hot Strikes:** \$62.00 & \$63.00 = aggressive positioning
* **OI Surge:** Confirmed institutional interest → upside bets stacking up
---
### ✅ TRADE SETUP
* 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Weekly Call
* 📈 **Strike:** \$62.00
* 📅 **Expiration:** Aug 1, 2025
* 💸 **Entry Price:** \$0.86 (ask)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.43 (50% risk)
* 🎯 **Target:** \$1.20 (40% upside)
* 📈 **Confidence:** 80%
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market open
---
### 🚨 KEY RISKS
* ⚠️ Weak volume = lower conviction from institutions
* 📉 Watch early-week flow → exit if buyers fade
* 🎯 Above \$63 = breakout fuel
* 🧨 Below \$61 = trend in question
---
### 🧠 MODEL CONSENSUS
> All quant models bullish except **one cautioning on volume**
> Options flow + RSI = overwhelming bullish case
---
### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (Algo-Friendly JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "SMCI",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 62.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.80,
"profit_target": 1.20,
"stop_loss": 0.43,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.86,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
📈 **Watch zones:**
* 🚀 Above \$63 = breakout
* 🛑 Below \$61 = cut risk
---
**#SMCI #OptionsFlow #CallOptions #WeeklyTrade #RSI #BullishMomentum #MarketOpenSetup #QuantSignals #OptionsAlert**
Long 
Bearish or bullish SMCI Stock USD. Breakpoint coming.Technical and Fundamental Analysis for SMCI 🚀
The current stock price of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is $41.87 USD . The target sell point is set at $73 USD, indicating a potential upward movement. The s upport level for buying is $34 USD , suggesting that if the stock price drops to this level, it may be a good opportunity to purchase.
It is crucial to maintain the resistance level at $41 USD ; otherwise, the stock may decline further to the support level of $34 USD.
Technical indicators on the chart include moving averages and volume data, which help in understanding the stock's price trends and market sentiment. The green and red bands represent different moving averages, showing the stock's volatility and potential price movements.The annotations on the chart highlight key support and resistance levels, providing a visual guide for trading decisions.
Fundamentally , Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a company listed on NASDAQ, and its stock performance is influenced by various factors such as market conditions, company earnings, and industry trends. Investors should consider both technical and fundamental aspects before making trading decisions.
Conclusion: 🚀
The analysis suggests monitoring the resistance level at $41 USD closely. If the stock price maintains above this level, it may move towards the target sell point of $73 USD. However, if it fails to hold this resistance, it could drop to the support level of $34 USD, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions. 🚀
Long 
SMCI hit its 1W MA50, eyes a massive break-out.Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) has surged more than +15% today after the company announced a multi-year, $20 billion partnership with Saudi data center firm DataVolt.
Technically that brought it on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the first contact with it since the week of February 18 2025, which was the previous Top. The current rally as well as the one that led to the Feb 18 Top, is fueled by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) which held as Support on both occasions.
The driving pattern behind those Bullish Legs is a Channel Up (blue) and this is not the first time SMCI comes across such formation. It was in fact a similar Channel Up that took the stock from the 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis and guided it to its new Bull Cycle. That rose by +950% before it pulled back on its first consolidation.
As a result, we have a short-term Target at $80.00 and after a pull-back, long-term Target at $180.00 (+950% from the bottom).
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
Long 
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom
🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms.
🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary.
🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist.
🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided.
🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards.
🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature.
🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed.
🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home.
🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite.
🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
SMCI Bull Flag completed and targeting $65.Three months ago (November 07 2024, see chart below), we issued a strong buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), after the stock had declined by more than -85% from its All Time High (ATH):
The signal was an instant success, as the price rebounded on the following week. Our perspective hasn't changed and today, with the stock up currently by more +13% intra day, is another reason why.
Last week the price made an excellent rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), solidifying this level as the new Support and turning out to be a huge demand level that completed the Bull Flag pattern of December 09 2024 - January 27 2025. As you can see , the 1W MA200 was also on the symmetrical Support Zone that only broke on the 'fake-out' of November's accounting scandal peak.
The interesting take on this 1W chart is that every similar Bull Flag since the 2020 COVID crash, tested the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next technical pull-back. As a result, we expect a $65.00 test, which would exceed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), before a new 2-month correction.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
$SMCI surged by 78% ! A comeback or final rally?
Technically, NASDAQ:SMCI is overall moving in a bearish market, and it just be rejected by the resistance level of downtrend line and the high price of previous gap down candle with high volume.
In this case, the price may continue to go bearish if it could not break above the resistance level.
From the aspect of fundamental analysis, there is also a high possibility for NASDAQ:SMCI to go bearish due to the two reasons below.
Evident 1:
SMCI’s drop was driven by financial fraud, with its auditor, Ernst & Young, resigning. Additionally, NVIDIA is shifting its orders away from SMCI. And the price had a short-term callback since the company only recently found a new auditor, BDO, and submitted a compliance plan to Nasdaq.
It’s worth mentioning that NASDAQ:SMCI has experienced a similar situation before. Back in 2019, SMCI faced multiple delisting warnings from Nasdaq for failing to submit its 10-K report and other financial documents on time. Ultimately, SMCI was delisted for not meeting reporting requirements and moved to the over-the-counter market to continue trading. After improving its internal controls and financial reporting, SMCI was able to rejoin the exchange in 2020.
Evident 2: NASDAQ:SMCI doesn’t have any monopolistic products and its offerings are highly replaceable. Several auditing firms have been gradually lowering their ratings and pricing since August, and SMCI has long been heavily dependent on NVIDIA's GPU chips. This dependence is evident, as about 70% of SMCI’s production costs rely on NVIDIA components. Now that NVIDIA is shifting its orders to other suppliers, even if SMCI has found a new auditor and successfully submits a strong Q3 report, its future will largely depend on whether NVIDIA decides to return its orders.
Therefore, the recent surge over the past few days could be due to NASDAQ:SMCI creating a breathing space for itself, namely by submitting a compliance plan to Nasdaq. Regardless of whether it can meet the requirements, submitting the plan serves as a temporary measure to buy time. This move has sparked market enthusiasm, but that enthusiasm is likely to fade. If NVIDIA does not shift its orders back and if SMCI ultimately fails to submit compliant financial reports as outlined in its plan, the recent rise in stock price may turn out to be a short-lived rally, or what could be called a final dance. Short 
SMCI is -85% a buy opportunity while accounting issues continue?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) still haven't found a new Auditing Firm, after it was announced last week that Ernst & Young left them raising governance and management communication issues. Yesterday's Low represents almost a -85% drop from the March $122.50 All Time High (ATH). So is this level a bargain and a buy opportunity for long-term investors?
Well while the company hasn't filed the necessary paperwork to meet the regulatory requirements to remain listed on the stock market and no auditor is hired to confirm and signs their reports, investor confidence will remain low (to say the least). It appears that SMCI has turned into the new short favorite for Hedge Funds and that's never ideal.
Technically though, the stock hit yesterday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020)! With that contact, the price initiated a strong multi-week rally that made a new High. This is a textbook buy for long-term investors. Of course it is all about risk and money management and since regulatory risks remain, the capital invested best to be less than usual.
Another technical factor supporting a buy on these levels is the 1W RSI, which got oversold (<30.00) for the first time since the weeks of March 16 2020 (almost 31.50) and October 01 2018 (U.S. - China trade wars). Both these times, SMCI kick-started enormous rallies.
The October 01 2018 bottom in particular is the starting date of the Fibonacci Channel Up on this chart, which encompasses SMCI's logarithmic growth these past years. As a result the company has only experienced 3 major long-term buy opportunities with the most recent 4 years ago.
At the same time, yesterday's Low didn't only make contact with Fibonacci 1.0 of the Channel Up (i.e. the initial top until the price turned parabolic and broke-out) but also almost touched the 0.382 horizontal Fib level, starting all the way from October 2018.
It is obvious that purely from a technical perspective such levels are as good as a buy can get. Proper risk management and an exit strategy are needed (in case of delisting) and long-term investors can be patient and take their time to target the $122.50 High again for enormous gains (could take even 1 year).
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
SMCI This is honestly the last stand.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) suffered yet another brutal sell-off following the announcement of a delay in filing its 10-K annual report. This may prove to be a catastrophic one as technically not only did it fail exactly on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but also saw the stock test the bottom of its multi-year parabolic support, the Higher Lows Zone since the week of July 05 2022.
This was basically the last time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) got tested with the current week coming the closest since then. The 1W MA100 last broke during the unexpected COVID flash crash in March 2020, so technically it is the stock's longest Support. If it fails to hold and SMCI closes a 1W candle below it, the long-term parabolic growth pattern is invalidated and we will risk testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at a price potentially around $250.00.
If on the other hand the 1W MA100 holds (and we will need the news sentiment to drastically reverse in order to achieve that, something that currently can't be seen on the horizon), then we can see another +400% long-term rally, in which case we estimate a Target around $2000, the stock's next critical psychological growth level.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
