NASDAQ:PANW This cybersecurity leader got beat-up on the last earnings report. It looks to me that it may have bottomed out. On this weekly chart (the week is still young) it is in the process of setting up as an inside week. It is regaining the 40 Week MA which I view as important. Additionally, the volume has been declining since the big sell-off. I take that...
This is my live analysis for SPY . If you have doubts feel free to leave your comment.
... for a 4.64 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Was starting to get somewhat worried that we would never have decent IV again. This ain't great, but I'll take it ... . Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
NYSE:U is a bottom fishing play for me this morning. It has both broken the downtrend line and can be considered an undercut and rally as it undercut the low of March 19 and has risen above it. My stop will be just below that March 19 low of $25.13 Giving me a nice risk reward stop. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check...
Trading Plan for Friday, April 12th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls and bears battling over the key support at 5191 in the red flag pattern. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5200, 5191 (major), 5184, 5178, 5171 (major), 5162. Major Supports: 5157, 5147, 5123-26 (major), 5103, 5096 (major), 5050-53 (major). Key Resistances Near-term Resistance:...
I have been tracking NASDAQ:ENPH for awhile now and I like how it is behaving this morning. I went long 1/2 size and already up $4.50 a share. It is now consolidating on the 5 min chart. I may add more. TBD. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome....
Trading Plan for Thursday, April 11th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, as the market continues to digest the hotter-than-expected CPI report and its implications for the Federal Reserve's actions. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5200, 5191 (major), 5184, 5178, 5171 (major), 5162. Major Supports: 5157, 5147, 5123-26 (major), 5103, 5096 (major), 5050-53...
S&P has been trading in a range since April 4th sell off. Neither buyers or sellers have any conviction in trading. Level to watch: 5217.00 ----5215.00 Report to watch: EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 am EST
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 5207.75, down 52.50 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 18,196.75, down 163.00 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures finished lower after a barrage of negative news. CPI for March was a touch warmer than expected, coming in roughly one-tenth higher across the board before a poor...
SPY broke below the (blue) Channel Up and the only Support standing now is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This level has been holding since the November 03 2023 break-out. If it holds, a new pattern will emerge but the medium-term bullish trend will stay intact. If the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a bearish extension similar to August 15 2023, February 24...
The S&P500 opened and closed below the lower support line of an uptrend channel. This in itself is excuse to sell or go short, but generally you want to see 2-3 days of price below or above a channel before considering it a trend shift. Most likely first level of price support to watch for if price does head lower is $500. Nice round number and a psychological...
CPI comes in hotter than consensus. IWM slaughtered / QQQ under pressure / SPY closes negative. Yields & Dollar ripping. Oil ripping / Natural Gas selloff. Are we entering a new reflation trend?
If the market does not give us a meaningful bounce tomorrow (~+0.75%) and hold, and instead breaks lower, things could accelerate to the downside pretty quickly. The downside risk at this point is heavier than the upside potential so all I'm saying is be careful. Would not personally be buying at these levels because you may be holding the bag if this goes...
The VIX’s structure with higher peaks and troughs became distorted after the FOMC meeting. Despite this being a positive development for the markets, it might be proper to stay attentive to the VIX for a couple more days to watch out for any potential rekindling of volatility. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of VIX. The yellow arrow...
Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 9th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Volatile and uncertain. CPI came in hotter than expected, increasing the likelihood of continued aggressive actions by the Federal Reserve. CPI Data and Impact: CPI rose 0.4% for the month, resulting in a 12-month inflation rate of 3.5%, surpassing expectations. Core CPI also accelerated 0.4%...
What would cause rates to move higher? Inflation 2.0? According to this long term yield chart were about to experience a paradigm shift in rates. If this Monthly Golden cross occurs we should see a bull market in rates continue into the future. This would not be a good sing for risk equites. The last time we got the opposite signal" Death cross" we saw a...
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 5253.25, up 0.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 18,295.00, down 5.75 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures were little changed to start the week as traders and investors await tomorrow’s CPI slate. Given last Thursday's fallout and Friday's stronger-than-expected headline job creation,...
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 9th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Consolidating within a tight range. Expect a breakout or breakdown with the potential for increased volatility. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5246, 5232-35 (major), 5221, 5212, 5207 (major). Major Supports: 5196-98 (major), 5181, 5172 (major), 5155 (major), and many more. Key...